⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ⤫ィⓗ㏲ḟゎᯒ
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➨୍❶ ணഛ▱㆑ㄽᩥ⏝ࡉࢀࡓせ࡞ᐃ⌮ᛶ㉁ࡢࡲࡵ
㸯 ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢ▱㆑
ᩘิ㛵ᩘyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
࣮࣐ࣜࣥ✚ศyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ᗘㄽࡢᇶ♏
ᗘ✵㛫yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
☜⋡ኚᩘࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
✚ศࡢ▱㆑yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ᖹᆒyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
⊂❧ᛶ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ᩘࡢἲ๎yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
┤✚ ᗘࣇࣅࢽࡢᐃ⌮yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢ⌮ㄽ
᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
Ṇyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
㞳ᩓ㛫࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
☜⋡㐣⛬
ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ືyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
☜⋡✚ศఀ⸨ࡢබᘧyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
%HVVHO 㐣⛬yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
➨❶ ༢୍ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
㸱⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢ⤖ㄽ
ࣔࢹࣝ≉ᛶ್ࡢ᥎ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝศᯒyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
➨୕❶ ⮫⏺್ᑐࡍࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ
ࣔࢹࣝࡢᇶᮏyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
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ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘ )LVKHU ሗ㔞
ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
)LVKHU ሗ㔞yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
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Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH㸧㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO 7HVW㸧
6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢᐃ⩏yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
㔜せ࡞ᐃ⌮yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ᐃ⌮ࡢド᫂yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
࣋ࢵࢭࣝ㐣⛬㸦%HVVHO3URFHVV㸧yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝ
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᯒyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᯒ⤖ᯝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
➨ᅄ❶ 6357 ᳨ᐃ :DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃ
:DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢពyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
㜈್ࡢỴᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
➨❶ ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬
ࣔࢹࣝࡘ࠸࡚ࡢゎㄝ
ࣔࢹࣝ┤ឤࡢពyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ྛグྕࡢពyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
FULWLFDOLW\SDUDPHWHUࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃ
&/6 ࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
&/6 ࡼࡾ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
&/6 ࡼࡾ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
ࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ
➨භ❶ ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
2
ࡣࡌࡵ࠸
ᮏㄽᩥࡢࢸ࣮࣐ࡣࠕ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ⤫ィⓗ㏲ḟゎᯒ࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿࠋ
⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ༢୍ኚ㔞ኚ㔞ࡢࡘࢣ࣮ࢫࢆᐹ
ࡋࡓࠋ⤫ィⓗ࡞ᡭἲ࡛ࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ㏲ḟゎᯒ⌮ㄽࢆཝ
ᐦド᫂ࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ㏻ࡌࠊᙇࡍࡿほⅬࢆ┤ほⓗ㦂ドࡋࡓࠋ
➨㸯❶࡛ࡣࠊᮏㄽᩥࢃࢀࡿ⌮ㄽ᰿ฎࡋ࡚ᩘᏛⓗ࡞ᐃ⩏ᐃ⌮ࢆࡲࡵ
࡚࠾ࡿࠋᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢ⌮ㄽࠊ ᗘ✵㛫⌮ㄽࠊ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢ⌮ㄽ☜⋡㐣⛬
࡞ᇶ♏࡞ࡿ▱㆑࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
➨㸰❶࡛ࡣࠊ༢୍ኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝࡘ࠸࡚┤ほⓗ࡞ゎㄝࡍࡿ࠺࠼ࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋࡇࡢ㒊ศࡣ➹⪅ࡢಟኈ௦ࡢ◊✲㢟┠࡛
࠶ࡿࠋศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝ z0
1, z n
zn1
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n ,i
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ᖐ↓௬ㄝȣ㸻㸯ᑐ❧௬ㄝȣ㸼㸯ࢆタᐃࡋࠊ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࢆ࠾ࡇ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ⤫
P1 z1 , y1 㻸 zn , yn zn1 ィ㔞ࡣ㛵ᩘᑬᗘẚ L
࡛ỴࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋṆ้
P0 z1 \1 㻸 zn , yn zn 1 °
½°
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min ®t t 1: log 1 1 1 2
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‶ࡓࡍ้㹲ࢆྲྀࡾฟࡋࠊࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆࢫࢺࢵࣉࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞Ṇ
้ࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾほ ࡉࢀࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࡇࡢ᳨ᐃࡢ✀㢮ㄗࡾࢆࢩ࣑ࣗ
࣮ࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾ⟬ฟࡋࡓࠋ⌮ㄽ್య୍⮴ࡢ⤖ㄽࢆྲྀᚓࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊྛ≉ᛶ್
ࡢ≉ᚩࢆ᫂☜ࡋࡓࠋ
➨㸱❶࡛☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘ࡞ᛶ㉁ࢆ⏝ࡋࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠸࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐ
ࡋ࡚㏲ḟゎᯒࢆ࠾ࡇ࡞ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚⮫⏺್㹫㸻㸯࠾࠸࡚㏲ḟ᳨ᐃࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞ
ࢩ ࣙ ࣥ ࡢ ࢆ ⾜ ࡗ ࡓ ࠋ ࡇ ࡢ 㒊 ศ ࡛ ࡢ ⌮ ㄽ ࡣ ,9%DVDZD 6HTXHWQWLDO
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㸦 㸧 6HTXHWQWLDO (VWLPDWLRQ 7HVW )RU 7KH &ULWLFDOLW\ 2I
%UDQFKLQJ3URFHVVHV ࢆཧ⪃ࡋࡓࠋ6WRSSLQJ 7LPH ࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࡓࡵࣇࢩ࣮ࣕ
ሗ㔞ࡢពࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࢆヲࡋࡃ⤂ࡋࡓࠋ.HLML1DJDL ࡢㄽᩥ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉ
ࢀࡓᐃ⌮ࢆᩘᏛⓗ࡞ཝᐦド᫂ࢆࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊ%HVVHO 㐣⛬ࡼࡾࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ
n
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ࡢ⪃࠼᪉ࢆᥦࡋࡓࠋ Tc inf ®n t 0; ¦ Z i 1 / Vˆ n2 t c 2 ¾ , c o f ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࡁࠊ
i 1
¯
¿
ࡇࡢ᪉ἲ࡛ࡣࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢつᶍࢆᐃࡋࡓࡽ %HVVHO 㐣⛬ࡢ▱㆑ࡼࡾࢧࣥࣉࣜ
ࣥࢢࡢࡲࡿ᮲௳㹡ࢆᩘ㔞ⓗ⪃ᐹ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ࡛ࣙࣥほ ࡉࢀࡓ
6WRSSLQJ7LPH ࡀᐃࡋࡓࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢつᶍయ୍⮴࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛┠ⓗࢆᐇ⌧ࡋ
T
ࡓࠋࡉࡽ⤫ィ್ c mˆ Tc 1 ࡢศᕸࢆࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒࡛ࣛほ ࡉࢀࡓࠋ⌮ㄽⓗ࡛ࡣࡇ
ࡢ⤫ィ್ࡀᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ືᚑ࠺ࡀࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ࡛ࣙࣥయṇつศᕸࡢࣄ
ࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛࡀฟ࡚࠸ࡓࡓࡵࠊࣔࢹࣝࡢ㏲ḟゎᯒ⌮ㄽࢆ㦂ドࡋࡓࠋ
➨㸲❶࡛ࡣ➨㸱❶ࡢゎᯒ⌮ㄽࡢ࠺࠼ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋ༢୍ኚ㔞⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶
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ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ࠊ$EUDKD :DOG ᖺ࡛ࡀ㛤Ⓨࡋࡓ≉ᐃࡢ㏲ḟ௬ㄝ᳨ᐃࡢ
ᡭẁ࡛ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜࠸ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ᳨࡛ࣙࣥᐃຊࡘ࠸࡚⪃ᐹࡍࡿࠋ✀㢮
ㄗࡾࡢ⟬ฟ᪉ἲࢆ᫂☜ࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ್ࣙࣥࢆィ⟬ࡋࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ
ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢୖࠊ6WRSSLQJ 7LPH ࡢṆ᮲௳ྍኚ㔞ࡢࡃሙྜࡢࡶ
⪃࠼࡚ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋ⡆༢࡛ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿṆ้ࡣ
Tac,b inf ^n t 1: log / cn a, b `
࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡇࡢሙྜࠊᕼᮃ࡞ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢつᶍ
ࢆᚓࡿࡓࡵࠊࣔࢹࣝ≉ᛶ್࡛࠶ࡿ㹫ࡢࡳࡢຊ࡞ࡽ༑ศ࡛࠶ࡿࡁࠊࡉࡽ㹴
ࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊ⢭ᐦ࡞Ṇ᮲௳ࢆぢࡘࡅࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ≀⌮⣔ࡢ◊✲࡞ࡼࡃ
ࢃࢀࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ㹴ࡢᏑᅾࡀ᳨ᐃࡢ⢭ᗘࢆᖜᨵၿ࡛ࡁ
ࡿ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸⪃࠼࡚࠾ࡿࠋ࠼ࡣᆅ㟈ࡢணሗࡸᶵᲔࡢࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝ࡞ࠋࡇ
ࡢ㒊ศ㛵ࡍࡿ⌮ㄽࡣᮍᡂ⇍࡛࠶ࡿࡀ Qࠊᚋࡢ◊✲᪉ྥࡋ࡚ດຊࡍࡿḧࡀ࠶
ࡿࠋ
ª X k ,1 º X k 1,1 ª [ k , j ,1,1 º X k 1,2 ª[ k , j ,2,1 º ª H k ,1 º
➨㸳❶࡛ࡣኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝ «
» ¦ «
» « » ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊල
» ¦«
¬ X k ,2 ¼ j 1 ¬[ k , j ,1,2 ¼ j 1 ¬[ k , j ,2,2 ¼ ¬H k ,2 ¼
యⓗ࡞࡛ゎㄝࡋࡓୖ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃࢆࡋࡓࠋ
ኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝࡢṆ้ၥ㢟ࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾ᥈⣴ࡋ࡚ࡳࡓࠋኚ㔞ࣔࢹ
ࣝࡢṆ้ࡢᐃ⩏ࠊ᮲௳タᐃ࡞ࡢࡇࡘ࠸࡚ᥦࡋࡓࠋ
ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱࡢ᥎ᐃࠊṆ้ၥ㢟ࡢ᥈⣴ࠊ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ࡞ၥ㢟ࢆ⪃ᐹࡍ
ࡿࡇࡼࡾࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ༢୍ኚ㔞 ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬㛵ࡍࡿ≉ᛶࢆ᫂☜ࡋ
ࡓࠋ㏲ḟゎᯒࡣ⤫ィⓗ᥎ ᚲせ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚲせ᭱ᑠ㝈ᚓࡿࡇ࡛ࠊ᪩࠸Ⅼ
࡛᮲௳ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࢧࣥࣉࣝࢆ⋓ᚓࡋࠊ᪩ᮇ㆙ሗࢩࢫࢸ࣒ࢆᥦ౪࡛ࡁࡿⅬ࡞ࡿࠋ
㏲ḟゎᯒࡢ᪉ἲࡣ୍ኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝࡽኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝᣑᙇࡋ࡚ࠊ᪂ࡓ࡞⪃࠼࡛࠶
ࡿࠋ
⮬↛⏺࡛ࡣ⏕≀ࡢฟ⏕Ṛஸࡀ⮬↛࡞ࡶࡢࡔࠋᏊࡶࢆ⏕ࡳࡔࡋ⥆ࡅࡿࡢ࡛
≀✀ࡀ⤯⁛ࡏࡎࠊྛୡ௦ࡀ୍ࡘࡢ㞟ᅋ࡞ࡿࠋ⛉Ꮫ࡛ࡣ㟁Ꮚಙྕࡢ㌿㏦ࡍࡿࡼ
࠺ࠊ୍ᮏಙྕ※ࡽฟ࡚࠸ࡃ㟁Ꮚࡀ㟁Ꮚᯈࢆ㏻ࡿఱᮏࡢ᪂ࡋ࠸㟁Ꮚࢆ⏕ࡳ
ࡔࡍࠋᡃࠎࡣᏊࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᩘࡢቑ࠼᪉Ꮚࡶࡽ┤ほⓗ༳㇟ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࠊ
ᩘ⌮⤫ィࡢ᪉ἲࢆ㏻ࡌࠊࡇࡢቑ࠼᪉ࢆᐃ㔞◊✲ࢆ⾜࠺ᚋࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ
ㄆ㆑ࡀ῝ࡃ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ≉ᛶ್ࡢィ⟬ࡼࡾࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ᚑ࠺࠶ࡿ㞟ᅋࡢつᶍࠊࡇࡢ
ඛ࠺ࡢࡼ࠺ኚࡍࡿࡢࡀ᫂ࡽ▱ࡗࡓࠋࡉࡽࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡀศᯞ
㐣⛬ࢆ㔞ⓗ⌧ࡋࠊ⌮ㄽ᥎ᐃࡢ⤖ᯝࢆ᳨㦂ࡍࡿࡇࡀฟ᮶ࡿࠋࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗࢱ
ᢏ⾡ࡢඛ㐍ᛶࢆᐇឤ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
㞟ᅋつᶍࡢ⦰ᑠࡋ࡚⾜ࡗ࡚ࡋ࠸ࠊᣑ࠸࡚⾜ࡗ࡚ࡋ࠸ࠊྛศ㔝ࡢ◊✲
ᑐࡋ࡚ᕼᮃࡶ␗࡞ࡿࠋ㏲ḟゎᯒࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊᕼᮃ᮲௳‶ࡓࡍࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ
᥈ࡍࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢ᥈ᰝࡀᐇ⌧࡛ࡁࡓࡽࠊᡃࠎࡢ♫⏕ά࡛ࡣ῝้ࡢᙳ㡪
ࢆ࠼ࡿࠋࡲࡓᮏㄽᩥࡢࢆゝ࠺ࠊ㏲ḟゎᯒࡼࡾྛศ㔝ࡢ◊✲ཬࡪ♫⏕ά
ᑐࡍࡿ✚ᴟ࡞ព⩏ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗࢱࡣࡘࡢ㡿ᇦࢆࡘ࡞ࡂྜࢃࡏࠊ࠸ࢁ
࠸ࢁ࡞◊✲ᡂᯝࢆඹ㏻⏝ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
4
➨୍❶ ணഛ▱㆑ㄽᩥ⏝ࡉࢀࡓせ࡞ᐃ⌮ᛶ㉁ࡢࡲࡵ
➨୍❶࡛ࡣࠊᮏㄽᩥ㛵㐃࡛࠶ࡿᩘᏛࠊ⤫ィᏛࡢᐃ⩏࣭ᐃ⌮࣭㢟࣭⿵㢟ࢆ
ࡲࡵ࡚࠾ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡢᇶ♏▱㆑ࡣຮᙉࡢ㔜せෆᐜࡢ୍ࡘࡋ࡚ࠊ◊✲ࡢᇶ┙
࡞ ࡿ ࠋ ḟ ࡢ ᮏ ࢆ ཧ ⪃ ࡋ ࡓ 㸸 %LOOLQJVOH\3> ཧ ⪃ ᩥ ⊩ @'DYLG
:LOOLDPV>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ @➟ཎᬊྖ㸦㸧>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ @ࠋ
㸯 ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢ▱㆑
ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡣ ୡ⣖㡭ࡽḟ➨ࡑࡢຊᙉ࠸ጼࢆ⌧ࡋጞࡵࢽ࣮ࣗࢺ࣭ࣥࣛ
ࣉࢽࢵࢶࡼࡿయ⣔ࢆ⤒࡚௨ᚋᩘୡ⣖ࢃࡓࡾ⮬↛⛉Ꮫࡢ᭱ࡶᇶᮏⓗ࡞㐨ල
ࡋ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀࠊྠࡲࡓࡑࢀ⮬㌟ࡶࡁࡃⓎᒎࡋ࡚ࡁࡓே㢮ඹ㏻ࡢ㈈⏘࡛
࠶ࡿࠋᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢᑟ㛵ᩘ㛵ಀࠊ㏆ᒎ㛤ࠊᩘิࡢ᮰ࠊ࣮࣐ࣜࣥ✚ศ࡞ࡢ
ၥ㢟ࡣ◊✲ࡼࡃ⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡓࡢ࡛ࠊᩚ⌮ࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ
ᩘิ㛵ᩘ ᐃ⩏ ᩘิ ^an ` n 1, 2,... ࡀ㹬Ѝ҄ࡢ a R ᮰ࡍࡿࡣ
aࡢࢇ࡞H ㏆ഐUH a ࢆࡗ࡚ࡶ᭷㝈ಶࡢ␒ྕ Q ࢆ㝖࠸࡚ࡍ࡚ࡢ an UH a ࡞ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ lim an
n of
aࡲࡔan o aࠉ
Q o f ᭩ࡃࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ᩘิ ^an ` n 1, 2,... ࡀ㹬Ѝ҄ࡀࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ิ࡛࠶ࡿࡣ௵ពȜᑐࡋ
࡚᭷㝈ಶࡢ␒ྕ Q ࢆ㝖࠸࡚ࡍ࡚ࡢ an ࡢ┦㊥㞳ࡀ Ȝ ௨ୗ࡞ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ௵ព
Ȝ㸼 ᑐࡋ࠶ࡿ␒ྕ Q ࡽඛࡢࡍ࡚ࡢ SࠊT ᑐࡋ a p aq H ࡞ࡿࡼ࠺
Q ࡀỴࡵࡽࢀࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ᮰ิࡀࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ิ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊ㏫ࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ิࡣ᮰ิ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ lim f x ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࡓࡵࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ࡣ௵ពࡢȜ㸼 ᑐࡋ *!
x of
ࢆ㐺ᙜ࠼ࡽࢇ࡛ࢇ࡞ x1 ! G , x2 ! G ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶ f x1 f x2 H ࡞ࡿࡼ࠺
࡛ࡁࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦ࡇࡢ᮲௳ࢆࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ࡢ᮲௳ࡪ㸧ࠋ
ᐃ⌮ 㸦୰㛫್ᐃ⌮㸧 f x ࢆ᭷⏺㛢✵㛫 I > a, b@ ࠾࠸࡚㐃⥆࡞㛵ᩘࡍ
ࡿ f a f b ࡢ୰㛫ࡢ௵ពࡢ್ l ᑐࡋ l
f [ ࡞ࡿ್ [ I ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ 㞟ྜ $ ୖ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓ㐃⥆㛵ᩘࡀ $ ୍࡛ᵝ㐃⥆ࡣ௵ពࡢȜ㸼
ᑐࡋț㸼 ࢆ㸦Ȝᛂࡌ࡚㸧㐺ᙜ㑅ࡪ┦㊥㞳ࡀ ț ௨ୗࡢ௵ពࡢ㸰Ⅼ
x A, y A, x y G ࡘ࠸࡚ࡘࡡ f x f y H ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇࢆ࠸࠺ࠋᩜ
5
࡛᭩ࡃ lim f x f y 0 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᬑ㏻ࡢ㐃⥆ᛶࡀ x0 ࢆᅛᐃࡍࡿࡈȜ
x y o0
ᑐᛂࡍࡿț㸼 ࢆࡁࡵ࡚ f UG ( x0 ) UH (y0 ) ࡞ࡿࡢᑐࡋ୍ᵝ㐃⥆ᛶࡣࡇ
ࡢț x0 ↓㛵ಀ $ యࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚ྠࡌ್ྲྀࢀࡿࡇࢆ♧ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ᭷⏺㞟ྜ $ ୖ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓ୍ᵝ㐃⥆㛵ᩘࡣ $ ࡲ࡛㐃⥆㛵ᩘࡋ࡚ࡣᣑ
ᙇ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࡑࡢᣑᙇࡣ୍ពⓗ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㏫᭷⏺㛢㞟ྜ . ୖ࡛㐃⥆࡞㛵ᩘ
ࡣ . ୍࡛ᵝ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ 㸦ࣛࣈࢽࢵࢶ㸧 n
§n· k
n
n k
f x , g x ࡀx0࡛nᅇᚤศྍ⬟ࡢࡁ fg x0 ¦ ¨ ¸ f x0 g x0 . k
k 0© ¹
ᐃ⩏ ࢸ࣮ࣛࡢබᘧ
f ( x ) ࡀ x0 ࡛㐃⥆࡞ࡽ f x f ( x0 ) ࡣ x o x0 ࡢ↓㝈ᑠ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ f x f ( x0 ) ࢆ
ᆺⓗ↓㝈ᑠࡢ㸯ḟ⤖ྜ࡛⾲ࡍࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࢀࡤࠊ f ( x ) ࡀ x0 ㏆࡙ࡃࡢᵝᏊࡀࡼ
ࡃࢃࡿࡇ࡞ࡿࠋᆺⓗ࡞↓㝈ᑠࡋ࡚ࡣ࠸ࢁ࠸ࢁ࡞㛵ᩘࡀ⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡀ
᭱ࡶᇶᮏⓗ࡞ࡶࡢࡋ࡚ࠊ ( x x0 )D (D ! 0) ࡀ࠶ࡆࡽࢀࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡑࡇ࡛
f ( x)
f ( x0 ) a1 x x0 1 .... an x x0 n o x x0 a
a
an
0 a1 a2 ... an ࡛ࡁࡿ࠸࠺ၥ㢟ࢆ⪃࠼ࡼ࠺ࠋࡶࡋࠊ f ( x) ࡀ x0 ࡛ᚤศ
ྍ⬟࡞ࡽ f ( x) f ( x0 ) f c( x0 ) x x0 o x x0 ࠉࠉ
x o x0 ࡔࡽࡑࡢࡼ࠺࡞
ᆺⓗ࡞↓㝈ᑠࡢ୍ࡘ x x0 ࡀ☜ྲྀࢀࡿࠋࡶࡗᚤศྍ⬟ᛶࡢᅇᩘࡀቑࡸ
ࡏࡤࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞㡯ࡣቑ࠼ࡿࡔࢁ࠺ࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕḟࡢᐃ⌮ࡀฟࡿ㸸
㸦ࢸ࣮ࣛබᘧ㸧 > x0 , x @ ࡛ f n 1 ࡀ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡗ࡚ x0 , x ࡛f n ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿ࡞ࡽࡤ
f x
f x0 ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣRn x f c x0 1!
x x0 f cc x0 2!
x x0 2
... f ( n 1) x0 n 1!
x x0 ( n1)
Rn x , (n)
f ( n ) [ x x0 ࡞ࡿࡼ࠺࡞ [ x0 , x ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ
n!
ᐃ⌮ ࢹࢽࡢᐃ⌮ ᭷⏺㛢㞟ྜ . ୖ࡛ ^ f n x `n
㸦ࡲࡓࡣῶᑡ㸧ࡋ࡚ f x ྛⅬ᮰ࡋࠊ^ f n x `n
1,2,...
