⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ⤫ィⓗ㏲ḟゎᯒ 6HTXHQWLDO$QDO\VLVRI %UDQFKLQJ3URFHVVHVZLWK,PPLJUDWLRQ ᶓᅜ❧Ꮫ ᅜ㝿♫⛉Ꮫ◊✲⛉ ⋤ Ḽ 0 ┠ḟ ࡣࡌࡵ ➨୍❶ ணഛ▱㆑ㄽᩥ⏝ࡉࢀࡓせ࡞ᐃ⌮ᛶ㉁ࡢࡲࡵ 㸯 ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢ▱㆑ ᩘิ㛵ᩘyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࣮࣐ࣜࣥ✚ศyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ᗘㄽࡢᇶ♏ ᗘ✵㛫yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ☜⋡ኚᩘࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ✚ศࡢ▱㆑yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ᖹᆒyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ⊂❧ᛶ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ᩘࡢἲ๎yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ┤✚ ᗘࣇࣅࢽࡢᐃ⌮yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢ⌮ㄽ ᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy Ṇyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 㞳ᩓ㛫࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ☜⋡㐣⛬ ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ືyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ☜⋡✚ศఀ⸨ࡢබᘧyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy %HVVHO 㐣⛬yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ➨❶ ༢୍ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 㸱⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢ⤖ㄽ ࣔࢹࣝ≉ᛶ್ࡢ᥎ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝศᯒyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ➨୕❶ ⮫⏺್ᑐࡍࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ ࣔࢹࣝࡢᇶᮏyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ 㠀㏲ḟ᳨ᐃࡢ㏆ఝ⤖ᯝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ࡢᐃ⌮yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘ )LVKHU ሗ㔞 ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy )LVKHU ሗ㔞yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 1 Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH㸧㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO 7HVW㸧 6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢᐃ⩏yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 㔜せ࡞ᐃ⌮yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ᐃ⌮ࡢド᫂yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࣋ࢵࢭࣝ㐣⛬㸦%HVVHO3URFHVV㸧yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᯒyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᯒ⤖ᯝyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ➨ᅄ❶ 6357 ᳨ᐃ :DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃ :DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢពyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 㜈್ࡢỴᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ➨❶ ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ ࣔࢹࣝࡘ࠸࡚ࡢゎㄝ ࣔࢹࣝ┤ឤࡢពyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ྛグྕࡢពyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy FULWLFDOLW\SDUDPHWHUࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃ &/6 ࡘ࠸࡚yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy &/6 ࡼࡾ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy &/6 ࡼࡾ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy ࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ ➨භ❶ ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy 2 ࡣࡌࡵ࠸ ᮏㄽᩥࡢࢸ࣮࣐ࡣࠕ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ⤫ィⓗ㏲ḟゎᯒ࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿࠋ ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ༢୍ኚ㔞ኚ㔞ࡢࡘࢣ࣮ࢫࢆᐹ ࡋࡓࠋ⤫ィⓗ࡞ᡭἲ࡛ࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ㏲ḟゎᯒ⌮ㄽࢆཝ ᐦド᫂ࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ㏻ࡌࠊᙇࡍࡿほⅬࢆ┤ほⓗ㦂ドࡋࡓࠋ ➨㸯❶࡛ࡣࠊᮏㄽᩥࢃࢀࡿ⌮ㄽ᰿ฎࡋ࡚ᩘᏛⓗ࡞ᐃ⩏ᐃ⌮ࢆࡲࡵ ࡚࠾ࡿࠋᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢ⌮ㄽࠊ ᗘ✵㛫⌮ㄽࠊ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢ⌮ㄽ☜⋡㐣⛬ ࡞ᇶ♏࡞ࡿ▱㆑࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ➨㸰❶࡛ࡣࠊ༢୍ኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝࡘ࠸࡚┤ほⓗ࡞ゎㄝࡍࡿ࠺࠼ࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋࡇࡢ㒊ศࡣ➹⪅ࡢಟኈ௦ࡢ◊✲㢟┠࡛ ࠶ࡿࠋศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝ z0 1, z n zn1 ¦[ n ,i Yn ࠾࠸࡚ࠊ=Q <Q ࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢᮇᚅ್ i 1 ࢆȣȢࢆ᥎ᐃࡋ࡚ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒࡛ࣛ⾲♧ࡋࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ ᖐ↓௬ㄝȣ㸻㸯ᑐ❧௬ㄝȣ㸼㸯ࢆタᐃࡋࠊ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࢆ࠾ࡇ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ⤫ P1 z1 , y1 㻸 zn , yn zn1 ィ㔞ࡣ㛵ᩘᑬᗘẚ L ࡛ỴࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋṆ้ P0 z1 \1 㻸 zn , yn zn 1 ° ½° f z f z 㻸 f1 zn > a, b @¾ ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡇࡢᇶ୍࡛ᐃ᮲௳ min ®t t 1: log 1 1 1 2 f 2 z1 f 2 z2 㻸 f 2 z2 °¯ °¿ ‶ࡓࡍ้㹲ࢆྲྀࡾฟࡋࠊࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆࢫࢺࢵࣉࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞Ṇ ้ࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾほ ࡉࢀࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࡇࡢ᳨ᐃࡢ✀㢮ㄗࡾࢆࢩ࣑ࣗ ࣮ࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾ⟬ฟࡋࡓࠋ⌮ㄽ್య୍⮴ࡢ⤖ㄽࢆྲྀᚓࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊྛ≉ᛶ್ ࡢ≉ᚩࢆ᫂☜ࡋࡓࠋ ➨㸱❶࡛☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘ࡞ᛶ㉁ࢆ⏝ࡋࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠸࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐ ࡋ࡚㏲ḟゎᯒࢆ࠾ࡇ࡞ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚⮫⏺್㹫㸻㸯࠾࠸࡚㏲ḟ᳨ᐃࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞ ࢩ ࣙ ࣥ ࡢ ࢆ ⾜ ࡗ ࡓ ࠋ ࡇ ࡢ 㒊 ศ ࡛ ࡢ ⌮ ㄽ ࡣ ,9%DVDZD 6HTXHWQWLDO (VWLPDWLRQ )RU %UQFKLQJ3URFHVVHV:LWK ,PPLJUDWLRQ .HLML1DJDL 㸦 㸧 6HTXHWQWLDO (VWLPDWLRQ 7HVW )RU 7KH &ULWLFDOLW\ 2I %UDQFKLQJ3URFHVVHV ࢆཧ⪃ࡋࡓࠋ6WRSSLQJ 7LPH ࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࡓࡵࣇࢩ࣮ࣕ ሗ㔞ࡢពࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࢆヲࡋࡃ⤂ࡋࡓࠋ.HLML1DJDL ࡢㄽᩥ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉ ࢀࡓᐃ⌮ࢆᩘᏛⓗ࡞ཝᐦド᫂ࢆࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊ%HVVHO 㐣⛬ࡼࡾࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ n ½ ࡢ⪃࠼᪉ࢆᥦࡋࡓࠋ Tc inf ®n t 0; ¦ Z i 1 / Vˆ n2 t c 2 ¾ , c o f ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࡁࠊ i 1 ¯ ¿ ࡇࡢ᪉ἲ࡛ࡣࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢつᶍࢆᐃࡋࡓࡽ %HVVHO 㐣⛬ࡢ▱㆑ࡼࡾࢧࣥࣉࣜ ࣥࢢࡢࡲࡿ᮲௳㹡ࢆᩘ㔞ⓗ⪃ᐹ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ࡛ࣙࣥほ ࡉࢀࡓ 6WRSSLQJ7LPH ࡀᐃࡋࡓࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢつᶍయ୍⮴࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛┠ⓗࢆᐇ⌧ࡋ T ࡓࠋࡉࡽ⤫ィ್ c mˆ Tc 1 ࡢศᕸࢆࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒࡛ࣛほ ࡉࢀࡓࠋ⌮ㄽⓗ࡛ࡣࡇ ࡢ⤫ィ್ࡀᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ືᚑ࠺ࡀࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ࡛ࣙࣥయṇつศᕸࡢࣄ ࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛࡀฟ࡚࠸ࡓࡓࡵࠊࣔࢹࣝࡢ㏲ḟゎᯒ⌮ㄽࢆ㦂ドࡋࡓࠋ ➨㸲❶࡛ࡣ➨㸱❶ࡢゎᯒ⌮ㄽࡢ࠺࠼ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋ༢୍ኚ㔞⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ 3 ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ࠊ$EUDKD :DOG ᖺ࡛ࡀ㛤Ⓨࡋࡓ≉ᐃࡢ㏲ḟ௬ㄝ᳨ᐃࡢ ᡭẁ࡛ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜࠸ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ᳨࡛ࣙࣥᐃຊࡘ࠸࡚⪃ᐹࡍࡿࠋ✀㢮 ㄗࡾࡢ⟬ฟ᪉ἲࢆ᫂☜ࡋࡓ࠺࠼ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ್ࣙࣥࢆィ⟬ࡋࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢୖࠊ6WRSSLQJ 7LPH ࡢṆ᮲௳ྍኚ㔞ࡢࡃሙྜࡢࡶ ⪃࠼࡚ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋ⡆༢࡛ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿṆ้ࡣ Tac,b inf ^n t 1: log / cn a, b ` ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡇࡢሙྜࠊᕼᮃ࡞ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢつᶍ ࢆᚓࡿࡓࡵࠊࣔࢹࣝ≉ᛶ್࡛࠶ࡿ㹫ࡢࡳࡢຊ࡞ࡽ༑ศ࡛࠶ࡿࡁࠊࡉࡽ㹴 ࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊ⢭ᐦ࡞Ṇ᮲௳ࢆぢࡘࡅࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ≀⌮⣔ࡢ◊✲࡞ࡼࡃ ࢃࢀࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ㹴ࡢᏑᅾࡀ᳨ᐃࡢ⢭ᗘࢆᖜᨵၿ࡛ࡁ ࡿ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸⪃࠼࡚࠾ࡿࠋ࠼ࡣᆅ㟈ࡢணሗࡸᶵᲔࡢࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝ࡞ࠋࡇ ࡢ㒊ศ㛵ࡍࡿ⌮ㄽࡣᮍᡂ⇍࡛࠶ࡿࡀ Qࠊᚋࡢ◊✲᪉ྥࡋ࡚ດຊࡍࡿḧࡀ࠶ ࡿࠋ ª X k ,1 º X k 1,1 ª [ k , j ,1,1 º X k 1,2 ª[ k , j ,2,1 º ª H k ,1 º ➨㸳❶࡛ࡣኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝ « » ¦ « » « » ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊල » ¦« ¬ X k ,2 ¼ j 1 ¬[ k , j ,1,2 ¼ j 1 ¬[ k , j ,2,2 ¼ ¬H k ,2 ¼ యⓗ࡞࡛ゎㄝࡋࡓୖ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃࢆࡋࡓࠋ ኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝࡢṆ้ၥ㢟ࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡾ᥈⣴ࡋ࡚ࡳࡓࠋኚ㔞ࣔࢹ ࣝࡢṆ้ࡢᐃ⩏ࠊ᮲௳タᐃ࡞ࡢࡇࡘ࠸࡚ᥦࡋࡓࠋ ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱࡢ᥎ᐃࠊṆ้ၥ㢟ࡢ᥈⣴ࠊ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ࡞ၥ㢟ࢆ⪃ᐹࡍ ࡿࡇࡼࡾࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ༢୍ኚ㔞 ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬㛵ࡍࡿ≉ᛶࢆ᫂☜ࡋ ࡓࠋ㏲ḟゎᯒࡣ⤫ィⓗ᥎ ᚲせ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚲせ᭱ᑠ㝈ᚓࡿࡇ࡛ࠊ᪩࠸Ⅼ ࡛᮲௳ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࢧࣥࣉࣝࢆ⋓ᚓࡋࠊ᪩ᮇ㆙ሗࢩࢫࢸ࣒ࢆᥦ౪࡛ࡁࡿⅬ࡞ࡿࠋ ㏲ḟゎᯒࡢ᪉ἲࡣ୍ኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝࡽኚ㔞ࣔࢹࣝᣑᙇࡋ࡚ࠊ᪂ࡓ࡞⪃࠼࡛࠶ ࡿࠋ ⮬↛⏺࡛ࡣ⏕≀ࡢฟ⏕Ṛஸࡀ⮬↛࡞ࡶࡢࡔࠋᏊࡶࢆ⏕ࡳࡔࡋ⥆ࡅࡿࡢ࡛ ≀✀ࡀ⤯⁛ࡏࡎࠊྛୡ௦ࡀ୍ࡘࡢ㞟ᅋ࡞ࡿࠋ⛉Ꮫ࡛ࡣ㟁Ꮚಙྕࡢ㌿㏦ࡍࡿࡼ ࠺ࠊ୍ᮏಙྕ※ࡽฟ࡚࠸ࡃ㟁Ꮚࡀ㟁Ꮚᯈࢆ㏻ࡿఱᮏࡢ᪂ࡋ࠸㟁Ꮚࢆ⏕ࡳ ࡔࡍࠋᡃࠎࡣᏊࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᩘࡢቑ࠼᪉Ꮚࡶࡽ┤ほⓗ༳㇟ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࠊ ᩘ⌮⤫ィࡢ᪉ἲࢆ㏻ࡌࠊࡇࡢቑ࠼᪉ࢆᐃ㔞◊✲ࢆ⾜࠺ᚋࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ ㄆ㆑ࡀ῝ࡃ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ≉ᛶ್ࡢィ⟬ࡼࡾࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ᚑ࠺࠶ࡿ㞟ᅋࡢつᶍࠊࡇࡢ ඛ࠺ࡢࡼ࠺ኚࡍࡿࡢࡀ᫂ࡽ▱ࡗࡓࠋࡉࡽࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡀศᯞ 㐣⛬ࢆ㔞ⓗ⌧ࡋࠊ⌮ㄽ᥎ᐃࡢ⤖ᯝࢆ᳨㦂ࡍࡿࡇࡀฟ᮶ࡿࠋࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗࢱ ᢏ⾡ࡢඛ㐍ᛶࢆᐇឤ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ 㞟ᅋつᶍࡢ⦰ᑠࡋ࡚⾜ࡗ࡚ࡋ࠸ࠊᣑ࠸࡚⾜ࡗ࡚ࡋ࠸ࠊྛศ㔝ࡢ◊✲ ᑐࡋ࡚ᕼᮃࡶ␗࡞ࡿࠋ㏲ḟゎᯒࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊᕼᮃ᮲௳‶ࡓࡍࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ ᥈ࡍࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢ᥈ᰝࡀᐇ⌧࡛ࡁࡓࡽࠊᡃࠎࡢ♫⏕ά࡛ࡣ῝้ࡢᙳ㡪 ࢆ࠼ࡿࠋࡲࡓᮏㄽᩥࡢࢆゝ࠺ࠊ㏲ḟゎᯒࡼࡾྛศ㔝ࡢ◊✲ཬࡪ♫⏕ά ᑐࡍࡿ✚ᴟ࡞ព⩏ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗࢱࡣࡘࡢ㡿ᇦࢆࡘ࡞ࡂྜࢃࡏࠊ࠸ࢁ ࠸ࢁ࡞◊✲ᡂᯝࢆඹ㏻⏝ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࠋ 4 ➨୍❶ ணഛ▱㆑ㄽᩥ⏝ࡉࢀࡓせ࡞ᐃ⌮ᛶ㉁ࡢࡲࡵ ➨୍❶࡛ࡣࠊᮏㄽᩥ㛵㐃࡛࠶ࡿᩘᏛࠊ⤫ィᏛࡢᐃ⩏࣭ᐃ⌮࣭㢟࣭⿵㢟ࢆ ࡲࡵ࡚࠾ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡢᇶ♏▱㆑ࡣຮᙉࡢ㔜せෆᐜࡢ୍ࡘࡋ࡚ࠊ◊✲ࡢᇶ┙ ࡞ ࡿ ࠋ ḟ ࡢ ᮏ ࢆ ཧ ⪃ ࡋ ࡓ 㸸 %LOOLQJVOH\3> ཧ ⪃ ᩥ ⊩ @'DYLG :LOOLDPV>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ @➟ཎᬊྖ㸦㸧>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ @ࠋ 㸯 ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢ▱㆑ ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡣ ୡ⣖㡭ࡽḟ➨ࡑࡢຊᙉ࠸ጼࢆ⌧ࡋጞࡵࢽ࣮ࣗࢺ࣭ࣥࣛ ࣉࢽࢵࢶࡼࡿయ⣔ࢆ⤒࡚௨ᚋᩘୡ⣖ࢃࡓࡾ⮬↛⛉Ꮫࡢ᭱ࡶᇶᮏⓗ࡞㐨ල ࡋ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀࠊྠࡲࡓࡑࢀ⮬㌟ࡶࡁࡃⓎᒎࡋ࡚ࡁࡓே㢮ඹ㏻ࡢ㈈⏘࡛ ࠶ࡿࠋᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢᑟ㛵ᩘ㛵ಀࠊ㏆ᒎ㛤ࠊᩘิࡢ᮰ࠊ࣮࣐ࣜࣥ✚ศ࡞ࡢ ၥ㢟ࡣ◊✲ࡼࡃ⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡓࡢ࡛ࠊᩚ⌮ࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ ᩘิ㛵ᩘ ᐃ⩏ ᩘิ ^an ` n 1, 2,... ࡀ㹬Ѝ҄ࡢ a R ᮰ࡍࡿࡣ aࡢࢇ࡞H ㏆ഐUH a ࢆࡗ࡚ࡶ᭷㝈ಶࡢ␒ྕ Q ࢆ㝖࠸࡚ࡍ࡚ࡢ an UH a ࡞ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ lim an n of aࡲࡔan o aࠉ Q o f ᭩ࡃࠋ ᐃ⩏ ᩘิ ^an ` n 1, 2,... ࡀ㹬Ѝ҄ࡀࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ิ࡛࠶ࡿࡣ௵ពȜᑐࡋ ࡚᭷㝈ಶࡢ␒ྕ Q ࢆ㝖࠸࡚ࡍ࡚ࡢ an ࡢ┦㊥㞳ࡀ Ȝ ௨ୗ࡞ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ௵ព Ȝ㸼 ᑐࡋ࠶ࡿ␒ྕ Q ࡽඛࡢࡍ࡚ࡢ SࠊT ᑐࡋ a p aq H ࡞ࡿࡼ࠺ Q ࡀỴࡵࡽࢀࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ᮰ิࡀࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ิ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊ㏫ࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ิࡣ᮰ิ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ lim f x ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࡓࡵࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ࡣ௵ពࡢȜ㸼 ᑐࡋ *! x of ࢆ㐺ᙜ࠼ࡽࢇ࡛ࢇ࡞ x1 ! G , x2 ! G ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶ f x1 f x2 H ࡞ࡿࡼ࠺ ࡛ࡁࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦ࡇࡢ᮲௳ࢆࢥ࣮ࢩ࣮ࡢ᮲௳ࡪ㸧ࠋ ᐃ⌮ 㸦୰㛫್ᐃ⌮㸧 f x ࢆ᭷⏺㛢✵㛫 I > a, b@ ࠾࠸࡚㐃⥆࡞㛵ᩘࡍ ࡿ f a f b ࡢ୰㛫ࡢ௵ពࡢ್ l ᑐࡋ l f [ ࡞ࡿ್ [ I ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ 㞟ྜ $ ୖ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓ㐃⥆㛵ᩘࡀ $ ୍࡛ᵝ㐃⥆ࡣ௵ពࡢȜ㸼 ᑐࡋț㸼 ࢆ㸦Ȝᛂࡌ࡚㸧㐺ᙜ㑅ࡪ┦㊥㞳ࡀ ț ௨ୗࡢ௵ពࡢ㸰Ⅼ x A, y A, x y G ࡘ࠸࡚ࡘࡡ f x f y H ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇࢆ࠸࠺ࠋᩜ 5 ࡛᭩ࡃ lim f x f y 0 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᬑ㏻ࡢ㐃⥆ᛶࡀ x0 ࢆᅛᐃࡍࡿࡈȜ x y o0 ᑐᛂࡍࡿț㸼 ࢆࡁࡵ࡚ f UG ( x0 ) UH (y0 ) ࡞ࡿࡢᑐࡋ୍ᵝ㐃⥆ᛶࡣࡇ ࡢț x0 ↓㛵ಀ $ యࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚ྠࡌ್ྲྀࢀࡿࡇࢆ♧ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ᭷⏺㞟ྜ $ ୖ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓ୍ᵝ㐃⥆㛵ᩘࡣ $ ࡲ࡛㐃⥆㛵ᩘࡋ࡚ࡣᣑ ᙇ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࡑࡢᣑᙇࡣ୍ពⓗ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㏫᭷⏺㛢㞟ྜ . ୖ࡛㐃⥆࡞㛵ᩘ ࡣ . ୍࡛ᵝ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ 㸦ࣛࣈࢽࢵࢶ㸧 n §n· k n n k f x , g x ࡀx0࡛nᅇᚤศྍ⬟ࡢࡁ fg x0 ¦ ¨ ¸ f x0 g x0 . k k 0© ¹ ᐃ⩏ ࢸ࣮ࣛࡢබᘧ f ( x ) ࡀ x0 ࡛㐃⥆࡞ࡽ f x f ( x0 ) ࡣ x o x0 ࡢ↓㝈ᑠ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ f x f ( x0 ) ࢆ ᆺⓗ↓㝈ᑠࡢ㸯ḟ⤖ྜ࡛⾲ࡍࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࢀࡤࠊ f ( x ) ࡀ x0 ㏆࡙ࡃࡢᵝᏊࡀࡼ ࡃࢃࡿࡇ࡞ࡿࠋᆺⓗ࡞↓㝈ᑠࡋ࡚ࡣ࠸ࢁ࠸ࢁ࡞㛵ᩘࡀ⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡀ ᭱ࡶᇶᮏⓗ࡞ࡶࡢࡋ࡚ࠊ ( x x0 )D (D ! 0) ࡀ࠶ࡆࡽࢀࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡑࡇ࡛ f ( x) f ( x0 ) a1 x x0 1 .... an x x0 n o x x0 a a an 0 a1 a2 ... an ࡛ࡁࡿ࠸࠺ၥ㢟ࢆ⪃࠼ࡼ࠺ࠋࡶࡋࠊ f ( x) ࡀ x0 ࡛ᚤศ ྍ⬟࡞ࡽ f ( x) f ( x0 ) f c( x0 ) x x0 o x x0 ࠉࠉ x o x0 ࡔࡽࡑࡢࡼ࠺࡞ ᆺⓗ࡞↓㝈ᑠࡢ୍ࡘ x x0 ࡀ☜ྲྀࢀࡿࠋࡶࡗᚤศྍ⬟ᛶࡢᅇᩘࡀቑࡸ ࡏࡤࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞㡯ࡣቑ࠼ࡿࡔࢁ࠺ࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕḟࡢᐃ⌮ࡀฟࡿ㸸 㸦ࢸ࣮ࣛබᘧ㸧 > x0 , x @ ࡛ f n 1 ࡀ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡗ࡚ x0 , x ࡛f n ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿ࡞ࡽࡤ f x f x0 ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣRn x f c x0 1! x x0 f cc x0 2! x x0 2 ... f ( n 1) x0 n 1! x x0 ( n1) Rn x , (n) f ( n ) [ x x0 ࡞ࡿࡼ࠺࡞ [ x0 , x ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ n! ᐃ⌮ ࢹࢽࡢᐃ⌮ ᭷⏺㛢㞟ྜ . ୖ࡛ ^ f n x `n 㸦ࡲࡓࡣῶᑡ㸧ࡋ࡚ f x ྛⅬ᮰ࡋࠊ^ f n x `n 1,2,... 1,2,... ࡀ㹬ඹ༢ㄪቑຍ ࡶ f x ࡶ㐃⥆㛵ᩘ࡞ࡽࡤ ࡇࡢ᮰ࡣ . ୖ୍࡛ᵝ᮰࡛࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ ᐃ⌮ ᭷⏺࡞✵㛫 I > a, b@ ୖ࡛ ^ fn x ` ࡀ㐃⥆㛵ᩘิ࡛࠶ࡗ࡚ࠊ f x ୍ᵝ b ᮰ࡍࢀࡤ lim ³ f n t dt n of a b ³ f t dt a 5LHPDQQ ✚ศ 6 ᐃ⌮ ᚤศ✚ศᏛࡢᇶᮏᐃ⌮ ༊㛫ୖࡢ㐃⥆㛵ᩘ f t ᑐࡋࠊᐃ✚ศࡀཎጞ㛵ᩘࡢ୍ࡘࢆ࠼ࡿ㸸 d t f s ds f t ࠋゝⴥࢆ࠼࡚࠸ࡿࠊ F t dt ³a ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡾࠊ F c t f t ࡞ࡿࠋ t ³ f s ds ࠾ࡃࠊ)Wࡣᚤ a ᐃ⌮ f x ࠊg x ࡀ࠶ࡿ✵㛫࡛ᚤศྍ⬟࡛ࠊ f c x ࠊg c x ࡀ㐃⥆࡞ࡽࡑࡢ ༊㛫ෆࡢ௵ពࡢ DE ࡘ࠸࡚ b b b ࠸ࡾ f c t g ( t ) d t ª¬ f t g ( t ) º¼ a ³ f t g c( t ) d t . ³ a a ᐃ⌮ f x ࡣ✵㛫 , ୖ࡛㐃⥆ࡋࠊM s ࡣ✵㛫 - ୖ࡛ᚤศྍ⬟࡛ࠊM c s ࡣ 㐃⥆ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊ M s Iࠊs J ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ x M s ࡍࡿ௵ពࡢ ȘࠊșѰ- ᑐࡋࠊ ³ ME M D f ( x)dx E ³D f (M ( s))M , ( s)ds. ᗘ✵㛫⌮ㄽࡢᇶ♏ ᗘ✵㛫 ᐃ⩏ 㸦6Ȋ㸧ࢆྍ ✵㛫ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕȊࡣ 6 ୖࡢȪຍἲ᪘࡛࠶ࡿࡍࡿࠋ ീȣ㸸ȊЍ>҄@ࡣȣࡀྍ⟬ຍἲⓗ࡛࠶ࡿࡁ㸦6Ȋ㸧ୖࡢ ᗘࡤࢀࡿࠋ ୕ࡘ⤌㸦6Ȋȣ㸧ࡣ ᗘ✵㛫ࡪࠋ ȣV㸺࡛҄࠶ࡿࡁࠊ ᗘ㸦ȣ ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ ᗘ✵㛫㸦6Ȋȣ㸧㸧ࡣ᭷㝈࡛࠶ࡿ ࠸࠺ࠋ Ȋ ࡢせ⣲ࡢิ Sn : n N ࡛ P S n f n N , ࡘ㼁Sn S ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡀᏑ 㹬 ᅾࡍࡿࡁࠊ ᗘ ȣ ࢆ Ȫ᭷㝈ࡼࡪࠋ ᗘ ȣ ࡣ ȣ6㸻㸯࡛࠶ࡿࡁ☜⋡ ᗘࡤࢀࠊ 㸦6Ȋȣ㸧ࡣ☜⋡ ᗘ ࡪࠋ ᐃ⌮ ࢝ࣛࢸ࢜ࢻࣜࡢᣑᙇᐃ⌮ 6 ࢆ㞟ྜȊ ࢆ 6 ୖࡢ୍ࡘࡢຍἲ᪘ࡋȊ㸻ȪȊࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡶࡋȣ ࡀྍ⟬ຍ ἲⓗ࡞ീȣ㸸ȊЍ>҄@࡛࠶ࡿࡍࡿ6Ȋୖࡢ ᗘȣ࡛࠶ࡗ࡚Ȋ ࡢ ୖ࡛ ȣ㸻ȣ ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ ⿵㢟 ᇶᮏⓗ࡞➼ᘧ 7 S , ¦, P ࢆ ᗘ✵㛫ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊ (1) P A㼁 B d P A P B ࠉࠉ A, B ¦ . § · (2) P ¨ 㼁 Fi ¸ d ¦ P Fi ࠉࠉࠉ F1 , F2,.... Fn ¦ . © idn ¹ idn (3)ࡉࡽP 㹱㸺 fࢆ௬ᐃࡍࡿ P A㼁 B P A P B P A㻵 B ࠉࠉࠉ A, B ¦ . § · (4) F1 , F2,.... Fn ¦ᑐࡋ࡚P ¨ 㼁 Fi ¸㸻¦ P Fi ¦ ¦ P Fi 㻵 Fj i j dn © idn ¹ idn ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ +¦¦¦ P Fi 㻵 F j 㻵 Fk ... 1 n 1 P F1 㻵 F2 㻵 ...㻵 Fn ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ ⿵㢟 ᗘࡢ༢ㄪ᮰ᛶ 㸦1㸧Fn ¦(n N)࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡘFn n Fࡍࡿ, P Fn n P F ࡀᡂ❧ࠋ ྍ⟬ಶࡢP 㞽㞟ྜࡢࡣࡲࡓP 㞽㞟ྜ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ☜⋡ኚᩘ ᐃ⩏ 㸦6Ȋ㸧ࢆྍ ✵㛫ࡍࡿࠋȊྍ 㛵ᩘK6Ѝ55 ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋ$Ӭ5 ᑐࡋ࡚ h1 A ^s S : h(s) A` ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ㹦ࡀ Ȋྍ ࡛࠶ࡿࡣ㸸 h 1 : % o ¦ . ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ A % ᑐࡋ h 1 (A) ¦ ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࠋࡺ࠼Ȋྍ 㛵ᩘ K ࡘ࠸࡚ḟࡢᘧࡀᡂ❧㸸 h S o R, h1 ¦m % ⿵㢟 ศᕸ㛵ᩘࡢᛶ㉁ ࠶ࡿ☜⋡ኚᩘ ; ࡢศᕸ㛵ᩘ ) )[ ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡇࡢ (1) F : R o > 0,1@ , F n (ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕx d \ F x F y ). (2) lim F x 1, lim F x 0 x of x of 3 Fࡣྑ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ༢ㄪ᪘ᐃ⌮ + ࢆ 6 ࡽ 5 ࡢ᭷⏺㛵ᩘࡢࡘࡃࡿ୍ࡘࡢ㢮㸦ࢡࣛࢫ㸧࡛ࠊ࠸ࡢᛶ㉁ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ ࡶࡢࡍࡿࠋ 㸦㸧+ ࡣ 5 ୖࡢ࣋ࢡࢺࣝ✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧ᐃᩘ㛵ᩘ㸯ࡣ + ࡢせ⣲࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧 f n ࡀ + ࡢ㠀㈇㛵ᩘิ࡛ࠊ f n n f ࠋࡇࡇ f ࡣ 6 ୖࡢ᭷⏺㛵ᩘࡍࡿ 8 + ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ 㹼ᐃ⩏ ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ᮰ࡘ࠸࡚࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᩘᏛࡢ☜⋡ㄽࡢศ㔝࠾࠸࡚ࠊ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ᮰㸦FRQYHUJHQFHRIUDQGRP YDULDEOHV㸧㛵ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ࠸ࡃࡘࡢ␗࡞ࡿᴫᛕࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ☜⋡ኚᩘิࡢ࠶ࡿᴟ㝈 ࡢ᮰ࡣࠊ☜⋡ㄽࡸࠊࡑࡢᛂ⏝ࡋ࡚ࡢ⤫ィᏛࡸ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ◊✲࠾ࡅࡿ㔜 せ࡞ᴫᛕࡢ୍ࡘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡼࡾ୍⯡ⓗ࡞ᩘᏛ࠾࠸࡚ྠᵝࡢᴫᛕࡣ☜⋡᮰ 㸦VWRFKDVWLFFRQYHUJHQFH㸧ࡋ࡚▱ࡽࢀࠊࡑࡢᴫᛕࡣࠊᮏ㉁ⓗࣛࣥࢲ࣒࠶ ࡿ࠸ࡣண ྍ⬟࡞㇟ࡢิࡣࠊࡑࡢิࡽ༑ศ㞳ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࢸ࣒ࢆ◊✲ࡍ ࡿሙྜ࠾࠸࡚ࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤࠊᮏ㉁ⓗኚ࡞ᣲືⴠࡕ╔ࡃࡇࡀணࡉࢀ ࡿࡇࡀ࠶ࡿࠊ࠸࠺⪃࠼ࢆᐃᘧࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ␗࡞ࡿ᮰ࡢᴫᛕࡣࠊ ࡑࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᣲືࡢ≉ᚩ࡙ࡅ㛵㐃ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ㸸ࡍࡄศࡿࡘࡢᣲື ࡣࠊࡑࡢิࡀ᭱⤊ⓗᐃᩘ࡞ࡿࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࡑࡢิྵࡲࢀࡿ್ࡣኚືࢆ⥆ ࡅࡿࡀ࠶ࡿኚ࡞☜⋡ศᕸࡼࡗ࡚ࡑࡢኚືࡀ⾲⌧ࡉࢀࡿࠊ࠸࠺ࡼ࠺࡞ࡶࡢ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ ᙅ᮰ FnF ࡀศᕸ㛵ᩘ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ) ࡀ㐃⥆㛵ᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ௵ព x ࡓ࠸ࡋ࡚ࡣ limn Fn x F x ࡛࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ FnࡀF ᙅ᮰ࡍࡿゝ࠸ࠊ)㹬䋻㻲㻌 䛸᭩䛟䚹㻌 P nP 䛿☜⋡ ᗘ䛷䛒䜚䚸䛭䜜䛮䜜ศᕸ㛵ᩘ FnF ࢆᣢࡘࡁࠊ)㹬䋻㻲㻌 䛻䛺䜛᮲௳ 䛿 limn Pn A P A 䛜ᡂ❧䛩䜛䛣䛸䚹䛣䛣䛷䛿 A (f, x], P x 0. Fn un vn F x Fn an bn G x ௬ᐃࡍࡿ un ! 0, an ! 0. ࡑ࠺ࡍࡿ ḟࡢᘧ‶ࡓࡍ a, b ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ b v an o a, n n o b, F ax b G x un un ࡇࡢᘧᚑࡗ࡚ḟࡢࡘ⤖ㄽࡀ࠶ࡿ㸸 i Fn F , an o a, bn o b࡞ࡽࡤࠉFn an xn bn F ax b . 1 x ! 0 ® ࠉ ¯0 x 0 iii Fn F , bn↓᮰࡞ࡽࡤFn x bn ࡀᙅ᮰࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ Fn an x ii Fn F , an o f࡞ࡽࡤ lim n iv Fn F , Fn an xn bn G x ࡞ࡽࡤ0㸺LQIn an d sup n an f,sup n bn v ࡍ࡚ࡢx࠾࠸࡚ࡣF x F ax b ࡀᡂ❧࡞ࡽࡤa 1, b 0. f. ᐃ⩏ ศᕸ᮰ ࡇࡢࢱࣉࡢ᮰ࡼࡾࠊ࠶ࡿ࠼ࡽࢀࡓ☜⋡ศᕸࡼࡗ࡚ࡼࡾⰋࡃࣔࢹࣝ ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࣛࣥࢲ࣒ᐇ㦂ࡢิ࠾ࡅࡿ⤖ᯝࢆᮇᚅࡍࡿࡇࡀฟ᮶ࡿࠋศᕸ ᮰ࡣࠊࡇࡢグෆ࡛㏙ࡽࢀࡿ࡚ࡢࡢࢱࣉࡢ᮰ࡶពࡍࡿ࠸࠺Ⅼ ࠾࠸࡚ࠊ᭱ࡶᙅ࠸᮰࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡋࡋ࡞ࡀࡽࠊᐇ㝿ࡢ⌧ሙ࠾࠸࡚ࠊศᕸ᮰ 9 ࡣ㠀ᖖࡼࡃ⏝ࡉࢀࡿ᭱ࡶࡼࡃ⌧ࢀࡿࡢࡣࠊ୰ᚰᴟ㝈ᐃ⌮ࡢᛂ⏝࠾࠸࡚ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Fn F ࡞ࡽࡤ ;㹬ࡣศᕸ᮰ࡲࡓἲ๎᮰ゝ࠸ࠊ X n X ᭩ࡃࠋ X nX ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ࡛ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀศᕸ㛵ᩘ FnF ࢆࡶࡘࠋ ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡᮰ ☜⋡✵㛫㸦ȐF3㸧࡛ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ X , X 1 , X 2 ... ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ;㹬ࡣ☜⋡㸯࡛ ; ᮰ ࡍࡿ P ª¬ X n X t H ¼º 0 ࠉࠉ (H ! 0) ࡘࡲࡾ lim n P ª¬ X n X t H ¼º 0 ࠋ ࡇࡢ ;㹬ࡀ ; ☜⋡᮰ࡪࠋ X n o p X ᭩ࡃࠋ☜⋡᮰ࡀḟࡢᛶ㉁ࢆᣢࡘ 㸦1㸧☜⋡᮰ࡣࠊศᕸ᮰ࢆពࡍࡿ. 㸦2㸧 X n X ࡑࡋ࡚X n Yn 0࡞ࡽࡤYn X 㸦3㸧 ௵ពX㸦X o f㸧ᑐࡋࠊX n u X (n o f), X n X ࡑࡋ࡚ u u OLP uOLPVXS n P ª X n Yn t H º ¬ ¼ u 0 ࠉ㸦H㸼0㸧࡞ࡽࡤYn X ࠋ ᐃ⩏ ᴫ᮰ ☜⋡ኚᩘิ ;Q ࡀ ; ᴫ᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࢇ☜ᐇ᮰ࠊࢇ⮳ࡿᡤ࡛ ᮰ࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣᙉ᮰ࡍࡿࡣḟࡢᘧࢆᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇࠋ P lim X n n of X 1 ࡀୖᘧࡣࠊ;Qࡀ;᮰ࡋ࡞࠸㇟ࡀ㉳ࡁࡿ☜⋡ࡀ࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ព࡛ࠊ ;Qࡢ್ࡀ;ࡢ್㏆ࡃࡇࢆពࡍࡿࠋ☜⋡✵㛫㸦Ȑ))33㸧ࢆᐃࡵࠊȐ ࡽ5ࡢ㛵ᩘࡋ࡚ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢᴫᛕࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࡇ࡛ࠊୖᘧࡣḟࡢᘧྠ್ ࡞ࡿ㸸 P Z : : lim X n Z n of X Z ࡲࡓᴫ᮰ࡢྠ್࡞ᐃ⩏ࡣࠊ௨ୗࡶ࠶ࡿ㸸 1 ࠋ 1ࠉࠉ (H ! 0) ࠋ P lim inf ^Z : :| X n Z X Z | H ` ᴫ᮰ࡣࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤࠊ᮰ࢆ⾲ࡍ▮༳ࡢୖグྕDV㸦DOPRVWVXUHO\ ࡢ␎㸧 ࢆࡅຍ࠼ࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚⾲⌧ࡉࢀࡿ㸸 a.s. X n o X ࠋ ㊥㞳✵㛫6Gୖࡢ୍⯡ⓗ࡞☜⋡せ⣲^;Q`ᑐࡋ࡚ࡶࠊྠᵝᴫ᮰ࡀᐃ⩏ ࡉࢀࡿ㸸 P(Z : : d X n Z , X Z o 0) ࠋ n of ᴫ᮰ࡣ☜⋡᮰ࢆពࡋࠊࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ศᕸ᮰ࢆពࡍࡿࠋᩘࡢᙉἲ๎࡛ ⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿᴫᛕࡣࠊᴫ᮰࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ ☜ᐇ᮰ ࠶ࡿ☜⋡✵㛫ୖᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿิ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ;Q㸦ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ☜⋡㐣⛬㸧ࡀ; 10 ☜ᐇ᮰㸦VXUHFRQYHUJHQFH㸧࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣྛⅬ᮰ࡍࡿࡣࠊ lim X n Z X Z , Z : ࠋ n of ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇࢆゝ࠺ࠋࡇࡇ࡛Ȑࡣࠊ☜⋡ኚᩘࡀᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ☜⋡✵㛫ྵࡲ ࢀࡿᶆᮏ✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡣࠊ㛵ᩘิࡢྛⅬ᮰ࡢᴫᛕࢆ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิᣑ ᙇࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦☜⋡ኚᩘࡣࡑࢀ⮬㌟ࡀ㛵ᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࡇὀពࡉࢀࡓ࠸㸧ࠋ ^Z : lim X Z n of n ` X Z : ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ☜ᐇ᮰ࡣࠊୖ㏙ࡢࡢ࡚ࡢ᮰ࢆពࡍࡿࠋࡋࡋࠊᴫ᮰ࡢ ௦ࢃࡾ☜ᐇ᮰ࢆ⏝࠸ࡿࡇࡢ࣓ࣜࢵࢺࡣ☜⋡ㄽ࠾࠸࡚ࡣ࠶ࡲࡾ↓࠸ࠋࡑ ࢀࡽࡘࡢ᮰ࡢ㐪࠸ࡣࠊ☜⋡ࢮࣟࡢ㞟ྜ㛵ࡍࡿⅬࡢࡳᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡇ ࡀࠊ☜ᐇ᮰ࡢᴫᛕࡀ⁛ከ⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿࡇࡢ↓࠸⌮⏤࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ✚ศࡢ▱㆑ ᐃ⩏ ୍⯡ࡢྍ 㛵ᩘ f : : o > f, f@ ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊࡑࡢṇ㒊ศ f ㈇㒊ศ f ࢆࡑࢀࡒࢀ f f 0, f f 0 ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡀ㠀㈇್ྍ 㛵ᩘࡇ ࡣࡼ࠸ࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ ³ f d P fࡲࡓࡣ³ f d P f ࡛࠶ࡿࡁ f ࡢ✚ศࢆ ³ fd P㸻³ f d P -³ f - d P f ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ 㠀㈇ྍ 㛵ᩘᑐࡋࡢࡇࡢ✚ศࡢᐃ⩏ࡣ௵ពࡢ༢㛵ᩘȭࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࡇࡢ✚ศࡢ ᐃ⩏ࡣ ,ȭ୍⮴ࡍࡿࡇࡣᐜ᫆☜ㄆ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ᭦ ³ f d P f ࡘ ³f d P f ࡛࠶ࡿࡁ f ࡣ✚ศྍ⬟㸦ྍ✚࣮ࣝ࣋ࢢ✚ศ࣮ࣝ࣋ࢢྍ✚㸧࡛࠶ ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓࠊ௵ពࡢྍ 㞟ྜ $ ࡘ࠸࡚ f ࡢ $ ୖࡢ✚ศࢆ ³ A fd P ³1 A fd P ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋྍ 㞟ྜ $ ᑐࡋࠊ1A f ࡀ✚ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࡁ f ࡣ $ ୖ࡛✚ศྍ⬟࡛ ࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋ f : : o > f, f @ࡣ✚ศྍ⬟࡞ࡽࡤࠉࠉ³ fd P ¦ n f ¦ n 1 An ⿵㢟 f , g ࢆ௵ពࡢྍ 㛵ᩘF ࢆ௵ពࡢᐇᩘࡍࡿࠋ f f t 0 ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ ³ f d P t 0 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ f t 0 ࡘ ³ f d P 1 ³ fd P ࠉࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ An 0 ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ P ^Z : : f Z ! 0` ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ f ࡀ✚ศྍ⬟࡞ࡽࡤࠊ cf ࡶ✚ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ³ cfd P c ³ fd P ࠋ f , g ࡀ✚ศྍ⬟࡞ࡽࡤ f g ࡶ✚ศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ³ f g d P ³ fd P ³ gd P 11 ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ࣮ࣝ࣋ࢢࡢ᮰ᐃ⌮ 㛵ᩘิ f nࡀf ᴫ᮰ࡋࠊ✚ศྍ⬟㛵ᩘ㹥ࡀᏑᅾࡋࠊࢇ⮳ࡿࡇࢁ࡛ f n Z d g Z ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿ࡞ࡽࡤ f ࡣ✚ศྍ⬟࡛ lim ³ f n d P n of ³ fd P ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ༢ㄪ᮰ᐃ⌮0RQRWRQH&RQYHUJHQFH7KHRUHP021 㸦㸧 f n ࢆ m ¦ ࡢせ⣲ࡢิ࡛ f n n f ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡋࡼ࠺ࠋࡇࡢࡁ P f n n P f d f, ࡲࡓࡣࡢグྕ࡛ࡣ ³ f n s P s n ³ f n s P ds ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ s s ࡇࡢᐃ⌮ࡣ✚ศㄽࡢࡲࡗࡓࡃࡍ࡚ࡀࡇࡇ࠶ࡿ࠸࠼ࡿᐃ⌮࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧࠼ࡽࢀࡓ f m ¦ ᑐࡋ࡚༢⣧㛵ᩘิ f r ࡛f r n f ࡞࠺࠺ࡿࡶࡢࢆ ␒┠ࡢ㝵ẁ㛵ᩘ D 㹰㸸 >0, f @ o >0, f @ ࢆḟࡢࡼ࠺ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ D r x x 0 0 ° r r (i 1)2 x d i 2r d r i N ®(i 1)2 ࠉࠉࠉ ° r x!r ¯ ࡇࡢࡼ࠺ᐃࡵࡿ f r ࡗ࡚ D r 㼓 f ࡣf r SF+ ࢆ‶ࡓࡋࠊ f r n f ࡛ࠊ㸦021㸧ࡼ P f n lim P f r n lim P0 f r ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊ D r ࡣᕥ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊ f n n f ࡞ࡽࡤ D r f n n D r f ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧 f , g m6 ࡛f g (a .e.)