1,2,...
ࡀ㹬ඹ༢ㄪቑຍ
ࡶ f x ࡶ㐃⥆㛵ᩘ࡞ࡽࡤ
ࡇࡢ᮰ࡣ . ୖ୍࡛ᵝ᮰࡛࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ᭷⏺࡞✵㛫 I > a, b@ ୖ࡛ ^ fn x ` ࡀ㐃⥆㛵ᩘิ࡛࠶ࡗ࡚ࠊ f x ୍ᵝ
b
᮰ࡍࢀࡤ lim ³ f n t dt
n of a
b
³ f t dt a
5LHPDQQ ✚ศ 6
ᐃ⌮ ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢᇶᮏᐃ⌮
༊㛫ୖࡢ㐃⥆㛵ᩘ f t ᑐࡋࠊᐃ✚ศࡀཎጞ㛵ᩘࡢ୍ࡘࢆ࠼ࡿ㸸
d t
f s ds f t ࠋゝⴥࢆ࠼࡚࠸ࡿࠊ F t dt ³a
ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡾࠊ F c t f t ࡞ࡿࠋ
t
³ f s ds ࠾ࡃࠊ)Wࡣᚤ
a
ᐃ⌮ f x ࠊg x ࡀ࠶ࡿ✵㛫࡛ᚤศྍ⬟࡛ࠊ f c x ࠊg c x ࡀ㐃⥆࡞ࡽࡑࡢ
༊㛫ෆࡢ௵ពࡢ DE ࡘ࠸࡚
b
b
b
࠸ࡾ
f c t g ( t ) d t ª¬ f t g ( t ) º¼ a ³ f t g c( t ) d t .
³
a
a
ᐃ⌮ f x ࡣ✵㛫 , ୖ࡛㐃⥆ࡋࠊM s ࡣ✵㛫 - ୖ࡛ᚤศྍ⬟࡛ࠊM c s ࡣ
㐃⥆ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊ M s Iࠊs J ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ x M s ࡍࡿ௵ពࡢ
ȘࠊșѰ- ᑐࡋࠊ ³
ME M D f ( x)dx
E
³D
f (M ( s))M , ( s)ds. ᗘ✵㛫⌮ㄽࡢᇶ♏
ᗘ✵㛫
ᐃ⩏ 㸦6Ȋ㸧ࢆྍ ✵㛫ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕȊࡣ 6 ୖࡢȪຍἲ᪘࡛࠶ࡿࡍࡿࠋ
ീȣ㸸ȊЍ>҄@ࡣȣࡀྍ⟬ຍἲⓗ࡛࠶ࡿࡁ㸦6Ȋ㸧ୖࡢ ᗘࡤࢀࡿࠋ
୕ࡘ⤌㸦6Ȋȣ㸧ࡣ ᗘ✵㛫ࡪࠋ
ȣV㸺࡛҄࠶ࡿࡁࠊ ᗘ㸦ȣ ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ ᗘ✵㛫㸦6Ȋȣ㸧㸧ࡣ᭷㝈࡛࠶ࡿ
࠸࠺ࠋ
Ȋ ࡢせ⣲ࡢิ Sn : n N ࡛ P S n f n N , ࡘ㼁Sn S ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡀᏑ
㹬
ᅾࡍࡿࡁࠊ ᗘ ȣ ࢆ Ȫ᭷㝈ࡼࡪࠋ
ᗘ ȣ ࡣ ȣ6㸻㸯࡛࠶ࡿࡁ☜⋡ ᗘࡤࢀࠊ
㸦6Ȋȣ㸧ࡣ☜⋡ ᗘ
ࡪࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ࢝ࣛࢸ࢜ࢻࣜࡢᣑᙇᐃ⌮
6 ࢆ㞟ྜȊ ࢆ 6 ୖࡢ୍ࡘࡢຍἲ᪘ࡋȊ㸻ȪȊࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡶࡋȣ ࡀྍ⟬ຍ
ἲⓗ࡞ീȣ㸸ȊЍ>҄@࡛࠶ࡿࡍࡿ6Ȋୖࡢ ᗘȣ࡛࠶ࡗ࡚Ȋ ࡢ
ୖ࡛ ȣ㸻ȣ ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ
⿵㢟 ᇶᮏⓗ࡞➼ᘧ
7
S , ¦, P ࢆ ᗘ✵㛫ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊ
(1) P A㼁 B d P A P B ࠉࠉ
A, B ¦ . §
·
(2) P ¨ 㼁 Fi ¸ d ¦ P Fi ࠉࠉࠉ
F1 , F2,.... Fn ¦ .
© idn ¹ idn
(3)ࡉࡽP 㹱㸺
fࢆ௬ᐃࡍࡿ
P A㼁 B P A P B P A㻵 B ࠉࠉࠉ
A, B ¦ .
§
·
(4) F1 , F2,.... Fn ¦ᑐࡋ࡚P ¨ 㼁 Fi ¸㸻¦ P Fi ¦ ¦ P Fi 㻵 Fj i j dn
© idn ¹ idn
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
+¦¦¦ P Fi 㻵 F j 㻵 Fk ... 1
n 1
P F1 㻵 F2 㻵 ...㻵 Fn ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
⿵㢟 ᗘࡢ༢ㄪ᮰ᛶ
㸦1㸧Fn ¦(n N)࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡘFn n Fࡍࡿ, P Fn n P F ࡀᡂ❧ࠋ
ྍ⟬ಶࡢP 㞽㞟ྜࡢࡣࡲࡓP 㞽㞟ྜ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
☜⋡ኚᩘ
ᐃ⩏ 㸦6Ȋ㸧ࢆྍ ✵㛫ࡍࡿࠋȊྍ 㛵ᩘK6Ѝ55 ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋ$Ӭ5
ᑐࡋ࡚ h1 A ^s S : h(s) A` ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ㹦ࡀ Ȋྍ ࡛࠶ࡿࡣ㸸
h 1 : % o ¦ . ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ A % ᑐࡋ h 1 (A) ¦ ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࠋࡺ࠼Ȋྍ 㛵ᩘ
K ࡘ࠸࡚ḟࡢᘧࡀᡂ❧㸸
h
S o R,
h1
¦m %
⿵㢟 ศᕸ㛵ᩘࡢᛶ㉁
࠶ࡿ☜⋡ኚᩘ ; ࡢศᕸ㛵ᩘ ) )[ ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡇࡢ
(1) F : R o > 0,1@ , F n (ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕx d \ F x F y ). (2) lim F x 1, lim F x 0 x of
x of
3 Fࡣྑ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ༢ㄪ᪘ᐃ⌮
+ ࢆ 6 ࡽ 5 ࡢ᭷⏺㛵ᩘࡢࡘࡃࡿ୍ࡘࡢ㢮㸦ࢡࣛࢫ㸧࡛ࠊ࠸ࡢᛶ㉁ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ
ࡶࡢࡍࡿࠋ
㸦㸧+ ࡣ 5 ୖࡢ࣋ࢡࢺࣝ✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸧ᐃᩘ㛵ᩘ㸯ࡣ + ࡢせ⣲࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸧 f n ࡀ + ࡢ㠀㈇㛵ᩘิ࡛ࠊ f n n f ࠋࡇࡇ f ࡣ 6 ୖࡢ᭷⏺㛵ᩘࡍࡿ
8
+ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ 㹼ᐃ⩏ ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ᮰ࡘ࠸࡚࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᩘᏛࡢ☜⋡ㄽࡢศ㔝࠾࠸࡚ࠊ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ᮰㸦FRQYHUJHQFHRIUDQGRP
YDULDEOHV㸧㛵ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ࠸ࡃࡘࡢ␗࡞ࡿᴫᛕࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ☜⋡ኚᩘิࡢ࠶ࡿᴟ㝈
ࡢ᮰ࡣࠊ☜⋡ㄽࡸࠊࡑࡢᛂ⏝ࡋ࡚ࡢ⤫ィᏛࡸ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ◊✲࠾ࡅࡿ㔜
せ࡞ᴫᛕࡢ୍ࡘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡼࡾ୍⯡ⓗ࡞ᩘᏛ࠾࠸࡚ྠᵝࡢᴫᛕࡣ☜⋡᮰
㸦VWRFKDVWLFFRQYHUJHQFH㸧ࡋ࡚▱ࡽࢀࠊࡑࡢᴫᛕࡣࠊᮏ㉁ⓗࣛࣥࢲ࣒࠶
ࡿ࠸ࡣண ྍ⬟࡞㇟ࡢิࡣࠊࡑࡢิࡽ༑ศ㞳ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࢸ࣒ࢆ◊✲ࡍ
ࡿሙྜ࠾࠸࡚ࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤࠊᮏ㉁ⓗኚ࡞ᣲືⴠࡕ╔ࡃࡇࡀணࡉࢀ
ࡿࡇࡀ࠶ࡿࠊ࠸࠺⪃࠼ࢆᐃᘧࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ␗࡞ࡿ᮰ࡢᴫᛕࡣࠊ
ࡑࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᣲືࡢ≉ᚩ࡙ࡅ㛵㐃ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ㸸ࡍࡄศࡿࡘࡢᣲື
ࡣࠊࡑࡢิࡀ᭱⤊ⓗᐃᩘ࡞ࡿࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࡑࡢิྵࡲࢀࡿ್ࡣኚືࢆ⥆
ࡅࡿࡀ࠶ࡿኚ࡞☜⋡ศᕸࡼࡗ࡚ࡑࡢኚືࡀ⾲⌧ࡉࢀࡿࠊ࠸࠺ࡼ࠺࡞ࡶࡢ
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ᙅ᮰
FnF ࡀศᕸ㛵ᩘ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ) ࡀ㐃⥆㛵ᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ௵ព x ࡓ࠸ࡋ࡚ࡣ
limn Fn x F x ࡛࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ FnࡀF ᙅ᮰ࡍࡿゝ࠸ࠊ)㹬䋻㻲㻌 䛸᭩䛟䚹㻌
P nP 䛿☜⋡ ᗘ䛷䛒䜚䚸䛭䜜䛮䜜ศᕸ㛵ᩘ FnF ࢆᣢࡘࡁࠊ)㹬䋻㻲㻌 䛻䛺䜛᮲௳
䛿 limn Pn A
P A 䛜ᡂ❧䛩䜛䛣䛸䚹䛣䛣䛷䛿 A (f, x], P x 0. Fn un vn F x Fn an bn G x ௬ᐃࡍࡿ un ! 0, an ! 0. ࡑ࠺ࡍࡿ
ḟࡢᘧ‶ࡓࡍ a, b ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ
b v an
o a, n n o b, F ax b G x un
un
ࡇࡢᘧᚑࡗ࡚ḟࡢࡘ⤖ㄽࡀ࠶ࡿ㸸
i Fn F , an o a, bn o b࡞ࡽࡤࠉFn an xn bn F ax b .
1 x ! 0
® ࠉ
¯0 x 0
iii Fn F , bn↓᮰࡞ࡽࡤFn x bn ࡀᙅ᮰࡞ࡽ࡞࠸
Fn an x ii Fn F , an o f࡞ࡽࡤ lim
n
iv Fn F , Fn an xn bn G x ࡞ࡽࡤ0㸺LQIn an d sup n an f,sup n bn
v ࡍ࡚ࡢx࠾࠸࡚ࡣF x F ax b ࡀᡂ❧࡞ࡽࡤa 1, b 0.
f.
ᐃ⩏ ศᕸ᮰
ࡇࡢࢱࣉࡢ᮰ࡼࡾࠊ࠶ࡿ࠼ࡽࢀࡓ☜⋡ศᕸࡼࡗ࡚ࡼࡾⰋࡃࣔࢹࣝ
ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࣛࣥࢲ࣒ᐇ㦂ࡢิ࠾ࡅࡿ⤖ᯝࢆᮇᚅࡍࡿࡇࡀฟ᮶ࡿࠋศᕸ
᮰ࡣࠊࡇࡢグෆ࡛㏙ࡽࢀࡿ࡚ࡢࡢࢱࣉࡢ᮰ࡶពࡍࡿ࠸࠺Ⅼ
࠾࠸࡚ࠊ᭱ࡶᙅ࠸᮰࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡋࡋ࡞ࡀࡽࠊᐇ㝿ࡢ⌧ሙ࠾࠸࡚ࠊศᕸ᮰
9
ࡣ㠀ᖖࡼࡃ⏝ࡉࢀࡿ᭱ࡶࡼࡃ⌧ࢀࡿࡢࡣࠊ୰ᚰᴟ㝈ᐃ⌮ࡢᛂ⏝࠾࠸࡚
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Fn F ࡞ࡽࡤ ;㹬ࡣศᕸ᮰ࡲࡓἲ๎᮰ゝ࠸ࠊ X n X ᭩ࡃࠋ
X nX ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ࡛ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀศᕸ㛵ᩘ FnF ࢆࡶࡘࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡᮰
☜⋡✵㛫㸦ȐF3㸧࡛ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ X , X 1 , X 2 ... ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ;㹬ࡣ☜⋡㸯࡛ ; ᮰
ࡍࡿ P ª¬ X n X t H ¼º 0 ࠉࠉ
(H ! 0) ࡘࡲࡾ lim n P ª¬ X n X t H ¼º 0 ࠋ
ࡇࡢ ;㹬ࡀ ; ☜⋡᮰ࡪࠋ X n o p X ᭩ࡃࠋ☜⋡᮰ࡀḟࡢᛶ㉁ࢆᣢࡘ
㸦1㸧☜⋡᮰ࡣࠊศᕸ᮰ࢆពࡍࡿ.
㸦2㸧 X n X ࡑࡋ࡚X n Yn 0࡞ࡽࡤYn X
㸦3㸧 ௵ពX㸦X o f㸧ᑐࡋࠊX n
u
X (n o f), X n X ࡑࡋ࡚
u
u
OLP uOLPVXS n P ª X n Yn t H º
¬
¼
u
0 ࠉ㸦H㸼0㸧࡞ࡽࡤYn X ࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ᴫ᮰
☜⋡ኚᩘิ ;Q ࡀ ; ᴫ᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࢇ☜ᐇ᮰ࠊࢇ⮳ࡿᡤ࡛
᮰ࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣᙉ᮰ࡍࡿࡣḟࡢᘧࢆᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇࠋ
P lim X n
n of
X
1
ࡀୖᘧࡣࠊ;Qࡀ;᮰ࡋ࡞࠸㇟ࡀ㉳ࡁࡿ☜⋡ࡀ࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ព࡛ࠊ
;Qࡢ್ࡀ;ࡢ್㏆ࡃࡇࢆពࡍࡿࠋ☜⋡✵㛫㸦Ȑ))33㸧ࢆᐃࡵࠊȐ
ࡽ5ࡢ㛵ᩘࡋ࡚ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢᴫᛕࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࡇ࡛ࠊୖᘧࡣḟࡢᘧྠ್
࡞ࡿ㸸
P Z : : lim X n Z n of
X Z ࡲࡓᴫ᮰ࡢྠ್࡞ᐃ⩏ࡣࠊ௨ୗࡶ࠶ࡿ㸸
1 ࠋ
1ࠉࠉ
(H ! 0) ࠋ
P lim inf ^Z : :| X n Z X Z | H `
ᴫ᮰ࡣࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤࠊ᮰ࢆ⾲ࡍ▮༳ࡢୖグྕDV㸦DOPRVWVXUHO\ ࡢ␎㸧
ࢆࡅຍ࠼ࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚⾲⌧ࡉࢀࡿ㸸
a.s.
X n o X ࠋ
㊥㞳✵㛫6Gୖࡢ୍⯡ⓗ࡞☜⋡せ⣲^;Q`ᑐࡋ࡚ࡶࠊྠᵝᴫ᮰ࡀᐃ⩏
ࡉࢀࡿ㸸
P(Z : : d X n Z , X Z o 0) ࠋ
n of
ᴫ᮰ࡣ☜⋡᮰ࢆពࡋࠊࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ศᕸ᮰ࢆពࡍࡿࠋᩘࡢᙉἲ๎࡛
⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿᴫᛕࡣࠊᴫ᮰࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ☜ᐇ᮰
࠶ࡿ☜⋡✵㛫ୖᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿิ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ;Q㸦ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ☜⋡㐣⛬㸧ࡀ;
10
☜ᐇ᮰㸦VXUHFRQYHUJHQFH㸧࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣྛⅬ᮰ࡍࡿࡣࠊ
lim X n Z X Z , Z : ࠋ
n of
ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇࢆゝ࠺ࠋࡇࡇ࡛Ȑࡣࠊ☜⋡ኚᩘࡀᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ☜⋡✵㛫ྵࡲ
ࢀࡿᶆᮏ✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡣࠊ㛵ᩘิࡢྛⅬ᮰ࡢᴫᛕࢆ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิᣑ
ᙇࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦☜⋡ኚᩘࡣࡑࢀ⮬㌟ࡀ㛵ᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࡇὀពࡉࢀࡓ࠸㸧ࠋ
^Z : lim X Z n of
n
`
X Z :
☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ☜ᐇ᮰ࡣࠊୖ㏙ࡢࡢ࡚ࡢ᮰ࢆពࡍࡿࠋࡋࡋࠊᴫ᮰ࡢ
௦ࢃࡾ☜ᐇ᮰ࢆ⏝࠸ࡿࡇࡢ࣓ࣜࢵࢺࡣ☜⋡ㄽ࠾࠸࡚ࡣ࠶ࡲࡾ↓࠸ࠋࡑ
ࢀࡽࡘࡢ᮰ࡢ㐪࠸ࡣࠊ☜⋡ࢮࣟࡢ㞟ྜ㛵ࡍࡿⅬࡢࡳᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡇ
ࡀࠊ☜ᐇ᮰ࡢᴫᛕࡀ⁛ከ⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿࡇࡢ↓࠸⌮⏤࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
✚ศࡢ▱㆑
ᐃ⩏ ୍⯡ࡢྍ 㛵ᩘ f : : o > f, f@ ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊࡑࡢṇ㒊ศ f ㈇㒊ศ
f ࢆࡑࢀࡒࢀ f f 0, f f 0 ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡀ㠀㈇್ྍ 㛵ᩘࡇ
ࡣࡼ࠸ࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ ³ f d P fࡲࡓࡣ³ f d P f ࡛࠶ࡿࡁ f ࡢ✚ศࢆ
³ fd P㸻³ f
d P -³ f - d P f ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ
㠀㈇ྍ 㛵ᩘᑐࡋࡢࡇࡢ✚ศࡢᐃ⩏ࡣ௵ពࡢ༢㛵ᩘȭࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࡇࡢ✚ศࡢ
ᐃ⩏ࡣ ,ȭ୍⮴ࡍࡿࡇࡣᐜ᫆☜ㄆ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ᭦ ³ f d P f ࡘ
³f
d P f ࡛࠶ࡿࡁ f ࡣ✚ศྍ⬟㸦ྍ✚࣮ࣝ࣋ࢢ✚ศ࣮ࣝ࣋ࢢྍ✚㸧࡛࠶
ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓࠊ௵ពࡢྍ 㞟ྜ $ ࡘ࠸࡚ f ࡢ $ ୖࡢ✚ศࢆ ³ A fd P
³1
A
fd P
ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋྍ 㞟ྜ $ ᑐࡋࠊ1A f ࡀ✚ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࡁ f ࡣ $ ୖ࡛✚ศྍ⬟࡛
࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋ
f : : o > f, f @ࡣ✚ศྍ⬟࡞ࡽࡤࠉࠉ³ fd P ¦ n
f
¦ n 1 An
⿵㢟 f , g ࢆ௵ពࡢྍ 㛵ᩘF ࢆ௵ពࡢᐇᩘࡍࡿࠋ
f
f t 0 ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ ³ f d P t 0 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
f t 0 ࡘ ³ f d P
1
³
fd P ࠉࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
An
0 ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ P ^Z : : f Z ! 0` ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
f ࡀ✚ศྍ⬟࡞ࡽࡤࠊ cf ࡶ✚ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ³ cfd P
c ³ fd P ࠋ
f , g ࡀ✚ศྍ⬟࡞ࡽࡤ f g ࡶ✚ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ³ f g d P
³ fd P ³ gd P
11
ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ࣮ࣝ࣋ࢢࡢ᮰ᐃ⌮
㛵ᩘิ f nࡀf ᴫ᮰ࡋࠊ✚ศྍ⬟㛵ᩘ㹥ࡀᏑᅾࡋࠊࢇ⮳ࡿࡇࢁ࡛
f n Z d g Z ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿ࡞ࡽࡤ f ࡣ✚ศྍ⬟࡛ lim ³ f n d P
n of
³ fd P ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ༢ㄪ᮰ᐃ⌮0RQRWRQH&RQYHUJHQFH7KHRUHP021
㸦㸧 f n ࢆ m ¦ ࡢせ⣲ࡢิ࡛ f n n f ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡇࡢࡁ
P f n n P f d f, ࡲࡓࡣࡢグྕ࡛ࡣ ³ f n s P s n ³ f n s P ds ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
s
s
ࡇࡢᐃ⌮ࡣ✚ศㄽࡢࡲࡗࡓࡃࡍ࡚ࡀࡇࡇ࠶ࡿ࠸࠼ࡿᐃ⌮࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸧࠼ࡽࢀࡓ f m ¦ ᑐࡋ࡚༢⣧㛵ᩘิ f r ࡛f r n f ࡞࠺࠺ࡿࡶࡢࢆ
␒┠ࡢ㝵ẁ㛵ᩘ D 㹰㸸
>0, f @ o >0, f @ ࢆḟࡢࡼ࠺ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ
D
r
x
x 0
0
°
r
r
(i 1)2 x d i 2r d r i N ®(i 1)2 ࠉࠉࠉ
° r
x!r
¯
ࡇࡢࡼ࠺ᐃࡵࡿ f r ࡗ࡚
D r 㼓 f ࡣf r SF+ ࢆ‶ࡓࡋࠊ f r n f ࡛ࠊ㸦021㸧ࡼ
P f n lim P f r n lim P0 f r ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊ D r ࡣᕥ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊ f n n f ࡞ࡽࡤ D r f n n D r f ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸧 f , g m6 ࡛f
g (a .e.)࡞ࡽࡤP f P g ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸧 f m6 ࡛ࠊ
f n ࡣ m6 ࡢิ࡛ ȣ㞽㞟ྜ 1 ୖࢆ㝖࠸࡚ f n n f ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋ
ࡇࡢ P f n n P f ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ඃ᮰ᐃ⌮'RPLQDWHG&RQYHUJHQFH7KHRUHP'20
f n , f m6 ࡣ 6 ࡢྛⅬ㹱࡛ f n (s) o f s ࡋ㛵ᩘิ f n ࡣ L1 S , 6, P ࡢ୍ࡘせ
⣲㹥ࡼࡗ࡚ᢲࡉ࠼ࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ
f n s d g s ࠉࠉࠉ
s S , n N ࡍࡿࠋࡓࡔࡋࡇࡇ࡛ ȣJ࡛҄࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ f n o f ࡀL1 (S, 6, P ) ࡛ᡂ❧ࡍ
ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ P f n f o 0 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࡞ࡢ࡛ P f n o P f ࡞ࡿࠋ
⿵㢟 )$728 ࡢ⿵㢟
K ࢆྍ✚ศ࡞㛵ᩘ ^ f n ` ࢆྍ 㛵ᩘิࡍࡿࠋ
12
f n t h ࠉࠉࠉࠉ
P a.e.ࡢࡁ³ lim inf fd P d lim inf
n of
㹶
n of
f n d hࠉࠉࠉࠉ
( P a.e.)ࡁࠉ
³ lim inf fd P t lim inf
㹶
n of
n of
³ f d P n
X
³ f dP n
X
ᖹᆒ
ᐃ⩏ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇࡢ➼ᘧ
࣐ࣝࢥࣇࡢ➼ᘧࡣࠊ ᗘㄽⓗࡣࠊ;Ȋȣࢆ ᗘ✵㛫ࡋࠊIࢆᣑᙇᐇ
ᩘ್㸦↓㝈ࡶࡾ࠺ࡿ㸧ྍ 㛵ᩘࡋࠊW!ࡍࢀࡤࠊ
^
` 1t ³ fd P ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆ㏙ࡿࠋ
P x X f x t t d
x
✵㛫ࡢ ᗘࡀ࡛࠶ࡿ≉ู࡞ሙྜ㸦ࡘࡲࡾ☜⋡✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿ㸧ࡣࠊḟࡢࡼ࠺
ゝ࠸࠼ࡽࢀࡿ㸸;ࢆ௵ពࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡋࠊD!ࡍࡿ
P X t a d
E x a
ᐃ⩏ /㹮ӌS㸺҄✵㛫ࡢᐃ⩏
p
㸦㸧SӋ ࢆᅛᐃࡍࡿࠋ; ୖ DH࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓྍ 㛵ᩘ I;Ѝ& ࡛ࠊ³ f d P㸺 f ࢆ
‶ࡓࡍࡶࡢࡢ㞟ྜࢆ /㹮/㹮[᭩ࡃࠋ
㸦㸧IѰ/㹮ᑐࡋࠊ f
p
^³
㸦㸧IѰ/㹮QѰ1ࡀ lim f n f
n of
p
f dP
p
`
1/ p
ࢆ㹤ࡢ /㹮࣮ࣀ࣒ࣝ࠸࠺ࠋ
0 ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡁࠊI㹬ࡣ I 㹮ḟᖹᆒ᮰ࡍࡿ
࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓࠊ lim f n 㹶㸻f 㹶 [DHࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡁࠊI㹬ࡣ I ᴫ᮰ࡍࡿ࠸
n of
࠺ࠋ
ᐃ⩏ 6FKZDU] ࡢ➼ᘧ
f , g L2࡞ࡽࡤ ³ fg d P d
³
2
2
f dP³ g dP ᐃ⩏ +̉OGHU ࡢ➼ᘧ
1 1
㹮㸼㸯, 1ࡍࡿࠋf Lp , g Lq࡞ࡽࡤ
p q
³
㹶
fg P dx d
³ f dP ³ g dP
p
1/ p
q
1/ q
㸦㸧ࢫ࣮࢝ࣛಸࡘ࠸࡚㛢ࡌ࡚࠸ࡿ✵㛫㸦㞟ྜ㸧ࢆ⥺ᆺ✵㛫㸦࣋ࢡࢺࣝ✵
㛫࠸࠺㸬
㸦㸧⥺ᆺ✵㛫;ᐇᩘ್㛵ᩘ࣭̀̀;Ѝ5ࡀᐃ⩏ࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡚㸪
㠀㈇̀ÌӋ㸪
୍ព㸸̀Ì ࡞ࡽࡤI 㸪
13
୍ḟ㸸̀DÌ ̀D̀̀Ì㸪
୕ゅ➼ᘧ㸸̀IJ̀ӊ̀Ì̀J̀㸪
ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘࡁ㸪ࡇࡢ✵㛫;࣭̀̀ࢆ⥺ᆺࣀ࣒ࣝ✵㛫㸪࣭̀̀ࢆࣀ࣒ࣝ
࠸࠺㸬
㸦㸧㠀㈇㸸ȨIJӋ㸪
୍ព㸸ȨIJ ࡞ࡽࡤI J㸪
ᑐ⛠㸸ȨIJ ȨJI㸪
୕ゅ➼ᘧ㸸ȨIKӊȨIJȨJK㸪
ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘ㸰ኚᩘ㛵ᩘࢆ㊥㞳࠸࠺㸬࣭̀̀ࡀࣀ࣒ࣝࡢࡁ㸪ȨIJ ̀IJ
̀ࡣ㊥㞳࡛࠶ࡿ㸬ࡇࢀࢆࣀ࣒ࣝࡀᐃ⩏ࡍࡿ㊥㞳࠸࠺㸬
⥺ᆺࣀ࣒ࣝ✵㛫;࣭̀̀ࡀ㸪ࣀ࣒ࣝࡀᐃ⩏ࡍࡿ㊥㞳㛵ࡋ࡚ഛ࡞
ࡁ㸪; ;࣭̀̀ࢆ%DQDFK✵㛫࠸࠺㸬
ᐃ⌮/SB࣭̀̀Sࡣ%DQDFK✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿ㸬
⊂❧ᛶ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐
ᐃ⩏ ⊂❧ᛶ㛵ࡍࡿㅖᐃ⩏
㸦㸧⊂❧࡞Ȫຍἲ᪘
) ࡢ㒊ศ Ȫຍἲ᪘ **ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡣࠊ*LѰ*MLѰ1࡛ L͐LQ ࡀ┦
␗࡞ࡿࡁࠊࡘࡡ
P Gi1 㻵 ...㻵 Gin n
P G ik
k 1
ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
⊂❧࡞☜⋡ኚᩘ
☜⋡ኚᩘ ;;͐ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡣȪຍἲ᪘Ȫ;Ȫ;͐ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡇ
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ☜⋡ㄽࡢ㔜せ࡞ㅖၥ㢟ࡢከࡃࡣࠊ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิ࡛⊂❧ྠศᕸ
㸦LQGHSHQGHQWDQGLGHQWLFDOO\GLVWULEXWHG,,'㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢ㛵ࢃࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
⊂❧࡞㇟
㇟ (㸯(͐ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡣࠊȪຍἲ᪘ H1 , H 2 ... ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡓ
ࡔࡋࡇࡇ࡛ H n ࡣȪຍἲ᪘ ^I , En , : \ En , :` ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐
࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ୍✀࡛࠶ࡿ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬ࡢ࠺ࡕࠊࡾ࠺ࡿ≧ែ
࡞ᩓⓗ㸦᭷㝈ࡲࡓࡣྍ⟬㸧࡞ࡶࡢ㸦㞳ᩓ≧ែ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬㸧ࢆ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓ≉ࠊ
㛫ࡀ㞳ᩓⓗ࡞ࡶࡢ㸦้ࡣῧ࠼Ꮠ࡛⾲ࡉࢀࡿ㸧ࢆᣦࡍࡇࡀከ࠸㸦㐃⥆
㛫࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬࠸࠺ࡶࡢࡶ࠶ࡾࠊࡇࢀࡣ้ࡀ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿ㸧
ࠋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐
ࡣࠊᮍ᮶ࡢᣲືࡀ⌧ᅾࡢ್ࡔࡅ࡛Ỵᐃࡉࢀࠊ㐣ཤࡢᣲື↓㛵ಀ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦࣐ࣝ
ࢥࣇᛶ㸧
ࠋྛ้࠾࠸࡚㉳ࡇࡿ≧ែኚ㸦㑄⛣ࡲࡓࡣ᥎⛣㸧㛵ࡋ࡚ࠊ࣐ࣝࢥ
ࣇ㐃㙐ࡣ㑄⛣☜⋡ࡀ㐣ཤࡢ≧ែࡼࡽࡎࠊ⌧ᅾࡢ≧ែࡢࡳࡼࡿ⣔ิ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
≉㔜せ࡞☜⋡㐣⛬ࡋ࡚ࠊᵝࠎ࡞ศ㔝ᛂ⏝ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
࣐ࣝࢥࣇ࠸࠺ྡ๓ࡣࣟࢩࡢᩘᏛ⪅ࣥࢻ࣭࣐ࣞࣝࢥࣇࡼࡿ㸦⥛ࡾࡣ
14
0DUNRY㸧
ࠋ≀⌮Ꮫࡸ⤫ィᏛࡢࣔࢹࣝࢃࢀࡿࠊሗᏛ࠾࠸࡚ࡣእࡍࡇࡢ
࡛ࡁ࡞࠸㔜せ࡞⪃࠼᪉࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊ୍㐃ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ;;;࡛͐ࠊ⌧ᅾࡢ≧ែࡀỴࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࢀࡤࠊ
㐣ཤ࠾ࡼࡧᮍ᮶ࡢ≧ែࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᙧᘧⓗࡣࠊ
P( X n 1 x | X n xn ,...., X 1 x1 , X 0 x0 ) P( X n 1 x | X n xn ) ;Lࡢࡾ࠺ࡿ್ࡣࠊ㐃㙐ࡢ≧ែ✵㛫ࡤࢀࠊྍ⟬㞟ྜ 6ࢆ࡞ࡍࠋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃
㙐ࡣ᭷ྥࢢࣛࣇ࡛⾲⌧ࡉࢀࠊ࢚ࢵࢪࡣ࠶ࡿ≧ែࡽࡢ≧ែ㑄⛣ࡍࡿ☜⋡
ࢆ⾲♧ࡍࡿࠋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡢ୍᭷㝈≧ែᶵᲔࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡣࠊ้ Q࠾
࠸࡚≧ែ\࠶ࡿࡍࡿࠊࡑࢀࡀ้ Q࠾࠸࡚≧ែ [ືࡃ☜⋡ࡣࠊ
⌧ᅾࡢ≧ែࡔࡅ౫Ꮡࡋࠊ้ Qࡣ౫Ꮡࡋ࡞࠸ࠋ
㛫ⓗᆒ୍࡞㸦ᩧⓗ㸧࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊࡍ࡚ࡢ Qᑐࡋ
P( X n 1 x | X n y ) P ( X n x | X n 1 y ) ࡛࠶ࡿࡼ࠺࡞㐣⛬ࢆ࠸࠺ࠋ୍⯡ࡢࠊ㛫ⓗᆒ୍࡛࡞࠸࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊࡇࡢ
➼ᘧࢆ‶ࡓࡉ࡞࠸ࠋึᮇ≧ែ Lࡽ้ Q࡛≧ែ M⛣ࡿ☜⋡ࡣࠊ
Pij n P( X n j | X 0 i ) ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࠊ༢୍ẁ㝵ࡢ㑄⛣ࡣ
Pij P ( X 1
j | X0
i) ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋQẁ㝵㑄⛣ࡣࠊ௵ពࡢNQᑐࡋ࡚ḟࡢࢳ
ࢳࣕࢵࣉ࣐࣭ࣥࢥࣝ
ࣔࢦࣟࣇࡢ➼ᘧࢆ‶ࡓࡍ㸸
n
k nk p ¦p p ij
rS
ir
rj
้ Q࡛ࡢ≧ែ㛵ࡍࡿ☜⋡㸦࿘㎶☜⋡㸧ࡣḟࡢࡼ࠺᭩ࡅࡿ㸸
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rj
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r ࡇࡇ࡛ྑୖࡁῧ࠼ᏐQࡣᩚᩘ್࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡶࡋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡀ㛫ᑐࡋ࡚ᐃ
ᖖⓗ࡞ࡽࡤࠊࡇࡢῧ࠼ᏐࡣQ ࠸࠺ពࡗ࡚ࡶࡼ࠸ࠋ
ᩘࡢἲ๎
ᩘࡢἲ๎㸦ODZRIODUJHQXPEHUV㸧ࡣࠊ☜⋡ㄽ࣭⤫ィᏛ࠾ࡅࡿᴟ㝈ᐃ⌮ࡢ
ࡦࡘ࡛ࠊࠕ⤒㦂ⓗ☜⋡⌮ㄽⓗ☜⋡ࡀ୍⮴ࡍࡿࠖ࠸࠺ࠊ⣲ᮔ࡞ព࡛ࡢ☜
⋡ࢆពࡅࠊᐃ⩏ࡅࡿἲ๎࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ཝᐦࡣࠊࣖࢥࣈ࣭࣋ࣝࢾ࣮ࡼࡿᩘࡢᙅἲ๎://1:HDN/DZRI/DUJH
1XPEHUVࠊ࢚࣑࣮࣭ࣝ࣎ࣞࣝࡸࣥࢻ࣭ࣞࢥࣝࣔࢦࣟࣇࡼࡿᩘࡢᙉἲ
๎6//16WURQJ/DZRI/DUJH1XPEHUVࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ༢ࠕᩘࡢἲ๎ࠖゝ
ࡗࡓሙྜࠊࡕࡽࢆᣦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣᩥ⬦ࡼࡾุ᩿ࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿ
ᐃ⌮ ᮇᚅ್ȣ࡛࠶ࡿࡼ࠺࡞ྍ✚ศ⊂❧ྠศᕸ☜⋡ኚᩘิ;;ࡢ⟬⾡ᖹ
ᆒ
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X 1 X 2 ... X n
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ࡢࡿ್ࡣࠊ༑ศࡁ࡞ Q ࡲ࡛⪃࠼ࢀࡤࠊࢇࡢ Q ࡛࠾࠾ࡼࡑȣ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦>;Q@
ࡀȣࡽࡁࡃእࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ Q ࡢ⌧ࢀࡿ☜⋡ࡣQࢆ↓㝈ࡁࡃࡍࡿ ㏆
࡙ࡃ㸧㸸 lim > X n @ P ࠉ
LQSUREDELOLW\
n of
ࡇࢀࢆᩘࡢᙅἲ๎࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓྠࡌ᮲௳ୗ࡛ࠊQЍ҄ࡍࡿࡁࠊ>;Q@ࡣȣ
ࢇ☜ᐇ㸦DOPRVWVXUHO\☜⋡ ࡛㸧᮰ࡍࡿ㸸 lim > X n @ P ࠉࠉa.s. n of
ࡇࢀࢆᩘࡢᙉἲ๎࠸࠺
ᐃ⌮ ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧ
ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧࡣࠊ➼ᘧ࡛⾲ࡉࢀࡿࠊ☜⋡ㄽࡢᇶᮏⓗ࡞ᐃ⌮࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࣃࣇࢾࢸ࣭ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡼࡾึࡵ࡚ド᫂ࡉࢀࡓࠋ
ᶆᮏ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ☜⋡ศᕸࡣࠊᖹᆒࡢࡲࢃࡾࠊ࠶ࡿᶆ‽೫ᕪࢆࡶࡗ࡚ศᕸࡍࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢศᕸᶆ‽೫ᕪࡢ㛫ࠊࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᶆᮏ࣭☜⋡ศᕸ࡛ࡶᡂࡾ❧ࡘ㛵ಀࢆ♧
ࡋࡓࡢࡀࠊࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࠼ࡤࠊᖹᆒࡽ ᶆ‽೫ᕪ௨ୖ㞳
ࢀࡓ್ࡣయࡢࢆ㉸࠼ࡿࡇࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ୍⯡ Q ᶆ‽೫ᕪ௨ୖ㞳ࢀࡓ್ࡣ
యࡢQࢆ㉸࠼ࡿࡇࡣ࡞࠸ ; ࢆࠊᮇᚅ್ࡀȣࠊ᭷㝈ࡢศᩓࡀȪ ࡛࠶ࡿ☜⋡
1
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k
ྜࡔࡅពࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
┤✚ ᗘࣇࣅࢽࡢᐃ⌮
㸦;㸯)ȣ㸯㸧࠾ࡼࡧ㸦;㸰)㸰ȣ㸰㸧ࡣྛྛȪ̿᭷㝈௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ
(i ) f : X 1 u X 2 o [0, f]ࡣF1
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᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್
16
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ຍἲ᪘ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ୍ࡘࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ <࡛ḟࡢㅖᛶ㉁ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡶࡢࡀᏑᅾࡍ
ࡿࠋ
ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ
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E Y f YdP ³ XdP * ࡢࡢ㞟ྜ $ ᑐࡋ࡚ࡶ ³A
A
ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘࠋ
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࡞ࢃࡕ P ª¬Y㻑 Y º¼ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
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᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್ࡢᛶ㉁㸸
㸦 X , Y , X n ࡣྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ a, b ࡣᐇᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
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ࡑࡢࡁ E X E ¬ª X V G , H ¼º
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ᐃ⩏ ṇ๎᮲௳☜⋡☜⋡ᐦᗘ㛵ᩘSGI
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Ȱࢆᅛᐃࡋ࡚ࠊ$ЍSȰ$ࡣ㸦Ȑ)㸧
17
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࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ
ᐃ⩏ 㞳ᩓ㛫ࡢ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ
้ࡢ㞟ྜࡣ 7 ^͐`ࡋࠊሗቑ⣔^)Q`QѮ7 ࡀ࠼ࡽࢀࡓࡁࠊᐇ
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㸦㸧;ࡣ㐺ྜ
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㸦㸧௵ពࡢ้Qࡘ࠸࡚(>;Q_)Q@ ;Q DV Q㸼
ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ⌮ㄽࡀኚ㔜せ࡛࠶ࡿࡢࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡀ㠀ᖖከࡃࡢ
ሙ㠃ጼࢆ⌧ࡍ࠸࠺ࡇ᰿ᣐࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ⡆༢ࡢࢆぢࡿࠋ
㸦㸧⊂❧࡛ᖹᆒ ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ;;͐ࢆ⊂❧
࡞☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิ࡛ࠊ௵ព㹬ᑐࡋ࡚ (_;㹩_㸺࡛҄࠶ࡾࠊࡘ (;㹩㸻 ࡍࡿࠋ
Sn X1 X 2 ... X n ࠉ
S0 0 , Fn V X1 X 2 ... X n ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ QӍ㸯
ᑐࡋ DVࠋ
㸦㸧ᖹᆒ㸯ࡢ㠀㈇⊂❧☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ✚ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ;;͐ࢆ⊂
❧࡞㠀㈇☜⋡ኚᩘࡍࡿࠋ M 0 1, F0 ^0, :` ࡋ࡚
Mn
X1 X 2 ... X n , Fn V X1 , X 2 ,..., X n ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࠊQӋ ᑐࡋ
E (M n | Fn1 ) E M n1 X n | Fn1 M n1 E X n | Fn1 M n1 E X n M n1 ࢆ㸦DV㸧ࡢព࡛ᚓࡿࡽ M ࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸧୍ࡘࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ㛵ࡍࡿࢹ࣮ࢱࡢ⣼✚ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿ Fn ࢆࣇ
ࣝࢺ࣮ࣞࢩࣙࣥࡋ [ L1 :, F , P ࡍࡿࠋ㐺ᙜ࡞ኚᙧࢆࡗ࡚
Mn
E [ Fn ᐃ⩏ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋሪࡢᛶ㉁ࡼࡗ࡚
E (M n | Fn1 ) E [ | Fn | Fn1 E [ | Fn1 M n1ࠉࠉa.s. ࢆᚓࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ M ࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ
^Fn ` , P ࡘ࠸࡚ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊᐃ⩏ ࡢ㸦㸧㸦㸧ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘୖ
ࢆ (>;Q_)Q@ӌ;Q DV Q㸼⨨ࡁ࠼࡚ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ
18
࣮ࣝࡣࢆ (>;Q_)Q@Ӎ;Q DV Q㸼⨨ࡁ࠼࡚ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝኚ
f n , n N ࢆ㠀㈇ྍண 㐣⛬ࡍࡿࠋຎ㸦ඃ㸧࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝᑐࡋࠊ
Y0
0, Yn
n
¦ f X
k
k
X k 1 , n t 1 k 1
࠾ࡃࠋྑ㎶ࡢྛ㡯ࡀྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤ Yn ࡣຎ㸦ඃ㸧࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ X n , n N ࢆ㸦ຎ㸧࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋF x : R o R ࢆ㸦ቑࡍࡿ㸧
ฝ㛵ᩘࡍࡿࠋ Yn
F X n ࡀࡍ࡚ࡢ㹬࡛ྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤ Yn , n N ࡣຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥ
ࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢᐃ⌮ࡣ -HQVHQ ࡢ➼ᘧࡼࡾゝ࠼ࡿࠋ
f X n
s
f E ¬ª X n 1 Fn ¼º d E ¬ª f X n 1 Fn ¼º . ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶ
ᮏ⠇࡛ࡣࠊ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢㅖᛶ㉁ࡘ࠸࡚⪃ᐹࡍࡿࠋ௨ୗࠊ㏻ᖖ᮲௳ࢆ‶
ࡓࡍሗቑ⣔ࡁ☜⋡✵㛫 ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܩǡ ܲሻǡ ܩൌ ሼܨ௧ Ǣ ݐ Ͳሽ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܩǡ ܲሻ ୖ࡛ᐃ⩏
ࡉࢀࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ݐ Ͳሽ ࢆᡤࡍࡿࠋ
☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿ๓ࠊࡑࡢ⌮ゎࢆᐜ᫆ࡍࡿࡓࡵ☜⋡
ኚᩘࡢྍ✚ศᛶࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ࡘ࠸࡚♧ࡍࠋ
⿵㢟 ☜⋡ኚᩘࡀྍ✚ศࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܧሾȁܺȁሿ ൏ ࡛҄࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ
Ԗ Ͳǡ ߜ ͲǢ ܧሾȁܺȁͳீ ሿ ൏ ߳Ǣ ܨ א ܩǢ ܲሺܩሻ ൏ ߜ ࡇࡢ⿵㢟ࢆド᫂ࡍࡿࡣࠊ⫼⌮ἲࢆ⏝࠸ࠊ%RUHO&DQWHOOL ࡢ⿵㢟 )DWRX ࡢ⿵
㢟㸦⿵㢟 㸧ࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ☜⋡ኚᩘࡀྍ✚ศࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܧሾȁܺȁሿ ൏ ࡛҄࠶ࡿࡓࡵࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳
ࡣࠊ
ܧሾȁܺȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
՜҄
࡞ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ド ᫂ 㸸 ࡀ ྍ ✚ ศ ࡞ ࡽ ࡤ ࠊ ȁܺȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ȁܺȁ ൏ ҄ DV ࠊ ࡋ ࡓ ࡀ ࡗ ࡚
՜҄ ȁܺȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ൌ ͲDV࡛࠶ࡿࡽࠊ/HEHVJXH ࡢ᭷⏺᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾࠊᐃ⌮ ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡㐣⛬ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀࠊݑݏ௧אோశ ܧሾܺሺݐሻ ሿ ൏ ҄ǡ ͳࢆ‶ࡓࡍࠊ
ྍ✚ศ㸦VTXDUHLQWHJUDEOH㸧࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋ≉ ൌ ͳࡢࡁࡣࠊྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿ
࠸࠺ࠋ
ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡㐣⛬ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀࠊ
19
ݑݏ௧אோశ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
՜҄
࡞ࡿࡁࠊܺࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ㸦XQLIRUPLO\LQWHJUDEOH㸧࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊݑݏ௧אோశ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࠊ
ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܺࡣྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ☜⋡㐣⛬ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ
ȁܺሺݐሻȁ ൏ ܻǡ ܴ א ݐା ǡ ܧሾȁܻȁሿ ൏ ҄
࡞ࡿ☜⋡ኚᩘܻࡀᏑᅾ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ド᫂㸸ȁܺሺݐሻȁ ൏ ܻǡ ܴ א ݐା ࡼࡾ
ݑݏ௧ஹ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ܧሾȁܻȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ሿ
ࡘࠊܻ㛵ࡋ࡚ᐃ⌮ ࢆ⏝࠸ࢀࡤࠊ
ݑݏ௧ஹ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ܧሾȁܻȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
՜҄
՜҄
ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊ┤ࡕḟࡢ⣔ࢆᚓࡿ
ܧሾݑݏ௧אோశ ȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ࡛҄࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ͳࡋ࡚ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ
ା
ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐሽࡀ ྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ࡢ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ ܻࢆྍ✚ศ࡞☜⋡ኚᩘࡋ࡚ࠊ
ܺሺݐሻ ൌ ܧሾܻȁܨ௧ ሿǡ ܴ א ݐା ࠾ࡃࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࠋ
ド᫂㸸ܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࡇࡣ᫂ࡽࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶࡘ
࠸࡚ド᫂ࡍࡿࠋ
ܻ Ͳ ࡢ ሙ ྜ ࡘ ࠸ ࡚ ド ᫂ ࡍ ࡿ ࠋ ܺሺݐ ሻ ՛ ҄ሺݐ ՛ ҄ሻ ࡞ ࡿ ༢ ㄪ ቑ ຍ ิ
㹹ݐ Ǣ ݊ ܰ א㹻ࡀᏑᅾࡋࡓࡍࡿࠊ༢ㄪ᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾࠊሾܺሺݐ ሻሿ ՛ ҄࡞ࡿࡀࠊ
ࡇࢀࡣࠊܧሾܺሺݐ ሻሿ ൌ ܧሾܻሿ ൏ ҄▩┪ࡍࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊܺ כൌ ݑݏ௧אோశ ܺሺݐሻ ൏ ҄ࠋ
ሼܺሺݐሻ ݊ሽ ؿሼܺ כ ݊ሽ᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್ࡢᐃ⩏ࡼࡾࠊ
ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ൌ ܧሾܻͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ܧሾܻͳሼȁ כȁவሽ ሿ
כ
ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊ ܺ ࡀ᭷㝈࡛࠶ࡿࡇࠊܻࡀྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࡇὀពࡍࡿࠊ/HEHVJXH
ࡢ᭷⏺᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾ
ܧሾܻͳሼȁ כȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
՜҄
ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊܺࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ
ᐃ ⌮ 㸦 ᭷ ⏺ ᮰ ᐃ ⌮ 㸧 ܺǡ ܺ ǡ ݊ ⋡ ☜ ࢆ ܰ אኚ ᩘ ࡍ ࡿ ࠊ ࡇ ࡢ ࡁ ࠊ
ܴ א ܭǢ ȁܺ ȁ ܭǡ ܰ א ݊
ࡘ՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ
ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁሿ ൌ Ͳ
՜҄
20
ド᫂՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺࡽࠊ௵ពࡢԖ Ͳ ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ
߳
߳
݊ ܰ אǢ ܲሺȁܺ െ ܺȁ ሻ ൏
݊ ݊ ͵
͵ܭ
ࡲࡓࠊ ܭ ȁܺ ȁࡼࡾࠊ
ଵ
ଵ
ଵ
ሼȁܺȁ െ ሽ ؿሼȁܺȁ െ ȁܺ ȁ ሽ ؿሼȁܺ െ ܺ ȁ ሽ݇ǡ ݊ ܰ א
ଵ
ଵ
࡞ࡢ࡛ ܲሼȁܺȁ െ ܭ ሽ ܲሼȁܺ െ ܺ ȁ ሽ
ଵ
ࡼࡗ࡚՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺ ֜ ܲሼȁܺȁ ܭ ሽ ൌ Ͳ
ଵ
ࡼࡗ࡚ܲሺڂୀଵሼȁܺȁ ܭ ሽሻ ൌ ܲሺȁܺȁ ܭሻ ൌ Ͳ
҄
ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ܭ ȁܺȁDV௨ୖࡼࡾ
ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁሿ ൌ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁͳȁ ିȁவച ሿ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁͳȁିȁஸച ሿ ʹܲܭሺȁܺ െ ܺȁ
య
య
߳
߳
ሻ ߳
͵
͵
ᐃ⌮ ᖹᆒ᮰ࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ܺǡ ܺ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻሻǡ ݊ ࡢࡇࠋࡿࡍ ܰ א
ࡁḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁሿ ൌ Ͳ
՜҄
ܺ ൌ ܺ ൝ ՜҄
ሼܺ Ǣ ݊ ܰ אሽࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ
Ṇ
ᐃ⩏ ȫǣ Ȑ ՜ ሾͲǡ ҄ሿࡀ
ሼ߬ ݐሽǣ ሼ߱ ߗ אǢ ߬ሺ߱ሻ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳ
ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࠊȫࢆሼܨ௧ ሽ െ ṆVWRSSLQJWLPH࠸࠸ࠊሗቑ⣔ሼܨ௧ ሽࡀ⮬᫂
࡛࠶ࡿࡁࡣࠊ༢Ṇ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓ
ܨఛ ؔ ሼ ؿ ܣȐǢ ځܣሼ߬ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳሽ
࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿܨఛ ࢆ߬ െṆ๓ྍ⟬ຍἲ᪘SUHȫDOJHEUD࠸࠺ࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ֜ ܨఛభ ܨ ؿఛమ ܨఛభ ٿఛమ ൌ ܨఛభ ܨځఛమ ܨ א ܣఛభ ٿఛమ ֜ ځܣሼ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ሽ ܨ אఛమ ܨఛభ ڀఛమ ൌ ߪሺܨఛభ ǡ ܨఛమ ሻ
୲ା ؔ ځ௨வ௧ ࡿࡍ ୲ܨḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿ
ȫࡀܨ௧ା ̺Ṇ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳ
୲ା ؔ ሼ ؿ ܣȐǢ ځܣሼ߬ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ା ǡ ݐ Ͳሽ
ൌ ሼ ؿ ܣȐǢ ځܣሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳሽ
ᐃ⌮ ሼ߬ Ǣ ݊ ܰ אሽࢆሼܨ௧ ሽ െ Ṇࡢิࡍࡿࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿ
߬ ՛ ȫ ֜ ߬ ࡣሼܨ௧ ሽ െ Ṇ
߬ ՝ ȫ ֜ ߬ ࡣሼܨ௧ା ሽ െ Ṇ࡛ܨ௧ା ൌ ҄ځ
ୀଵ ܨఛ ା 21
ド᫂㸸
߬ ՛ ȫ ֜ ሼ߬ ݐሽ ൌ ҄ځ
ୀଵሼ߬ ݐሽࡼࡾ᫂ࡽ
߬ ՝ ȫ ֜ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ൌ ҄ځ
ୀଵሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ȫࡣሼܨ௧ା ሽ െ Ṇ
҄ځ א ܧ
ܨ
ୀଵ ఛ ା
ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽሻ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݊ ߬ࡘܰ א ՝ ȫ ֜ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ൌ҄
ୀଵ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ
҄
ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ൌୀଵ ሺ ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽሻ ܨ א௧ ᐃ⌮ ܺࡀⓎᒎⓗྍ ࠊ߬ࡀṆ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ߱ ߗ א ܺሺ߬ሻ ؔ ܺሺ߬ሺ߱ሻǡ ሺ߱ሻሻ א
ܴࡣܨఛ ̺ྍ ࡞ࡿࠋ
㞳ᩓ㛫࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ
ᮏ⠇࡛ࡣࠊ้ࡢ㞟ྜࢆܼ ା ࡍࡿࠋ༶ࡕ้ࡢ㞟ྜࡀ㞳ᩓ࡛࠶ࡿࡋ࡚ࠊ㞳
ᩓ㛫ࡢ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡘ࠸࡚ᐃ⌮ࢆࡲࡵࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ࡢᶓ᩿ᩘᐃ⌮'RRECVXSFRVVLQJWKHRUHP
ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋ้ܰࡲ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣝࣃࢫࡀሾܽǡ ܾሿ
ࢆୗࡽୖᶓ᩿ࡍࡿᅇᩘࢆܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻࡍࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻࡣ
ܺሺݏ ሻ ൏ ܽǡ ܺሺݐ ሻ ܾǡ ݅ ൌ ͳǡ ڮǡ ݇Ǣ Ͳ ݏଵ ൏ ݐଵ ൏ ڮ൏ ݏ ൏ ݐ ܰ
࡞ࡿ᭱ࡢ࡛݇࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ܧሾሺܺሺܰሻ െ ܽሻି ሿ
ܧሾܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻሿ
ܾെܽ
⣔ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡋࠊ
ܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ؔ ܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ
ே՜҄
ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊ
ሺܾ െ ܽሻܧሾܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻሿ ȁܽȁ ݑݏא శ ܧሾȁܺሺ݊ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄
ࡍࡿࠋ
ド᫂㸸ᐃ⌮ ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶࡼࡾ
ሺܾ െ ܽሻܧሾܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻሿ ȁܽȁ ܧሾȁܺሺܰሻȁሿ ȁܽȁ ݑݏא శ ܧሾȁܺሺ݊ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄
ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ༢ㄪ᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾᚓࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ᮰ᐃ⌮ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡀྍ✚
ศࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ݑݏ௧א శ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊ☜⋡㸯࡛᭷㝈࡞ᴟ㝈 ܺሺ҄ሻ ؔ
௧՜҄ ܺሺݐሻࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ
ド᫂㸸
ȃǣ ሼȰ אȐǢ ሼܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡀሾെ҄ǡ ҄ሿ࡛ᴟ㝈ࢆᣢࡓ࡞࠸ሽ
࠾ࡃࠊ
ȃ ൌ ሼȰ אȐǢ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻ ൏ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻሽ
௧՜҄
௧՜҄
ൌǡאொǢழ ሼȰ אȐǢ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻ ൏ ܽ ൏ ܾ ൏ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻሽ
௧՜҄
௧՜҄
ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊ
ȃǡ ൌ ሼȰ אȐǢ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻ ൏ ܽ ൏ ܾ ൏ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻሽ
௧՜҄
௧՜҄
22
ࡋࠊܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻࢆ⣔ ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡋࡓࡶࡢࡍࡿࠊ
ȃǡ ؿሼȰ אȐǢ ܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ൌ ҄ሽ
࡞ࡿࠋ୍᪉ࠊ⣔ ࡼࡾ㸪ܲሺܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ൌ ҄ሻ ൌ Ͳ࡛࠶ࡿࡽሺȃୟǡୠ ሻ ൌ Ͳ
࡞ࡾࠊሺȃሻ ൌ Ͳࢆᚓࡿࠋࡉࡽࠊ)DWRX ࡢ⿵㢟⿵㢟 ࡼࡾࠊ
ܧሾ ȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൌ ܧሾ ȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ҄
௧՜҄
௧՜҄
௧՜҄
௧א శ
࡞ࡿࡽࠊ ሾܺሺ҄ሻሿ ൏ ҄DV࡞ࡿࠋ
⣔ ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰ࡍࡿࠋ
ྍ✚ศ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰ࡍࡿࠋ
ṇ್࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽ ࡀࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ
భ
ܺሺݐሻ ՜ ܺሺ҄ሻሺ ݐ՜ ҄ሻ࡞ࡾࠊ
ܺሺݐሻ ܧሾܺ҄ ȁܨ௧ ሿܽǤ ݏǤǡ
ܼ א ݐା
≉ܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ➼ྕࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ ⌮ /HY\'RRE ࡢ ୗ ᪉ ᐃ ⌮ ᡤ ࡢ ☜ ⋡ ✵ 㛫 ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻ ᑐ ࡋ ࡚ ࠊ
ሼ
ǣ ݊ אെܰሽࢆࡢ ܨ㒊ศྍ⟬ຍἲ᪘ࡢ᪘࡛ࠊ
ିஶ ؔ҄ת
ୀଵ ି ି
ؿ ڮ ؿଶ ି
ؿଵ ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡍࡿࠋܺ ൌ ሼܺሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ אെܰሽࢆሼ
ǣ ݊ אെܰሽ െඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍ
ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ
ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻȁ
ሿ ܺሺ݉ሻܽǤ ݏǤ ǡ ݉ ݊ െͳǡ ܧሾȁܺሺ݊ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ א ݊െܰ
ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊܺࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡾࠊᴟ㝈ܺሺെ҄ሻ ؔ ՜ି҄ ܺሺ݊ሻࡀᴫ
᮰ࡘᖹᆒ᮰ࡢព࡛Ꮡᅾࡋࠊ
ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻȁ
ିஶ ሿ ܺሺെ҄ሻܽǤ ݏǤǡ
݊ אെܰ
ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ᭱ᚋࡢ➼ᘧࡣ➼ྕࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ࡢຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ➼ᘧ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆ㠀㈇್ຎ࣐
ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊ௵ពࡢܿ Ͳ݊ ܼ אା ᑐࡋ࡚ḟ➼ᘧࡀᡂ
❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ܿܲሺ ܺሺ݇ሻ ܿሻ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻͳሼ௦௨ೖರ ሺሻஹሽ ሿ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻሿ
ஸ
ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ศゎ
ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ሽࡀܺሺ݊ሻ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ࠊ࡞ࡿ㐺ྜ㐣⛬ࡍࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢࡁࠊ ܯൌ ሼܯሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ǡ ܯሺͲሻ ൌ Ͳሽࢆ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࠊ ܣൌ
ሼܣሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ǡ ܣሺͲሻ ൌ Ͳሽ ࢆྍண 㐣⛬ࡋ࡚ࠊ
ܺሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܺሺͲሻ ܯሺ݊ሻ ܣሺ݊ሻǡ
݊ ܼ אା
෩ ྍண ࠸࠺ࡼ࠺ศゎ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊࡇࡢศゎࡣࠊ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝܯ
㐣⛬ܣሚࢆ
෩ ሺ݊ሻǡ ܣሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܣሚሺ݊ሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ሻ ൌ ͳ
ܲሺܯሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܯ
23
ࡋ࡚ࠊ
෩ ሺ݊ሻ ܣሚሺ݊ሻǡ
ܺሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܺሺͲሻ ܯ
݊ ܼ אା