࡞ࡽࡤP f P g ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧 f m6 ࡛ࠊ f n ࡣ m6 ࡢิ࡛ ȣ㞽㞟ྜ 1 ୖࢆ㝖࠸࡚ f n n f ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋ ࡇࡢ P f n n P f ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ඃ᮰ᐃ⌮'RPLQDWHG&RQYHUJHQFH7KHRUHP'20 f n , f m6 ࡣ 6 ࡢྛⅬ㹱࡛ f n (s) o f s ࡋ㛵ᩘิ f n ࡣ L1 S , 6, P ࡢ୍ࡘせ ⣲㹥ࡼࡗ࡚ᢲࡉ࠼ࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ f n s d g s ࠉࠉࠉ s S , n N ࡍࡿࠋࡓࡔࡋࡇࡇ࡛ ȣJ࡛҄࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ f n o f ࡀL1 (S, 6, P ) ࡛ᡂ❧ࡍ ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ P f n f o 0 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࡞ࡢ࡛ P f n o P f ࡞ࡿࠋ ⿵㢟 )$728 ࡢ⿵㢟 K ࢆྍ✚ศ࡞㛵ᩘ ^ f n ` ࢆྍ 㛵ᩘิࡍࡿࠋ 12 f n t h ࠉࠉࠉࠉ P a.e.ࡢࡁ³ lim inf fd P d lim inf n of 㹶 n of f n d hࠉࠉࠉࠉ ( P a.e.)ࡁࠉ ³ lim inf fd P t lim inf 㹶 n of n of ³ f d P n X ³ f dP n X ᖹᆒ ᐃ⩏ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇࡢ➼ᘧ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇࡢ➼ᘧࡣࠊ ᗘㄽⓗࡣࠊ;Ȋȣࢆ ᗘ✵㛫ࡋࠊIࢆᣑᙇᐇ ᩘ್㸦↓㝈ࡶࡾ࠺ࡿ㸧ྍ 㛵ᩘࡋࠊW!ࡍࢀࡤࠊ ^ ` 1t ³ fd P ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆ㏙ࡿࠋ P x X f x t t d x ✵㛫ࡢ ᗘࡀ࡛࠶ࡿ≉ู࡞ሙྜ㸦ࡘࡲࡾ☜⋡✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿ㸧ࡣࠊḟࡢࡼ࠺ ゝ࠸࠼ࡽࢀࡿ㸸;ࢆ௵ពࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡋࠊD!ࡍࡿ P X t a d E x a ᐃ⩏ /㹮ӌS㸺҄✵㛫ࡢᐃ⩏ p 㸦㸧SӋ ࢆᅛᐃࡍࡿࠋ; ୖ DH࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓྍ 㛵ᩘ I;Ѝ& ࡛ࠊ³ f d P㸺 f ࢆ ‶ࡓࡍࡶࡢࡢ㞟ྜࢆ /㹮/㹮[᭩ࡃࠋ 㸦㸧IѰ/㹮ᑐࡋࠊ f p ^³ 㸦㸧IѰ/㹮QѰ1ࡀ lim f n f n of p f dP p ` 1/ p ࢆ㹤ࡢ /㹮࣮ࣀ࣒ࣝ࠸࠺ࠋ 0 ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡁࠊI㹬ࡣ I 㹮ḟᖹᆒ᮰ࡍࡿ ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓࠊ lim f n 㹶㸻f 㹶 [DHࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡁࠊI㹬ࡣ I ᴫ᮰ࡍࡿ࠸ n of ࠺ࠋ ᐃ⩏ 6FKZDU] ࡢ➼ᘧ f , g L2࡞ࡽࡤ ³ fg d P d ³ 2 2 f dP³ g dP ᐃ⩏ +̉OGHU ࡢ➼ᘧ 1 1 㹮㸼㸯, 1ࡍࡿࠋf Lp , g Lq࡞ࡽࡤ p q ³ 㹶 fg P dx d ³ f dP ³ g dP p 1/ p q 1/ q 㸦㸧ࢫ࣮࢝ࣛಸࡘ࠸࡚㛢ࡌ࡚࠸ࡿ✵㛫㸦㞟ྜ㸧ࢆ⥺ᆺ✵㛫㸦࣋ࢡࢺࣝ✵ 㛫࠸࠺㸬 㸦㸧⥺ᆺ✵㛫;ᐇᩘ್㛵ᩘ࣭̀̀;Ѝ5ࡀᐃ⩏ࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡚㸪 㠀㈇̀ÌӋ㸪 ୍ព㸸̀Ì ࡞ࡽࡤI 㸪 13 ୍ḟ㸸̀DÌ ̀D̀̀Ì㸪 ୕ゅ➼ᘧ㸸̀IJ̀ӊ̀Ì̀J̀㸪 ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘࡁ㸪ࡇࡢ✵㛫;࣭̀̀ࢆ⥺ᆺࣀ࣒ࣝ✵㛫㸪࣭̀̀ࢆࣀ࣒ࣝ ࠸࠺㸬 㸦㸧㠀㈇㸸ȨIJӋ㸪 ୍ព㸸ȨIJ ࡞ࡽࡤI J㸪 ᑐ⛠㸸ȨIJ ȨJI㸪 ୕ゅ➼ᘧ㸸ȨIKӊȨIJȨJK㸪 ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘ㸰ኚᩘ㛵ᩘࢆ㊥㞳࠸࠺㸬࣭̀̀ࡀࣀ࣒ࣝࡢࡁ㸪ȨIJ ̀IJ ̀ࡣ㊥㞳࡛࠶ࡿ㸬ࡇࢀࢆࣀ࣒ࣝࡀᐃ⩏ࡍࡿ㊥㞳࠸࠺㸬 ⥺ᆺࣀ࣒ࣝ✵㛫;࣭̀̀ࡀ㸪ࣀ࣒ࣝࡀᐃ⩏ࡍࡿ㊥㞳㛵ࡋ࡚ഛ࡞ ࡁ㸪; ;࣭̀̀ࢆ%DQDFK✵㛫࠸࠺㸬 ᐃ⌮/SB࣭̀̀Sࡣ%DQDFK✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿ㸬 ⊂❧ᛶ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐 ᐃ⩏ ⊂❧ᛶ㛵ࡍࡿㅖᐃ⩏ 㸦㸧⊂❧࡞Ȫຍἲ᪘ ) ࡢ㒊ศ Ȫຍἲ᪘ **ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡣࠊ*LѰ*MLѰ1࡛ L͐LQ ࡀ┦ ␗࡞ࡿࡁࠊࡘࡡ P Gi1 㻵 ...㻵 Gin n P G ik k 1 ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ⊂❧࡞☜⋡ኚᩘ ☜⋡ኚᩘ ;;͐ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡣȪຍἲ᪘Ȫ;Ȫ;͐ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡇ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ☜⋡ㄽࡢ㔜せ࡞ㅖၥ㢟ࡢከࡃࡣࠊ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิ࡛⊂❧ྠศᕸ 㸦LQGHSHQGHQWDQGLGHQWLFDOO\GLVWULEXWHG,,'㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢ㛵ࢃࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ⊂❧࡞㇟ ㇟ (㸯(͐ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡣࠊȪຍἲ᪘ H1 , H 2 ... ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡓ ࡔࡋࡇࡇ࡛ H n ࡣȪຍἲ᪘ ^I , En , : \ En , :` ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐 ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ୍✀࡛࠶ࡿ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬ࡢ࠺ࡕࠊࡾ࠺ࡿ≧ែ ࡞ᩓⓗ㸦᭷㝈ࡲࡓࡣྍ⟬㸧࡞ࡶࡢ㸦㞳ᩓ≧ែ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬㸧ࢆ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓ≉ࠊ 㛫ࡀ㞳ᩓⓗ࡞ࡶࡢ㸦้ࡣῧ࠼Ꮠ࡛⾲ࡉࢀࡿ㸧ࢆᣦࡍࡇࡀከ࠸㸦㐃⥆ 㛫࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬࠸࠺ࡶࡢࡶ࠶ࡾࠊࡇࢀࡣ้ࡀ㐃⥆࡛࠶ࡿ㸧 ࠋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐 ࡣࠊᮍ᮶ࡢᣲືࡀ⌧ᅾࡢ್ࡔࡅ࡛Ỵᐃࡉࢀࠊ㐣ཤࡢᣲື↓㛵ಀ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦࣐ࣝ ࢥࣇᛶ㸧 ࠋྛ้࠾࠸࡚㉳ࡇࡿ≧ែኚ㸦㑄⛣ࡲࡓࡣ᥎⛣㸧㛵ࡋ࡚ࠊ࣐ࣝࢥ ࣇ㐃㙐ࡣ㑄⛣☜⋡ࡀ㐣ཤࡢ≧ែࡼࡽࡎࠊ⌧ᅾࡢ≧ែࡢࡳࡼࡿ⣔ิ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ≉㔜せ࡞☜⋡㐣⛬ࡋ࡚ࠊᵝࠎ࡞ศ㔝ᛂ⏝ࡉࢀࡿࠋ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ࠸࠺ྡ๓ࡣࣟࢩࡢᩘᏛ⪅ࣥࢻ࣭࣐ࣞࣝࢥࣇࡼࡿ㸦⥛ࡾࡣ 14 0DUNRY㸧 ࠋ≀⌮Ꮫࡸ⤫ィᏛࡢࣔࢹࣝࢃࢀࡿࠊሗᏛ࠾࠸࡚ࡣእࡍࡇࡢ ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸㔜せ࡞⪃࠼᪉࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊ୍㐃ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ;;;࡛͐ࠊ⌧ᅾࡢ≧ែࡀỴࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࢀࡤࠊ 㐣ཤ࠾ࡼࡧᮍ᮶ࡢ≧ែࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᙧᘧⓗࡣࠊ P( X n 1 x | X n xn ,...., X 1 x1 , X 0 x0 ) P( X n 1 x | X n xn ) ;Lࡢࡾ࠺ࡿ್ࡣࠊ㐃㙐ࡢ≧ែ✵㛫ࡤࢀࠊྍ⟬㞟ྜ 6ࢆ࡞ࡍࠋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃 㙐ࡣ᭷ྥࢢࣛࣇ࡛⾲⌧ࡉࢀࠊ࢚ࢵࢪࡣ࠶ࡿ≧ែࡽࡢ≧ែ㑄⛣ࡍࡿ☜⋡ ࢆ⾲♧ࡍࡿࠋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡢ୍᭷㝈≧ែᶵᲔࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡣࠊ้ Q࠾ ࠸࡚≧ែ\࠶ࡿࡍࡿࠊࡑࢀࡀ้ Q࠾࠸࡚≧ែ [ືࡃ☜⋡ࡣࠊ ⌧ᅾࡢ≧ែࡔࡅ౫Ꮡࡋࠊ้ Qࡣ౫Ꮡࡋ࡞࠸ࠋ 㛫ⓗᆒ୍࡞㸦ᩧⓗ㸧࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊࡍ࡚ࡢ Qᑐࡋ P( X n 1 x | X n y ) P ( X n x | X n 1 y ) ࡛࠶ࡿࡼ࠺࡞㐣⛬ࢆ࠸࠺ࠋ୍⯡ࡢࠊ㛫ⓗᆒ୍࡛࡞࠸࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡣࠊࡇࡢ ➼ᘧࢆ‶ࡓࡉ࡞࠸ࠋึᮇ≧ែ Lࡽ้ Q࡛≧ែ M⛣ࡿ☜⋡ࡣࠊ Pij n P( X n j | X 0 i ) ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࠊ༢୍ẁ㝵ࡢ㑄⛣ࡣ Pij P ( X 1 j | X0 i) ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋQẁ㝵㑄⛣ࡣࠊ௵ពࡢNQᑐࡋ࡚ḟࡢࢳ ࢳࣕࢵࣉ࣐࣭ࣥࢥࣝ ࣔࢦࣟࣇࡢ➼ᘧࢆ‶ࡓࡍ㸸 n k nk p ¦p p ij rS ir rj ้ Q࡛ࡢ≧ែ㛵ࡍࡿ☜⋡㸦࿘㎶☜⋡㸧ࡣḟࡢࡼ࠺᭩ࡅࡿ㸸 P( X n j) ¦ p P X rS rj n 1 r ¦p rS n rj P X0 r ࡇࡇ࡛ྑୖࡁῧ࠼ᏐQࡣᩚᩘ್࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡶࡋ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࡀ㛫ᑐࡋ࡚ᐃ ᖖⓗ࡞ࡽࡤࠊࡇࡢῧ࠼ᏐࡣQ ࠸࠺ពࡗ࡚ࡶࡼ࠸ࠋ ᩘࡢἲ๎ ᩘࡢἲ๎㸦ODZRIODUJHQXPEHUV㸧ࡣࠊ☜⋡ㄽ࣭⤫ィᏛ࠾ࡅࡿᴟ㝈ᐃ⌮ࡢ ࡦࡘ࡛ࠊࠕ⤒㦂ⓗ☜⋡⌮ㄽⓗ☜⋡ࡀ୍⮴ࡍࡿࠖ࠸࠺ࠊ⣲ᮔ࡞ព࡛ࡢ☜ ⋡ࢆពࡅࠊᐃ⩏ࡅࡿἲ๎࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ཝᐦࡣࠊࣖࢥࣈ࣭࣋ࣝࢾ࣮ࡼࡿᩘࡢᙅἲ๎://1:HDN/DZRI/DUJH 1XPEHUVࠊ࢚࣑࣮࣭ࣝ࣎ࣞࣝࡸࣥࢻ࣭ࣞࢥࣝࣔࢦࣟࣇࡼࡿᩘࡢᙉἲ ๎6//16WURQJ/DZRI/DUJH1XPEHUVࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ༢ࠕᩘࡢἲ๎ࠖゝ ࡗࡓሙྜࠊࡕࡽࢆᣦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣᩥ⬦ࡼࡾุ᩿ࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿ ᐃ⌮ ᮇᚅ್ȣ࡛࠶ࡿࡼ࠺࡞ྍ✚ศ⊂❧ྠศᕸ☜⋡ኚᩘิ;;ࡢ⟬⾡ᖹ ᆒ 15 X 1 X 2 ... X n n > Xn @ ࡢࡿ್ࡣࠊ༑ศࡁ࡞ Q ࡲ࡛⪃࠼ࢀࡤࠊࢇࡢ Q ࡛࠾࠾ࡼࡑȣ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦>;Q@ ࡀȣࡽࡁࡃእࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ Q ࡢ⌧ࢀࡿ☜⋡ࡣQࢆ↓㝈ࡁࡃࡍࡿ ㏆ ࡙ࡃ㸧㸸 lim > X n @ P ࠉ LQSUREDELOLW\ n of ࡇࢀࢆᩘࡢᙅἲ๎࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓྠࡌ᮲௳ୗ࡛ࠊQЍ҄ࡍࡿࡁࠊ>;Q@ࡣȣ ࢇ☜ᐇ㸦DOPRVWVXUHO\☜⋡ ࡛㸧᮰ࡍࡿ㸸 lim > X n @ P ࠉࠉa.s. n of ࡇࢀࢆᩘࡢᙉἲ๎࠸࠺ ᐃ⌮ ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧ ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧࡣࠊ➼ᘧ࡛⾲ࡉࢀࡿࠊ☜⋡ㄽࡢᇶᮏⓗ࡞ᐃ⌮࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࣃࣇࢾࢸ࣭ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡼࡾึࡵ࡚ド᫂ࡉࢀࡓࠋ ᶆᮏ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ☜⋡ศᕸࡣࠊᖹᆒࡢࡲࢃࡾࠊ࠶ࡿᶆ‽೫ᕪࢆࡶࡗ࡚ศᕸࡍࡿࠋ ࡇࡢศᕸᶆ‽೫ᕪࡢ㛫ࠊࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᶆᮏ࣭☜⋡ศᕸ࡛ࡶᡂࡾ❧ࡘ㛵ಀࢆ♧ ࡋࡓࡢࡀࠊࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࠼ࡤࠊᖹᆒࡽ ᶆ‽೫ᕪ௨ୖ㞳 ࢀࡓ್ࡣయࡢࢆ㉸࠼ࡿࡇࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ୍⯡ Q ᶆ‽೫ᕪ௨ୖ㞳ࢀࡓ್ࡣ యࡢQࢆ㉸࠼ࡿࡇࡣ࡞࠸ ; ࢆࠊᮇᚅ್ࡀȣࠊ᭷㝈ࡢศᩓࡀȪ ࡛࠶ࡿ☜⋡ 1 ኚᩘࡍࡿࠊ௵ពࡢᐇᩘ N! ᑐࡋ࡚ P X P t kV d 2 ࡓࡔࡋ N!ࡢሙ k ྜࡔࡅពࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ ┤✚ ᗘࣇࣅࢽࡢᐃ⌮ 㸦;㸯)ȣ㸯㸧࠾ࡼࡧ㸦;㸰)㸰ȣ㸰㸧ࡣྛྛȪ̿᭷㝈௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ (i ) f : X 1 u X 2 o [0, f]ࡣF1 F2 % R ࡛ྍ ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ x o f x, y P㸯 dy ࡣF1 % R ྍ ³ °° x㸯 ࠉࠉࠉࠉ ® ࡣ ྍ y f x , y dx F R P o % ° ³ 㸯 㸰 °¯ x㸯 ࡘ ³ X1 u X 2 fd P1 P2 ³ ( ³ f x, y P dy )P dx ³ ( ³ f x, y P dx )P dy ࠉ 2 㹶㸯 㹶2 1 㸯 2 㹶2 㹶1 (ii ) f : X 1 u X 2 o RࡣP1 P2ྍ✚ศࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢ ࡀᡂ❧ࠋ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢ⌮ㄽ ᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್ 16 ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡✵㛫㸦Ȑ)3㸧࡛ ; ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ࡛ E X f ࡋࠊ* ࡣ ) ࡢ㒊ศ Ȫ ຍἲ᪘ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ୍ࡘࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ <࡛ḟࡢㅖᛶ㉁ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡶࡢࡀᏑᅾࡍ ࡿࠋ ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ * ྍ ࠋ E Y f YdP ³ XdP * ࡢࡢ㞟ྜ $ ᑐࡋ࡚ࡶ ³A A ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘࠋ ࡉࡽࡶࡋ Y㻑ࡀࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ࡛ࡇࢀࡽࡢㅖᛶ㉁ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ࡞ࡽࡤࠊY㻑 Y a.s. ࠋࡍ ࡞ࢃࡕ P ª¬Y㻑 Y º¼ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧㹼㸦㸧ࡢㅖᛶ㉁ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ୍ࡘࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ < ࢆࠊ * ࢆ࠼ࡓࡁࡢ ; ࡢ᮲௳ࡁᖹᆒ E X G ࡢ୍ࡘࡢኚᙧࡼࡧࠊ Y E X G 㸦a.s.㸧⾲ࡍࠋ ᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್ࡢᛶ㉁㸸 㸦 X , Y , X n ࡣྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ a, b ࡣᐇᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸧 㸦㸧 E aX bY G aE X G bE Y G ࠉࠉࠉa.s. 㸦㸧 X t 0 ࡛࠶ࢀࡤ E X G t 0 ࠉࠉa.s. 㸦㸧 E 1 G 1ࠉࠉࠉa.s. 㸦㸧 XࡣG ࡛ྍ ࠊ X , Y ྍ✚࡞ࡽࡤࠊ E X G 㸦㸧 H G ࡢࡁࠊ E E X G H X ࠉࠉࠉa.s. E X H ࠉࠉa.s. 㸦㸧/ ࡛ X n o X ࡞ࡽࡤ E X n G o E X G ࠋ 㸦㸧-HQVHQ ➼ᘧ\ : R1 o R1 ࡣฝ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ\ X ྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ \ E X G d E \ X G ࠉࠉࠉa.s. ୍⯡ⓗ࡛ࡣࠊ E X G d E X G ࡑࡋ࡚ E X G d E X 2 2 G ࠋ ; ࡀ * ౫Ꮡࡋ࡞࠸ࠋ࣎ࣞࣝྍ 㛵ᩘ I[ࡀྍ✚ศࡢࡢࡳࠊ E f x G E f x ࠋ = = ࡣ * ྍ ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ E zX G zE X G ࠋ ⊂❧ᛶ X rv L 㸪 G, H ࡀȪDOJ࡛ V V x , G ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡑࡢࡁ E X E ¬ª X V G , H ¼º E ¬ª X G ¼º ࠋ ᐃ⩏ ṇ๎᮲௳☜⋡☜⋡ᐦᗘ㛵ᩘSGI 㹹SȰ$㹻ȰѰȐ$Ѱ) ࡀḟࡢ୕ࡘ᮲௳ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ࡞ࡽࡤࠊṇ๎᮲௳ḟࡁ☜⋡ࡪࠋ Ȱࢆᅛᐃࡋ࡚ࠊ$ЍSȰ$ࡣ㸦Ȑ)㸧 17 㸦㸧$ ࢆᅛᐃࡋ࡚ࠊ$Ѱ)ȰЍSȰ$ࡀྍ 㸹 㸦㸧 ௵ព$ Fࠊ% G,P($ 㻵 %)= ³㹮Z , A P (d Z )ࠋ B ࡘࡲࡾ௵ព㠀㈇ ; %Ѱ* X : B ½ ³ ®¯ I Z Z³ X ZcP Z, dZc¾¿P(d Z ) B : ³Z X Z cP Z , dZ c ࡀ E ( X G )Z ୍⮴ࡍࡿ DVࠋ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ ᐃ⩏ 㞳ᩓ㛫ࡢ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ ้ࡢ㞟ྜࡣ 7 ^͐`ࡋࠊሗቑ⣔^)Q`QѮ7 ࡀ࠼ࡽࢀࡓࡁࠊᐇ ᩘ್㞳ᩓ㛫☜⋡㐣⛬;QQѮ7ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࡣ 㸦㸧;ࡣ㐺ྜ 㸦㸧௵ពࡢ้Qࡘ࠸࡚(_;Q_㸺҄ 㸦㸧௵ពࡢ้Qࡘ࠸࡚(>;Q_)Q@ ;Q DV Q㸼 ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ⌮ㄽࡀኚ㔜せ࡛࠶ࡿࡢࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡀ㠀ᖖከࡃࡢ ሙ㠃ጼࢆ⌧ࡍ࠸࠺ࡇ᰿ᣐࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ⡆༢ࡢࢆぢࡿࠋ 㸦㸧⊂❧࡛ᖹᆒ ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ;;͐ࢆ⊂❧ ࡞☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิ࡛ࠊ௵ព㹬ᑐࡋ࡚ (_;㹩_㸺࡛҄࠶ࡾࠊࡘ (;㹩㸻 ࡍࡿࠋ Sn X1 X 2 ... X n ࠉ S0 0 , Fn V X1 X 2 ... X n ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ QӍ㸯 ᑐࡋ DVࠋ 㸦㸧ᖹᆒ㸯ࡢ㠀㈇⊂❧☜⋡ኚᩘࡢ✚ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ;;͐ࢆ⊂ ❧࡞㠀㈇☜⋡ኚᩘࡍࡿࠋ M 0 1, F0 ^0, :` ࡋ࡚ Mn X1 X 2 ... X n , Fn V X1 , X 2 ,..., X n ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࠊQӋ ᑐࡋ E (M n | Fn1 ) E M n1 X n | Fn1 M n1 E X n | Fn1 M n1 E X n M n1 ࢆ㸦DV㸧ࡢព࡛ᚓࡿࡽ M ࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧୍ࡘࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘ㛵ࡍࡿࢹ࣮ࢱࡢ⣼✚ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿ Fn ࢆࣇ ࣝࢺ࣮ࣞࢩࣙࣥࡋ [ L1 :, F , P ࡍࡿࠋ㐺ᙜ࡞ኚᙧࢆࡗ࡚ Mn E [ Fn ᐃ⩏ࡋࡼ࠺ࠋሪࡢᛶ㉁ࡼࡗ࡚ E (M n | Fn1 ) E [ | Fn | Fn1 E [ | Fn1 M n1ࠉࠉa.s. ࢆᚓࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ M ࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ ^Fn ` , P ࡘ࠸࡚ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊᐃ⩏ ࡢ㸦㸧㸦㸧ࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘୖ ࢆ (>;Q_)Q@ӌ;Q DV Q㸼⨨ࡁ࠼࡚ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ 18 ࣮ࣝࡣࢆ (>;Q_)Q@Ӎ;Q DV Q㸼⨨ࡁ࠼࡚ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝኚ f n , n N ࢆ㠀㈇ྍண 㐣⛬ࡍࡿࠋຎ㸦ඃ㸧࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝᑐࡋࠊ Y0 0, Yn n ¦ f X k k X k 1 , n t 1 k 1 ࠾ࡃࠋྑ㎶ࡢྛ㡯ࡀྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤ Yn ࡣຎ㸦ඃ㸧࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ X n , n N ࢆ㸦ຎ㸧࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋF x : R o R ࢆ㸦ቑࡍࡿ㸧 ฝ㛵ᩘࡍࡿࠋ Yn F X n ࡀࡍ࡚ࡢ㹬࡛ྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤ Yn , n N ࡣຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥ ࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ࠶ࡿࠋ ࡇࡢᐃ⌮ࡣ -HQVHQ ࡢ➼ᘧࡼࡾゝ࠼ࡿࠋ f X n s f E ¬ª X n 1 Fn ¼º d E ¬ª f X n 1 Fn ¼º . ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶ ᮏ⠇࡛ࡣࠊ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢㅖᛶ㉁ࡘ࠸࡚⪃ᐹࡍࡿࠋ௨ୗࠊ㏻ᖖ᮲௳ࢆ‶ ࡓࡍሗቑ⣔ࡁ☜⋡✵㛫 ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܩǡ ܲሻǡ ܩൌ ሼܨ௧ Ǣ ݐ Ͳሽ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܩǡ ܲሻ ୖ࡛ᐃ⩏ ࡉࢀࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ݐ Ͳሽ ࢆᡤࡍࡿࠋ ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿ๓ࠊࡑࡢ⌮ゎࢆᐜ᫆ࡍࡿࡓࡵ☜⋡ ኚᩘࡢྍ✚ศᛶࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ࡘ࠸࡚♧ࡍࠋ ⿵㢟 ☜⋡ኚᩘࡀྍ✚ศࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܧሾȁܺȁሿ ൏ ࡛҄࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ Ԗ Ͳǡ ߜ ͲǢ ܧሾȁܺȁͳீ ሿ ൏ ߳Ǣ ܨ א ܩǢ ܲሺܩሻ ൏ ߜ ࡇࡢ⿵㢟ࢆド᫂ࡍࡿࡣࠊ⫼⌮ἲࢆ⏝࠸ࠊ%RUHO&DQWHOOL ࡢ⿵㢟 )DWRX ࡢ⿵ 㢟㸦⿵㢟 㸧ࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ☜⋡ኚᩘࡀྍ✚ศࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܧሾȁܺȁሿ ൏ ࡛҄࠶ࡿࡓࡵࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ ࡣࠊ ܧሾȁܺȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ՜҄ ࡞ࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ド ᫂ 㸸 ࡀ ྍ ✚ ศ ࡞ ࡽ ࡤ ࠊ ȁܺȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ȁܺȁ ൏ ҄ DV ࠊ ࡋ ࡓ ࡀ ࡗ ࡚ ՜҄ ȁܺȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ൌ ͲDV࡛࠶ࡿࡽࠊ/HEHVJXH ࡢ᭷⏺᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾࠊᐃ⌮ ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡㐣⛬ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀࠊݑݏ௧אோశ ܧሾܺሺݐሻ ሿ ൏ ҄ǡ ͳࢆ‶ࡓࡍࠊ ྍ✚ศ㸦VTXDUHLQWHJUDEOH㸧࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋ≉ ൌ ͳࡢࡁࡣࠊྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿ ࠸࠺ࠋ ᐃ⩏ ☜⋡㐣⛬ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀࠊ 19 ݑݏ௧אோశ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ՜҄ ࡞ࡿࡁࠊܺࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ㸦XQLIRUPLO\LQWHJUDEOH㸧࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࠋ ᐃ⌮ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊݑݏ௧אோశ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࠊ ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܺࡣྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ☜⋡㐣⛬ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ ȁܺሺݐሻȁ ൏ ܻǡ ܴ א ݐା ǡ ܧሾȁܻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࡞ࡿ☜⋡ኚᩘܻࡀᏑᅾ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ド᫂㸸ȁܺሺݐሻȁ ൏ ܻǡ ܴ א ݐା ࡼࡾ ݑݏ௧ஹ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ܧሾȁܻȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ሿ ࡘࠊܻ㛵ࡋ࡚ᐃ⌮ ࢆ⏝࠸ࢀࡤࠊ ݑݏ௧ஹ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ܧሾȁܻȁͳሼȁȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ՜҄ ՜҄ ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊ┤ࡕḟࡢ⣔ࢆᚓࡿ ܧሾݑݏ௧אோశ ȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ࡛҄࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ͳࡋ࡚ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡀྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ ା ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐሽࡀ ྍ✚ศ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ࡢ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ ܻࢆྍ✚ศ࡞☜⋡ኚᩘࡋ࡚ࠊ ܺሺݐሻ ൌ ܧሾܻȁܨ௧ ሿǡ ܴ א ݐା ࠾ࡃࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܴ א ݐା ሽࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࠋ ド᫂㸸ܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࡇࡣ᫂ࡽࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶࡘ ࠸࡚ド᫂ࡍࡿࠋ ܻ Ͳ ࡢ ሙ ྜ ࡘ ࠸ ࡚ ド ᫂ ࡍ ࡿ ࠋ ܺሺݐ ሻ ՛ ҄ሺݐ ՛ ҄ሻ ࡞ ࡿ ༢ ㄪ ቑ ຍ ิ 㹹ݐ Ǣ ݊ ܰ א㹻ࡀᏑᅾࡋࡓࡍࡿࠊ༢ㄪ᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾࠊሾܺሺݐ ሻሿ ՛ ҄࡞ࡿࡀࠊ ࡇࢀࡣࠊܧሾܺሺݐ ሻሿ ൌ ܧሾܻሿ ൏ ҄▩┪ࡍࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊܺ כൌ ݑݏ௧אோశ ܺሺݐሻ ൏ ҄ࠋ ሼܺሺݐሻ ݊ሽ ؿሼܺ כ ݊ሽ᮲௳ࡁᮇᚅ್ࡢᐃ⩏ࡼࡾࠊ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ൌ ܧሾܻͳሼȁሺ௧ሻȁவሽ ሿ ܧሾܻͳሼȁ כȁவሽ ሿ כ ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊ ܺ ࡀ᭷㝈࡛࠶ࡿࡇࠊܻࡀྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡿࡇὀពࡍࡿࠊ/HEHVJXH ࡢ᭷⏺᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾ ܧሾܻͳሼȁ כȁவሽ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ՜҄ ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊܺࡣ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞ࡿࠋ ᐃ ⌮ 㸦 ᭷ ⏺ ᮰ ᐃ ⌮ 㸧 ܺǡ ܺ ǡ ݊ ⋡ ☜ ࢆ ܰ אኚ ᩘ ࡍ ࡿ ࠊ ࡇ ࡢ ࡁ ࠊ ܴ א ܭǢ ȁܺ ȁ ܭǡ ܰ א ݊ ࡘ՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁሿ ൌ Ͳ ՜҄ 20 ド᫂՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺࡽࠊ௵ពࡢԖ Ͳ ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ ߳ ߳ ݊ ܰ אǢ ܲሺȁܺ െ ܺȁ ሻ ൏ ݊ ݊ ͵ ͵ܭ ࡲࡓࠊ ܭ ȁܺ ȁࡼࡾࠊ ଵ ଵ ଵ ሼȁܺȁ െ ሽ ؿሼȁܺȁ െ ȁܺ ȁ ሽ ؿሼȁܺ െ ܺ ȁ ሽ݇ǡ ݊ ܰ א ଵ ଵ ࡞ࡢ࡛ ܲሼȁܺȁ െ ܭ ሽ ܲሼȁܺ െ ܺ ȁ ሽ ଵ ࡼࡗ࡚՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺ ֜ ܲሼȁܺȁ ܭ ሽ ൌ Ͳ ଵ ࡼࡗ࡚ܲሺڂୀଵሼȁܺȁ ܭ ሽሻ ൌ ܲሺȁܺȁ ܭሻ ൌ Ͳ ҄ ࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ܭ ȁܺȁDV௨ୖࡼࡾ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁሿ ൌ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁͳȁ ିȁவച ሿ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁͳȁିȁஸച ሿ ʹܲܭሺȁܺ െ ܺȁ య య ߳ ߳ ሻ ߳ ͵ ͵ ᐃ⌮ ᖹᆒ᮰ࡢᚲせ༑ศ᮲௳ܺǡ ܺ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻሻǡ ݊ ࡢࡇࠋࡿࡍ ܰ א ࡁḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ܧሾȁܺ െ ܺȁሿ ൌ Ͳ ՜҄ ܺ ൌ ܺ ൝ ՜҄ ሼܺ Ǣ ݊ ܰ אሽࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ Ṇ ᐃ⩏ ȫǣ Ȑ ՜ ሾͲǡ ҄ሿࡀ ሼ߬ ݐሽǣ ሼ߱ ߗ אǢ ߬ሺ߱ሻ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳ ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࠊȫࢆሼܨ௧ ሽ െ ṆVWRSSLQJWLPH࠸࠸ࠊሗቑ⣔ሼܨ௧ ሽࡀ⮬᫂ ࡛࠶ࡿࡁࡣࠊ༢Ṇ࠸࠺ࠋࡲࡓ ܨఛ ؔ ሼ ؿ ܣȐǢ ځܣሼ߬ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳሽ ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿܨఛ ࢆ߬ െṆ๓ྍ⟬ຍἲ᪘SUHȫDOJHEUD࠸࠺ࠋ ᐃ⌮ ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ֜ ܨఛభ ܨ ؿఛమ ܨఛభ ٿఛమ ൌ ܨఛభ ܨځఛమ ܨ א ܣఛభ ٿఛమ ֜ ځܣሼ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ሽ ܨ אఛమ ܨఛభ ڀఛమ ൌ ߪሺܨఛభ ǡ ܨఛమ ሻ ୲ା ؔ ځ௨வ௧ ࡿࡍ ୲ܨḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿ ȫࡀܨ௧ା ̺Ṇ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳ ୲ା ؔ ሼ ؿ ܣȐǢ ځܣሼ߬ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ା ǡ ݐ Ͳሽ ൌ ሼ ؿ ܣȐǢ ځܣሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݐ Ͳሽ ᐃ⌮ ሼ߬ Ǣ ݊ ܰ אሽࢆሼܨ௧ ሽ െ Ṇࡢิࡍࡿࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿ ߬ ՛ ȫ ֜ ߬ ࡣሼܨ௧ ሽ െ Ṇ ߬ ՝ ȫ ֜ ߬ ࡣሼܨ௧ା ሽ െ Ṇ࡛ܨ௧ା ൌ ҄ځ ୀଵ ܨఛ ା 21 ド᫂㸸 ߬ ՛ ȫ ֜ ሼ߬ ݐሽ ൌ ҄ځ ୀଵሼ߬ ݐሽࡼࡾ᫂ࡽ ߬ ՝ ȫ ֜ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ൌ ҄ځ ୀଵሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ܨ א௧ ȫࡣሼܨ௧ା ሽ െ Ṇ ҄ځ א ܧ ܨ ୀଵ ఛ ା ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽሻ ܨ א௧ ǡ ݊ ߬ࡘܰ א ՝ ȫ ֜ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ൌ҄ ୀଵ ሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ҄ ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽ ൌୀଵ ሺ ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ݐሽሻ ܨ א௧ ᐃ⌮ ܺࡀⓎᒎⓗྍ ࠊ߬ࡀṆ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ߱ ߗ א ܺሺ߬ሻ ؔ ܺሺ߬ሺ߱ሻǡ ሺ߱ሻሻ א ܴࡣܨఛ ̺ྍ ࡞ࡿࠋ 㞳ᩓ㛫࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ ᮏ⠇࡛ࡣࠊ้ࡢ㞟ྜࢆܼ ା ࡍࡿࠋ༶ࡕ้ࡢ㞟ྜࡀ㞳ᩓ࡛࠶ࡿࡋ࡚ࠊ㞳 ᩓ㛫ࡢ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡘ࠸࡚ᐃ⌮ࢆࡲࡵࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ࡢᶓ᩿ᩘᐃ⌮'RRECVXSFRVVLQJWKHRUHP ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋ้ܰࡲ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣝࣃࢫࡀሾܽǡ ܾሿ ࢆୗࡽୖᶓ᩿ࡍࡿᅇᩘࢆܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻࡍࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻࡣ ܺሺݏ ሻ ൏ ܽǡ ܺሺݐ ሻ ܾǡ ݅ ൌ ͳǡ ڮǡ ݇Ǣ Ͳ ݏଵ ൏ ݐଵ ൏ ڮ൏ ݏ ൏ ݐ ܰ ࡞ࡿ᭱ࡢ࡛݇࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ܧሾሺܺሺܰሻ െ ܽሻି ሿ ܧሾܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻሿ ܾെܽ ⣔ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡋࠊ ܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ؔ ܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ே՜҄ ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊ ሺܾ െ ܽሻܧሾܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻሿ ȁܽȁ ݑݏא శ ܧሾȁܺሺ݊ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࡍࡿࠋ ド᫂㸸ᐃ⌮ ୍ᵝྍ✚ศᛶࡼࡾ ሺܾ െ ܽሻܧሾܷே ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻሿ ȁܽȁ ܧሾȁܺሺܰሻȁሿ ȁܽȁ ݑݏא శ ܧሾȁܺሺ݊ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ༢ㄪ᮰ᐃ⌮ࡼࡾᚓࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ᮰ᐃ⌮ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡀྍ✚ ศࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ݑݏ௧א శ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊ☜⋡㸯࡛᭷㝈࡞ᴟ㝈 ܺሺ҄ሻ ؔ ௧՜҄ ܺሺݐሻࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ ド᫂㸸 ȃǣ ሼȰ אȐǢ ሼܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡀሾെ҄ǡ ҄ሿ࡛ᴟ㝈ࢆᣢࡓ࡞࠸ሽ ࠾ࡃࠊ ȃ ൌ ሼȰ אȐǢ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻ ൏ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻሽ ௧՜҄ ௧՜҄ ൌǡאொǢழ ሼȰ אȐǢ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻ ൏ ܽ ൏ ܾ ൏ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻሽ ௧՜҄ ௧՜҄ ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊ ȃǡ ൌ ሼȰ אȐǢ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻ ൏ ܽ ൏ ܾ ൏ ܺሺݐǡ ߱ሻሽ ௧՜҄ ௧՜҄ 22 ࡋࠊܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻࢆ⣔ ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡋࡓࡶࡢࡍࡿࠊ ȃǡ ؿሼȰ אȐǢ ܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ൌ ҄ሽ ࡞ࡿࠋ୍᪉ࠊ⣔ ࡼࡾ㸪ܲሺܷ҄ ሺܺǢ ሾܽǡ ܾሿሻ ൌ ҄ሻ ൌ Ͳ࡛࠶ࡿࡽሺȃୟǡୠ ሻ ൌ Ͳ ࡞ࡾࠊሺȃሻ ൌ Ͳࢆᚓࡿࠋࡉࡽࠊ)DWRX ࡢ⿵㢟⿵㢟 ࡼࡾࠊ ܧሾ ȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൌ ܧሾ ȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ܧሾȁܺሺݐሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ௧՜҄ ௧՜҄ ௧՜҄ ௧א శ ࡞ࡿࡽࠊ ሾܺሺ҄ሻሿ ൏ ҄DV࡞ࡿࠋ ⣔ ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰ࡍࡿࠋ ྍ✚ศ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰ࡍࡿࠋ ṇ್࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣࠊ☜⋡ ࡛᮰ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽ ࡀࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ భ ܺሺݐሻ ՜ ܺሺ҄ሻሺ ݐ՜ ҄ሻ࡞ࡾࠊ ܺሺݐሻ ܧሾܺ҄ ȁܨ௧ ሿܽǤ ݏǤǡ ܼ א ݐା ≉ܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ➼ྕࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ ⌮ /HY\'RRE ࡢ ୗ ᪉ ᐃ ⌮ ᡤ ࡢ ☜ ⋡ ✵ 㛫 ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻ ᑐ ࡋ ࡚ ࠊ ሼ ǣ ݊ אെܰሽࢆࡢ ܨ㒊ศྍ⟬ຍἲ᪘ࡢ᪘࡛ࠊ ିஶ ؔ҄ת ୀଵ ି ି ؿ ڮ ؿଶ ି ؿଵ ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡍࡿࠋܺ ൌ ሼܺሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ אെܰሽࢆሼ ǣ ݊ אെܰሽ െඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍ ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻȁ ሿ ܺሺ݉ሻܽǤ ݏǤ ǡ ݉ ݊ െͳǡ ܧሾȁܺሺ݊ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ א ݊െܰ ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊܺࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡾࠊᴟ㝈ܺሺെ҄ሻ ؔ ՜ି҄ ܺሺ݊ሻࡀᴫ ᮰ࡘᖹᆒ᮰ࡢព࡛Ꮡᅾࡋࠊ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻȁ ିஶ ሿ ܺሺെ҄ሻܽǤ ݏǤǡ ݊ אെܰ ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ᭱ᚋࡢ➼ᘧࡣ➼ྕࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ࡢຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ➼ᘧ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆ㠀㈇್ຎ࣐ ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊ௵ពࡢܿ Ͳ݊ ܼ אା ᑐࡋ࡚ḟ➼ᘧࡀᡂ ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ܿܲሺ ܺሺ݇ሻ ܿሻ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻͳሼ௦௨ೖರ ሺሻஹሽ ሿ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻሿ ஸ ᐃ⌮ 'RRE ศゎ ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ሽࡀܺሺ݊ሻ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ࠊ࡞ࡿ㐺ྜ㐣⛬ࡍࡿࠋ ࡇࡢࡁࠊ ܯൌ ሼܯሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ǡ ܯሺͲሻ ൌ Ͳሽࢆ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࠊ ܣൌ ሼܣሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ǡ ܣሺͲሻ ൌ Ͳሽ ࢆྍண 㐣⛬ࡋ࡚ࠊ ܺሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܺሺͲሻ ܯሺ݊ሻ ܣሺ݊ሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ෩ ྍண ࠸࠺ࡼ࠺ศゎ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊࡇࡢศゎࡣࠊ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝܯ 㐣⛬ܣሚࢆ ෩ ሺ݊ሻǡ ܣሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܣሚሺ݊ሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ሻ ൌ ͳ ܲሺܯሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܯ 23 ࡋ࡚ࠊ ෩ ሺ݊ሻ ܣሚሺ݊ሻǡ ܺሺ݊ሻ ൌ ܺሺͲሻ ܯ ݊ ܼ אା ࡞ࡿ࠸࠺ព୍࡛ព࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ܺࡀຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࡣࠊ ܲሺܣሺ݊ሻ ܣሺ݊ ͳሻǡ ݊ ܼ אା ሻ ൌ ͳ ࡞ࡿࡁ࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡲࡓࠊࡑࡢ㝈ࡽࢀࡿࠋ ド᫂㸸 ܣሺ݊ሻǣ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ݇ሻ െ ܺሺ݇ െ ͳሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ܽǤ ݏǤǡ ݊ ܰ אǡ ܣሺͲሻ ؔ Ͳ ୀଵ ࡍࡿྍࡣܣண ࠊࡘࠊ ܧሾሺܺሺ݊ሻ െ ܣሺ݊ሻሻ െ ሺܺሺ݊ െ ͳሻ െ ܣሺ݊ െ ͳሻሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ࡞ࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࠊܯሺ݊ሻ ؔ ܺሺ݊ሻ െ ܺሺͲሻ െ ܣሺ݊ሻࡍࢀࡤࠊ࣮ࣝࢤࣥࢳ࣐ࣝࡣ ܯ ࡞ࡾࠊ'RRE ࡢศゎࢆᚓࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊࡢຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊࡑࡢᐃ⩏ ࡼࡾ⮬࡛᫂࠶ࡿࠋ ⿵㢟 ܺ ൌ ሼܺሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ሽࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡶࡋࡃࡣຎ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍ ࡿࠊ௵ពࡢ Ͳᑐࡋ࡚ࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ܿܲሺ ȁܺሺ݇ሻ ȁ ͵ܿሻ ͶܧሾȁܺሺͲሻȁሿ ͵ܧሾȁܺሺܰሻȁሿǡ ܰ ܼ אା ஸே ᐃ⌮ /HY\ ࡢୖ᪉ᐃ⌮ ᡤࡢߦ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨǡ ܲሻᑐࡋ࡚ࠊܯሺ݊ሻ ؔ ܧሾߦȁܨ ሿǡ ݊ ܼ אା ࠊࡍࡿ ؔ ܯሼܯሺ݊ሻǢ ݊ ܼ אା ሽ ࡣࠊ୍ᵝྍ✚ศ࡞࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ ࡛ࣝ భ ܯሺ݊ሻ ՜ ߟ ؔ ܧሾߦȁܨ ሿሺ݊ ՜ ҄ሻܽǤ ݏǤ ǡ ࡘܯሺ݊ሻ ՜ ߟሺ݊ ՜ ҄ሻ ᐃ⌮ ߬ࢆṆࡋࠊܺ ൌ ሼܺሺݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࢆ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ㸦ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ ࣮ࣝ㸧ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁ ሼܺሺ߬ ר ݐሻǢ ܼ א ݐା ሽࡣ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ㸦ඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ ࣝ㸧࡞ࡿࠋ ܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢሙྜ࡛ࡣ ୀଵ ͳሼஸఛሽ ሺܺሺ݇ሻ െ ݔሺ݇ െ ͳሻሻ ൌ ܺሺ݊ ߬ רሻ െ ܺሺͲሻ ሼͳሼஸఛሽ ൌ Ͳሽ ൌ ሼ߬ ݊ െ ͳሽ ܨ אିଵ ǡ ሼͳሼஸఛሽ ൌ ͳሽ ൌ ሼ߬ ݊ െ ͳሽ ࡞ࡿࡇὀពࡍࡿࠊܺሺ߬ ר ݐሻࡣܨ ྍ ࡘ ܧሾܺሺ݊ ߬ רሻ െ ܺሺ݊ െ ͳ ߬ רሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ܧ ሾܺሺ݊ ߬ רሻȁܨିଵ ሿ ൌ ܺሺ݊ െ ͳ ߬ רሻǡ ݊ ܰ א ᐃ⌮ ߬ ࢆṆࡋࠊ ܺ ࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࡁࠊḟࡢ a ܰࡀ࠶ࡗ࡚ࠊ߬ሺ߱ሻ ܰǡ א ߱Ȑ ܴ א ܭǢ ȁܺሺ݊ሻȁ ܭǡ ሺ݊ǡ ߱ሻ ܼ אା ൈ Ȑࡘ߬ ൏ ҄ܽǤ ݏǤ ܧሾ߬ሿ ൏ ҄ࡘܴ א ܭǢ ȁܺሺ݊ሻ െ ܺሺ݊ െ ͳሻȁ ܭǡ ሺ݊ǡ ߱ሻ ܼ אା ൈ Ȑ 24 ࡢ࠸ࡎࢀࡀᡂࡾ❧ࡘ࡞ࡽࡤࠊܺሺ߬ሻࡣྍ✚ศ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻሿ ܧሾܺሺͲሻሿ ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊܺࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡢሙྜࡣࠊྠ᮲௳ࡢୗ࡛᭱ᚋࡢ➼ᘧ ࡀ➼ྕ࡛ᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ܧሾܺఛሿ ൌ ܧሾܺ ሿ ࡞ࡿࠋ ⿵㢟 ܺࢆඃ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡋࠊ߬ࢆ࠶ࡿܰᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ߬ ܰ࡞ࡿṆ ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢࠊܺሺ߬ሻ ܮ אଵ ሺȐǡ ܨఛ ǡ ܲሻǡࡘḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ܧሾܺሺܰሻȁܨఛ ሿ ܺሺ߬ሻ ド᫂㸸ܨ א ܧఛ ࡍࡿ ே ே ܧሾܺሺܰሻͳா ሿ ൌ ܧሾܺሺܰሻͳாתሼఛୀሽ ሿ ܧሾܺሺ݊ሻͳாתሼఛୀሽ ሿ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳா ሿ ୀ ே ୀ ȁܺሺ߬ሻȁ ȁܺሺ݊ሻȁ ୀ ࡼࡾࠊܧሾȁܺሺ߬ሻȁሿ ൏ ҄ ᐃ⌮ ௵ពᢳฟᐃ⌮ ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ࢆͲ ߬ଵ ߬ଶ ҄࡞ࡿṆࡍࡿࠋܺࡀ୍ ᵝྍ✚ศ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡽࡤࠊḟࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ܧሾܺሺ߬ଶ ሻȁܨఛభ ሿ ܺሺ߬ଵ ሻܽǤ ݏǤ ド᫂㸸 ߬ࢆ௵ពࡢṆࡍࡿࠋ⿵㢟 ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊ ܺሺ߬ ݇ רሻ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ݇ሻȁܨఛר ሿ ൌ ܧሾܧሾܺሺ҄ሻȁܨ ሿȁܨఛר ሿ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ҄ሻȁܨఛר ሿ ᐃ⌮ ࡼࡾࠊ݇ ՜ ҄ࡋ࡚ ܺሺ߬ሻ ൌ ܧሾܺሺ҄ሻȁ ሿǡ ؔ Ȫሺ ܨఛר ሻ ࡇࡇ࡛ࠊܨ א ܧఛ ࡍࡿࠊ ת ܧሼ߬ ݇ሽ ܨ אఛר ࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ ת ܧሼ߬ ൏ ҄ሽ אä ࡞ࡾࠊ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳாתሼఛழ҄ሽ ൌ ሾܺሺ҄ሻͳாתሼఛழ҄ሽ ሿ ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳாתሼఛୀ҄ሽ ൌ ሾܺሺ҄ሻͳாתሼఛୀ҄ሽ ሿ ௨ୖࡼࡾࠊ ܧሾܺሺ߬ሻͳா ൌ ሾܺሺ҄ሻͳா ሿ ࡇࢀࡼࡾࠊܨ א ܨఛభ ࡍࡿ ܧሾܺሺ߬ଶ ሻ െ ܺሺ߬ଵ ሻͳி ͳሺఛభǡఛమሻ ሿ ൌ Ͳ ࡞ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊド᫂ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ୰ᚰᴟ㝈ᐃ⌮ 㸦㸧X 1 , X 2 ,... ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝࡣ E X n ,i | Fn ,i 1 X n ,i 1 ࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ ࣮ࣝᕪศ Yn ,i X n ,i X n ,i 1࡛࠶ࡾࠊE Yn,i Fn,i 1 0 ࠋ 㸦㸧ḟ࣮࣓ࣔࣥࢺ E(Yn2,i ) f ࠋ 25 f E ª¬Yn2,i Fn ,i 1 º¼ ࡍࡿ࡞ࡽࡤ ¦ V n ,k 2 n㼡㼡㼡㼡㼡㼡㼞 o f pV 2 㸦㸧᮲௳ࡁศᩓ V n2,i k 1 ࠋ f ª º n of 㸦㸧 ¦ E «Yn2,k 1 Y tH » o 0ࡍࡿࠋ ^ ` n ,k ¬ ¼ k 1 f ࡇࡢࠊ N (0, V 2 ).ࡇࡢ᮲௳ࡣࣜࣥࢹ࣋ࣝࢡ᮲௳ࡪࠋ ศᕸ᮰ ¦ Yn,k o k 1 ☜⋡㐣⛬ ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ᐃ⩏ Bt ࡣᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛࠶ࡿࡢ᮲௳㸸 㸦㸧 B0 0 ྛȰᑐࡋࠊ t o Bt (Z ) ࡣ㐃⥆ 㸦㸧 t ! s t 0 ࡢ Bt Bs㹼N 0, t s լ Fs Vࠉ ^Bu : u d s` ᐃ⌮ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^ Bt , t t 0` ࡣḟࡢᛶ㉁ࢆࡶࡘ ࢞࢘ࢫ⣔ ^ Bt ` ࡣ࢞࢘ࢫ⣔࡛࠶ࡿࡘࡲࡾ௵ពࡢ⥺ᙧ⤖ྜ a1 Bt1 ..... an Btn , ai R, ti t 0 ࡣṇつศᕸᚑ࠺☜⋡ኚᩘ࡛࠶ࡿ ᖹᆒ E > Bt @ 0 E > Bs Bt @ min ^s, t` ඹศᩓ Cov( Bs , Bt ) ึᮇ್ B0 1 ࢧࣥࣉࣝࣃࢫࡢ㐃⥆ᛶ t o Bt ࡣ☜⋡࡛㐃⥆ ⊂❧ቑศ 0 d t1 t2 .... tn ࡢࡁ Bt0 , Bt1 , Bt2 Bt1 , Bt3 Bt2 ,...., Btn Btn1 ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿ ᐃ⌮ ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ືࡣ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬࡛࠶ࡿ ௵ពࡢ t ! s t 0 ᑐࡋࠊ E Bti Fs Bsi , i 1, 2,.... ^ E Bti Bsi Bt j Bsj Fs ` EG ij t s , i 1, 2.... ࡀᡂ❧ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ /«Y\ࡢᐃ⌮㸦㸧 M t 㸸㐃⥆ ^ Ft ` ࡘ࠸࡚࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ M 0 0ࡀ M M t ࡣ ^ Ft ` ࡘ࠸࡚ࡢࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡞ࡿࠋ t t , t ! 0 ࢆ‶ࡓࡍ 㸦㹲㸼㹱࡛࠶ࡿࠋ M t2 M t ࡀ࣐ࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮ࣝ࡞ࡿࡶࡢࠋ E M t2 M t Fs M t2 M t E M t2 M s2 Fs E( M t M s Fs ) ࠋ㸧 ☜⋡✚ศఀ⸨ࡢබᘧ 26 ୍⯡ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^ Bt ` 㐺ྜࡋࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬ ^G t ` ᑐࡋ࡚ఀ⸨ᆺ☜⋡✚ ศࡀᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ I t t ³ G s dB s 0 ^I t ` ࡶࡲࡓࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^B ` 㐺ྜࡋࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬࡞ࡿ t ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚☜⋡ᚤศ᪉⛬ᘧࡣࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື ^ Bt ` 㐺ྜࡋࡓ☜⋡㐣⛬ ^ X t ` ࡀ x0 ³ f s, X s ds ³ g s, X s dBs X t 0 0 t t ࢆ‶ࡓࡍࡶࡢࢆồࡵࡼ࠸࠺ၥ㢟࡞ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ☜⋡㐣⛬ ^ X t ` ࡀ X t ᙧࢆࡶ ࡘࡁఀ⸨㐣⛬,WƷRSURFHVV࠸࠺ ᚤศᙧࢆ⏝࠸࡚ dX Fds GdB ␎グࡍࡿࡇࡶከ࠸ఀ⸨㐣⛬ X t ࢆ㛵ᩘ f t , X t ࡶࡲࡓఀ⸨㐣⛬࡞ࡿࡋ f (t, x) ྜᡂࡋ࡚࡛ࡁࡿ☜⋡㐣⛬ Y t ࡓࡀࡗ࡚ Y t 0 0 t t y0 ³ F1 s ds ³ G1 s dBs ࡲࡓࡣ dY F1dt G1dB ࡢᙧࢆࡶࡘࡇࡇ࡛)V*Vࡢලయᙧࢆ࠼ࡿࡢࡀఀ⸨ࡢබᘧ࡛࠶ࡿ ఀ⸨ࡢබᘧኚᩘ㛵ᩘIW[ࡀW㛵ࡋ࡚ᅇ㐃⥆ⓗᚤศྍ⬟[ ᐃ⌮ 㛵ࡋ࡚ᅇ㐃⥆ⓗᚤศྍ⬟࡛࠶ࢀࡤ wf wf 1 w2 f 2 㹢Y t , X t dt t , X t dx t , X t dx 2 wt wx 2 wx 2 ࡇࡇ࡛ dX Fdt GdB, dX 㸻G 2 dt ᚑࡗ࡚ 1 w2 f wf wf 2 t, X t t, X t F t t, X t G t 2 2 wx wt wx wf F㸰㸻 t , X t G t wt ࡀᚓࡽࢀࡿࠋ ࡞࠾ఀ⸨ࡢබᘧࡢᮏ㉁ࡣḟࡢ✚බᘧ࠶ࡿఀ⸨࣮ࣝࣝ F㸯㸻 dt 2 dB dt dt dB 0, dB 2 dt %HVVHO 㐣⛬ ߚ ൌ ሺߚଵ ǡ ߚଶ ǡ ڮǡ ߚ ሻࡣ㹬ḟࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛࠶ࡾࠊ݊ ⋡☜ࡿ࠶ࠋܰ א㐣⛬5ࡣ ܴ௧ ൌ ȁȁߚ௧ ȁȁLHܴ௧ଶ ൌ σୀଵሺߚ ሻଶ ሺݐሻᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋఀ⸨ࡢබᘧࡼࡾ ܴ݀௧ଶ ൌ σୀଵ ʹߚ ሺݐሻ݀ߚ ሺݐሻ ݊݀ݐ ௵ពW!ܲሺܴ௧ ൌ Ͳሻ ൌ Ͳ☜⋡㐣⛬ :ࡀḟࡢᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ㸸 ܹ݀௧ ൌ ͳ ߚ ሺݐሻ ݀ߚ ሺݐሻ ܴ௧ ୀଵ : ࡣᐇᩘ್ࡁࡢࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛ࠊ☜⋡㐣⛬5ࡣḟࡢᘧ‶ࡓࡍ㸸 ݀ሺܴ௧ଶ ሻ ൌ ʹܴ௧ ܹ݀௧ ݊݀ݐ 27 ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣߩ௧ ൌ ܴ௧ଶ タᐃࡍࡿࠋ ݀ߩ௧ ൌ ʹඥߩ௧ ܹ݀௧ ݊݀ݐ ିଵ ௗ௧ ࢆᚓࡿࠋᚑࡗ࡚ࠊ5ࡣ %HVVHO㐣⛬ ఀ⸨ࡢබᘧࢆ⏝࠸࡚ܴ݀௧ ൌ ܹ݀௧ ଶ ோ ࡤࢀࡿࠋߩࡣ㹬 %HVVHO㐣⛬ࡤࢀࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏㹲ྛߜ Ͳ ݔ Ͳࡘ࠸࡚ࠊ☜❧㐣⛬=㹲ࡣึᮇ್ࢆ ݔᣢࡕࠊܳܵܧܤఋ ሺݔ㸧 グධࡉࢀࡿ㸸 ௧ ܼ௧ ൌ ݔ ʹ ඥܼ௦ ݀ߚ௦ ߜݐ țࡣ =㹲ࡢḟඖ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᐃ⌮ ߜ Ͳࡘ࠸࡚\ ࡢᐦᗘࢆ᭷ࡍࡿܳܵܧܤఋ ࡢ༙⩌ࡣ ഌ ͳ ݕమ ඥݕݔ ఋ ሺݔǡ ݍ௧ ቇ ǡ ݐ Ͳǡ ݔ Ͳ ݕሻ ൌ ቀ ቁ ൬െ ൰ ܫఔ ቆ ʹ ʹ ݔ ݐ Yࡀߜ ᑐᛂࡍࡿࡑࡋ࡚ܫజ ࡀYࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ%HVVHO㛵ᩘࠋ [ ࠾࠸࡚\ࡢᐦᗘࢆ ഃ ഃ ݕ ݍ௧ఋ ሺͲǡ ݕሻ ൌ ሺʹݐሻିమ ǻሺߜȀʹሻିଵ ݕమିଵ ቀെ ቁ Ǥ ʹݐ ఋ ሺݔǡ ͛ ଶ ଶ ࡛⾲ࡍࠋࡉࡽ ݔൌ ݔǡ ͛ݕൌ ݕኚᩘኚ࡛ݍ௧ ݕሻࡣḟࡢᘧ࡞ࡿ㸸 ଶ ଶ జ ݕ ݕݔ ௧ఋ ሺݔǡ ݕሻ ൌ ି ݐଵ ቀ ቁ ቆെ ቇ ܫఔ ቀ ቁ ǡ ݂ ݐݎ Ͳǡ ݔ Ͳ ʹ ݔ ݐ ࡑࡋ࡚ ݕଶ ఋ ሺͲǡ ିఔ ିሺఔାଵሻ ିଵ ଶఔାଵ ௧ ݕሻ ൌ ʹ ݐ ǻሺߥ ͳሻ ݕ ቆെ ቇǤ ʹݐ 28 ➨❶ ༢୍ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡘ࠸࡚ 㠀㈇ᩚᩘ =㹬࠾࠸࡚ࡣศᯞ㐣⛬ࡀ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 0,1,2...`࡛࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ☜⋡㛵ᩘࡣ㹹S kN 㹻Sk t 0, ^Z㸸㹬㸻 n ¦S k 1 ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ P i 㸪j P ^Z n 1 j | Zn i i t 1 ࠉj t 0, ° p ࠉif ࠉࠉ ࠉ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ i` ® j 2.1 i 0 ࠉj t 0. °¯G 0 j ࠉif pki : k 0,1, 2,... ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡣ࠶ࡿ㞟ᅋࡢྛඖ⣲ࡢ⦾Ṫ㐣⛬ࢆ⾲ࡍᛮࢃࢀ࡚ࡶⰋ࠸ࠋึᮇ್ࡣ = ࡛ࠊྛඖ⣲ࡀ⊂❧࡛☜⋡㛵ᩘ㹹 pk 㹻ࡢཎ๎ࡢୗ࡛ࣛࣥࢲ࣒ࡢᩘ࡛ḟୡ௦ࡢᏊᏞ ࢆసࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺సࡽࢀࡓᏊᏞࡢࡀ =㸦➨୍ୡ௦㸧࡞ࡿࠋ== ࡼࡾ = ࢆ㐀 ࡗ࡚⥆ࡅࡿࠋ୍ࡘࡢඖ⣲ࡣྠࡌࠕ࠾ぶࠖࡼࡾసࡽࢀࡓࠕᏊᏞࠖࡶྠ୍ୡ௦ࡢ ࡢඖ⣲ࡶ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢඖ⣲ࡢᩘ㔞ࡣ☜⋡ኚᩘ =㹬ࠋ㸦㸧ࡼࡾほ =Q㸻 ࡞ࡽࡤ =Q㸻 ࡞ࡿࠋࡇ࠺ࡋ࡚ࠊ௵ពୡ௦࠾࠸࡚ࡶᩘ㔞 ࡢព ࡿࠊ= ࡣࡇࡢศᯞ㐣⛬ࡀ⁛࡞ࡿࠋ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ◊✲ࡀ㛗࠸Ṕྐࡢ࠶ࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ◊✲⪅ࡓࡕࡢண㏻ ࡾࠊࡇࡢࣔࢹࣝࡣ≀⌮ࡸ⏕≀࡞ࡓࡃࡉࢇࡢศ㔝ᛂ⏝࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢၥ㢟ࡣ ᖺ )UDQFLV*DOWRQࡼࡗ࡚ึࡵ࡚ᑟධࡉࢀࡓࠋ᭱ึࡣࢠࣜࢫ㈗᪘ࡢⱑᏐ⁛ 㛵ࡍࡿ◊✲࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚ 5HYHUHQG+HQU\:DWVRQ ࡼࡗ࡚࠺ࡲࡃゎỴࡉ ࢀࡓࠋㄽᩥ *DOWRQDQG:DWVRQ㍕ࡗ࡚࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ࡣ *DOWRQDQG :DWVRQ 㐣⛬ࡤࢀࡿࠋศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢṔྐࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ '.HQGDOOࢆཧ↷ࡋ ࡓ࠺ࡀⰋ࠸ࠋึᮇࡢᩥ⊩┠㘓ࢆ▱ࡿࡓࡵ 7(+DUULVࢆཧ↷ࡋ࡚ࡶⰋ࠸ࠋ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢၥ㢟㛵ࡍࡿ◊✲࡛ࡣࠊึᮇ್≉ὀពࢆᘬࢀࡿࡓࡵࠊ ^Z , n 0,1, 2.... ࢆึᮇ್ L ࡢศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆ⾲♧ࡍࡿࠋከࡃࡢሙྜࡣ =㸻㸯ࡍࡿ ࡓࡵࠊ Z (1) n i n ` Zn ࡛᭩ࡃࠋ ᩘᏛ࠾࠸࡚ࠊẕ㛵ᩘ㸦ࡰࢇࡍ࠺ࠊⱥJHQHUDWLQJIXQFWLRQ㸧ࡣࠊ㸦⮬↛ ᩘ࡛ῧᏐࡅࡽࢀࡓ㸧ᩘิ^DQ`㛵ࡍࡿሗࢆෆໟࡋࡓಀᩘࢆᣢࡘࠊᙧᘧ⣭ ᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋẕ㛵ᩘࡣࠊ୍⯡⥺ᆺᅇᖐၥ㢟ࡢゎỴࡢࡓࡵࢻ࣭ࣔࣈࣝࡼࡗ࡚ ᖺึࡵ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡓࠋ」ᩘࡢ⮬↛ᩘ࡛ῧᏐࡅࡽࢀࡿᩘࡢ㓄ิ㸦ከ㔜ᩘ ิ㸧ࡢሗࢆྲྀࡾ㎸ࢇࡔከኚᩘ⣭ᩘࢆྠᵝ⪃࠼ࡿࡇࡶ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ ẕ㛵ᩘࡣࠊ㏻ᖖᆺẕ㛵ᩘRUGLQDU\JHQHUDWLQJIXQFWLRQࠊᣦᩘᆺẕ㛵ᩘ ࣋ H[SRQHQWLDOJHQHUDWLQJIXQFWLRQࠊࣛࣥ࣋ࣝࢺ⣭ᩘ/DPEHUWVHULHVࠊ࣋ ࣝ⣭ᩘ%HOOVHULHVࠊࢹࣜࢡࣞ⣭ᩘ'LULFKOHWVHULHV࡞ᵝࠎ࡞ࡶࡢ ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡘ࠸࡚ࡣᐃ⩏ࢆᚋ㏙ࡍࡿࠋཎ⌮ⓗࡣ࠶ࡽࡺࡿิࡘ࠸ ࡚ࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢ✀㢮ࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿ㸦ࡓࡔࡋࠊࣛࣥ࣋ࣝࢺ⣭ᩘࢹࣜࢡࣞ ᆺࡣῧᏐࢆࡽጞࡵࡿࡇࡀᚲせ㸧ࡀࠊᢅ࠸᫆ࡉࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢ✀㢮 ࡛┦ᙜ␗࡞ࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋࡢẕ㛵ᩘࡀ᭱ࡶ᭷ຠࡣࠊࡑࡢิࡢᛶ㉁ゎࡃ 29 ࡁၥ㢟ࡢヲ⣽౫Ꮡࡍࡿࠋ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆศᯒࡍࡿࡁࡢ୍ࡘ㔜せ࡞ᡭẁ࡛࠶ࡿ㏻ᖖᆺẕ㛵ᩘ㸦*HQHUDWLQJ )XQFWLRQV㸧࠸࠺ࡢࡣࠊᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ f f 㹱㸻¦ pk s㹩, s d 1 㸦㸧 k 0 㸦㸧ᘧࢆ⧞ࡾ㏉ࡋ࡚ࡳࡿ f0 s s, f1 s f > f n ( s)@ f ( s ), f n 1 s ࡞ࡢ࡛ ¦ P(1, j )s j f ( s); j ¦ P(i, j )s > f (s)@ , i t 1. i j 㸦㸧 j ⌮⏤ࢆ⡆༢࡛ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿ 㸦㸧ࡼࡾ ¦ P 1, j s j ¦p s j j 㸦㸧ᑐࡋ࡚ l1 l2 ...li ¦ P i, j s ¦ ¦ j j l1 l2 ...li 㹨 jࡍࡿ P l1 P l2 ...P li s l1 l2 ...li ¦ P l s ¦ P l s ...