࡞ࡿ࠸࠺ព୍࡛ព࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ܺࡀຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࡣࠊ
ܲሺܣሺ݊ሻ ܣሺ݊ ͳሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ሻ ൌ ͳ
࡞ࡿࡁ࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡲࡓࠊࡑࡢ㝈ࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ド᫂㸸
ܣሺ݊ሻǣ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ݇ሻ െ ܺሺ݇ െ ͳሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ܽǤ ݏǤǡ
݊ ܰ אǡ ܣሺͲሻ ؔ Ͳ
ୀଵ
ࡍࡿྍࡣܣண ࠊࡘࠊ
ܧሾሺܺሺ݊ሻ െ ܣሺ݊ሻሻ െ ሺܺሺ݊ െ ͳሻ െ ܣሺ݊ െ ͳሻሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
࡞ࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࠊܯሺ݊ሻ ؔ ܺሺ݊ሻ െ ܺሺͲሻ െ ܣሺ݊ሻࡍࢀࡤࠊ࣮ࣝࢤࣥࢳ࣐ࣝࡣ ܯ
࡞ࡾࠊ'RRE ࡢศゎࢆᚓࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊࡢຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊࡑࡢᐃ⩏
ࡼࡾ⮬࡛᫂࠶ࡿࠋ
⿵㢟 ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ሽࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡶࡋࡃࡣຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍ
ࡿࠊ௵ពࡢ
Ͳᑐࡋ࡚ࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ܿܲሺ ȁܺሺ݇ሻ ȁ ͵ܿሻ ͶܧሾȁܺሺͲሻȁሿ ͵ܧሾȁܺሺܰሻȁሿǡ ܰ ܼ אା ஸே
ᐃ⌮ /HY\ ࡢୖ᪉ᐃ⌮ ᡤࡢߦ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻᑐࡋ࡚ࠊܯሺ݊ሻ ؔ
ܧሾߦȁܨ ሿǡ ݊ ܼ אା ࠊࡍࡿ ؔ ܯሼܯሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ሽ ࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮
࡛ࣝ
భ
ܯሺ݊ሻ ՜ ߟ ؔ ܧሾߦȁܨ ሿሺ݊ ՜ ҄ሻܽǤ ݏǤ ǡ ࡘܯሺ݊ሻ ՜ ߟሺ݊ ՜ ҄ሻ
ᐃ⌮ ߬ࢆṆࡋࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ㸦ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ
࣮ࣝ㸧ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ ሼܺሺ߬ ר ݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ㸦ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮
ࣝ㸧࡞ࡿࠋ
ܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢሙྜ࡛ࡣ
ୀଵ
ͳሼஸఛሽ ሺܺሺ݇ሻ െ ݔሺ݇ െ ͳሻሻ ൌ ܺሺ݊ ߬ רሻ െ ܺሺͲሻ
ሼͳሼஸఛሽ ൌ Ͳሽ ൌ ሼ߬ ݊ െ ͳሽ ܨ אିଵ ǡ ሼͳሼஸఛሽ ൌ ͳሽ ൌ ሼ߬ ݊ െ ͳሽ ࡞ࡿࡇὀពࡍࡿࠊܺሺ߬ ר ݐሻࡣܨ ྍ ࡘ
ܧሾܺሺ݊ ߬ רሻ െ ܺሺ݊ െ ͳ ߬ רሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
ܧ ሾܺሺ݊ ߬ רሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ൌ ܺሺ݊ െ ͳ ߬ רሻǡ ݊ ܰ א
ᐃ⌮ ߬ ࢆṆࡋࠊ ܺ ࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊḟࡢ
a
ܰࡀ࠶ࡗ࡚ࠊ߬ሺ߱ሻ ܰǡ א ߱Ȑ
ܴ א ܭǢ ȁܺሺ݊ሻȁ ܭǡ ሺ݊ǡ ߱ሻ ܼ אା ൈ Ȑࡘ߬ ൏ ҄ܽǤ ݏǤ
ܧሾ߬ሿ ൏ ҄ࡘܴ א ܭǢ ȁܺሺ݊ሻ െ ܺሺ݊ െ ͳሻȁ ܭǡ ሺ݊ǡ ߱ሻ ܼ אା ൈ Ȑ
24
ࡢ࠸ࡎࢀࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺሺ߬ሻࡣྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ
ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻሿ ܧሾܺሺͲሻሿ
ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢሙྜࡣࠊྠ᮲௳ࡢୗ࡛᭱ᚋࡢ➼ᘧ
ࡀ➼ྕ࡛ᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ
ܧሾܺఛሿ ൌ ܧሾܺ ሿ
࡞ࡿࠋ
⿵㢟 ܺࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡋࠊ߬ࢆ࠶ࡿܰᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ߬ ܰ࡞ࡿṆ
ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࠊܺሺ߬ሻ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨఛ ǡ ܲሻǡࡘḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ܧሾܺሺܰሻȁܨఛ ሿ ܺሺ߬ሻ
ド᫂㸸ܨ א ܧఛ ࡍࡿ
ே
ே
ܧሾܺሺܰሻͳா ሿ ൌ ܧሾܺሺܰሻͳாתሼఛୀሽ ሿ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻͳாתሼఛୀሽ ሿ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳா ሿ
ୀ
ே
ୀ
ȁܺሺ߬ሻȁ ȁܺሺ݊ሻȁ
ୀ
ࡼࡾࠊܧሾȁܺሺ߬ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄
ᐃ⌮ ௵ពᢳฟᐃ⌮ ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ࢆͲ ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ҄࡞ࡿṆࡍࡿࠋܺࡀ୍
ᵝྍ✚ศ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ܧሾܺሺ߬ଶ ሻȁܨఛభ ሿ ܺሺ߬ଵ ሻܽǤ ݏǤ
ド᫂㸸 ߬ࢆ௵ពࡢṆࡍࡿࠋ⿵㢟 ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊ
ܺሺ߬ ݇ רሻ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ݇ሻȁܨఛר ሿ ൌ ܧሾܧሾܺሺ҄ሻȁܨ ሿȁܨఛר ሿ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ҄ሻȁܨఛר ሿ
ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊ݇ ՜ ҄ࡋ࡚
ܺሺ߬ሻ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ҄ሻȁ
ሿǡ ؔ Ȫሺ ܨఛר ሻ
ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊܨ א ܧఛ ࡍࡿࠊ ת ܧሼ߬ ݇ሽ ܨ אఛר ࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ҄ሽ אä
࡞ࡾࠊ
ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳாתሼఛழ҄ሽ ൌ ሾܺሺ҄ሻͳாתሼఛழ҄ሽ ሿ
ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ
ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳாתሼఛୀ҄ሽ ൌ ሾܺሺ҄ሻͳாתሼఛୀ҄ሽ ሿ
௨ୖࡼࡾࠊ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳா ൌ ሾܺሺ҄ሻͳா ሿ
ࡇࢀࡼࡾࠊܨ א ܨఛభ ࡍࡿ
ܧሾܺሺ߬ଶ ሻ െ ܺሺ߬ଵ ሻͳி ͳሺఛభǡఛమሻ ሿ ൌ Ͳ
࡞ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊド᫂ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ୰ᚰᴟ㝈ᐃ⌮
㸦㸧X 1 , X 2 ,... ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣ E X n ,i | Fn ,i 1 X n ,i 1 ࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ
࣮ࣝᕪศ Yn ,i
X n ,i X n ,i 1࡛࠶ࡾࠊE Yn,i Fn,i 1
0 ࠋ
㸦㸧ḟ࣮࣓ࣔࣥࢺ E(Yn2,i ) f ࠋ
25
f
E ª¬Yn2,i Fn ,i 1 º¼ ࡍࡿ࡞ࡽࡤ ¦ V n ,k 2 n㼡㼡㼡㼡㼡㼡㼞
o f pV 2
㸦㸧᮲௳ࡁศᩓ V n2,i
k 1
ࠋ
f
ª
º n of
㸦㸧 ¦ E «Yn2,k 1 Y tH »
o 0ࡍࡿࠋ
^
`
n ,k
¬
¼
k 1
f
ࡇࡢࠊ
N (0, V 2 ).ࡇࡢ᮲௳ࡣࣜࣥࢹ࣋ࣝࢡ᮲௳ࡪࠋ
ศᕸ᮰
¦ Yn,k o
k 1
☜⋡㐣⛬
ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື
ᐃ⩏ Bt ࡣᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛࠶ࡿࡢ᮲௳㸸
㸦㸧 B0 0 ྛȰᑐࡋࠊ t o Bt (Z ) ࡣ㐃⥆
㸦㸧 t ! s t 0 ࡢ Bt Bs㹼N 0, t s լ Fs
Vࠉ
^Bu : u d s` ᐃ⌮ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^ Bt , t t 0` ࡣḟࡢᛶ㉁ࢆࡶࡘ
࢞࢘ࢫ⣔ ^ Bt ` ࡣ࢞࢘ࢫ⣔࡛࠶ࡿࡘࡲࡾ௵ពࡢ⥺ᙧ⤖ྜ
a1 Bt1 ..... an Btn , ai R, ti t 0 ࡣṇつศᕸᚑ࠺☜⋡ኚᩘ࡛࠶ࡿ
ᖹᆒ E > Bt @ 0 E > Bs Bt @ min ^s, t` ඹศᩓ Cov( Bs , Bt )
ึᮇ್ B0 1 ࢧࣥࣉࣝࣃࢫࡢ㐃⥆ᛶ t o Bt ࡣ☜⋡࡛㐃⥆
⊂❧ቑศ 0 d t1 t2 .... tn ࡢࡁ
Bt0 , Bt1 , Bt2 Bt1 , Bt3 Bt2 ,...., Btn Btn1 ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿ
ᐃ⌮ ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ືࡣ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬࡛࠶ࡿ
௵ពࡢ t ! s t 0 ᑐࡋࠊ E Bti Fs Bsi , i 1, 2,.... ^
E Bti Bsi Bt j Bsj Fs
`
EG ij t s , i 1, 2.... ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ /«Y\ࡢᐃ⌮㸦㸧
M t 㸸㐃⥆ ^ Ft ` ࡘ࠸࡚࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ M 0
0ࡀ M
M t ࡣ ^ Ft ` ࡘ࠸࡚ࡢࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡞ࡿࠋ
t
t , t ! 0 ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ
㸦㹲㸼㹱࡛࠶ࡿࠋ M t2 M t ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࠋ E M t2 M
t
Fs M t2 M
t
E M t2 M s2 Fs E( M
t
M
s
Fs ) ࠋ㸧
☜⋡✚ศఀ⸨ࡢබᘧ
26
୍⯡ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^ Bt ` 㐺ྜࡋࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬ ^G t ` ᑐࡋ࡚ఀ⸨ᆺ☜⋡✚
ศࡀᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ I t t
³ G s dB s
0
^I t ` ࡶࡲࡓࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^B ` 㐺ྜࡋࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬࡞ࡿ
t
ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚☜⋡ᚤศ᪉⛬ᘧࡣࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^ Bt ` 㐺ྜࡋࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬ ^ X t ` ࡀ
x0 ³ f s, X s ds ³ g s, X s dBs X t 0
0
t
t
ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡶࡢࢆồࡵࡼ࠸࠺ၥ㢟࡞ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ☜⋡㐣⛬ ^ X t ` ࡀ X t ᙧࢆࡶ
ࡘࡁఀ⸨㐣⛬,WƷRSURFHVV࠸࠺
ᚤศᙧࢆ⏝࠸࡚ dX Fds GdB ␎グࡍࡿࡇࡶከ࠸ఀ⸨㐣⛬ X t ࢆ㛵ᩘ
f t , X t ࡶࡲࡓఀ⸨㐣⛬࡞ࡿࡋ
f (t, x) ྜᡂࡋ࡚࡛ࡁࡿ☜⋡㐣⛬ Y t ࡓࡀࡗ࡚
Y t 0
0
t
t
y0 ³ F1 s ds ³ G1 s dBs ࡲࡓࡣ dY
F1dt G1dB ࡢᙧࢆࡶࡘࡇࡇ࡛)V*Vࡢලయᙧࢆ࠼ࡿࡢࡀఀ⸨ࡢබᘧ࡛࠶ࡿ
ఀ⸨ࡢබᘧኚᩘ㛵ᩘIW[ࡀW㛵ࡋ࡚ᅇ㐃⥆ⓗᚤศྍ⬟[
ᐃ⌮
㛵ࡋ࡚ᅇ㐃⥆ⓗᚤศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࢀࡤ
wf
wf
1 w2 f
2
㹢Y
t , X t dt t , X t dx t , X t dx 2 wt
wx
2 wx
2
ࡇࡇ࡛ dX Fdt GdB, dX 㸻G 2 dt ᚑࡗ࡚
1 w2 f
wf
wf
2
t, X t t, X t F t t, X t G t 2 2 wx
wt
wx
wf
F㸰㸻 t , X t G t wt
ࡀᚓࡽࢀࡿࠋ
࡞࠾ఀ⸨ࡢබᘧࡢᮏ㉁ࡣḟࡢ✚බᘧ࠶ࡿఀ⸨࣮ࣝࣝ
F㸯㸻
dt 2
dB dt dt dB 0, dB 2
dt %HVVHO 㐣⛬
ߚ ൌ ሺߚଵ ǡ ߚଶ ǡ ڮǡ ߚ ሻࡣ㹬ḟࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛࠶ࡾࠊ݊ ⋡☜ࡿ࠶ࠋܰ א㐣⛬5ࡣ
ܴ௧ ൌ ȁȁߚ௧ ȁȁLHܴ௧ଶ ൌ σୀଵሺߚ ሻଶ ሺݐሻᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋఀ⸨ࡢබᘧࡼࡾ
ܴ݀௧ଶ ൌ σୀଵ ʹߚ ሺݐሻ݀ߚ ሺݐሻ ݊݀ݐ
௵ពW!ܲሺܴ௧ ൌ Ͳሻ ൌ Ͳ☜⋡㐣⛬ :ࡀḟࡢᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ㸸
ܹ݀௧ ൌ
ͳ
ߚ ሺݐሻ ݀ߚ ሺݐሻ
ܴ௧
ୀଵ
: ࡣᐇᩘ್ࡁࡢࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛ࠊ☜⋡㐣⛬5ࡣḟࡢᘧ‶ࡓࡍ㸸
݀ሺܴ௧ଶ ሻ ൌ ʹܴ௧ ܹ݀௧ ݊݀ݐ
27
ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣߩ௧ ൌ ܴ௧ଶ タᐃࡍࡿࠋ
݀ߩ௧ ൌ ʹඥߩ௧ ܹ݀௧ ݊݀ݐ
ିଵ ௗ௧
ࢆᚓࡿࠋᚑࡗ࡚ࠊ5ࡣ %HVVHO㐣⛬
ఀ⸨ࡢබᘧࢆ⏝࠸࡚ܴ݀௧ ൌ ܹ݀௧
ଶ ோ
ࡤࢀࡿࠋߩࡣ㹬 %HVVHO㐣⛬ࡤࢀࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏㹲ྛߜ Ͳ ݔ Ͳࡘ࠸࡚ࠊ☜❧㐣⛬=㹲ࡣึᮇ್ࢆ ݔᣢࡕࠊܳܵܧܤఋ ሺݔ㸧
グධࡉࢀࡿ㸸
௧
ܼ௧ ൌ ݔ ʹ ඥܼ௦ ݀ߚ௦ ߜݐ
țࡣ =㹲ࡢḟඖ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᐃ⌮ ߜ Ͳࡘ࠸࡚\ ࡢᐦᗘࢆ᭷ࡍࡿܳܵܧܤఋ ࡢ༙⩌ࡣ
ഌ
ͳ ݕమ
ඥݕݔ
ఋ ሺݔǡ
ݍ௧
ቇ ǡ ݐ Ͳǡ ݔ Ͳ
ݕሻ ൌ ቀ ቁ ൬െ
൰ ܫఔ ቆ
ʹ
ʹ ݔ
ݐ
Yࡀߜ ᑐᛂࡍࡿࡑࡋ࡚ܫజ ࡀYࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ%HVVHO㛵ᩘࠋ
[ ࠾࠸࡚\ࡢᐦᗘࢆ
ഃ
ഃ
ݕ
ݍ௧ఋ ሺͲǡ ݕሻ ൌ ሺʹݐሻିమ ǻሺߜȀʹሻିଵ ݕమିଵ ቀെ ቁ Ǥ
ʹݐ
ఋ ሺݔǡ
͛
ଶ
ଶ
࡛⾲ࡍࠋࡉࡽ ݔൌ ݔǡ ͛ݕൌ ݕኚᩘኚ࡛ݍ௧
ݕሻࡣḟࡢᘧ࡞ࡿ㸸
ଶ
ଶ
జ
ݕ
ݕݔ
௧ఋ ሺݔǡ ݕሻ ൌ ି ݐଵ ቀ ቁ ቆെ
ቇ ܫఔ ቀ ቁ ǡ ݂ ݐݎ Ͳǡ ݔ Ͳ
ʹ
ݔ
ݐ
ࡑࡋ࡚
ݕଶ
ఋ ሺͲǡ
ିఔ ିሺఔାଵሻ
ିଵ ଶఔାଵ
௧
ݕሻ ൌ ʹ ݐ
ǻሺߥ ͳሻ ݕ
ቆെ ቇǤ
ʹݐ
28
➨❶ ༢୍ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡘ࠸࡚
㠀㈇ᩚᩘ =㹬࠾࠸࡚ࡣศᯞ㐣⛬ࡀ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
0,1,2...`࡛࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ☜⋡㛵ᩘࡣ㹹S kN 㹻Sk t 0,
^Z㸸㹬㸻
n
¦S
k
1
࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
P i 㸪j P ^Z n 1
j | Zn
i
i t 1 ࠉj t 0,
° p ࠉif
ࠉࠉ ࠉ
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
i` ® j
2.1
i 0 ࠉj t 0.
°¯G 0 j ࠉif
pki : k 0,1, 2,...
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡣ࠶ࡿ㞟ᅋࡢྛඖ⣲ࡢ⦾Ṫ㐣⛬ࢆ⾲ࡍᛮࢃࢀ࡚ࡶⰋ࠸ࠋึᮇ್ࡣ =
࡛ࠊྛඖ⣲ࡀ⊂❧࡛☜⋡㛵ᩘ㹹 pk 㹻ࡢཎ๎ࡢୗ࡛ࣛࣥࢲ࣒ࡢᩘ࡛ḟୡ௦ࡢᏊᏞ
ࢆసࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺సࡽࢀࡓᏊᏞࡢࡀ =㸦➨୍ୡ௦㸧࡞ࡿࠋ== ࡼࡾ = ࢆ㐀
ࡗ࡚⥆ࡅࡿࠋ୍ࡘࡢඖ⣲ࡣྠࡌࠕ࠾ぶࠖࡼࡾసࡽࢀࡓࠕᏊᏞࠖࡶྠ୍ୡ௦ࡢ
ࡢඖ⣲ࡶ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢඖ⣲ࡢᩘ㔞ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ =㹬ࠋ㸦㸧ࡼࡾほ
=Q㸻 ࡞ࡽࡤ =Q㸻 ࡞ࡿࠋࡇ࠺ࡋ࡚ࠊ௵ពୡ௦࠾࠸࡚ࡶᩘ㔞 ࡢព
ࡿࠊ=
ࡣࡇࡢศᯞ㐣⛬ࡀ⁛࡞ࡿࠋ
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ◊✲ࡀ㛗࠸Ṕྐࡢ࠶ࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ◊✲⪅ࡓࡕࡢண㏻
ࡾࠊࡇࡢࣔࢹࣝࡣ≀⌮ࡸ⏕≀࡞ࡓࡃࡉࢇࡢศ㔝ᛂ⏝࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢၥ㢟ࡣ ᖺ )UDQFLV*DOWRQࡼࡗ࡚ึࡵ࡚ᑟධࡉࢀࡓࠋ᭱ึࡣࢠࣜࢫ㈗᪘ࡢⱑᏐ⁛
㛵ࡍࡿ◊✲࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ 5HYHUHQG+HQU\:DWVRQ ࡼࡗ࡚࠺ࡲࡃゎỴࡉ
ࢀࡓࠋㄽᩥ *DOWRQDQG:DWVRQ㍕ࡗ࡚࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ࡣ *DOWRQDQG
:DWVRQ 㐣⛬ࡤࢀࡿࠋศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢṔྐࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ '.HQGDOOࢆཧ↷ࡋ
ࡓ࠺ࡀⰋ࠸ࠋึᮇࡢᩥ⊩┠㘓ࢆ▱ࡿࡓࡵ 7(+DUULVࢆཧ↷ࡋ࡚ࡶⰋ࠸ࠋ
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢၥ㢟㛵ࡍࡿ◊✲࡛ࡣࠊึᮇ್≉ὀពࢆᘬࢀࡿࡓࡵࠊ
^Z , n
0,1, 2.... ࢆึᮇ್ L ࡢศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆ⾲♧ࡍࡿࠋከࡃࡢሙྜࡣ =㸻㸯ࡍࡿ
ࡓࡵࠊ Z
(1)
n
i
n
`
Zn ࡛᭩ࡃࠋ
ᩘᏛ࠾࠸࡚ࠊẕ㛵ᩘ㸦ࡰࢇࡍ࠺ࠊⱥJHQHUDWLQJIXQFWLRQ㸧ࡣࠊ㸦⮬↛
ᩘ࡛ῧᏐࡅࡽࢀࡓ㸧ᩘิ^DQ`㛵ࡍࡿሗࢆෆໟࡋࡓಀᩘࢆᣢࡘࠊᙧᘧ⣭
ᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋẕ㛵ᩘࡣࠊ୍⯡⥺ᆺᅇᖐၥ㢟ࡢゎỴࡢࡓࡵࢻ࣭ࣔࣈࣝࡼࡗ࡚
ᖺึࡵ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡓࠋ」ᩘࡢ⮬↛ᩘ࡛ῧᏐࡅࡽࢀࡿᩘࡢ㓄ิ㸦ከ㔜ᩘ
ิ㸧ࡢሗࢆྲྀࡾ㎸ࢇࡔከኚᩘ⣭ᩘࢆྠᵝ⪃࠼ࡿࡇࡶ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ẕ㛵ᩘࡣࠊ㏻ᖖᆺẕ㛵ᩘRUGLQDU\JHQHUDWLQJIXQFWLRQࠊᣦᩘᆺẕ㛵ᩘ
࣋
H[SRQHQWLDOJHQHUDWLQJIXQFWLRQࠊࣛࣥ࣋ࣝࢺ⣭ᩘ/DPEHUWVHULHVࠊ࣋
ࣝ⣭ᩘ%HOOVHULHVࠊࢹࣜࢡࣞ⣭ᩘ'LULFKOHWVHULHV࡞ᵝࠎ࡞ࡶࡢ
ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡘ࠸࡚ࡣᐃ⩏ࢆᚋ㏙ࡍࡿࠋཎ⌮ⓗࡣ࠶ࡽࡺࡿิࡘ࠸
࡚ࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢ✀㢮ࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿ㸦ࡓࡔࡋࠊࣛࣥ࣋ࣝࢺ⣭ᩘࢹࣜࢡࣞ
ᆺࡣῧᏐࢆࡽጞࡵࡿࡇࡀᚲせ㸧ࡀࠊᢅ࠸᫆ࡉࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢ✀㢮
࡛┦ᙜ␗࡞ࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡀ᭱ࡶ᭷ຠࡣࠊࡑࡢิࡢᛶ㉁ゎࡃ
29
ࡁၥ㢟ࡢヲ⣽౫Ꮡࡍࡿࠋ
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆศᯒࡍࡿࡁࡢ୍ࡘ㔜せ࡞ᡭẁ࡛࠶ࡿ㏻ᖖᆺẕ㛵ᩘ㸦*HQHUDWLQJ
)XQFWLRQV㸧࠸࠺ࡢࡣࠊᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
f
f 㹱㸻¦ pk s㹩, s d 1 㸦㸧
k 0
㸦㸧ᘧࢆ⧞ࡾ㏉ࡋ࡚ࡳࡿ
f0 s s, f1 s f > f n ( s)@ f ( s ), f n 1 s ࡞ࡢ࡛
¦ P(1, j )s
j
f ( s);
j
¦ P(i, j )s > f (s)@ , i t 1.
i
j
㸦㸧
j
⌮⏤ࢆ⡆༢࡛ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿ
㸦㸧ࡼࡾ ¦ P 1, j s j
¦p s
j
j
㸦㸧ᑐࡋ࡚ l1 l2 ...li
¦ P i, j s ¦ ¦
j
j l1 l2 ...li
㹨
jࡍࡿ
P l1 P l2 ...P li s l1 l2 ...li
¦ P l s ¦ P l s ...¦ P l s
l1
1
l1
2
f s ࠋ
j
j
l2
l2
i
li
li
ª¬ f s º¼ , i t 1
i
ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ 3㹬LMࢆ㹬ᅇ㑄⛣☜⋡ࡋ࡚3㹬㸯M㸻3=Q M_= ࠋ
ࢥࣝࣔࢦࣟࣇ➼ᘧࡼࡾ
¦P
n 1
(1, j ) s j
j
¦¦ P (1, k ) P(k , j)s ¦ P (1, k )¦ P(k , j)s
j
n
j
j
n
k
k
j
¦ Pn (1, k ) > f (s)@
k
k
¦ P (1, j )s
n
j
j
f ( n ) ( s ) ࠉࡍࡿf n 1 ( s )
f n > f ( s)@. ࡇࢀ࡛ࡣ୍ࡘࡢ㔜せ࡞බᘧ㸦㸧ࢆド᫂ࡉࢀࡓ㸸
f n s f n s 㸦㸧
30
㸦㸧㸦㸧ᘧࡼࡾ
f
¦ P i, j s
n
j 0
j
¬ª f n s ¼º . i
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ࣓ࣔࣥࢺࡣୗࡢᘧ࡛⾲ࡍࠋ
EZ1 ¦ P (1, j ) j f ' (1) m
ࡉࡽ
EZn
¦ P (1, j ) j
n
f n'1 (1) f ' (1) ... ª¬ f ' (1) º¼
f n' (1)
ࡲࡓࠊḟࡢᘧࢆ⏝࠸ࠊf n''1 (1)
f n'' (1)
n
mn
2
f '' (1) ª¬ f n' (1) º¼ f ' (1) f n'' (1), f n'' (1)ࢆồࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋ
f '' (1) ª¬ m 2 n 2 m 2 n 3 ... m n 1 º¼
ࡇࡢᨾV 2㸻YDULDQFH=ࡍࡿࠊ
1
var Zn
V 2 m n 1 (m n 1)
m z1
°
if
m 1
®
m 1
°
nV 2
¯
ࠉ
㸦㸧
ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸ
ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸࡣࡁ⣭ᩘࡼࡾᵓᡂࡉࢀࠊ
㒊ศ㞟ྜ 1 ୖࡢ㞳ᩓศᕸ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
a (a0 , a1 , a2 ...) ࡀ㠀㈇ᐇᩘิᐃࡍࡿࠋᡃࠎࡣಀᩘࡢࢩ࣮ࢣࣥࢫࡋ࡚ᣢࡘ
ࡁ⣭ᩘ⯆ࢆᣢࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ᭱ึ㹬ḟࡢ㒊ศࢆ᭩࠸࡚࠾ࡃ㸸
g n T ࡑࡋ࡚ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬ㹥ࡀ g T g T n
¦a T
k
k
,T R 㸦㸧
k 0
lim gn T ,T R ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ㸸
nof
f
¦a T
n
n
,T R 㸦㸧
n 0
ȟ㸻 ࡢࠊࡑࡢࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࡀ᮰ࡍࡿࡇࢆὀពࡍࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ g 0 a0 ࡇࡢሙ
ྜࡢࠊr > 0, f ࡛ T r ࡢࡁࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࡀ⤯ᑐ᮰ࡑࡋ࡚ T ! r ࡢࡁⓎᩓ
ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞㹰ࡀᚲࡎᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ㹰ࡀ᮰ࡢ༙ᚄ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ㹰㸼 ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ㹰㸺
࡛҄࠶ࢀࡤࡇࡢࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࡀ㹰࡛⤯ᑐ᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣⓎᩓࡍࡿࠋ㸫㹰࡛ࡇࡢࢩ࣮ࣜ
ࢬࡀ⤯ᑐ᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ᮲௳᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣⓎᩓࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽ T > 0, r ࡢ✵㛫ไ
㝈ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢ✵㛫ࡀࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢺ✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿࠋU㸺҄ࡲࡓȟ㸻㹰ࡢሙྜḟࡢ⤖ᯝ
ࡶᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࡀㄝ᫂ࡀ」㞧࡛ᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
☜⋡ኚᩘ 1 ࡣ㛵ᩘ㹥㸦ࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱ T > 0, r ࢩ࣮ࢣࣥࢫ a (a0 , a1 , a2 ...) ࢆᣢࡘ㸧
㛵㐃ࡘࡅࡽࢀࡓࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸࢆ᭷ࡍࡿࠋ1 ࡀ㞳ᩓᆺ☜⋡ᐦᗘ㛵ᩘࢆᣢࡘ㸸
anT n
㸦㸧
, n 0,1, 2.... fT n g T ࡑࡋ࡚ศᕸ㛵ᩘ FT n ¦
n
f k ࡛࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊ1ࡢศᕸ㛵ᩘ
k 0 T
31
g n T ,n
g T FT n 0,1, 2.... 㸦㸧
Jȟࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ 1ࡢ☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘࢆ⡆༢సࢀࡿ㸸
f
1 f
t 0, r / T ᑐࡋ࡚ࠉP t ¦ t n fT n an (tT ) n
¦
g T n 0
n 0
g tT ࠉࠉࡼࡗ࡚ g T 1ࡢ☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘ 3 ࡣḟࡢᘧ࡛⾲ࡍ㸸
g tT r
, ࠉt P t E t N T
g T ᚑࡗ࡚
g c tT Pc t T , Pcc t g T 㸦㸧
g cc tT 2
T ࡀ᫂ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
g T ☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘࡢᛶ㉁ࡼࡾ E ( N )
Pc 1 ,V ( N )
EN Pcc 1 Pc 1 ª¬ Pc 1 º¼ ࠋࡼࡗ࡚
2
T g c T g T 㸦㸧
V ( N ) T 2 g cc T / g T T g c T / g T [T g c T / g T ]2 ࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊE ( N )V ( N ) ࡀḟࡢ㛵ಀ‶ࡓࡍࡇࢆὀពࡋࠊE ( N )V ( N ) ࢆࡉࡽᐃ
⩏ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
E ( N ) ࡣȟࡘ࠸࡚ᚤศࡍࡿࠋ
wE ( N ) / wT
T g cc T / g T g c T / g T T g c T / g 2 T ࡀ࠶ࡿࡓࡵ
2
T wE ( N ) / wT㸻V ( N ) ࠉࠉࡼࡗ࡚
1
§ w
·
V ( N )㸻¨
log T ¸ © wE ( N )
¹
㸦㸧
32
⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢ㔜せ࡞⤖ㄽ
ࣔࢹࣝ≉ᛶ್ࡢ᥎ᐃ
z0
1, z n
zn1
¦[
n ,i
Yn 㸦㸧
i 1
ศᯞ㐣⛬࡛ࡣࠊ z0 ࡛᭱ึࡢ㞟ᅋࡢಶయᩘࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ zn ࡣ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢ㞟ᅋࡢಶయ
ᩘࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ㞟ᅋࡢྛࠎࡢಶయࡣࡢࡶࡢࡣ⊂❧Ꮚࢆ⏕ࡳࡔࡍࠋࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ
➨㹬㸫㸯ୡ௦➨ L ␒┠ࡢಶయࡀ [ k ,i ಶࡢ᪂ࡋ࠸ಶయࢆ⏕ࡳࡔࡍࠋゝ࠸᪉ࢆኚ࠼ࢀ
ࡤࠊ [ k ,i ࡣ Z k 1 ୡ௦ࡢྛᡂဨࡢᏊᏞᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Z k 1 ୡ௦ྛᡂဨࡢᏊᏞࡢయࡣ
zn1
¦[
n,i
࡛⾲♧ࡋࠊᏊᏞ㡯ࡪࠋ Yn ࡀ⛣Ẹ㡯࡛࠶ࡾࠊ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢእ᮶ࡢᡂဨ࡛࠶
i 1
ࡿࠋࡇࡢ Z n 1 ୡ௦ᏊᏞ㡯➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢእ᮶㡯ࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ࠊ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢ㞟ᅋࡢ
య Z n ࡞ࡿࠋࡇࡢ Z n ᩚᩘ್ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิ࡛࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࢆࡘࡃࡿࠋ[ ni ࡀᏊᏞ
ᩘࡋ࡚㠀㈇࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
Yn ࡀ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡋ࡚ṇ࡛࠶ࢀࡤእࡽ㞟ᅋࡢ୰᮶ࡿሙྜࠊ㞽࡛࠶ࡿࡁ㞟ᅋ
ࡢ୰እὶࡀ࡞࠸ሙྜࠊ㈇࡛࠶ࢀࡤ㞟ᅋࡢᡂဨࡀ㞟ᅋࡢእฟ࡚࠸ࡃሙྜࠊ
ࡑࢀࡒࢀࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ
Z Q
ࡇࡢࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡣࠊほ ࡉࢀࡿࡶࡢ ZQࠊYn ほ ࡉࢀ࡞࠸ࡶࡢ ¦ [ ni ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ
i 1
ᅗ ࡣᏊᏞࠊ⛣Ẹࠊ㞟ᅋయࡢ㛵ಀࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ㯮࠸ⅬࡀᏊᏞࠊⓑ࠸Ⅼࡀ⛣Ẹࠊ
⦪⥺ୖࡢ㒊Ⅼࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ୡ௦ࡢయ࡞ࡿࠋ
㸱ୡ௦
㸰ୡ௦
㸯ୡ௦
㛫㍈
㸮ୡ௦
ࡏୡ௦
ᅗ 2-1
┤ほⓗ௨ୗࡢ࡛ヲࡋࡃㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࠋ
33
㸯 ࢿࢬ࣑ㅮ
ࡡࡎࡳㅮࡣࠊࣆ࣑ࣛࢵࢻᆺࡢ㝵ᒙ⤌⧊ࢆᙧᡂࡋࠊୖࡢ㝵ᒙ࠸ࡿ⪅ࡀୗࡢ⪅
ࡽ㔠ࢆ྾࠸ୖࡆࡿ࠸࠺ᙧ࡛ࠊ㓄ᙜࡢࡳࢆ┠ⓗࡋ࡚άືࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ⤌⧊࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ㸯 ࡛ဨ࡞ࡿࠋ᪂ࡋ࠸ဨࢆࢇࢇ⤂ࡍࡿࠋ᪂ဨࡀ
ேቑ࠼ࡿࡈ ࡢ⤂ᩱࢆࡶࡽ࠼ࡿࠋ⤂ࡼࡿ᪂ဨࡢ᪉ࡶࡑࡢᚋ
᪂ࡋ࠸ဨࢆ⤂ࡋࠊ ேࡈ⤂ᩱ ࢆࡶࡽ࠼ࡿࠋࡇࡢ᪉ἲ࡛ㅮࡢ
ദ⪅ࡣ㯲ࡗ࡚࠸࡚ࡶဨࡀቑ࠼࡚⾜ࡁࠊඈࡅ࡛ࡁࡿࠋึᮇဨ࡞ࡗࡓே
ࡶ࡞ࡾඈࢀࡿࠋ⨾ࡋ࠸ඈࡅヰ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊဨᩘࡀ⇿Ⓨⓗቑ࠼ࡿࠋࡕࡻ࠺
㰡ࡢᏊᏞࡀ⇿Ⓨⓗቑ࠼࡚⾜ࡃᵝᏊఝ࡚࠸ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊࡡࡎࡳㅮゝࢃࢀࡿࠋ
࡛ࡶே㛫ࡢᩘ㝈ࡾࡀ࠶ࡿ௨ୖࠊ᪂ධဨࡣᚲࡎ㢌ᡴࡕ࡞ࡗ࡚ࠊ᭱ᚋࡢ᪉
ဨ࡞ࡗࡓேࡓࡕࡣࡁࡃᦆࡋࡗ࡚ࡋࡲ࠺ࠋࡇࢀࡣἲᚊ࡛⚗Ṇࡉࢀࡿࡶࡢ࡛
࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࡛ࡣ୍ேᑐࡋ࡚᪂⤂ဨᩘࡀ [ ni ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ➨㸯௦ࡢဨ z1 ࢆ᪂
z
ࡋ࠸ேࢆ⤂ࡋ࡚ࠊ➨௦ࡢဨ z2 ¦
[1i ࡞ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࡛ࡣ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡀ࡞࠸ࠋ
1
i
㸰 ᪂ᆺࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜
᪥ᮏᅜෆࡢᝈ⪅ᩘࡣ Z n ࡍࢀࡤࠊ་⒪ᶵ㛵ࡢሗ࿌ࡼࡾ⤫ィࢆྲྀࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
୍ேࡢᝈ⪅ࡀ [ ni ே⛣ࡍࠋࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜కࡗ࡚ࠊ᪂ࡋ࠸ᝈ⪅ࡶࢇ
ZL
ࢇቑ࠼ࡿࠋࡇࡢ⛣ࡉࢀࡓேࡓࡕࡣࠕᏊᏞࠖࡧࠊ ¦ [ ni ࡛⾲ࡍࠋࡇࡢᏊᏞࡢ
i 1
ᩘࡣほ ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋᅜෆ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊᾏእࡼࡾࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࢆឤᰁࡋ࡚᪥ᮏ
᮶ࡓேࡣ⛣Ẹ㸦 Yn 㸧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Yn ࡣฟධᅜࡢグ㘓࡞ࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࡼࡾほ ྍ⬟࡛࠶
ࡿࠋࡇࡢྠࡌࡼ࠺ఏᰁࡢὶ⾜ࡀ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝࢆ⏝࠸࡚
ㄝ᫂ࡋ࡚ࡶࡼ࠸ࠋ
᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝ
࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ
[ niࡣᮇᚅ್ Pࡢ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸᚑ࠺^ [ n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
[ni㹼Po(P )
e P P [ni
L ͐͐Q ͐͐
[ ni !
Yniࡣᮇᚅ್ Oࡢ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸᚑ࠺^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
Yni㹼Po(O )
e O O yni
L ͐͐Q ͐͐ ࡉࡽ^ [ n , i `^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶
yni !
ࡿࠋ
᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃ㔞ࡣ
34
Pˆ
n
n
i 1
i 1
¦ Zi ¦ Yi
n
¦Z
n
,Oˆ
¦Y
i
i 1
n
Y 㸦㸧
i 1
i 1
ȣࡢ್ࡣ୕ࡘࡢྍ⬟ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋȣ㸺㸦VXEFULWLFDO㸧ȣ㸻㸦FULWLFDO㸧ȣ㸼
㸦VXSHUFULWLFDO㸧
ࠋࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜ࡣࠊȣࡣ = ࡢᮇᚅ್ࡋ࡚ࠊᝈ⪅
ࡣᖹᆒⓗఱே⛣ࡍࠊࡑࡢᏊᏞࡢつᶍࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋȣ㸺㸯ࡢࠊᏊᏞࡢつ
ᶍࡀࡕ࠸ࡉ࠸ࡃ࡞ࡿࡽࠊᝈ⪅ࡢつᶍࢆ⦰ῶࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࢆ⾲♧ࡋࠊὶ⾜ࡀ࠸
ࡘ⤊ࢃࡿ⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋࡉࡽࠊ Z n ࡢᮇᚅ್ࢆィ⟬ࡍࡿ
E(Z n )㸻 E(E(Z n Z Q ))㸻 E(Z Q P +Yn )
=E(Z n 1 )P + O
O PO P 2 O 㻸 P n 1O
§ 1 P n · 㸦㸧
¸
© 1 P ¹
O¨
ࡇࢀࡼࡾࠊȣ㸼㸯ࡢࠊ Z n ࡢᮇᚅ್ࡀ࡞ࡾࡁࡃ࡞ࡿぢ࠼ࡿࠋᝈ⪅ࡢつ
ᶍࡣࢇࢇᣑࡋࠊࣃࣥࢹ࣑ࢵࢡ㸦ឤᰁ⇿Ⓨ㸧ࡢྍ⬟ᛶࡀ㧗࠸⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋ
࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡼࡾࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆぢࡿ㸸
㹫㸸ୡ௦㸹㹬㸸ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ
ᅗ ࡣ P Q ȣ㸻Ȣ タᐃࡍࡿࡁ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒࡛ࣛ
࠶ࡿࠋ
ᅗ ࡣ P Q ȣ㸻Ȣ㸻㸴タᐃࡍࡿ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛ
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᗄఱศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ
[ niࡣᡂຌ☜⋡㹮ࡢᗄఱศᕸᚑ࠺^ [ n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࠋ
[
[ ni㹼 Geo ( p ) (1 p㸧
p L ͐Q ͐
Yniࡣᡂຌ☜⋡Tࡢᗄఱศᕸᚑ࠺^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ni
Yni
<ni㹼Geo(q) 㸦q㸧
q L ͐͐Q ͐ ࡉࡽ^ [ n , i `^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶
ࡿࠋ
Z niࡢᮇᚅ್ P
1 p Y ࡢᮇᚅ್ O
n
p
1 q
q
᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃ㔞ࡣ
35
n
1 pˆ
pˆ
Pˆ
¦
i 1
n
Z i ¦ Yi
i 1
n
¦Z
n
,Oˆ
¦Y
1 qˆ
qˆ
i 1
n
i
Y i 1
i 1
ᗄఱศᕸࡼࡾࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆぢࡿ㸸
㹫ୡ௦㹬ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ
ᅗ ࡣ P Q 㹮㸻ࠊT タᐃࡍࡿࡁ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢࣛ
࣒࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢȣࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ Ȣࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ㸷࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᅗ ࡣ P Q 㸳㹮㸻ࠊT タᐃࡍࡿ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛ
࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࠊȣࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ ࡛ࠊȢࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ㸷࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
Histogram of lamdahat
4
0
6
0
F
re
q
u
e
n
c
y
6
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
4
0
F
re
q
u
e
n
c
y
8
0
8
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
Histogram of muhat
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.71
0.72
4.8
muhat
4.9
5.0
5.1
lamdahat
5.2
ᅗ 㸫
36
Histogram of lamdahat
60
0
0
20
20
40
Frequency
80
60
40
Frequency
100
120
80
140
Histogram of muhat
1.00496
1.00502
5.85
5.95
muhat
6.05
6.15
lamdahat
ᅗ㸫
Histogram of lamdahat
4
0
F
re
q
u
e
n
cy
6
0
2
0
4
0
0
2
0
0
F
re
q
u
e
n
cy
8
0
6
0
1
0
0
8
0
Histogram of muhat
0.910
0.920
0.930
8.5
muhat
9.0
9.5
10.0
lamdahat
ᅗ 㸫
37
40
30
0
10
20
Frequency
30
20
0
10
Frequency
40
50
Histogram of lamdahat
50
Histogram of muhat
0.965
0.975
0.985
0.995
7.5
8.0
muhat
8.5
9.0
9.5
lamdahat
ᅗ㸫
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃ
Z1 , Z 2 ,㻸 Z n ࡀ୍ḟ⊂❧ྠศᕸᚑ࠺࡞ࡽࡤࠊ㏲ḟ☜⋡᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO
3UREDELOLW\ 5DWLR 7HVW␎⛠ 6357㸧࡛ࡣ㸪୍⯡ࡢ᳨ᐃࡢࡼ࠺ᶆᮏᩘࢆ࠶ࡽ
ࡌࡵᅛᐃࡍࡿࡇࢆࡏࡎ࢜ࣥࣛࣥࢹ࣮ࢱᑐᛂྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋᶆᮏࢆᚓࡿࡓ
ࡧ㸪᳨ᐃ௬ㄝ㹆 ᑐ❧௬ㄝ㹆 ࡢᑬᗘࢆ⟬ฟࡋ㸪ࡑࡢẚ / ࡀࢢࣞࢰ࣮ࣥ㸦᥇
ᢥ㝈⏺Რ༷㝈⏺ࡢ㛫㸧࠶ࡿ㝈ࡾุ᩿ࢆಖ␃ࡋࠊࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ⥆ࡅࡿࠋࡇ
ࡢ⠊ᅖࢆ㉸࠼ࡓࡁ᳨ᐃࢆ⤊ࡍࡿࠋ
ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣࠊ
ࡇࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࠋ
Ṇ้ T
H0 : P
°
½°
f z f z 㻸 f1 zn > a , b @¾ min ®t t 1: log 1 1 1 2
f 2 z1 f 2 z2 㻸 f 2 z2 °¯
°¿
P0 VS +1 : P
㸦㸧
P1 ࡢ᳨ᐃࡢ୰ࠊ᳨ᐃ௬ㄝ H 0 ࡀ┿࡞ࡢᑐ❧௬ㄝ H1 ุ
᩿ࡉࢀࡿሙྜࡣࡔ➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾࡀⓎ⏕ࡋࠊ☜⋡ࡀȘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᑐ❧௬ㄝ H1 ࡀ┿࡞
ࡢ᳨ᐃ௬ㄝ H 0 ุ᩿ࡉࢀࡿሙྜࡣࡔ➨✀ࡢㄗࡾࡀⓎ⏕ࡋࠊ☜⋡ࡀ㸦㸯ș㸧
࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘࡣ᳨ᐃࡢࢧࢬ㸦VL]H㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊ㸮㏆࡙ࡅࡤ㏆࠸ᮃࡲࡋ
࠸ࠋșࡣ᳨ᐃຊ㸦SRZHU㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊ㸯᥋㏆ࡍࢀࡤࡍࡿⰋ࠸ࠋ
38
$:$/'㸦㸧㸦ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩㸯㸧ࡢㄽᩥࡼࡾȘࠊș DࠊE ࡢ㛵ಀࡣୗグࡢᘧ࡛ィ
⟬࡛ࡁࡿ㸸
a
log
1 E
E
b log
1D
D
㸦㸧
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡣᖜᗈ࠸ศ㔝࡛⏝ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᐇࡣᆅ㟈ࡢ⿕ᐖሗฎ⌮ࠊ
㟁Ꮚሗ㏻ಙࢩࢫࢸ࣒㐺ᛂⓗヰ⪅㆑ู>ཧ㸴@࡞࡛࠶ࡿࠋᮏㄽᩥࡢࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡣࠊ
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡀࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜ᢚไࡢㄢ㢟㐠⏝࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ
ࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨὶ⾜୰ࠊᝈ⪅ࡀቑ࠼࡚⥆ࡅࡿ≧ἣࡼࡾࠊࢹ࣮ࢱࡀ࡛࢜ࣥࣛࣥ
࠶ࡿࠋࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨὶ⾜ࢆᢚไࡍࡿࡓࡵ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࢆᢞධࡍࡿࠋࡑࡋࡓࡽ࣡
ࢡࢳࣥࡢຠᯝࢆ᳨ᐃࡍࡿࠋຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽ⏝ࡋ⥆ࡅࡿࠋຠᯝࡀ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ⏝
୰Ṇࠊ᪂ࡓ࡞◊✲ࢆࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ
࣏ࢯࣥ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢ㐣⛬
Z0 =1
°
Z n1
°Z = Z Y
° n ¦ ni n
ࡢࣔࢹࣝᚑ࠺ࠋ
i 1
®
°[ 㹼Po P ࠉ[ࡣQࡘ࠸࡚⊂❧
° ni
°¯<n㹼po O ࠉ㹷ࡣQࡘ࠸࡚⊂❧
< ࡢᮇᚅ್Ȣࡣኚ࡛࠶ࡿ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ
H 0 : P
®
¯ Hˍ : P
P0 ɷ ȷ ɉ ɻ ȃ ࣩ ᷌ ǿ Ǭ
P1 ɷ ȷ ɉ ɻ ȃ ࣩ ᷌ Ǘ ȟ ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᳨ᐃ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ィ⟬ࡣලయⓗḟ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
p zn , yn zn 1 㹼Po ( zn 1P ) Po O p0 zn , yn zn1 p zn , yn zn 1 e zn1P zn1P n
xn yn !
z yn
e zn1P0 zn1P0 n
xn yn !
u
e zn1P1 zn 1P1 n
zn yn !
u
z yn
eO O㹷n
yn !
z yn
u
e O O㹷n
ࡼࡾ
yn !
e O O yn
yn !