¦ P l s l1 1 l1 2 f s ࠋ j j l2 l2 i li li ª¬ f s º¼ , i t 1 i ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ 3㹬LMࢆ㹬ᅇ㑄⛣☜⋡ࡋ࡚3㹬㸯M㸻3=Q M_= ࠋ ࢥࣝࣔࢦࣟࣇ➼ᘧࡼࡾ ¦P n 1 (1, j ) s j j ¦¦ P (1, k ) P(k , j)s ¦ P (1, k )¦ P(k , j)s j n j j n k k j ¦ Pn (1, k ) > f (s)@ k k ¦ P (1, j )s n j j f ( n ) ( s ) ࠉࡍࡿf n 1 ( s ) f n > f ( s)@. ࡇࢀ࡛ࡣ୍ࡘࡢ㔜せ࡞බᘧ㸦㸧ࢆド᫂ࡉࢀࡓ㸸 f n s f n s 㸦㸧 30 㸦㸧㸦㸧ᘧࡼࡾ f ¦ P i, j s n j 0 j ¬ª f n s ¼º . i ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ࣓ࣔࣥࢺࡣୗࡢᘧ࡛⾲ࡍࠋ EZ1 ¦ P (1, j ) j f ' (1) m ࡉࡽ EZn ¦ P (1, j ) j n f n'1 (1) f ' (1) ... ª¬ f ' (1) º¼ f n' (1) ࡲࡓࠊḟࡢᘧࢆ⏝࠸ࠊf n''1 (1) f n'' (1) n mn 2 f '' (1) ª¬ f n' (1) º¼ f ' (1) f n'' (1), f n'' (1)ࢆồࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋ f '' (1) ª¬ m 2 n 2 m 2 n 3 ... m n 1 º¼ ࡇࡢᨾV 2㸻YDULDQFH=ࡍࡿࠊ 1 var Zn V 2 m n 1 (m n 1) m z1 ° if m 1 ® m 1 ° nV 2 ¯ ࠉ 㸦㸧 ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸ ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸࡣࡁ⣭ᩘࡼࡾᵓᡂࡉࢀࠊ 㒊ศ㞟ྜ 1 ୖࡢ㞳ᩓศᕸ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ a (a0 , a1 , a2 ...) ࡀ㠀㈇ᐇᩘิᐃࡍࡿࠋᡃࠎࡣಀᩘࡢࢩ࣮ࢣࣥࢫࡋ࡚ᣢࡘ ࡁ⣭ᩘ⯆ࢆᣢࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ᭱ึ㹬ḟࡢ㒊ศࢆ᭩࠸࡚࠾ࡃ㸸 g n T ࡑࡋ࡚ࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬ㹥ࡀ g T g T n ¦a T k k ,T R 㸦㸧 k 0 lim gn T ,T R ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ㸸 nof f ¦a T n n ,T R 㸦㸧 n 0 ȟ㸻 ࡢࠊࡑࡢࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࡀ᮰ࡍࡿࡇࢆὀពࡍࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ g 0 a0 ࡇࡢሙ ྜࡢࠊr > 0, f ࡛ T r ࡢࡁࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࡀ⤯ᑐ᮰ࡑࡋ࡚ T ! r ࡢࡁⓎᩓ ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞㹰ࡀᚲࡎᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ㹰ࡀ᮰ࡢ༙ᚄ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ㹰㸼 ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ㹰㸺 ࡛҄࠶ࢀࡤࡇࡢࢩ࣮ࣜࢬࡀ㹰࡛⤯ᑐ᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣⓎᩓࡍࡿࠋ㸫㹰࡛ࡇࡢࢩ࣮ࣜ ࢬࡀ⤯ᑐ᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ᮲௳᮰࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣⓎᩓࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽ T > 0, r ࡢ✵㛫ไ 㝈ࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢ✵㛫ࡀࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢺ✵㛫࡛࠶ࡿࠋU㸺҄ࡲࡓȟ㸻㹰ࡢሙྜḟࡢ⤖ᯝ ࡶᡂ❧ࡍࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࡀㄝ᫂ࡀ」㞧࡛ᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ☜⋡ኚᩘ 1 ࡣ㛵ᩘ㹥㸦ࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱ T > 0, r ࢩ࣮ࢣࣥࢫ a (a0 , a1 , a2 ...) ࢆᣢࡘ㸧 㛵㐃ࡘࡅࡽࢀࡓࣃ࣮࣡ࢩ࣮ࣜࢬศᕸࢆ᭷ࡍࡿࠋ1 ࡀ㞳ᩓᆺ☜⋡ᐦᗘ㛵ᩘࢆᣢࡘ㸸 anT n 㸦㸧 , n 0,1, 2.... fT n g T ࡑࡋ࡚ศᕸ㛵ᩘ FT n ¦ n f k ࡛࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊ1ࡢศᕸ㛵ᩘ k 0 T 31 g n T ,n g T FT n 0,1, 2.... 㸦㸧 Jȟࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ 1ࡢ☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘࢆ⡆༢సࢀࡿ㸸 f 1 f t 0, r / T ᑐࡋ࡚ࠉP t ¦ t n fT n an (tT ) n ¦ g T n 0 n 0 g tT ࠉࠉࡼࡗ࡚ g T 1ࡢ☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘ 3 ࡣḟࡢᘧ࡛⾲ࡍ㸸 g tT r , ࠉt P t E t N T g T ᚑࡗ࡚ g c tT Pc t T , Pcc t g T 㸦㸧 g cc tT 2 T ࡀ᫂ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ g T ☜⋡ẕ㛵ᩘࡢᛶ㉁ࡼࡾ E ( N ) Pc 1 ,V ( N ) EN Pcc 1 Pc 1 ª¬ Pc 1 º¼ ࠋࡼࡗ࡚ 2 T g c T g T 㸦㸧 V ( N ) T 2 g cc T / g T T g c T / g T [T g c T / g T ]2 ࠋ ࡲࡓࠊE ( N )V ( N ) ࡀḟࡢ㛵ಀ‶ࡓࡍࡇࢆὀពࡋࠊE ( N )V ( N ) ࢆࡉࡽᐃ ⩏ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ E ( N ) ࡣȟࡘ࠸࡚ᚤศࡍࡿࠋ wE ( N ) / wT T g cc T / g T g c T / g T T g c T / g 2 T ࡀ࠶ࡿࡓࡵ 2 T wE ( N ) / wT㸻V ( N ) ࠉࠉࡼࡗ࡚ 1 § w · V ( N )㸻¨ log T ¸ © wE ( N ) ¹ 㸦㸧 32 ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢ㔜せ࡞⤖ㄽ ࣔࢹࣝ≉ᛶ್ࡢ᥎ᐃ z0 1, z n zn1 ¦[ n ,i Yn 㸦㸧 i 1 ศᯞ㐣⛬࡛ࡣࠊ z0 ࡛᭱ึࡢ㞟ᅋࡢಶయᩘࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ zn ࡣ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢ㞟ᅋࡢಶయ ᩘࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ㞟ᅋࡢྛࠎࡢಶయࡣࡢࡶࡢࡣ⊂❧Ꮚࢆ⏕ࡳࡔࡍࠋࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ ➨㹬㸫㸯ୡ௦➨ L ␒┠ࡢಶయࡀ [ k ,i ಶࡢ᪂ࡋ࠸ಶయࢆ⏕ࡳࡔࡍࠋゝ࠸᪉ࢆኚ࠼ࢀ ࡤࠊ [ k ,i ࡣ Z k 1 ୡ௦ࡢྛᡂဨࡢᏊᏞᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Z k 1 ୡ௦ྛᡂဨࡢᏊᏞࡢయࡣ zn1 ¦[ n,i ࡛⾲♧ࡋࠊᏊᏞ㡯ࡪࠋ Yn ࡀ⛣Ẹ㡯࡛࠶ࡾࠊ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢእ᮶ࡢᡂဨ࡛࠶ i 1 ࡿࠋࡇࡢ Z n 1 ୡ௦ᏊᏞ㡯➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢእ᮶㡯ࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ࠊ➨㹬ୡ௦ࡢ㞟ᅋࡢ య Z n ࡞ࡿࠋࡇࡢ Z n ᩚᩘ್ࡢ☜⋡ኚᩘࡢิ࡛࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐃㙐ࢆࡘࡃࡿࠋ[ ni ࡀᏊᏞ ᩘࡋ࡚㠀㈇࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Yn ࡀ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡋ࡚ṇ࡛࠶ࢀࡤእࡽ㞟ᅋࡢ୰᮶ࡿሙྜࠊ㞽࡛࠶ࡿࡁ㞟ᅋ ࡢ୰እὶࡀ࡞࠸ሙྜࠊ㈇࡛࠶ࢀࡤ㞟ᅋࡢᡂဨࡀ㞟ᅋࡢእฟ࡚࠸ࡃሙྜࠊ ࡑࢀࡒࢀࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ Z Q ࡇࡢࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡣࠊほ ࡉࢀࡿࡶࡢ ZQࠊYn ほ ࡉࢀ࡞࠸ࡶࡢ ¦ [ ni ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ i 1 ᅗ ࡣᏊᏞࠊ⛣Ẹࠊ㞟ᅋయࡢ㛵ಀࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ㯮࠸ⅬࡀᏊᏞࠊⓑ࠸Ⅼࡀ⛣Ẹࠊ ⦪⥺ୖࡢ㒊Ⅼࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ୡ௦ࡢయ࡞ࡿࠋ 㸱ୡ௦ 㸰ୡ௦ 㸯ୡ௦ 㛫㍈ 㸮ୡ௦ ࡏୡ௦ ᅗ 2-1 ┤ほⓗ௨ୗࡢ࡛ヲࡋࡃㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࠋ 33 㸯 ࢿࢬ࣑ㅮ ࡡࡎࡳㅮࡣࠊࣆ࣑ࣛࢵࢻᆺࡢ㝵ᒙ⤌⧊ࢆᙧᡂࡋࠊୖࡢ㝵ᒙ࠸ࡿ⪅ࡀୗࡢ⪅ ࡽ㔠ࢆ྾࠸ୖࡆࡿ࠸࠺ᙧ࡛ࠊ㓄ᙜࡢࡳࢆ┠ⓗࡋ࡚άືࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ⤌⧊࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ㸯 ࡛ဨ࡞ࡿࠋ᪂ࡋ࠸ဨࢆࢇࢇ⤂ࡍࡿࠋ᪂ဨࡀ ேቑ࠼ࡿࡈ ࡢ⤂ᩱࢆࡶࡽ࠼ࡿࠋ⤂ࡼࡿ᪂ဨࡢ᪉ࡶࡑࡢᚋ ᪂ࡋ࠸ဨࢆ⤂ࡋࠊ ேࡈ⤂ᩱ ࢆࡶࡽ࠼ࡿࠋࡇࡢ᪉ἲ࡛ㅮࡢ ദ⪅ࡣ㯲ࡗ࡚࠸࡚ࡶဨࡀቑ࠼࡚⾜ࡁࠊඈࡅ࡛ࡁࡿࠋึᮇဨ࡞ࡗࡓே ࡶ࡞ࡾඈࢀࡿࠋ⨾ࡋ࠸ඈࡅヰ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊဨᩘࡀ⇿Ⓨⓗቑ࠼ࡿࠋࡕࡻ࠺ 㰡ࡢᏊᏞࡀ⇿Ⓨⓗቑ࠼࡚⾜ࡃᵝᏊఝ࡚࠸ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊࡡࡎࡳㅮゝࢃࢀࡿࠋ ࡛ࡶே㛫ࡢᩘ㝈ࡾࡀ࠶ࡿ௨ୖࠊ᪂ධဨࡣᚲࡎ㢌ᡴࡕ࡞ࡗ࡚ࠊ᭱ᚋࡢ᪉ ဨ࡞ࡗࡓேࡓࡕࡣࡁࡃᦆࡋࡗ࡚ࡋࡲ࠺ࠋࡇࢀࡣἲᚊ࡛⚗Ṇࡉࢀࡿࡶࡢ࡛ ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࡛ࡣ୍ேᑐࡋ࡚᪂⤂ဨᩘࡀ [ ni ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ➨㸯௦ࡢဨ z1 ࢆ᪂ z ࡋ࠸ேࢆ⤂ࡋ࡚ࠊ➨௦ࡢဨ z2 ¦ [1i ࡞ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࡛ࡣ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡀ࡞࠸ࠋ 1 i 㸰 ᪂ᆺࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜ ᪥ᮏᅜෆࡢᝈ⪅ᩘࡣ Z n ࡍࢀࡤࠊ་⒪ᶵ㛵ࡢሗ࿌ࡼࡾ⤫ィࢆྲྀࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ ୍ேࡢᝈ⪅ࡀ [ ni ே⛣ࡍࠋࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜కࡗ࡚ࠊ᪂ࡋ࠸ᝈ⪅ࡶࢇ ZL ࢇቑ࠼ࡿࠋࡇࡢ⛣ࡉࢀࡓேࡓࡕࡣࠕᏊᏞࠖࡧࠊ ¦ [ ni ࡛⾲ࡍࠋࡇࡢᏊᏞࡢ i 1 ᩘࡣほ ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋᅜෆ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊᾏእࡼࡾࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࢆឤᰁࡋ࡚᪥ᮏ ᮶ࡓேࡣ⛣Ẹ㸦 Yn 㸧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Yn ࡣฟධᅜࡢグ㘓࡞ࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࡼࡾほ ྍ⬟࡛࠶ ࡿࠋࡇࡢྠࡌࡼ࠺ఏᰁࡢὶ⾜ࡀ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࣔࢹࣝࢆ⏝࠸࡚ ㄝ᫂ࡋ࡚ࡶࡼ࠸ࠋ ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝ ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ [ niࡣᮇᚅ್ Pࡢ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸᚑ࠺^ [ n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ [ni㹼Po(P ) e P P [ni L ͐͐Q ͐͐ [ ni ! Yniࡣᮇᚅ್ Oࡢ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸᚑ࠺^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Yni㹼Po(O ) e O O yni L ͐͐Q ͐͐ ࡉࡽ^ [ n , i `^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ yni ! ࡿࠋ ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃ㔞ࡣ 34 Pˆ n n i 1 i 1 ¦ Zi ¦ Yi n ¦Z n ,Oˆ ¦Y i i 1 n Y 㸦㸧 i 1 i 1 ȣࡢ್ࡣ୕ࡘࡢྍ⬟ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋȣ㸺㸦VXEFULWLFDO㸧ȣ㸻㸦FULWLFDO㸧ȣ㸼 㸦VXSHUFULWLFDO㸧 ࠋࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜ࡣࠊȣࡣ = ࡢᮇᚅ್ࡋ࡚ࠊᝈ⪅ ࡣᖹᆒⓗఱே⛣ࡍࠊࡑࡢᏊᏞࡢつᶍࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋȣ㸺㸯ࡢࠊᏊᏞࡢつ ᶍࡀࡕ࠸ࡉ࠸ࡃ࡞ࡿࡽࠊᝈ⪅ࡢつᶍࢆ⦰ῶࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࢆ⾲♧ࡋࠊὶ⾜ࡀ࠸ ࡘ⤊ࢃࡿ⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋࡉࡽࠊ Z n ࡢᮇᚅ್ࢆィ⟬ࡍࡿ E(Z n )㸻 E(E(Z n Z Q ))㸻 E(Z Q P +Yn ) =E(Z n 1 )P + O O PO P 2 O 㻸 P n 1O § 1 P n · 㸦㸧 ¸ © 1 P ¹ O¨ ࡇࢀࡼࡾࠊȣ㸼㸯ࡢࠊ Z n ࡢᮇᚅ್ࡀ࡞ࡾࡁࡃ࡞ࡿぢ࠼ࡿࠋᝈ⪅ࡢつ ᶍࡣࢇࢇᣑࡋࠊࣃࣥࢹ࣑ࢵࢡ㸦ឤᰁ⇿Ⓨ㸧ࡢྍ⬟ᛶࡀ㧗࠸⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋ ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡼࡾࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆぢࡿ㸸 㹫㸸ୡ௦㸹㹬㸸ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ ᅗ ࡣ P Q ȣ㸻Ȣ タᐃࡍࡿࡁ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒࡛ࣛ ࠶ࡿࠋ ᅗ ࡣ P Q ȣ㸻Ȣ㸻㸴タᐃࡍࡿ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᗄఱศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ [ niࡣᡂຌ☜⋡㹮ࡢᗄఱศᕸᚑ࠺^ [ n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࠋ [ [ ni㹼 Geo ( p ) (1 p㸧 p L ͐Q ͐ Yniࡣᡂຌ☜⋡Tࡢᗄఱศᕸᚑ࠺^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ni Yni <ni㹼Geo(q) 㸦q㸧 q L ͐͐Q ͐ ࡉࡽ^ [ n , i `^ Y n , i `ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ ࡿࠋ Z niࡢᮇᚅ್ P 1 p Y ࡢᮇᚅ್ O n p 1 q q ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃ㔞ࡣ 35 n 1 pˆ pˆ Pˆ ¦ i 1 n Z i ¦ Yi i 1 n ¦Z n ,Oˆ ¦Y 1 qˆ qˆ i 1 n i Y i 1 i 1 ᗄఱศᕸࡼࡾࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆぢࡿ㸸 㹫ୡ௦㹬ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ ᅗ ࡣ P Q 㹮㸻ࠊT タᐃࡍࡿࡁ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢࣛ ࣒࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢȣࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ Ȣࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ㸷࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ᅗ ࡣ P Q 㸳㹮㸻ࠊT タᐃࡍࡿ Pˆ Oˆ ࡢࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࠊȣࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ ࡛ࠊȢࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࡣ㸷࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Histogram of lamdahat 4 0 6 0 F re q u e n c y 6 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 4 0 F re q u e n c y 8 0 8 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 Histogram of muhat 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 4.8 muhat 4.9 5.0 5.1 lamdahat 5.2 ᅗ 㸫 36 Histogram of lamdahat 60 0 0 20 20 40 Frequency 80 60 40 Frequency 100 120 80 140 Histogram of muhat 1.00496 1.00502 5.85 5.95 muhat 6.05 6.15 lamdahat ᅗ㸫 Histogram of lamdahat 4 0 F re q u e n cy 6 0 2 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 F re q u e n cy 8 0 6 0 1 0 0 8 0 Histogram of muhat 0.910 0.920 0.930 8.5 muhat 9.0 9.5 10.0 lamdahat ᅗ 㸫 37 40 30 0 10 20 Frequency 30 20 0 10 Frequency 40 50 Histogram of lamdahat 50 Histogram of muhat 0.965 0.975 0.985 0.995 7.5 8.0 muhat 8.5 9.0 9.5 lamdahat ᅗ㸫 ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃ Z1 , Z 2 ,㻸 Z n ࡀ୍ḟ⊂❧ྠศᕸᚑ࠺࡞ࡽࡤࠊ㏲ḟ☜⋡᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO 3UREDELOLW\ 5DWLR 7HVW␎⛠ 6357㸧࡛ࡣ㸪୍⯡ࡢ᳨ᐃࡢࡼ࠺ᶆᮏᩘࢆ࠶ࡽ ࡌࡵᅛᐃࡍࡿࡇࢆࡏࡎ࢜ࣥࣛࣥࢹ࣮ࢱᑐᛂྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋᶆᮏࢆᚓࡿࡓ ࡧ㸪᳨ᐃ௬ㄝ㹆 ᑐ❧௬ㄝ㹆 ࡢᑬᗘࢆ⟬ฟࡋ㸪ࡑࡢẚ / ࡀࢢࣞࢰ࣮ࣥ㸦᥇ ᢥ㝈⏺Რ༷㝈⏺ࡢ㛫㸧࠶ࡿ㝈ࡾุ᩿ࢆಖ␃ࡋࠊࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ⥆ࡅࡿࠋࡇ ࡢ⠊ᅖࢆ㉸࠼ࡓࡁ᳨ᐃࢆ⤊ࡍࡿࠋ ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣࠊ ࡇࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࠋ Ṇ้ T H0 : P ° ½° f z f z 㻸 f1 zn > a , b @¾ min ®t t 1: log 1 1 1 2 f 2 z1 f 2 z2 㻸 f 2 z2 °¯ °¿ P0 VS +1 : P 㸦㸧 P1 ࡢ᳨ᐃࡢ୰ࠊ᳨ᐃ௬ㄝ H 0 ࡀ┿࡞ࡢᑐ❧௬ㄝ H1 ุ ᩿ࡉࢀࡿሙྜࡣࡔ➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾࡀⓎ⏕ࡋࠊ☜⋡ࡀȘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᑐ❧௬ㄝ H1 ࡀ┿࡞ ࡢ᳨ᐃ௬ㄝ H 0 ุ᩿ࡉࢀࡿሙྜࡣࡔ➨✀ࡢㄗࡾࡀⓎ⏕ࡋࠊ☜⋡ࡀ㸦㸯ș㸧 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘࡣ᳨ᐃࡢࢧࢬ㸦VL]H㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊ㸮㏆࡙ࡅࡤ㏆࠸ᮃࡲࡋ ࠸ࠋșࡣ᳨ᐃຊ㸦SRZHU㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊ㸯᥋㏆ࡍࢀࡤࡍࡿⰋ࠸ࠋ 38 $:$/'㸦㸧㸦ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩㸯㸧ࡢㄽᩥࡼࡾȘࠊș DࠊE ࡢ㛵ಀࡣୗグࡢᘧ࡛ィ ⟬࡛ࡁࡿ㸸 a log 1 E E b log 1D D 㸦㸧 ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡣᖜᗈ࠸ศ㔝࡛⏝ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᐇࡣᆅ㟈ࡢ⿕ᐖሗฎ⌮ࠊ 㟁Ꮚሗ㏻ಙࢩࢫࢸ࣒㐺ᛂⓗヰ⪅㆑ู>ཧ㸴@࡞࡛࠶ࡿࠋᮏㄽᩥࡢࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡣࠊ ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡀࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨࡢὶ⾜ᢚไࡢㄢ㢟㐠⏝࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ ࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨὶ⾜୰ࠊᝈ⪅ࡀቑ࠼࡚⥆ࡅࡿ≧ἣࡼࡾࠊࢹ࣮ࢱࡀ࡛࢜ࣥࣛࣥ ࠶ࡿࠋࣥࣇ࢚ࣝࣥࢨὶ⾜ࢆᢚไࡍࡿࡓࡵ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࢆᢞධࡍࡿࠋࡑࡋࡓࡽ࣡ ࢡࢳࣥࡢຠᯝࢆ᳨ᐃࡍࡿࠋຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿ࡞ࡽ⏝ࡋ⥆ࡅࡿࠋຠᯝࡀ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ⏝ ୰Ṇࠊ᪂ࡓ࡞◊✲ࢆࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ ࣏ࢯࣥ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢ㐣⛬ Z0 =1 ° Z n1 °Z = Z Y ° n ¦ ni n ࡢࣔࢹࣝᚑ࠺ࠋ i 1 ® °[ 㹼Po P ࠉ[ࡣQࡘ࠸࡚⊂❧ ° ni °¯<n㹼po O ࠉ㹷ࡣQࡘ࠸࡚⊂❧ < ࡢᮇᚅ್Ȣࡣኚ࡛࠶ࡿ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋ H 0 : P ® ¯ Hˍ : P P0 ɷ ȷ ɉ ɻ ȃ ࣩ ᷌ ǿ Ǭ P1 ɷ ȷ ɉ ɻ ȃ ࣩ ᷌ Ǘ ȟ ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᳨ᐃ㐣⛬ࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ィ⟬ࡣලయⓗḟ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ p zn , yn zn 1 㹼Po ( zn 1P ) Po O p0 zn , yn zn1 p zn , yn zn 1 e zn1P zn1P n xn yn ! z yn e zn1P0 zn1P0 n xn yn ! u e zn1P1 zn 1P1 n zn yn ! u z yn eO O㹷n yn ! z yn u e O O㹷n ࡼࡾ yn ! e O O yn yn ! 