39
P1 z1 , y1 㻸 ]n , yn zn1 ᑬᗘẚ L
n
P1 zi , yi zi 1 P ] , y
P0 ]1\1 㻸 ]n , yn zn1 i 1
0
L
zi 1 i
L A ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǿǬ H 0 ᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌ǿǬ˅
L˚ B ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǗȟ Hˍ᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌Ǘȟ˅
P ] , y
¦ log P ] , y
t
/ ࡢᑐᩘᑬᗘ lt
i 1
1
i
i
0
L
i
zi 1 zi 1 ORJ$ D ORJ% E
lt D ࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࡞ࡋࠊlt 㸼㹠ࡢࡁ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࠶ࡿࠋ6357 ᳨ᐃࡢ
Ṇ้ࡣ S
min ^t t 1: lt ! b, or , lt a` ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ>ຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿ@࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ>ຠᯝࡀ
࡞࠸@ࡕࡽࡣ୍᪉ࠊ
᳨ᐃࡉࢀࡿ้ 6 ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆṆࡵࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢ᳨ᐃࡼࡾࠊ
࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡢຠᯝࡘ࠸࡚᪩࠸ẁ㝵ุ࡛᩿ࡀྍ⬟࡞ࡿࠋ
➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾ D p0 ls !b ➨✀ࡢㄗࡾ 1E
p1(ls a)ࠋ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡶᬑ㏻ࡢ⸆ࡶࠊ
ຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿゝࡗ࡚ࡶ࠶ࡿ⛬ᗘࡢㄗᕪࢆチࡍࠋࡇࡢ᳨ᐃ࡛ࡣȘșࡢ್ࡀ࠼
ࡽࢀࡓᐃᩘ⪃࠼ࢀࡤⰋ࠸ࠋࡓ࠼ࡤ D 㸣ࡢពࡣຠᯝ࠶ࡾࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡣ
㸣ࡢேຠᯝ࡞ࡃ࡚ࡶチࡍࠋ E ࡣ┿ᐇ࠾ࡾࡢຠᯝ⋡ࠋࡓ࠼ࡤșࡣ㸷㸳㸣࡛
࠶ࢀࡤࠊࡇࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡀ 㸣ࡢேຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ DE ࡢ್ࡣ㸦㸧
ᘧ࡛Ỵࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾ a
log
1 E
E
b log
1D
Dࠋ
ᗄఱศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᳨ᐃ㐣⛬
ࡢ᥎ᑟࡼࡾ
n
P1 (Z㸯 z1 , Y1
y1 ,㻸 Z n
zn , Yn
yn )
¦ Zt 1
p1 t 1
n
n
¦ zt ¦ zt
(1 p1 ) t 1
n
¦ yt
n
t 1
q n (1 q) t 1 Qi
n
n
i 1
n
P0 ( Z㸯
z1 , Y1
y1 , 㻸 Z n
z n , Yn
yn )
¦ Z t 1
p0 t 1
n
¦ zt ¦ zt
(1 p 0 ) t 1
t 1
¦ yt
q n (1 q ) t 1
Qi
i 1
L
P1 (Z㸯 z1 , Y1
P0 ( Z㸯 z1 , Y1
n
y1 ,㻸 Z n
y1 ,㻸 Z n
n
¦ zi ¦ yi
§ 1 p1 · i 1
¨
¸
© 1 p0 ¹
i 1
zn , Yn
zn , Yn
n
yn )
yn )
n
¦ zi1
§ p ·i 1
¨ 1 ¸
© p0 ¹
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦2.16㸧
40
L A ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǿǬ H0᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌ǿǬ˅
L˚B ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǗȟ Hˍ᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌Ǘȟ˅
/ ࡢᑐᩘᑬᗘ l t
§ n
¨ ¦ zi © i 1
n
¦
i 1
1 p1
·
y i ¸ lo g
1 p0
¹
n
¦
z i 1 lo g
i 1
p1
p0
lt D ࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࡞ࡋࠊ lt 㸼㹠ࡢࡁ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࠶ࡿࠋ
Ṇ้ S
min ^t t 1: lt ! b, or , lt a` ➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾ D
p0 ls !b ➨✀ࡢㄗࡾ1E p1(ls a) ࠋ
᳨ᐃࡢุ᩿ཎ๎ Dࠊ㹠Ỵࡲࡾ᪉ἲࡣศᕸ㝈ࡽࡎࠊᬑ㐢ⓗ㐺ᛂ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝศᯒ
࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡢሙྜ
㹫ࡣୡ௦ࠊ㹬ࡣࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢᅇᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘ ș ᐃࡍࡿࠋ
㹫
㹬
Ȣ
ȣ
ȣ
Ș
ș
➨㸯ᅇ
➨㸰ᅇ
➨㸱ᅇ
ぢ᪉㸸
Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢ್᭱㸻
Ṇ้ࡢᮇᚅ್㸦0HDQ7LPH㸧 Ṇ้ࡢぢ᪉㸸!6WRSSLQJ7LPH>@
>@
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ㸯㸮㸮㸮ᅇ⾜࠺ࠊṆ้ࡀ୍␒ከ࠸ࡢࡀṆ้ ಶࡀ࠶ࡿࠋṆ้ࡢᮇᚅ್ࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࡽぢࡿࠊྛᅇࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ
ࣙࣥࡢṆ้ࡢᖹᆒಶᩘࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
Ṇ้ࡢぢ᪉ࡢࡇࢁ࡛ 6WRSSLQJ7LPH ࡢ㸯㹼㸳ࡢඖ⣲ࢆ⾲♧ࡉࡏࠊ➨୍ᅇࡢ
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢṆ้ࡣ➨㸲㸮ୡ௦ฟ⌧㸪➨ᅇࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ
Ṇ้ࡣ➨㸷㸴ୡ௦ฟ⌧ࡍࡿ࠸࠺ពࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࡼࡾȘࠊșࡣᐃ್ࡢࡲࢃࡾ࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࡇࡀࢃ
ࡿࠋ
➨୍✀ㄗࡾࡢ☜⋡ࡀ ᐃࡍࡿࠊᐇࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾᖹᆒṆ
้㸦㸧ࡢ୰➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾࡀ 㸰ᅇ㸦㸨㸧ࡄࡽ࠸Ⓨ⏕ࡍࡿࠋ
➨✀ㄗࡾࡢ☜⋡ࡀ㸯ș࡛࠶ࡾࠊᐇࡢ☜⋡ࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾᖹᆒṆ
41
้ࡢ୰➨✀㢮ࡢㄗࡾࡀ ᅇࡀⓎ⏕ࡍࡿࠋșࡣ᳨ᐃຊ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ࡢᐇࡢ
್ࡀ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡢຠᯝ᳨ᐃ࡛ࡣ᭷ຠ⋡ࡀ ࠸࠺ព࡛࠶ࡿࠋ௨ୗࡣẚ㍑
᳨ドࡢࡓࡵࠊ≉ᛶ್ࢆධࢀ᭰࠼ࠊᩘᅇࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆ㍕ࡿࠋ
Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH Ṇ ้ ࡢ ᮇ ᚅ ್
ࡢ್᭱
㸦0HDQ7LPH㸧
➨㸯ᅇ
➨㸰ᅇ
➨㸱ᅇ
ᗄఱศᕸࡢሙྜ
Ș ș ᐃࡍࡿࠋ
㹫
㹬
㹮
㹯
Ș
ș
➨㸯ᅇ
➨㸰ᅇ
➨㸱ᅇ
Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH Ṇ ้ ࡢ ᮇ ᚅ ್
ࡢ್᭱
㸦0HDQ7LPH㸧
➨㸯ᅇ
➨㸰ᅇ
➨㸱ᅇ
௨ୖࡢࡘࡢศᕸᑐࡋ࡚ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺⤖ᯝࠊȘ㸦VL]H㸧ș㸦SRZHU㸧
ᐃ್ᐇ㝿್ࡀయୖ୍⮴࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㛫ࡢ㛗ࡉࡣṆ้ࡢᅇᩘᙳ㡪ࢆ࠼ࡿ
ࡇࢆࢃࡿࠋȣࡢ್ࡀ㸯㏆ࡃࡍࢀࡤࡍࡿࠊȘșࡢ್ࡀᕼᮃࡍࡿ್್
ࡀ㏆࡙࠸࡚ࡃࡿࠋ
42
➨ 㸱 ❶ ⮫⏺ ್ᑐࡍࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO 7HVWVIRU7KH
&ULWLFDOLW\RI%UDQFKLQJ3URFHVVHV㸧
ࣔࢹࣝࡢᇶᮏ
Z n ࢆ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ➨ Q ୡ௦ᩘࡋ࡚ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
Zn
Z n1
¦[
n ,i
Yn ࠉ
, ࠉࠉn ࠉi 㸦㸧
i 1
[ n,i ࡀ➨ Q ୡ௦➨ L ␒┠ಶయࡢᏊᏞ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Yn ࡀ➨ Q ୡ௦ࡢ⛣Ẹࡢᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
^[ `^Y ` ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ LLG࡛≉ᛶ್㸦PȪ 㸧㸦ȢE 㸧ࢆᣢࡘࠋ
n,i
n
^Z n `^Yn ` ࡀほ ྍ ࡉࢀࡿ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋึᮇ್ Z 0
1 ࡍࡿࠋ
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡼࡿᐇ㝿ၥ㢟ࡢ◊✲ࡀࡓࡃࡉࢇ࠶ࡿࠋ
⏕ែᏛศ㔝࡛ࡣࠊி㒔Ꮫబ⸨ⴥᏊ࣭℩㔝⿱⨾ඛ⏕ࡼࡾ᭩ࢀࡓᮏࠕጣࡢ⥅ᢎ
⤯⁛ࡢᩘ⌮⏕ែᏛ̿*DOWRQ:DWVRQ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡼࡿࣔࢹࣝゎᯒࠖࡣ୍ࡘࡢᛂ⏝
࡛࠶ࡿࠋᩘ⌮⏕ែᏛࡢほⅬࢆࡾ࠸ࢀ࡚㸪ᛂ⏝ᩘ⌮ศ㔝࡛࠶ࡿ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ࡞
ࡢศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆᛂ⏝ࡋࡓᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡢゎᯒࡼࡗ࡚㸪ጣࡢᏑ⥆ᛶࡸ⤯⁛ᛶ㸪ࡉ
ࡽ㸪ከᵝᛶ㛵ࡍࡿᩘ⌮ⓗ࡞⪃ᐹࢆヨࡳࡿࡓࡵࡢ㸪ࡲࡓ㸪ヨࡳࡓ㐨➽ࢆ㸪࡛
ࡁࡿࡔࡅᑀࡲࡵࡼ࠺ࡋࡓࠋᩘ⌮⏕ែᏛࡢほⅬࡢᑟධࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ㸪ࡾ
ࢃࡅ㸪ጣࡢᏑ⥆ᛶࡢ᳨ウ㛵ࡋ࡚㸪ฟ⏕⋡ࡸฟ⏕ᛶẚࢆ㝧ྵࡴᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡢ
ゎᯒࡼࡗ࡚⪃ᐹࡋ࡚࠸ࡿⅬ㢧ⴭ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ᪥ᮏࡢጣࡢከᵝᛶࡸᏑ⥆ᛶࠊ⤯⁛
ᛶ㛵ࡍࡿᩘ⌮ⓗ࡞⪃ᐹࡀヲࡋࡃࠊィ㔞ⓗ࡞⤖ㄽࡀฟࡓࠋጣࡢၥ㢟ࡣ㸪♫ⓗ
࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣᩥⓗ࡞せ⣲ࢆᢤࡁࡣ⪃ᐹ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࡇࡣᙜ↛ࡔࡀ㸪⤫ィⓗ࡞ᢅ࠸
ࡋ࡚ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡼࡿࣉ࣮ࣟࢳࡣ᭷ព⩏࡞㠃ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
⡿ࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡဨᩘࡢቑ࠼᪉ࡣศᯞ㐣⛬ᚑ࠺ࠋ
ࣉࣜࣥࢫࢺࣥᏛ༤ኈㄢ⛬ᅾ⡠ࡍࡿ -RVKXD6SHFKOHU ࡉࢇ -RKQ&DQQDUHOOD
ࡉࢇࡀᇳ➹ࡋࡓㄽᩥ࡛ࡣࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡࡢ⁛ஸࡀ㏕ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿᙇࡋࠊ◊✲ㄽ
ᩥࡀࣥࢱ࣮ࢿࢵࢺୖ࡛≀㆟ࢆ㔊ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࢯ࣮ࢩࣕࣝࢿࢵࢺ࣮࣡࢟ࣥࢢࢧ࣮
ࣅࢫ㸦616㸧ᡭࡢࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡࡢࡼ࠺࡞ࢯ࣮ࢩ࣓ࣕࣝࢹࡣ㏻ᖖࠊఏᰁ
ྠࡌᡂ㛗⾶㏥ࡢࣃࢱ࣮ࣥࢆࡓࡿㄽࡌ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ேࡣୡ⏺᭱ࡢ 616 ࡛࠶
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V
V Us
U㹱ࡣț㸻 ḟඖࠊࢻࣜࣇࢺ '
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ࠊึᮇ್ ࡢ࣋ࢵࢭࣝ㐣⛬࡛࠶ࡿࠋV ࡢࠊ
V §
'· V
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E1 ¨ c ¸㸻E1 U1 㸻 E1 ¨ U1 ¸㸻 E㸦
1 U1㸧
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V¹ O
O
©c¹
ࢻࣜࣇࢻ E1 U1 ࡢ್ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ
/LQHWVN\ࡼࡾィ⟬᪉ἲࡀ⤂ࡉࢀ࡚࠸
ࡿࠋ」㞧࡞ᩘᏛ⌮ㄽ࡛ド᫂ࡉࢀࡓࡓࡵࠊᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣ⌮ㄽ㒊ศࡢド᫂ࢆ┬␎ࡍࡿࠋ
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ┠ⓗࡣᑐ❧௬ㄝࡢᇶ࡛㹡ࡢ್ࢆㄪᩚࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚Ṇ
้ࡢ᮲௳‶ࡓࡍୖࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢࡁࡉࢆࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝࡍࡿࠋࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥ
ࢢࡢࡁࡉࡢつᶍࡀỴࡵࢀࡤࠊ+ ࡢᇶ࡛㏲ḟ㸦ȪQ㸧ࡢᡭἲࡼࡾᩘᑐࡋ࡚
ィ⟬್ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚⌮ㄽ್ࡣ୍⮴ࡍࡿ࠺ほᐹࡋࡓ࠸ࠋ
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝ
ࡇࡢ⠇࡛ࡣࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆ㍕ࡗ࡚࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖐ↓௬ㄝࢆ᳨ドࡍࡿࡓࡵ⤫ィゎᯒࢯࣇࢺ 5 ࢆ⏝࠸ࡓࠋࣉࣟࢢ࣒ࣛࢆ᭩ࡃ㝿ࠊ
ḟࡢࢧࢻࢆࡼࡃཧ⪃ࡉࡏ࡚࠸ࡓࡔ࠸ࡓ㸸
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6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥィ⟬್ࡀࡰ୍⮴ࡢ⤖ㄽࡀ࡛ࡁ࡚
࠸ࡿࠋ
㸦⾲ ࢆཧ↷㸧
c mˆ Tc -㸯 ࡀ + ࡢᇶ࡛ᶆ‽ṇつศᕸᚑ࠺ࡇࢆ᳨ドࡍࡿࡓࡵṇつᛶ᭷ຠ࡞
.Rlmogorov-Smirnov ᳨ᐃ㸦NVWHVW㸧ࢆ⾜ࡗ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ5 ࡢ୰࡛ࡣ S ್࡛⾲ࡍࠋS ࡢ
್ࡣࡁ࠸ࠊṇつศᕸࡀ☜ᐃ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ୍⯡ⓗ ẚࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ್
ࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ศᯒࡍࡿࠊ c mˆ Tc -㸯 ࡢṇつᛶࢆࡼࡃ☜ㄆ࡛ࡁࡓࠋ
58
⾲ 㹐ࡼࡾᖐ↓௬ㄝࡀ┿ࡢ
P ┿ࡢȪ ୡ௦
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ Q
7F
F 7F
Ȣ
㸦Ṇ้㸧67
㹮YDOXH
c mˆ Tc -㸯 㹎LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH
⾲ 㹫 ┿ࡢȪ ୡ௦
Ǽ
Ȣ
䠬㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻣㻌
㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻤
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㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻝㻜
ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ
Q
7㹡
㸦Ṇ้㸧67
㹮YDOXH
c mˆ T㹡 -㸯 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻝㻝㻌 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻝㻞
59
SLFWXUH
80
60
0
20
40
Frequency
100
120
140
Histogram of B
-2
0
2
4
B
SLFWXUH
60
40
20
0
Frequency
80
100
Histogram of B
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
B
60
SLFWXUH
100
0
50
Frequency
150
Histogram of B
-4
-2
0
2
4
B
SLFWXUH
60
40
0
20
Frequency
80
100
Histogram of B
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
B
61
SLFWXUH
100
0
50
Frequency
150
Histogram of B
-2
0
2
4
B
SLFWXUH
30
20
10
0
Frequency
40
50
Histogram of B
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
B
62
3LFWXUH
100
0
50
Frequency
150
200
Histogram of B
-4
-2
0
2
4
B
3LFWUXUH
100
50
0
Frequency
150
200
Histogram of B
-4
-2
0
2
B
63
3LFWXUH
200
0
100
Frequency
300
Histogram of B
-2
0
2
4
B
3LFWXUH
100
50
0
Frequency
150
Histogram of B
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
B
64
3LFWXUH
40
0
20
Frequency
60
80
Histogram of B
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
B
3LFWXUH
200
100
0
Frequency
300
Histogram of B
-4
-2
0
2
4
B
65
➨ᅄ❶ 6357 ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO3UREDELOLW\5DWLR7HVW㸧
㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃ㸦6357㸧ࡣ $EUDKDP :DOG ᖺࡼࡗ࡚㛤Ⓨࡋࡓ≉ᐃࡢ㏲ḟ௬
ㄝ᳨ᐃ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ1H\PDQ 3HDUVRQ ࡢ ⤖ᯝࡣࠊ㏲ḟゎᯒၥ㢟ࡋ࡚ᐃᘧ
ࡋࡓࠋࡇࡢ⤖ᯝࡣ :DOG ᙳ㡪ࢆ࠼ࡓࠋ
ࡶࡶ〇㐀ᴗࡢศ㔝࡛ࡢရ㉁⟶⌮ࡢ◊✲࡛⏝ࡍࡿࡓࡵ㛤Ⓨࡉࢀࡓࡀࠊ⌧
ᅾᵝࠎ࡞ศ㔝࡛⏝ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࠼ࡤᆅ㟈㆙ሗࢩࢫࢸ࣒ࡢ◊✲ࡸ་⸆ရ┦㛵
ࡢࢸࢫࢺ࡞ࠋṆ้ࡢタᐃࡼࡾࠊᕼᮃࡍࡿ᮲௳⮳ࡿࡲ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ
⥆ࡁࠊᕼᮃ᮲௳‶㊊ࡉࡏࡿ୍␒᪩࠸Ⅼ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡀṆࡲࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺
࡞≉ᚩࢆᣢࡕࠊ㆙ሗᛶண ᛶࡀࡃᐇ⏝ᛶࡢ㧗࠸ゎᯒ᪉ἲ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
:DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃ
:DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢព
㼃㼍㼘㼐 ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃ㸦6357㸧ࡣࠊ⌧ᅾ 6,6$ ࡛၏୍ࡢ࣋ࢬ⤫ィⓗฎ⌮࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
࣋ࢬ⤫ィᚲせ࡞ࡢࡣࠊ๓ࡢࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࢆᐇ⾜ࡍࡿࡇࠊࣔࢹࣝࡢୗ࡛
ᡂᯝࡢᮇᚅࡣ㠀ᖖヲ⣽ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ:DOG ࡢ 㻿㻼㻾㼀 ࠾࠸࡚ࠊ≉ᐃ
ࡢ᮲௳ࡢୗࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࡢỴᐃ‶ࡓࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿሙྜࡣࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࠊ
㞟ࡋࡓࢹࢱࡢゎ㔘ࢆ⥅⥆㛵ࡋ࡚ྲྀࡽࢀࡿࠋ
㏲ḟゎᯒࡣࠊᐇ㦂ࡲࡓࡣ㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢᩘࡣࠊᐇ㦂㛤ጞᅛᐃࡉࢀ
ࡓྂⓗ࡞௬ㄝ᳨ᐃࡣ␗࡞ࡾࡲࡍࠋྂⓗ࡞௬ㄝ᳨ᐃ࡛ࡣࠊࢹ࣮ࢱࡢ㞟ࠊ
ࢹ࣮ࢱࡢゎᯒࢆ⪃៖ࡏࡎᐇ⾜ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡍ࡚ࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࡀ㞟ࡉࢀࡓᚋศᯒ
ࡀ⾜ࢃࢀࠊ⤖ㄽࡀᘬࡁฟࡉࢀࡿࠋࡋࡋ࡞ࡀࡽࠊࢩ࣮ࢣࣥࢩࣕࣝศᯒ࡛ࡍ࡚
ࡢࢣ࣮ࢫࡀ㞟ࡉࢀࡓᚋ┤᥋ศᯒࡉࢀࠊࡑࡢⅬࡲ࡛㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢹ࣮ࢱࡣࠊ
ࡑࡢᚋࠊ᪂ࡓ㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢣ࣮ࢫࡽᚓࡽࢀࡓ᪂ࡓ࡞ሗࢆ⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ≉ᐃࡢ
ᩘ್ẚ㍑ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡇࡢࣉ࣮ࣟࢳࡣࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟୰⤖ㄽࢆฟࡍࡇࢆ
ྍ⬟ࡋࠊྂ௬ㄝ᳨ᐃࡢሙྜࡢࡼ࠺ࠊ᭱⤊ⓗ࡞⤖ㄽࡣࠊ࠾ࡑࡽࡃࠊ࡞ࡾ
᪩࠸ẁ㝵࡛฿㐩ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࡀᑡ࡞࠸ࡑࢀ௨๓ࡢỴᐃ
㡯ࡢᚋ⤊ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺ࠊே㛫ࡢ⏕άᖾࠊ㔠⼥㈓ࡢ㠃࡛⠇
⣙ࡣࠊ࡞ࡾࡢྍ⬟ᛶࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞ࢆ⪃࠼ࡿ㏲ḟゎᯒࡢⅬࡣࢃ
ࡾࡸࡍ࠸ࠋ
≧ἣࢆㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࡓࡵࡲࡎᇶ‽ࢆタᐃࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ࠶ࡿᇶ‽ࡢୗ࡛࠶
ࢀࡤࠕᑡ࡞࠸ࠖࠊ࠶ࡿᇶ‽ࡢୖ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠕከ࠸ุ᩿ࠖࡀྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୍ࡘࡣࠊ
ࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟๓ࠊࡇࢀࡽࡢᇶ‽್ࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ㏻ᖖ࡛࠶ࢀࡤṇࡢᩘ
ࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺࢆ࠼ࡿࠋ୍ࡘ┠ࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺ௨ୖࡢሙྜࡣᨵၿ㸦ከ࠸㸧ࡉࢀࡓࠋ
ࡘ┠ࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺ௨ୗࡢྜࡣຎ㸦ᑡ࡞࠸㸧ࡋࡓࡋ࡚ࡢ≧ἣࢆุ᩿ࡍࡿࠋ
ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀ㜈್⮳ࡿࡲ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ⥆ࡅ࡚㏣ຍࡍࡿࠋ㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢧࣥࣉࣝ
ࢆࡋࡁ࠸್㉸࠼ࡿⅬ࡛ࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࡀ⤊ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢࡘࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺ್ࡀᚲせࡉࢀࠊ⤫ィⓗ࡛ࡣ᳨ฟຊ ș ᭷ពỈ‽ Ș
ࡤࢀࡿࠋ᳨ฟຊࡢࡣࠊ┿ࡢ୰┦㐪Ꮡᅾࡍࡿሙྜࠊ᳨ฟຊ ș ࡢ☜⋡࡛┦
66
㐪ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆほᐹࡍࡿᶵ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡓ࠼ࡤ᳨ฟຊࢆ 㸣タᐃࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࢧ
ࣥࣉࣝ୰ࡿᐇ㝿Ꮡᅾࡍࡿᕪ␗ࢆⓎぢࡍࡿࡀ 㸣࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘࡣḟ㇟ࡢ☜⋡
ࢆ⾲ࡍ㸸┦㐪ࢆⓎぢࡋࡓᛮ࠺ࡢ᳨࡛ᐃࢆ⤊ࡉࡏࡓࡢࠊᐇ㝿ࡣࡇࡢ┦㐪
ࡀᏑᅾࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋȘ ࡣ 㸣ࢆタᐃࡉࢀࡓࠊࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡣ 㸣ࡢ☜⋡࡛ㄗࡗ
࡚Ṇࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࡢព࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
୍⯡ⓗ࡛ࡣ᳨ᐃຊ᭷ពỈ‽ࡢタᐃࡣᗈࡃཷࡅධࢀࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ㏻ᖖࡢ್ࡍࡿࠋ
᳨ᐃࡢෆᐜ࡞⪃࠼࡚ࠊኚ᭦ࡶྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡋࡁ࠸್ࡢỴᐃ
:DOG ࡢ⤖ᯝࡼࡾࠊD 㹠ࡣḟࡢ㛵ಀࡀ࠶ࡿࠋDE ࡣṇ㈇ࡢ㜈್࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡇࡇ࡛
Șࡣ➨୍✀ࡢ㐣ㄗ☜⋡șࡣ➨✀ࡢ㐣ㄗ☜⋡࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
§ E ·
§ 1 E ·
a log ¨
¸ , b log ¨
¸.
© 1-D ¹
© D ¹
ලయⓗぢࡿ6357 ᳨ᐃࡢᖐ↓௬ㄝᑐ❧௬ㄝࡣḟࡢࡶࡢ࡞ࡿ㸸
ܪ ǣ ș ൌ ș ܸܵܪଵ ǣ ș ൌ șଵ ḟࡢᑬᗘ㛵ᩘࢆ⏝࠸࡚ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜࠺ࠋ
݂ ሺ ݔሻ
ଵ
Ȧ୧ ൌ ෑ
ǡ ݊ ൌ ͳǡʹǡ ڮ㸦ͶǤͳ㸧
ୀଵ ݂ ሺݔ ሻ
6357 ᳨ᐃࡢ┠ⓗࡣࡼࡾ᪩࠸ẁ㝵࡛௬ㄝࡢṇ☜ᛶࢆุ᩿ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊDE ࡢ᮲௳ࡢ
ࡶ࡛ࠊE ࡀࡁ࠸ࠊ
D ࡀᑠࡉ࠸ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢṆ้ࡀ㐜ࡃ࡞ࡗ࡚ࠊ
ࡼࡾཝᐦ࡞᳨ᐃࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢẁ㝵࡛ᡤᮃࡢ᳨ฟຊࠊㄗሗ⋡ࢆᥦ౪ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊ
ࡋࡁ࠸್ࢆタᐃࡋࡼ࠺ࠋ᳨ฟ⋡ܲ ᳨ᐃຊߚᑐᛂࡑࡋ࡚ㄗሗ⋡ܲி ᭷ពỈ
‽Șᑐᛂࠋ
⾲グࢆ⡆␎ࡍࡿࡓࡵ ؔ ݔሺݔଵ ǡ ڮǡ ݔ ሻࡑࡋ࡚݂ ሺݔሻ ؔ σୀଵ ݂ሺݔ ሻǡ 㸦݆ ൌ Ͳǡͳ㸧 భ ሺ௫ሻ
݂ ሺݔሻ݀ݔ
భ బ ሺ௫ሻ
ߚ ൌ ܲ ൌ ோ ݂ଵ ሺݔሻ݀ ݔோ
భ
ൌ ோ Ȧ ሺݔሻ݂ ሺݔሻ݀ ݔ㹵 ൌ ߙȦ ሺݔሻ
భ
ఉ
Ȧ ሺݔሻ ORJ ܾࡢᐇࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊḟࡢᘧࡀᑟࡃࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ఈ
ͳ െ ߙ ൌ ͳ െ ܲி ൌ ͳ െ න ݂ ሺݔሻ ݀ ݔൌ න
ோభ
ோబ
݂ ሺݔሻ
݂ ሺݔሻ ݀ ݔൌ න Ȧିଵ
ሺݔሻ݂ଵ ሺݔሻ ݀ݔ
݂ଵ ሺݔሻ ଵ
ோబ
ଵିఈ
࡞ࡢ࡛Ȧିଵ
ܽିଵ ࠋ 㸦㸧
ሺݔሻ ൌ
ଵିఉ
ࡇࢀࡽࡢᘧࡣࠊ⚾ࡓࡕ㐩ᡂࡍࡿࡓࡵᚲせ࡞ࡋࡁ࠸್ࡢୖࡢቃ⏺ࢆ࠼ࡿࠋ
ܲ ሺߚሻܲி ሺߙሻࡣḟࡢ㛵ಀ‶ࡓࡍ
ͳെߚ
ߚ
ܽ
ǡ ܾ ͳെߙ
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67
ܽ ൌ
ଵିఉ
ଵିఈ
ఉ
ࡑࡋ࡚ܾ ൌ ࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡢࡋࡁ࠸್ࡣࠊヨ㦂ࡢㄗࡾ☜⋡ࡣࠊ
ఈ
Șșࡢ㑅ᢥࡼࡗ࡚ᣦᐃࡉࢀࡓࡼ࠺ࠊᑡ࡞ࡃࡶ㝈ࡾᑠࡉࡃࡍࡿࡇࢆಖ
ドࡍࡿࡀࠊ⤖ᯝࡣ࠶ࡲࡾࡶಖᏲⓗ࡛࠶ࡿྍ⬟ᛶࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡼࡾ༢⣧࡞㜈್
ἲ࡛Ṇつ๎ࡀ⾲♧ࡉࢀࡿ㸸
ή ൏ Ȧ ൏ ܾ㸸ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ⥅⥆
ή Ȧ ǣଵ ࢆ㑅ᢥ
ή Ȧ ǣ ࢆ㑅ᢥ
ࡘࡲࡾࠊ㐺ษࡋࡁ࠸್ࢆタᐃࡍࡿࡓࡵࡣࠊȘșࢆ๓Ỵᐃࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞
ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋᩘ್ࡣࠊࣉࣜࢣ࣮ࢩࣙࣥ౫Ꮡࡍࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ㞳ᩓⓗ࡞ሙྜࡣࠊ
ࢧࣥࣉࣝ㛫ࡢ㜈್ࢆᕪࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊㄗᕪࢆࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝ
ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊࡼࡾ✚ᴟⓗࡋࡁ࠸್ࢆタᐃࡍࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋࡶࡕࢁࢇࠊཝᐦ࡞
ቃ⏺ࡣ㐃⥆ⓗ࡞ሙྜ⏝ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃ
H0 : m 1
°
®
' タᐃࡍࡿࠋ
°¯ H 1: m 1 n
ศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡣࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡀḟࡢᘧ‶ࡓࡍࡁṆࡍࡿ㸸
Tac,b inf ^n t 1: log / cn a, b ` 㸦㸧
ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ / cn ࡀᑐᩘᑬᗘẚ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
/ cn
P1 z1 , y1 㻸 zn , yn zn 1 P0 z1 y1 㻸 zn , yn zn1
P z , y
P z , y
n
i 1
1
i
i
0
i
i
zi 1 zi 1 . 㸦㸧
log /Tc c d a ࡢࡁH 0ࢆ㑅ᢥࡍࡿࠋ
a ,b
c
log /T c t b ࡢࡁH1ࢆ㑅ᢥࡍࡿࠋ
a ,b
D E ࡀࢧࢬ㸦VL]H㸧ࣃ࣮࣡㸦SRZHU㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊᣦᐃỈ‽ᚑ࠺ࠋ
㸦࠼
ࡤ ࡞㸧ࠋD E ࡢ್ࡣ᳨ᐃࡢ᳨ฟຊࢆ⾲ࡍ㔜せ࡞ᩘ್࡛࠶ࡿࠋ᳨ฟຊ
ࡣࡇࡢ⾲ࡢࡼ࠺⌮ゎࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ
ᐇ㝿ᡂࡾ❧ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣ
ᖐ↓௬ㄝ +㸮
ᑐ❧௬ㄝ +㸯
᳨
+
ṇࡋ࠸
➨✀㢮ㄗࡾ
ᐃ
㸯㸫Ș
ș
⤖
+
➨୍✀㢮ㄗࡾ
ṇࡋ࠸
ᯝ
Ș
㸯㸫ș
ࡲࡎศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ᑐᩘᑬᗘẚࢆぢ࡚ࡳࡼ࠺ࠋ➨୕❶࡛ࡣ㸦㸧ᘧ࡛ᑐᩘ
68
ᑬᗘẚࢆ࠼ࡽࢀࡓࠋ㔜せ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊࡶ࠺୍ᗘ᭩࠸࡚࠾ࡃࠋ
ln log Lnࡍࡿࠋ
ln
¦ ^log a
n
zi 1 zi yi
i 1
lnc
`
( zi yi㸧
log T zi 1 log A(T ) log byi yiI log B I ࠉࠉ㸦4.5㸧
log / cn .
n [ct ]࡛᭩ࡁ࠼ࡿ
l[cct ]
'
cV
o
Z 1 2 [ ct ]
'
cV
[ ct ]
2
¦ Yi i 1
'Ot '
Xt ࠉ 2 2
V
V
2V
'
2
2
³
t
'2
2c 2V 2
¦Z
㸩o(
i 1
i 1
1
) ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.6㸧
c2
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.7㸧
X u du
0
[ ct ]
ᚑࡗ࡚ศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢṆ้ࡣḟࡢᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
inf ^n : lnc a, b ` inf ^ct : l[cct ] a, b `
Tac,b
୧㎶ t ࡛ࡿ
Tac,b
c
inf ^t : l[cct ] a, b `
ࠉࠉ
o Ta ,b
'
{ inf ®t : ࠉ 2
V
¯
2
t
½
'
O
t
'
X t ࠉ 2 2 ³0 X u du (a, b) ¾ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.8㸧
2V
V
¿
ࡢ &,5 㐣⛬ࡼࡾ dX t 㸦O -'X t )dt V X t dW ࠋᚑࡗ࡚ X t ࡣḟࡘࡢ⾲⌧ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
H 0 : m 1, '
ࠉࠉX t
0
t
t
0
0
³ Odu V ³
X u dWu ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.9㸧
H1 : m 1 ' / c, ' ! 0
ࠉࠉX t
t
t
0
0
³ Odu ³ 'X
u
du V ³
t
0
X u dWu ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.10㸧
ࠉ
ࡇࡢ௬ㄝࡈ6357ࡢ⾲⌧ࡀ␗࡞ࡿࠋ
H 0 : m 1, '
0
'§ '
Ta ,b { inf ®t 㸸 ¨
V © 2V
¯
H 1 : m 1 ' / c, ' ! 0
ࠉࠉTa ,b
³
ࠉࠉTa ,b
'§ '
Ta ,b { inf ®t 㸸 ¨ V © 2V
¯
t
0
X u du ³
½
·
X u dWu ¸ (a, b) ¾ ࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.11㸧
¹
¿
t
0
³
t
0
X u du ³
t
0
½
·
ࠉ㸧
X u dWu ¸ (a, b) ¾ ࠉࠉ㸦4.12
¹
¿
69
ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣࡶ࠺୍ᗘ ''6 ᐃ⌮ࢆࡗ࡚ࠊ㛫ኚ᭦ࢆࡍࡿࠋࡑ࠺ࡍࡿ6357 ࡢ⾲⌧
ࢆࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛⾲ࡏࡿࡇࡀぢࡘࡅࡓࠋ㹂㹂㹑ᐃ⌮ࡢ᮲௳ࡣ➨୕❶ྠᵝ
タᐃࡍࡿࠋ
M 㸻 t X s dW ½
s°
° t ³0
°
t
°
DDSࡼࡗ࡚ ® M t ³ X s ds ¾ᑐࡋ࡚Bs M U sࡋ࡚,
0
°
°
1
°U s㸻 M s
°
¯
¿
'
P㸻 㸼0ࡍࡿ
2V
ª a b º½
(4.13)
H 0 : W a,b { inf ® s t 0 : P s Bs « , » ¾ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
¬ 2 P 2P ¼ ¿
¯
ª a b º½
(4.14)
H1 : W a,b { inf ® s t 0 : P s Bs « , » ¾ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
¬ 2 P 2P ¼ ¿
¯
^
^
`
`
b ½
➨✀ㄗࡾD 㸻PH 0 lTcc t b o P ® PW a,b B t
¾ 㸦 4.15㸧
a ,b
W a ,b
2P ¿
¯
a ½
➨✀ㄗࡾE 㸻PH1 lTcc d a o P ® PW a,b BW d
¾ ࠉ㸦 4.16㸧
a ,b
a ,b
2P ¿
¯
௨ୖࡼࡾWald ࡢ᪉ἲࡼࡾ㜈್ a, b ࡢ್ࢆỴࡵࡿࡇࡀṇᙜࡉࢀࡿࠋ
a
§ E
log ¨
© 1D
·
¸,b
¹
§1 E ·
log ¨
¸
© D ¹
௨ୖࡢィ⟬᪉ἲࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆᐇ⾜ࡋ࡚ࡳࡓࠋ๓Șș
ࡢ್ࢆタᐃࡋࡓࠋ
㸦㸧㸦㸧࡛ィ⟬ࡉࢀࡓ್ࡃࡽࡓ⤖ᯝࡣⰋ࠸⪃
࠼ࡿࠋṆ้ࡢ⤖ᯝࡣ⌮ㄽ್ࡢィ⟬ࡀ༑ศ࡛ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ್࡛ࣙࣥࡀࡼ
࠸ホ౯࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋ
70
ศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ
⾲ + ࡀ┿ࠊ
Ș
㹫㸻㸯
ș
➨ ✀㢮ࡢㄗࡾ + ࡀ┿ࠊ
㹫㸻
Ș
ș
➨ ✀㢮ࡢㄗࡾ 71
➨❶ ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬
㸳 ࣔࢹࣝࡘ࠸࡚ࡢゎㄝ
ࣔࢹࣝ┤ឤࡢព
ྛኚ㔞ࡣ☜⋡✵㛫㸦Ȑ$3㸧࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ =155ࢆࡑࢀࡒࢀ㠀㈇ᩚᩘࠊ
ṇᩚᩘࠊᐇᩘࠊ㠀㈇ᐇᩘࢆ⾲ࡍࠋ
NMѮ=ࡑࡋ࡚ LOѮ^`ࡢࡁ➨ L ✀㢮≀ࡢ➨㹩ୡ௦ࡢᩘࡣ㹖㹩L ࡛⾲♧ࡉࢀ
ࡿࠋࡇࡢᩘࡣ➨ N㸯ୡ௦ࡢ≀ࡢྛᡂဨࡢᏊᏞእࡽ㣕ࡧ㎸ࢇࡔᡂဨ㸦⛣Ẹ㸧
ࡢ࡛Ỵࡵࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࡣࠊL 㸰✀㢮ࡢ≀ࡀ࠶ࡾࠊࢱࣉ ࢱࣉ ࡪ
ࡢሙྜࢆ⪃࠼࡚ࡳࡿࠋ
㸦㸧
ª X k ,1 º X k 1,1 ª [ k , j ,1,1 º X k 1,2 ª [ k , j ,2,1 º ª H k ,1 º
» ¦ «[
» «H »
« X » ¦ «[
¬ k ,2 ¼ j 1 ¬ k , j ,1,2 ¼ j 1 ¬ k , j ,2,2 ¼ ¬ k ,2 ¼
ヲࡋࡃゎㄝࡍࡿࢱࣉ㸯ࡢࡶࡢ N ୡ௦ࡢᩘ ;N ࡣ୕ࡘ㒊ศࡢ࡛Ỵࡵࡽࢀࡿ㸸
N ୡ௦࡛ࢱࣉ㸯ࡢࡶࡢ㸦;N㸫㸯㸧ࡼࡾ⏕ࡲࢀࡓ N ୡ௦ࢱࣉ㸯ࡢᏊᏞ
㸦ȥ㹩M㸧
㸹ղN ୡ௦࡛ࢱࣉ㸰ࡢࡶࡢ㸦;N㸫㸯㸧ࡼࡾ⏕ࡲࢀࡓ N ୡ௦ࢱࣉ
㸯ࡢᏊᏞȥ㹩M㸹ճ➨㹩ୡ௦࡛እࡽ㣕ࡧ㎸ࢇࡔࢱࣉ㸯ࡢࡶࡢ㸦Ȝ㹩㸧
ࠋ
M ࡣྛ㞟ᅋࡢ➨㹨␒┠ࡢᡂဨ⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ
࠸ࡃࡘࡢ࡛ᣲࡆ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ
㸯㸸࠶ࡿⰼࡣⓑ㸦ࢱࣉ㸯㸧㉥㸦ࢱࣉ 㸧Ⰽࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ୍ᰴ࠾ⰼࡢⰍࡣ
ྠ୍࡛࠶ࡿࡀࠊ✀ࡀ࡛ࡁࡓࡽࠊⓑ㉥ࡕࡽ࡛ࡶ⏕ࡲࢀࡿࠋⓑⰍࡢࠕẕぶࠖ
㸦ȥ㹩㸫㸯M㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡀࠊⓑࡢࠕᏊ౪ࠖ ᰴ㸦ȥ㹩M㸻㸧㉥ࡢࠕᏊ౪ࠖ㸯ᰴ㸦ȥ
㹩M㸻㸯㸧ࡀ㐀ࢀࡿࠋᙜ↛㉥Ⰽࡢ࠾ⰼࡶࡕࡽࡢⰍࡢᏊ౪ࡀ⏕ࡲࢀࡿࠋ⏕≀ヨ
㦂୍࡛ᰴ୍ᰴศࡅ࡚ࠊᏊᏞᩘࢆᩘ࠼ࡽࢀࡿ⎔ቃࢆసࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ྛୡ௦ⓑⰼ
㉥ⰼࢆᩘ࠼ࡿ㸦;㹩 ;㹩㸰㸧
ࠋഅࠎⰍࡢࣂࣛࣥࢫࢆ⪃࠼࡚ࠊ᪂ࡋ࠸࠾ⰼࢆ⿵ࡍ
ࡿࡇࡀ࠶ࡾࠊࡇࢀࡣ⛣ẸࡢȜ㹩 Ȝ㹩 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸰㸬ࡘࡢ㖟⾜㡸㔠ࡍࡿࠋ㹩ࡢᮇ㛫ࡣ㸯᭶㛫ࡍࡿࠋ㸯᭶㸯᪥㖟⾜ $ 㖟
⾜ % ࡑࢀࡒࢀ࠶ࡿ㔠㢠ࡢ㡸ࡾࡍࡿࠋ㸯᭶ᮎඖ㔠ࢆᘬࡁฟࡋ࡚ࠊᜥࡢࡳࢆ
㡸㔠ࡍࡿࠋࡓࡔᜥࡣࡲ࡛ࡢ㖟⾜࠾ࡃࡇࡶ࡛ࡁࡿࡋࠊ୍㒊ࡢ㖟⾜
ධࢀࡿࡇࡶྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋࣛࣥࢲ࣒࡛Ỵࡵࡿ࡛ࡼ࠸ࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺᭶ᮎ࡛ඖ㔠ࢆ
ᘬࡁฟࡋ࡚ࠊᜥࡼࡾᜥࢆ⏘⏕ࡍࡿࡇࢆ⪃࠼ࡿࠊ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ᚑ࠺࡛
ࡣ࡞࠸ࡔࢁ࠺ࠋࡕࡽࡢ㡸㔠ࡀ㸮࡞ࡿࠊࡑࡕࡽࡢ㖟⾜ඖ㔠ࢆᢞධࡋࠊ
ࡉࡽᜥࢆฟࡿࠋࡇࡢ㒊ศࡣࠕ⛣Ẹ㡯࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࣔࢹ࡛ࣝྛᮇᮎ $ 㖟⾜
% 㖟⾜ࡢ㡸㔠ṧ㧗ࢆ⪃ᐹ࡛ࡁࡿᛮ࠺ࠋ
⌧ᐇ࡛ࠊࡶࡋᜥࡢ㡸㔠ࡍࡿศࡾࡣࣛࣥࢲ࣒࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ࠾ᐈᵝࡢពᛮ࡛Ỵ
ࡵࡽࢀࡿࠊ㡸㔠ࡢ⾜ࡁ᪉ἲࡣᏊ⋡ࡸ㖟⾜ࡢࢧ࣮ࣅࢫ࡞㛵ಀࡀ࠶ࡿ࡛ࡣ
࡞࠸⪃࠼ࡿࠋ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊᏊ⋡ኚືࡸࢧ࣮ࣅࢫᨵၿᚋ
72
ࡢ㡸㔠ṧ㧗ࡀヨ⟬ࡀྍ⬟࡛ࡣ࡞࠸⪃࠼࡚࠾ࡃࠋ
;
Ȝ1,1
;
;
;
;
;
;
;
;
;
ᅗ㸳㸫㸯 ࣔࢹࣝࡢㄝ᫂
グྕࡢព
ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡣ ^X 0㸪[ k , j ,i ,H k : k , j N , i 1㸪
2` ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿ㸸
ࠉࠉࠉࠉX k
ࠉࠉࠉ[ k , j ,i
ࠉࠉࠉࠉH k
ª X k ,1 º
« X » ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.2㸧
¬ k ,2 ¼
ª [ k , j ,i ,1 º
«[
» ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.3㸧
¬ k , j ,i ,2 ¼
ª H k ,1 º
«H » ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.4㸧
¬ k ,2 ¼
2
2
E [1㸪1,i 㸧㸺fL E ( H1 )㸺f ࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ 㸦
ୗࡢグྕࡘ࠸࡚ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࠋ
73
m[i
E [1,1,i R2 , m[
V [i
Var [1,1,i R 2*2 , V [
mH
E (H1 ) R2 , VH
> m[1
m[ 2 @ R2*2
1
V [1 V [ 2 R 2*2 2
var(H1 ) R 2*2
NѮ=࡛࠶ࡿࡁ )N Ȫ;;͐;.㸧ࡍࡿࠋ ᘧࡼࡾ
E &㹩 |㹄㹩-1 X k 1,1m[1 X k 1,2 m[2 mH m[ &㹩-1 mH
ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚E &㹩 E &㹩 m[ E &㹩-1 mH
m[ E &㹩-1 mH
m㸦
[ m[ E &㹩-2 mH ) mH
m[ 2 E &㹩-2 m[ mH mH
m[ 2 (m[ E &㹩-3 mH ) m[ mH mH
m[ 3 E &㹩-3 m[ 2 mH m[ mH mH
㻸㻸
k 1
j
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉE &㹩 㸻m㹩
[ E & 0 + ¦ m[ mH ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.5㸧ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ
j 0
FULWLFDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUࡘ࠸࡚
᫂ࡽࠊ m[ ࡣࡇࡢ㐃㙐ຠᯝࡢ୰࡛ࡣ㔜せ࡞ᙺࢆᢸ࠺ࠋ
ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣḟࡢࡼ࠺࡞ m[ ࢆᣢࡕࠊᑐ⛠ᆺࡢ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆ⪃
࠼ࡿ㸸
ªD E º
ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉm[㸻 «
» ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.6㸧
¬E D ¼
ࡉࡽࠊȘ㸼 ࡘș㸼 ࡢሙྜࡢࡳὀ┠ࡍࡿࠋ
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ࡼࡗ࡚ᵝࠎ࡞ࡶࡢࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
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ࢱࡢᛶ⬟ྥୖࡼࡗ࡚ࠊᢅ࠼ࡿᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡢᖜࡀኚᗈࡲࡗࡓࠋୖ㏙ࡋࡓࡼ࠺
ࠊᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࢆᵓ⠏ࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ᚓࡽࢀࡿࡇࡣࠊࡲࡎࡣ⌧㇟ࡢ⌮ゎࡀ
࠶ࡆࡽࢀࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊᩘᏛⓗ⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ࠊᢅ࠸ࡀᐜ᫆࡞ࡾࠊᩘᏛ
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ࡃࡢᚚᣦᑟ㸪ᚚ♧၀ࢆ㡬࠸ࡓࡔࡃࡶ㸪ㄽᩥసᡂࡶኚ࠾ୡヰ࡞ࡾࡲࡋ
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ࢆ࠸ࡓࡔࡁࡲࡋࡓࠋࡲࡇ࠶ࡾࡀ࠺ࡈࡊ࠸ࡲࡋࡓࠋ
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