39 P1 z1 , y1 㻸 ]n , yn zn1 ᑬᗘẚ L n P1 zi , yi zi 1 P ] , y P0 ]1\1 㻸 ]n , yn zn1 i 1 0 L zi 1 i L A ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǿǬ H 0 ᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌ǿǬ˅ L˚ B ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǗȟ Hˍ᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌Ǘȟ˅ P ] , y ¦ log P ] , y t / ࡢᑐᩘᑬᗘ lt i 1 1 i i 0 L i zi 1 zi 1 ORJ$ D ORJ% E lt D ࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࡞ࡋࠊlt 㸼㹠ࡢࡁ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࠶ࡿࠋ6357 ᳨ᐃࡢ Ṇ้ࡣ S min ^t t 1: lt ! b, or , lt a` ᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ>ຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿ@࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ>ຠᯝࡀ ࡞࠸@ࡕࡽࡣ୍᪉ࠊ ᳨ᐃࡉࢀࡿ้ 6 ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆṆࡵࡿࠋ ࡇࡢ᳨ᐃࡼࡾࠊ ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡢຠᯝࡘ࠸࡚᪩࠸ẁ㝵ุ࡛᩿ࡀྍ⬟࡞ࡿࠋ ➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾ D p0 ls !b ➨✀ࡢㄗࡾ 1E p1(ls a)ࠋ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡶᬑ㏻ࡢ⸆ࡶࠊ ຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿゝࡗ࡚ࡶ࠶ࡿ⛬ᗘࡢㄗᕪࢆチࡍࠋࡇࡢ᳨ᐃ࡛ࡣȘșࡢ್ࡀ࠼ ࡽࢀࡓᐃᩘ⪃࠼ࢀࡤⰋ࠸ࠋࡓ࠼ࡤ D 㸣ࡢពࡣຠᯝ࠶ࡾࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡣ 㸣ࡢேຠᯝ࡞ࡃ࡚ࡶチࡍࠋ E ࡣ┿ᐇ࠾ࡾࡢຠᯝ⋡ࠋࡓ࠼ࡤșࡣ㸷㸳㸣࡛ ࠶ࢀࡤࠊࡇࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡀ 㸣ࡢேຠᯝࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ DE ࡢ್ࡣ㸦㸧 ᘧ࡛Ỵࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾ a log 1 E E b log 1D Dࠋ ᗄఱศᕸࡼࡾࡢ᳨ᐃ㐣⛬ ࡢ᥎ᑟࡼࡾ n P1 (Z㸯 z1 , Y1 y1 ,㻸 Z n zn , Yn yn ) ¦ Zt 1 p1 t 1 n n ¦ zt ¦ zt (1 p1 ) t 1 n ¦ yt n t 1 q n (1 q) t 1 Qi n n i 1 n P0 ( Z㸯 z1 , Y1 y1 , 㻸 Z n z n , Yn yn ) ¦ Z t 1 p0 t 1 n ¦ zt ¦ zt (1 p 0 ) t 1 t 1 ¦ yt q n (1 q ) t 1 Qi i 1 L P1 (Z㸯 z1 , Y1 P0 ( Z㸯 z1 , Y1 n y1 ,㻸 Z n y1 ,㻸 Z n n ¦ zi ¦ yi § 1 p1 · i 1 ¨ ¸ © 1 p0 ¹ i 1 zn , Yn zn , Yn n yn ) yn ) n ¦ zi1 § p ·i 1 ¨ 1 ¸ © p0 ¹ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦2.16㸧 40 L A ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǿǬ H0᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌ǿǬ˅ L˚B ɷȷɉɻᣅࡽޕᖼ༹ॆǗȟ Hˍ᧑ᣎ˄ࣩ᷌Ǘȟ˅ / ࡢᑐᩘᑬᗘ l t § n ¨ ¦ zi © i 1 n ¦ i 1 1 p1 · y i ¸ lo g 1 p0 ¹ n ¦ z i 1 lo g i 1 p1 p0 lt D ࡢ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࡞ࡋࠊ lt 㸼㹠ࡢࡁ࣡ࢡࢳࣥຠᯝ࠶ࡿࠋ Ṇ้ S min ^t t 1: lt ! b, or , lt a` ➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾ D p0 ls !b ➨✀ࡢㄗࡾ1E p1(ls a) ࠋ ᳨ᐃࡢุ᩿ཎ๎ Dࠊ㹠Ỵࡲࡾ᪉ἲࡣศᕸ㝈ࡽࡎࠊᬑ㐢ⓗ㐺ᛂ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝศᯒ ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࡢሙྜ 㹫ࡣୡ௦ࠊ㹬ࡣࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢᅇᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘ ș ᐃࡍࡿࠋ 㹫 㹬 Ȣ ȣ ȣ Ș ș ➨㸯ᅇ ➨㸰ᅇ ➨㸱ᅇ ぢ᪉㸸 Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢ್᭱㸻 Ṇ้ࡢᮇᚅ್㸦0HDQ7LPH㸧 Ṇ้ࡢぢ᪉㸸!6WRSSLQJ7LPH>@ >@ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ㸯㸮㸮㸮ᅇ⾜࠺ࠊṆ้ࡀ୍␒ከ࠸ࡢࡀṆ้ ಶࡀ࠶ࡿࠋṆ้ࡢᮇᚅ್ࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࡽぢࡿࠊྛᅇࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ ࣙࣥࡢṆ้ࡢᖹᆒಶᩘࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Ṇ้ࡢぢ᪉ࡢࡇࢁ࡛ 6WRSSLQJ7LPH ࡢ㸯㹼㸳ࡢඖ⣲ࢆ⾲♧ࡉࡏࠊ➨୍ᅇࡢ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢṆ้ࡣ➨㸲㸮ୡ௦ฟ⌧㸪➨ᅇࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ Ṇ้ࡣ➨㸷㸴ୡ௦ฟ⌧ࡍࡿ࠸࠺ពࢆ⾲ࢃࡍࠋ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࡼࡾȘࠊșࡣᐃ್ࡢࡲࢃࡾ࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࡇࡀࢃ ࡿࠋ ➨୍✀ㄗࡾࡢ☜⋡ࡀ ᐃࡍࡿࠊᐇࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾᖹᆒṆ ้㸦㸧ࡢ୰➨୍✀ࡢㄗࡾࡀ 㸰ᅇ㸦㸨㸧ࡄࡽ࠸Ⓨ⏕ࡍࡿࠋ ➨✀ㄗࡾࡢ☜⋡ࡀ㸯ș࡛࠶ࡾࠊᐇࡢ☜⋡ࡣ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾᖹᆒṆ 41 ้ࡢ୰➨✀㢮ࡢㄗࡾࡀ ᅇࡀⓎ⏕ࡍࡿࠋșࡣ᳨ᐃຊ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ࡢᐇࡢ ್ࡀ࣡ࢡࢳࣥࡢຠᯝ᳨ᐃ࡛ࡣ᭷ຠ⋡ࡀ ࠸࠺ព࡛࠶ࡿࠋ௨ୗࡣẚ㍑ ᳨ドࡢࡓࡵࠊ≉ᛶ್ࢆධࢀ᭰࠼ࠊᩘᅇࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆ㍕ࡿࠋ Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH Ṇ ้ ࡢ ᮇ ᚅ ್ ࡢ್᭱ 㸦0HDQ7LPH㸧 ➨㸯ᅇ ➨㸰ᅇ ➨㸱ᅇ ᗄఱศᕸࡢሙྜ Ș ș ᐃࡍࡿࠋ 㹫 㹬 㹮 㹯 Ș ș ➨㸯ᅇ ➨㸰ᅇ ➨㸱ᅇ Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH Ṇ ้ ࡢ ᮇ ᚅ ್ ࡢ್᭱ 㸦0HDQ7LPH㸧 ➨㸯ᅇ ➨㸰ᅇ ➨㸱ᅇ ௨ୖࡢࡘࡢศᕸᑐࡋ࡚ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺⤖ᯝࠊȘ㸦VL]H㸧ș㸦SRZHU㸧 ᐃ್ᐇ㝿್ࡀయୖ୍⮴࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㛫ࡢ㛗ࡉࡣṆ้ࡢᅇᩘᙳ㡪ࢆ࠼ࡿ ࡇࢆࢃࡿࠋȣࡢ್ࡀ㸯㏆ࡃࡍࢀࡤࡍࡿࠊȘșࡢ್ࡀᕼᮃࡍࡿ್್ ࡀ㏆࡙࠸࡚ࡃࡿࠋ 42 ➨ 㸱 ❶ ⮫⏺ ್ᑐࡍࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO 7HVWVIRU7KH &ULWLFDOLW\RI%UDQFKLQJ3URFHVVHV㸧 ࣔࢹࣝࡢᇶᮏ Z n ࢆ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ➨ Q ୡ௦ᩘࡋ࡚ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ Zn Z n1 ¦[ n ,i Yn ࠉ , ࠉࠉn ࠉi 㸦㸧 i 1 [ n,i ࡀ➨ Q ୡ௦➨ L ␒┠ಶయࡢᏊᏞ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Yn ࡀ➨ Q ୡ௦ࡢ⛣Ẹࡢᩘ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ^[ `^Y ` ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ LLG࡛≉ᛶ್㸦PȪ 㸧㸦ȢE 㸧ࢆᣢࡘࠋ n,i n ^Z n `^Yn ` ࡀほ ྍ ࡉࢀࡿ௬ᐃࡍࡿࠋึᮇ್ Z 0 1 ࡍࡿࠋ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡼࡿᐇ㝿ၥ㢟ࡢ◊✲ࡀࡓࡃࡉࢇ࠶ࡿࠋ ⏕ែᏛศ㔝࡛ࡣࠊி㒔Ꮫబ⸨ⴥᏊ࣭℩㔝⿱⨾ඛ⏕ࡼࡾ᭩ࢀࡓᮏࠕጣࡢ⥅ᢎ ⤯⁛ࡢᩘ⌮⏕ែᏛ̿*DOWRQ:DWVRQ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡼࡿࣔࢹࣝゎᯒࠖࡣ୍ࡘࡢᛂ⏝ ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᩘ⌮⏕ែᏛࡢほⅬࢆࡾ࠸ࢀ࡚㸪ᛂ⏝ᩘ⌮ศ㔝࡛࠶ࡿ☜⋡㐣⛬ࡢ࡞ ࡢศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆᛂ⏝ࡋࡓᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡢゎᯒࡼࡗ࡚㸪ጣࡢᏑ⥆ᛶࡸ⤯⁛ᛶ㸪ࡉ ࡽ㸪ከᵝᛶ㛵ࡍࡿᩘ⌮ⓗ࡞⪃ᐹࢆヨࡳࡿࡓࡵࡢ㸪ࡲࡓ㸪ヨࡳࡓ㐨➽ࢆ㸪࡛ ࡁࡿࡔࡅᑀࡲࡵࡼ࠺ࡋࡓࠋᩘ⌮⏕ែᏛࡢほⅬࡢᑟධࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ㸪ࡾ ࢃࡅ㸪ጣࡢᏑ⥆ᛶࡢ᳨ウ㛵ࡋ࡚㸪ฟ⏕⋡ࡸฟ⏕ᛶẚࢆ㝧ྵࡴᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡢ ゎᯒࡼࡗ࡚⪃ᐹࡋ࡚࠸ࡿⅬ㢧ⴭ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ᪥ᮏࡢጣࡢከᵝᛶࡸᏑ⥆ᛶࠊ⤯⁛ ᛶ㛵ࡍࡿᩘ⌮ⓗ࡞⪃ᐹࡀヲࡋࡃࠊィ㔞ⓗ࡞⤖ㄽࡀฟࡓࠋጣࡢၥ㢟ࡣ㸪♫ⓗ ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣᩥⓗ࡞せ⣲ࢆᢤࡁࡣ⪃ᐹ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࡇࡣᙜ↛ࡔࡀ㸪⤫ィⓗ࡞ᢅ࠸ ࡋ࡚ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡼࡿࣉ࣮ࣟࢳࡣ᭷ព⩏࡞㠃ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ ⡿ࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡဨᩘࡢቑ࠼᪉ࡣศᯞ㐣⛬ᚑ࠺ࠋ ࣉࣜࣥࢫࢺࣥᏛ༤ኈㄢ⛬ᅾ⡠ࡍࡿ -RVKXD6SHFKOHU ࡉࢇ -RKQ&DQQDUHOOD ࡉࢇࡀᇳ➹ࡋࡓㄽᩥ࡛ࡣࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡࡢ⁛ஸࡀ㏕ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿᙇࡋࠊ◊✲ㄽ ᩥࡀࣥࢱ࣮ࢿࢵࢺୖ࡛≀㆟ࢆ㔊ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࢯ࣮ࢩࣕࣝࢿࢵࢺ࣮࣡࢟ࣥࢢࢧ࣮ ࣅࢫ㸦616㸧ᡭࡢࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡࡢࡼ࠺࡞ࢯ࣮ࢩ࣓ࣕࣝࢹࡣ㏻ᖖࠊఏᰁ ྠࡌᡂ㛗⾶㏥ࡢࣃࢱ࣮ࣥࢆࡓࡿㄽࡌ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ேࡣୡ⏺᭱ࡢ 616 ࡛࠶ ࡿࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡࡀྥࡇ࠺ ᖺ௨ෆᐇୖᾘ⁛ࡍࡿ⤖ㄽࡅࡓࠋ ㄽᩥࡣࠊ ᖺ᭱┒ᮇࢆ㏄࠼ࡓᚋ࡛ᛴ㏿⾶࠼ࠊ ᖺࡲ࡛↓ࡁ➼ࡋ࠸ Ꮡᅾ࡞ࡗࡓ 616 ࡢ⡿࣐ࢫ࣮࣌ࢫࡢࡀᣲࡆࡽࢀࡓࠋࡲࡓࠊࢢ࣮ࢢࣝࡢ᳨⣴ ࢡ࢚࣮ࣜࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ேẼᗘࢆ ࡾࠊࣇ࢙ࢫࣈࢵࢡࡣ ᖺேẼࡀ᭱ 㧗₻㐩ࡋࠊ᪤⾶㏥ࡋጞࡵ࡚࠸ࡿ㏙ࡓࠋྠᖺࡽࠕ᳨⣴㢖ᗘࡢୗ㝆ࢺࣞ ࣥࢻࠖࡀぢࡽࢀࡿࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ 43 %DVDZD ࡢ◊✲ࡘ࠸࡚ 7KH$QQDOVRI6WDWLVWLVⓎ⾲ࡉࢀࡓࠕ6HTXHQWLDO(VWLPDWLRQ%UDQFKLQJ 3URFHVVHVZLWK,PPLJUDWLRQ࡛ࠖࡣ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ㏲ḟ᥎ᐃࡘ࠸࡚ 㔜せ࡞⤖ㄽࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ P Ȫ ࡢ᥎ᐃ್ࡀ ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡓࠋ 㸦ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩>@㸧 ¦ Z Y , ¦Z n mˆ n i 1 1 Vˆ 2 n i n ¦ n 1 㸦㸧 i 1 ª( Z i mˆ n Z i 1 Yi ) 2 / 1 Z i 1 2 º ¬ ¼ ࠋ n 2 ¦1 ª¬ Zi1 / 1 Zi1 º¼ 㸦㸧 㸦㸧ࡣ㸦㸧ࡼࡾ⡆༢࡛ィ⟬࡛ࡁࡿࠋ㸦㸧ࡣȪࡢ୍⮴᥎ᐃ㔞࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡇࡢ㹬Ѝ҄ࡢሙྜ %DVDZDࡼࡾ N (0,1) ࠉࠉࠉLIm 㸺1 °° § 2· X 1 O ˆ V Z / ( m m ) ® n ¨ ¦ i 1 n ¸ ࠉLIm 1 ©i1 ¹ ° 1 X s ds °¯ ³0 n o f, X t ࡣ'LIIXVLRQ3URFHVVᘧࡢ'㸻㸯ࡢሙྜ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ n 1/ 2 㸦㸧 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ࡘ࠸࡚ 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ࡢᐃ⌮ ㏲ḟゎᯒ㛵ࡍࡿ◊✲ࡣࠊㄗࡾࡢ☜⋡Ṇ㛫ࡢᮇᚅ್ศᩓ࡞≉ᛶࢆ ィ⟬ࡍࡿࡇࡀ㔜せ࡛࠶ࡿከࡃࡢ◊✲⪅ࡀࠊ㠀⥺ᙧ᭦᪂⌮ㄽࡀ㔜せ࡞ᙺࢆᯝ ࡓࡋ࡚࠸࡚ࠊ≉ᛶ್ࡢホ౯ࢆ◊✲ࡋࡓࠋࡋࡋ㠀⥺ᙧ⏕⌮ㄽࡣ :DOG ࡢ◊✲⤖ ᯝᙉࡃ౫ᏑࡋࠊLLG࡛ほ ࡉࢀࡿࡢࡳ᭷ຠ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢၥ㢟ࢆඞ᭹ࡍࡿ ࡓࡵࠊᡃࠎࡣࠊORFDODOWHUQDWLYHV ௬ㄝࢆᐃࡋࡓ 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࠋ ࣐ࣝࢥࣇࡣࠊ≀⌮ᏛࠊᏛࠊ⏕≀Ꮫ࡛ฎ⌮ࡋࠊ ከࡃࡢሙྜ୍⯡ᣑᩓぢ࡞ࡉ ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡓࡵࠊ'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ᩘᏛ⌮ㄽࡶᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿ ࠋ .XUW]DQG 3URWWHU࡛ࡣࠊ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬ࡢ 'LIIXVLRQ $SSUR[LPDWLRQ ၥ㢟ࡘ࠸࡚ ࡣࠊḟࡢ⤖ㄽࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ 44 ྛ Q ᑐ ࡋ ࡚ ࠊ X knࡣ filtration ࣐ ࣝ ࢥ ࣇ 㐣 ⛬ ࠋ P x : the drift coefficient 1 ࠉ ࠉ E ¬ª X kn X kn1 P X kn1 Fkn1 ¼º V x ! 0 : the diffusion coefficient 2 ࠉ ࠉ E ª«¬ X kn X kn1 2 Fkn1 º» ¼ 1 §1· o¨ ¸ n ©n¹ V 2 X kn1 1 §1· o¨ ¸ n ©n¹ diffusion approxim ation 3 ࠉ ࠉ X >nnt @ Xt X0 t t ³ P X ds ³ V X dW s 0 s 0 s ศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ࡢ 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ࡢෆᐜࡼࡾࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ࡀ࣐ࣝࢥࣇ㐣⛬࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡢᐃ⌮ࢆ⏝ࡋࠊ ศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ࡢ 'LIIXVLRQ$SSUR[LPDWLRQ ࢆィ⟬࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢ⤖ㄽࡣ 1DJDL 㸦㸧>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩㸲@㍕ࡗ࡚࠶ࡿࠋ X kn Z k / n ࡋ࡚ࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢᣑᩓ㏆ఝලయⓗࡣḟ୕ࡘࡢᘧ࡞ࡿࠋ 1c ࠉࠉE ª¬ X kn X kn1 Fkn1 º¼ Ȣ'X 1n n k 1 2 1 1 2 c ࠉࠉE ª«¬ X kn X kn1 Fkn1 º»¼ V 2 X kn1 o §¨ ·¸ n ©n¹ 3c 䛣䛾 X >nnt @ X t 㻘 X t 䛿 㻯㻵㻾㻔㻯㼛㼤㻩㻵㼚㼓㼑㼞㼟㼛㼘㼘㻩㻾㼛㼟㼟㻕㐣⛬䛷䛒䜛䠖㻌 dX t 㸦O -'X t )dt V X t dWt 㻌 ࡇࡢ⤖ㄽࢆド᫂ࡍࡿࡓࡵ ORFDODOWHUQDWLYH ࡢᩘᏛ᪉ἲࢆ⾜࠺ᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ H 0 : m 1 vs H1 : m 1 ' / n࡛⪃࠼ࡿࠋḟࡢ᭩ࢆ⾜࠺㸸 Zk Z k 1 ¦[ k ,i Yk ࠉ O mZ k 1 H k , ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ 3.5 i 1 Hk Z k 1 ¦ ([ k ,i m) Yk O࡛࠶ࡿࠋ i 1 2 2 2 ࡇࡢࠉE (H㹺 k Fk 1 )=0 ,E (H k |Fk 1 )=V Z k 1 b . 45 ࡼࡾ ^[ `^Y ` ࡣ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡾࠊLLG࡛ࡑࢀࡒࢀ≉ᛶ್㸦PȪ 㸧 n,i n 㸦ȢE㸧ࢆᣢࡘࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ࣐ࣝࢥࣇᛶࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊ H k ࡢ᮲௳ᮇᚅ್ ศᩓࡀ⡆༢ィ⟬࡛ࡁࡿࠋලయⓗࡣ Zk1 㹺Fk 1) E(H㹺 k Fk 1 )㸻(¦([k ,i m) Yk O i 1 E([k ,1 [k ,2 ...[k ,Zk1 Zk 1m Yk O㹺Fk 1) Zk 1E([k ,i ) Zk 1m E(Yk㸧 O 0 E H k 2 | Fk 1 V H k | Fk 1 E 2 H k | Fk 1 Z k 1 E[(¦ ([ k ,i m) Yk O ) 2 | Fk 1 ] i 1 V 2 Zk 1 b 2 ࠉࠉࠉ࡞ࡿࠋ X n k Z k / n ᑐࡋࠊGLIIXVLRQDSSUR[LPDWLRQ ࢆ⏝࠸࡚̓㹼̓ࡢ⤖ㄽ ࡀฟࡿࠋ̓ࡣ㸦㸧ᘧᑐ❧௬ㄝࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ィ⟬ࡍࡿ⮬↛ド࡛᫂ࡁࡿࠋ ̓ ࡣࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇ➼ᘧ࡞ࡢ▱㆑ࡀᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ̓ 㛵ᩘ᭰௦ࡼࡾ GLIIXVLRQDSSUR[LPDWLRQ ࡽ &,5 㐣⛬ࡀ⏕ᡂࡍࡿࠋලయⓗࡣ 1c E[ X kn X kn1 㹺Fkn1 ] 1 1 E[ Z k Z k 1 | Fkn1 ] E O mZ k 1 H k Z k 1 Fkn1 n n 1 1 ' O (1 m) Z k 1 §¨ O Z k 1 ·¸ n n© n ¹ 1 (O 'X kn1 ) n 46 1 Var (O mZ k 1 H k Z k 1 | Fkn1 ) E 2 ( X kn X kn1 | Fkn1 ) 2 n Z k 1V 2 b2 O 'X k 1 n2 n2 V 2 X kn1 b2 O 2 2O'X kn1 ' 2 (X kn1 )2 n n2 V 2 X kn1 § 1 · o¨ ¸ n ©n¹ b2 O 2 2O'X kn1 '2 (X kn1 )2 §1· o ¨ ¸) (ὀ㸸 2 n ©n¹ n 2 ὀࡢド᫂ࢆヲ⣽᭩࠸࡚࠾ࡃࠋ Z n1 ¦[ Zn n ,i Yn ࠉ , ࠉZ 0㸻㸯 i 1 Xn 㸦D㸧 k21 n §1· o ¨ ¸ࢆ♧ࡍࠋ ©n¹ Z n1 Z n1 i 1 i 1 | Fn 1 ] E[¦ [ n ,i Yn ࠉ | Fn 1 ] E[ Z n | Fn 1 ] E[¦ [ n ,i Yn ࠉ ࡇࡢᘧࡢ୧㎶ྠᮇᚅ್ࢆྲྀࡿ E Z n㸧㸻㸦 E Z n 1㸧mO 㸦 m ࡢሙྜ࡛⪃࠼ࡿࠋ E Z n㸧㸻㸦 E Z n 1㸧O㸻㸦 E Z n㸧㸻㸦 E Z n 2㸧O 㸦 ......㸻E Z 0 +nO E Zn㸧㸻㸯+nO ࡼࡗ࡚㸦 P㸦 E Z k 1 Zk 1 㸼H 㸧d 2 n n 2H n k 1 2 X n Z k 1 ࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛OLP n of n3 X kn1 n2 1 n Z k 1 3 lim n n of 1 n 0ࡘࡲࡾ X kn1 n2 §1· o¨ ¸ ©n¹ 47 (X kn1 )2 n2 §1· o ¨ ¸ࢆ♧ࡍࠋ ©n¹ 2 ª§ Zn1 º · V 㸦Z㹺 n Fn 1㸧 E «¨ ¦ ([ n ,i m) (Yi O ) ¸ | Fn 1 » «¬© i 1 »¼ ¹ Z n 1V 2 b 2 (b) m 1ࡢሙྜࢆ⪃࠼ࡿࠋ๓ࡢド᫂ࡼࡾ㸦 E Z n㸧㸻㸦 E Z n 1㸧mO࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 2 2 㸦 㸦Z㹺 E Z n2㸧 㸦 E Z㹺 Z㹺 E㸦 n Fn 1㸧 E V n Fn 1㸧 n Fn 1㸧 㸻E㸦 Z n1㸧V 2 b2 +㸦Zn1O㸧2 㸦 E Z n21㸧O 㸦 E Z n 1㸧 O2 E Z n 1㸧V 2 b 2 +㸦 㸦 E Z n ) 㸦 E Z n21㸧 n 1 (2O 2 OV 2 ) V 2 b 2 +O 2 2O 2O 2 OV 2 n(n 1) V 2 b 2 +O 2 2O n 2 ° P Z k21 ½° 㸦 E Z n21㸧 ࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊ !H¾d ࢳ࢙ࣅࢩ࢙ࣇࡢ➼ᘧ ® 3 n n3H ¯° ¿° E Z n ) ᚑࡗ࡚㸦 X 2 n k 1 n 2 Z k21 4 Z ࡞ࡢ࡛ lim n n o n 1 n n 2 k 1 4 X 0ࡘࡲࡾ 2 n k 1 n 2 §1· o ¨ ¸. ©n¹ 3c (1)ࡢP X kn1 ࢆ(1)cࡢ O 'X k 1 ࡛ࠊ (2)ࡢV 2 (X kn1 )ࢆ(2)cࡢV 2 X kn1࡛ࠊ 3ࡢV X s ࢆV X s ࡛ධࢀ᭰࠼ࡿࠋ diffusionࠉapproximationX t t t 0 0 X 0 ³ P X s ds ³ V X s dWsᑐࡋ࡚ n > nt @ ୧㎶ᚤศࢆྲྀࡿX ࡀCIR㐣⛬X㹲᮰ࡍࡿ㸸 㹢X t (O 'X t )dt V X t dWt.ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ 3.6 ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘ ILVKHU ሗ㔞 ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘ ➨㸰❶࡛ࡣ 3RZHUVHULHVIXQFWLRQ ࡘ࠸࡚ヲࡋࡃ㏙࡚࠾࠸ࡓࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ 3RZHUVHULHVIXQFWLRQ ࢆ⏝࠸࡚ᑬᗘ㛵ᩘࢆసࡿࠋ f Power series g T =¦ an T n ࠉ࡛࠶ࡿPower series funtion ࡀࠉf (n) n 0 anT n ࡛ g (T ) ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ 48 㸦㸧‶ࡓࡍศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡋ࡚ 3RZHUVHULHVIXQFWLRQ ࢆタᐃࡍࡿ㸸 P ([ n , j a jT j j) , P(Yn A(T ) k) bkI k B I 2.2ࡢෆᐜᚑࡗ࡚ [ n, jYnࡢᮇᚅ್ศᩓࢆ⾲♧ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ 1 T Ac(T ) § w · E ([ n , j ) ,V ([ n , j ) ¨ log T ¸ A(T ) © wm ¹ E Yn 㸦㸧 kBc I § w · ,V Yn ¨ log I ¸ B I © wm ¹ 1 㸦㸧 ILVKHU ሗ㔞ࢆᚓࡿࡓࡵࠊᑬᗘ㛵ᩘ / 3=<=<͐=Q<Qࢆồࡵ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ ' ௬ᐃࡢୗ࡛ࠊᑐᩘᑬᗘẚࢆసࡿࠋ n f a T j a jT j j ࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛¦ 1 A (T ) j 1 A (T ) ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ m0 1 96 m'n P ([ n , j j) 1 ᕥ ㎶ ࡢ ศ ẕ ࢆ ྑ ㎶ ⛣ ື ࡍ ࢀ ࡤ A (T ) f ¦a j T j j 0 P ([ n , j E ª¬ O [ º¼ j )ࡀ ࢃ ࡿ ࡓ ࡵ O [ ࡢ ᮇ ᚅ ್ ࢆ ồ ࡵ ࡿ ࡇ ࡀ ࡛ ࡁ ࡿ ࠋ f ¦Oj a j T j A (T ) j 1 A(O T ) A (T ) ࡇ ࡢ ᘧ ᚑ ࡗ ࡚ ࠊ [ nࡀ i.i .d ࡛ ࠶ ࡿ ࡓ ࡵ E ª¬ O [1 [ 2 ... [ n º¼ n P ([ 1 [ 2 ... [ n E [O [i ] i 1 z) A n (O T ) A n (T ) az (n) T z A n (T ) 㸦㸧 [1 [ 2 ... [ n Zi Yi ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊ 49 P ^Z 0 Ln z0,Y1 y1 ,..., Yn yn , Z n zn ` Pn㹺Q Z n , Yn | Z n 1 Pn 1㹺Q Z n 1 , Yn 1 | Z n 2 .....P0㹺1 Z1 , Y1 | Z 0 T z y az z y by I i Az T B I n i yj i 1 i i j i i 1 log Ln ln ¦ ^log a n zi 1 zi yi i 1 ` log T zi 1 log A(T ) log byi yiI log B I ( zi yi㸧 H0 : m 1 ° ḟࡢࢫࢵࢸࣉࡣ ® ' ࡢᇶ࡛ᑬᗘẚ㛵ᩘࢆࡶࡵࡿࠋ༢⣧࡞ᩘᏛィ⟬࡛ H : m 1 °¯ 1 n ࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊㄞࡳࡃ࠸ࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋᑬᗘẚࢆィ⟬ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊḟࡢᚤศࢆࡋ࡚ ࠾ࡃࠋ 1 㸯 wm § w · xV log T ¸ ࡼࡾࠊV 2㸻 ¨ T wT © wm ¹ w T Ac(ȟ) xm 㸻 log 㸦 A T㸧 w㸦 log T 㸧 A(T ) w w w m x log 㸦 log 㸦 log T㸻 2 A T 㸧㸻 A T㸧 V wm w㸦 log T 㸧 wm 2 2 w 2 log T w § w log T · w §㸯 wT · 1 § wT · 1 w 2T x 㸻 ¨ ¸㸻 ¨ ¸㸻 2 ¨ wm 2 wm © wm ¹ wm © T wm ¹ T © wm ¸¹ T wm 2 w 2 log A(T ) w § w log A T w log T · w § w log T · w log T w 2 log T x m m ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ wm 2 wm © w㸦 log T 㸧 wm ¹ wm © wm ¹ wm wm 2 ᖐ↓௬ㄝᑐ❧௬ㄝࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢᑬᗘ㛵ᩘࢆྲྀࡾࠊᕪࢆࡘࡃࡿࠋ lH1 lH 0 n log T log T ¦ z 1 0 i i 1 n yi log A T1 log A T 0 ¦ Z i 1 i 1 n n i 1 i 1 ࡇࡢᘧࢆィ⟬ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊ ¦ zi yi ¦ zi 1 ࡢࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢಀᩘࢆồࡵࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ ࡿࠋ log T1 log T 0 ࢆ㸦ѽ㸧ᘧࠊࡑࡋ࡚ log A T1 log A T 0 ࢆ㸦ѽѽ㸧ᘧ࡛グྕࡍࡿࠋ ࢸ࣮ࣛᒎ㛤බᘧ 50 f E f f D f c D E D f cc D 2 2 E D o E D ࢆ⏝࠸ 2! ' log TࢆD E ࡛ࢸ࣮ࣛᒎ㛤ࡍࡿࠋ n log T m 1 ' n log T m 1 w log T wm m 2 § ' · 1 w log T 1 ¨ ¸ 2 © n ¹ 2 wm 2 m § '· § 1 · 1 ¨ ¸ o¨ 2 ¸ © n¹ ©n ¹ ࡼࡗ࡚ w log T ࠉ㸻 wm ࠉ㸻 m 2 § ' · 1 w log T 1 ¨ ¸ 2 © n ¹ 2 wm 2 m § '· § 1 · 1 ¨ ¸ o¨ 2 ¸ © n¹ ©n ¹ w log A(T 㸧 § ' · 1 w 2 log A(T ) m 1 ¨ ¸ wm wm 2 © n¹ 2 2 m § '· § 1 · 1 ¨ ¸ o¨ 2 ¸ © n¹ ©n ¹ ѽ ѽѽ ࢆ lH1 lH 0 ௦ධࡋ lH1 lH 0 ' 2 nV ' ( Z i Yi Z i 1 ) 2 2 ¦ 2n V i 1 n ' 2 w 2 log T n § 1 · ( Z i Yi Z i 1 ) o ¨ 2 ¸ Z i 1 2 ¦ ¦ 2 2n wm i 1 ©n ¹ i 1 n э log Ln (m'n ) Ln (m0 ) ' nV 2 n ¦ (Zi Yi Zi1 ) i 1 '2 2n 2V 2 n ¦Z i 1 i 1 § 1 · o ¨ 2 ¸ 㸦㸧 ©n ¹ ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜࠺ࡓࡵ㸦㸧ࡢᑐᩘᑬᗘẚࢆ⏝ពࡍࡿࠋᑬᗘ㛵ࡍࡿึᮇࡢ⪃ ᐹࡣࢹ࣐࣮ࣥࢡࡢᩘᏛ⪅ࢺࣝࣂࣝࢻ࣭ࢸ࢚ࣞ7KRUYDOG1LFRODL7KLHOHࡼ ࡿ ᖺࡢⴭ᭩ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋᑬᗘࡘ࠸࡚ࡢ࡞⪃ᐹࡀ⌧ࢀࡓ᭱ึࡢㄽᩥ ࡣࠊࣟࢼࣝࢻ࣭ࣇࢵࢩ࣮ࣕࡼࡿ ᖺࡢ2QWKHPDWKHPDWLFDOIRXQGDWLRQV RIWKHRUHWLFDOVWDWLVWLFV࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࣇࢵࢩ࣮ࣕࡣࡲࡓࠕ᭱ᑬἲࠖ 㸦PHWKRGRIPD[LPXPOLNHOLKRRG㸧ࡢㄒࢆึࡵ࡚ࢃࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࠋࣇࢵࢩ࣮ࣕ ࡣ⤫ィᏛⓗ᥎ィࡢᇶ♏ࡋ࡚ᚋ☜⋡ࢆ⏝࠸ࡿࡇᑐࡋࠊ௦ࢃࡾᑬᗘ㛵 ᩘᇶ࡙ࡃ᥎ィࢆᥦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ )LVKHU ሗ㔞 )LVKHU ሗ㔞ࡣࠊࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱࢆᣢࡘ☜⋡ࣔࢹࣝࡀ࠶ࡗࡓࡁࠊ࠼ࡽࢀࡓࢹ࣮ࢱ 㸦ሗ㸧ࢆ⏝࠸࡚ࠊࡇࡲ࡛┿ࡢࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱࢆ᥎ᐃ࡛ࡁࡿࢆ⾲⌧ࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ ࡿࠋࡘࡲࡾࠊࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱࢆṇ☜᥎ᐃ࡛ࡁࡿࢹ࣮ࢱࡀࠊࡁ࡞ሗ㔞ࢆᣢࡘ⪃ ࠼ࡿࠋࡇࡢ⪃࠼᪉ࢆᥦၐࡋࡓࡢࡣࠊ㑇ఏᏛ⪅࡛⤫ィᏛ⪅ࡢ6LU5RQDOG$\OPHU )LVKHU㸦 ᖺ ᭶ ᪥ ᖺ ᭶ ᪥㸧 ࠋ ୡ⣖๓༙ )LVKHU ࡼࡗ࡚⪃ ࡉࢀࡓࠊ⤫ィᏛⓗ࡞᥎ᐃ⌮ㄽ࠾࠸࡚㔜せ࡞ᙺࢆᢸ࠺)LVKHU ሗ⾜ิࡣࠊᗄ 51 ఱᏛ࠾ࡅࡿ5LHPDQQィ㔞࡛࠶ࡿࡇࡣࠊ⤫ィᏛ⪅ &5DR ࡀ ᖺࠕ)LVKHU ሗ㔞ࢆ 5LHPDQQ ィ㔞ࡋ࡚⪃ᐹࡍࡿࡇࡣ㔜せ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠖࡢᣦࡽ᫂ࡽ ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ ᭱ᑬ᥎ᐃ࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊ)LVKHUሗ⾜ิࡀ㔜せ࡞ᙺࢆ₇ࡌࡿࠋ୍⯡ࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ = ࡀࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱ T1 ,..., T M ࢆࡶࡘᐦᗘ㛵ᩘ ࢆࡶࡘศᕸᚑ࠺ࡁࠊ § w2 · log f ( z , T1 ,...,T M ) ¸ 㻌 ࢆ)LVKHUሗ㔞ࡧࠊ⾜ิ F [ Fij ] ࢆ E ¨ ¨ wTi wT j ¸ © ¹ )LVKHUሗ⾜ิ࠸࠺ࠋ)LVKHUሗ㔞ࡣኚ᥎ᐃ㔞ࡢศᩓᐦ᥋㛵ಀࡋ࡚ ࠸ࡿࠋࡇࡢ⌮ㄽᚑࡗ࡚ࠊᑬᗘ㛵ᩘ Ln ࡀ㹫ࡘ࠸࡚ᅇᚤศࡍࡿࠊศᯞ㐣⛬ Fij ࣔࢹࣝࡢ )LVKHU ሗ㔞ࢆᚓࡿࠋࡇࡢ⤖ㄽࡣ 1DJDL㸦㸧>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩㸲@㍕ࡗ ࡚࠶ࡿࠋ wLn wm 1 V2 w log T wm n ¦ ( zi yi ) i 1 n n m ¦ (z y ) V ¦ z i i i 1 )LVKHU ሗ㔞ࡣ 2 w log A(T 㸧n zi 1 ¦ wm i 1 i 1 i 1 w 2 Ln wm 2 n ¦z i 1 / V 2 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸦㸧 i 1 Ṇ้㸦6WRSSLQJ7LPH㸧㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO 7HVW㸧 6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢᐃ⩏ 6HTXHQWLDO 7HVW ࡛ࡣ )LVKHU ሗ㔞ࡀ༑ศࡁࡃ࡞ࡿⅬ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡀṆ ࡲࡿࠋࡲࡎ )LVKHU ሗ㔞ࡼࡾ 6WRSSLQJ 7LPH ࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋ 6ULDP%DVDZDDQG+XJJLQV>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ @ Tc n 2 ½ inf ®n t 0; ¦ Z i 1 / V n t c 2 ¾ , c o f i 1 ¯ ¿ 㸦㸧 1DJDL㸦㸧㔜せ࡞ᐃ⌮ >ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩㸲@࡚ḟࡘ㔜せ࡞ᐃ⌮ࢆᙇࡋࡓࠋ ᐃ⌮㸯 ᖐ↓௬ㄝ +㸸P ࡢୗ࡛ ࡢ GLIIXVLRQDSSUR[LPDWLRQ࡛Ǽ㸻 ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ⤫ィ㔞 7㹡ࡀḟࡢศᕸᚑ࠺㸸 52 · ds ¸ ࠉ s ¹ c o f, Btࡀᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື㹲 [0, f) § ¨ c mˆ Tc 1 © Tc c · § ¸ o ¨ B1 ¹ © 1 1 ³ VU 0 UtࡀBesselࠉ Pr ocess,ึᮇ್U0㸻㸬 O d Ut㸻 2 dt dBt V Ut ᐃ⌮ ᑐ❧௬ㄝ +㸯㸸P ǼF ࡢୗ࡛ ㏲ḟ᳨ᐃ⤫ィ㔞 7㹡ࡀḟࡢศᕸᚑ࠺㸸 · ds ¸ ¹ c o f, Btࡀᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື㹲 [0, f) § ¨ c mˆ Tc 1 © Tc c · § ¸ o ¨ ' B1 ¹ © 1 1 ³ VU 0 ' s UtࡀBessel ࠉProcess࡛࠶ࡾU0㸻0㸬 O 㹢Ut'㸻' 2 )dt dBt V Ut ᐃ⌮ࡢド᫂ Tc n ½ inf ®n t 0; ¦ Z i 1 / Vˆ n2 t c 2 ¾ , c o f ࡛࠶ࡿࠋQ >FW@࡛᭩ࡁ࠼㸸 i 1 ¯ ¿ Tc ° 1 inf ®ct t 0; 2 c °¯ ° 1 inf ®t : 2 cࠉ °¯ Vˆ n >ct @ ¦Z i 1 i 1 ½° / Vˆ n2 t1¾ , c o f °¿ >ct @ Z i 1 1 ½° t1¾ ¦ c °¿ i 1 c ࡼࡾ GLIIXVLRQDSSUR[LPDWLRQ࡛ࡣ X kn Z k / n, X >cct @ o X t .QUW]DQG3URWWHU ࡲࡎ c mˆ Tc -㸯 㹼B㸯ࢆド᫂ࡍࡿࠋ 㸦3.2㸧ᘧ࡛ồࡵࡓmˆ Tcࡢ್ࢆ⏝ࡋࠊ Tc 1 ¦ (Zi Yi Zi1 ) ci1 .ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ c mˆ Tc -㸯 㸻 3.12 㸯 n ¦ Zi 1 c2 i 1 53 ࡇࡢᘧࡢศᕸࢆồࡵࡿࡓࡵࠊศᏊศẕࢆศࡅ࡚⪃࠼࡚⾜ࡇ࠺ࠋ n 㸯 ศẕ㸸 2 c ¦ i 1 㸯 [ ct ] Z i 1㸻 ¦ X ic1 c i 1 (3.11)ࡢ ᐃ ⩏ ࡼ ࡾ³ Tc X s ds 0 ³ Tc 0 X s ds V .ࡇ ࡢ ࡓ ࡵ (3.12)ࡢ ศ ẕ ࡣ V ᮰ ࡍ ࡿ ࠋ 2 2 㸯 Tc 㸯 Tc 㸯 Tc ศᏊ㸸 ¦ ( Z i Yi Z i 1 )㸻 ¦ ( Z i Z i 1 )- ¦ Yi ci1 ci1 ci1 㸯 㸯 Tc 㸻 㹸㸯 z0 z2 z1 ... zTc zTc 1 ¦ Yi c ci1 㸯 㸯 Tc zTc 1 ¦ Yi c ci1 ศᏊࡀ୕ࡘ㒊ศࢆศࡅ࡚⪃࠼ࡿࠋ 㸯 㸯 xࠉࠉࠉ 㸸c o f࡞ࡢ࡛ o 0ࠋ c c Tc 㸯 㸯 Tc 㸯 xࠉࠉࠉ ¦ Yi ࠉ㸸ࠉᩘἲ๎ࡼࡾ ¦ Yi㸻 Tc O㸻U O ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ ci1 ci1 c zT 㸯 xࠉࠉࠉ zTc ࠉ㸸ࠉc 㸻X Tcc㸻X ªc Tc º㸻X U ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.13㸧 c c «c c » ¬ ¼ ࡇࢀࡽ㸦㸧&,5 㐣⛬ࢆ౽࡛⏝࡛ࡁࡿࠋ dX t 㸦O 'X t )dt V X t dWt ୧㎶ྠ✚ศࢆྲྀࡿ t t 0 0 X㹲㸻³ (O 'X s )ds V ³ X s dWs ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ (3.14) U ࡛᭩ࡁ࠼㸸 U U 0 0 X U㸻³ (O 'X s )ds V ³ U OU ' ³ X s ds V ³ 0 0 OU 'V 2 V ³ U 0 V³ U 0 U X s dWs X s dWs ࠉࠉࠉ X s dWs ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.15㸧 X s dWsࢆィ⟬ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊDDSᐃ⌮ࢆᑟධࡍࡿࠋ ''6 ᐃ⌮㸸 54 M tࡀ^ Ft ` ୖࡢ㐃⥆࣮࣐ࣟ࢝ࣝࣝࢳࣥࢤ࣮࡛ࣝ, M ( fࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢU s { inf ^t t 0 : M f M 1 s t s` )ᑐࡋ࡚Bs㸻M U sࡣᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣḟࡢ୕ࡘᘧࢆタᐃࡍࡿ㸸 ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉM t㸻³ t X s dWs 0 ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉM t ³ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ inf ^t t 0 : M ࡼࡗ࡚³ U 0 t 0 ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.16㸧 X s ds ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.17㸧 t V 2 ` U ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.18㸧ࠉࠉ X s dWs㸻BU 㹼N㸦0V 2㸧 X U㸻OU -'V 2 +V Z, Z 㹼N (0, V 2 ) ௨ୖࡢィ⟬ࡲࡵࡿ ศẕ㸻 V 2 ⤖ㄽ㸸 H 0 : m 1, '㸻0 N (0,1) ࠉࠉࠉ Ȫ ' +Z ° c mˆ Tc 㸯 㸻 㹼® ࠉ3.19 ' V2 ,' z 0 1 m °¯ ࠉN ',1 ࠉࠉH㸸 c ࣋ࢵࢭࣝ㐣⛬㸦%HVVHO3URFHVV㸧 5HYX]<RU>ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ @ࡼࡾț࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿึᮇ್ ࡢ %HVVHO3URFHVV ࡣ 㹢 U㹱㸻dBs G 1 1 ds 2 U㹱 ࣋ࢵࢭࣝ㐣⛬ࡢᮇᚅ್ࢆồࡵࡿࡓࡵ7KHWUDQVLWLRQGHQVLW\ ࢆ⏝ࡍࡿࠋ 55 p㹲G x, y p( U s t dy | U s x), (t ! 0, s t 0)ࡣḟࡢᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ 㸦㸯㸧p㹲G x, y t 1 y / x y exp(( x 2 y 2 ) / 2t ) I v ( xy / t ), x ! 0 v 㸦㸰㸧p㹲G 0, y 2 v t ( v 1) *(v 1) 1 y 2 v 1 exp( y 2 / 2t ) ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ G / 2 1 v f ¦ x / 2 Iv x 2k v / k ! * v k 1 . k 0 㸦㸧㹼㸦㸧ࡢド᫂ࡼࡾ M t㸻³ t M ³ t ½ ° ° ¾ࡍࡿࠋ ° s`° ¿ X s dWs 0 u 0 X s ds U s㸻LQI ^t : M t &,5 3URFHVV ὀ┠ࡋࠊ t t 0 0 X s㸻³ (O 'X s )ds V ³ X s dWs Ot ' M t V M t ࡼࡗ࡚ dU㹱 1 ds Ot ' M U V M U s s (ὀព㸸U㹱ࡢᐃ⩏ࡼࡾ M U㹱 1 OU㹱 's V Bs 㸻VࠊDDSᐃ⌮ࡼࡾM U㹱㸻Bs࡛࠶ࡿ) VU㹱㸻OU㹱 's V Bsࡍࡿࠋᚑࡗ࡚ 㹢VU㹱 O dU㹱 'ds V dBs 㹢U㹱 ( ' V ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.21㸧 (' O )ds dBs , U0 V 2 U㹱 dU㹱 㸯 ࠋ 㸻 ds VU㹱 O )ds V dBs VU㹱 0 ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦3.22㸧 ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ⤖ᯝ ᖐ↓௬ㄝୗ࡛ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᯒ +P ᳨࡛ᐃࢆ⾜࠺ࠋ Ǽ㸻 ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊ dU s O ds dBs , U0 V 2 Us 0 56 O V §T · E0 U s ࠉࡘࡲࡾࠉE0 ¨ c ¸㸻E0 U V 㸻 E0 UV V O ©c¹ E0 ( U s ) 㸰 㸰 f v ( v 1) E㸦 *(v 1) 1 ³ y y 2 v 1 exp( y 2 / 2t )dy 0 Ut 㸧㸻2 t 0 f 2 v t ( v 1) *(v 1) 1㸻)1 , ³ y y 2 v 1 exp( y 2 / 2t )dy 0 ) 2ࡍࡿࠋ ࣐࢞㛵ᩘࡢᛶ㉁ࡀᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿ㸸 f * D 㸻³ y x2 D 1 y e dy, y 0 E ࡢሙྜࡣ D 1 x2 2D 2 f x § x2 · x2 y E 2x 㸧 㸻³ d e dx * D 㸻³ ¨ ¸ e 㸦 0 0 E D 1 E E ©E ¹ ) 2ࡣࡇࡢᘧࡢྑ㎶ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᙧ࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛D v3/2,E㸻t࡛᭩࠼ࡿ f 3 v 㸯 3 (2t ) 2 . ) 2㸻 * v + 2 2 E0 Ut )1 ) 2 2 v 1 t ( v 1) *(v 1) 1 * v + 3 t 1ࡢࡁ E0 U1 )1 ) 2 E㸦 0 U1㸧 2* v 3 * v 1 V V E0 U1 O O 2 2* v 3 * v 1 2 (2t ) v 3 2 2 ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ࡛ࣙࣥࡣȢȪࡢ್ࢆタᐃࡋ࡚ࠊ E㸦 ࢆ⪃ᐹࡍࡿࠋ 0 U1㸧 㸸Ȣ㸻㸯 ࡑࡋ࡚Ȫ㸻 ࡢሙྜ G 1 2 v 㸻 O ࡼࡾ ț V2 1 4 G / 2 1 E0 U1 2* v 3 * v 1 2 㸻 4 㸻1.0461 *3 4 2* 5 E㸦 0 U1㸧 㸦࣐࢞㛵ᩘࡢ್ࡀ௨ୗࡢࢧࢻࡼࡾィ⟬ࡉࢀࡓ㸸 KWWSNHLVDQFDVLRMSH[HFV\VWHP㸧 57 ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢࡁࡉ㛵ࡍࡿᕼᮃࡣࠊF ࡢ್ࢆㄪᩚࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚㐩ᡂ࡛ࡁ ࡿࠋṆ้ࡢ᮲௳‶ࡓࡍୖࠊ ಶࢹ࣮ࢱࢆྲྀࡾฟࡋࡓ࠸ࡁࠊ⌮ㄽ್ࡢィ ⟬ࡼࡾ㹡㸻7F タᐃࡍࡿࡁࡔࠋࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ࡛ࣙࣥ ࡣ + ࡢᇶ࡛㏲ḟ㸦ȪQ㸧ࡢᡭἲࡼࡾᩘᑐࡋ࡚ィ⟬್ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚⌮ㄽ್ ࡣ୍⮴ࡍࡿ࠺ほᐹࡋࡓ࠸ࠋࡑࡋ࡚ ࡼࡾ c mˆ Tc 1 ࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙ ࣥࡼࡾ᳨ドࡋࡓ࠸ࠋ ᑐ❧௬ㄝୗ࡛ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᯒ +㸯㸸P ǼQ ࡢୗ࡛㸦㸧ࡼࡾ ' O 㹢U s ( 2 )ds dBs , U0 0 ࡞ࡿࡢ࡛, Ȣ㸻㸯ࠊȪ㸻 タᐃࡋࡓࡁࠊ V V Us U㹱ࡣț㸻 ḟඖࠊࢻࣜࣇࢺ ' V ࠊึᮇ್ ࡢ࣋ࢵࢭࣝ㐣⛬࡛࠶ࡿࠋV ࡢࠊ V § '· V ' §T · ࠋ E1 ¨ c ¸㸻E1 U1 㸻 E1 ¨ U1 ¸㸻 E㸦 1 U1㸧 O © V¹ O O ©c¹ ࢻࣜࣇࢻ E1 U1 ࡢ್ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ /LQHWVN\ࡼࡾィ⟬᪉ἲࡀ⤂ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ ࡿࠋ」㞧࡞ᩘᏛ⌮ㄽ࡛ド᫂ࡉࢀࡓࡓࡵࠊᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣ⌮ㄽ㒊ศࡢド᫂ࢆ┬␎ࡍࡿࠋ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ┠ⓗࡣᑐ❧௬ㄝࡢᇶ࡛㹡ࡢ್ࢆㄪᩚࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚Ṇ ้ࡢ᮲௳‶ࡓࡍୖࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢࡁࡉࢆࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝࡍࡿࠋࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥ ࢢࡢࡁࡉࡢつᶍࡀỴࡵࢀࡤࠊ+ ࡢᇶ࡛㏲ḟ㸦ȪQ㸧ࡢᡭἲࡼࡾᩘᑐࡋ࡚ ィ⟬್ࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋ࡚⌮ㄽ್ࡣ୍⮴ࡍࡿ࠺ほᐹࡋࡓ࠸ࠋ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝ ࡇࡢ⠇࡛ࡣࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡢ⤖ᯝࢆ㍕ࡗ࡚࠶ࡿࠋ ᖐ↓௬ㄝࢆ᳨ドࡍࡿࡓࡵ⤫ィゎᯒࢯࣇࢺ 5 ࢆ⏝࠸ࡓࠋࣉࣟࢢ࣒ࣛࢆ᭩ࡃ㝿ࠊ ḟࡢࢧࢻࢆࡼࡃཧ⪃ࡉࡏ࡚࠸ࡓࡔ࠸ࡓ㸸 KWWSFVHQDURDIIUFJRMSWDNH]DZDUWLSVUKWPOࠋ 6WRSSLQJ7LPHࡢ⌮ㄽ್ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥィ⟬್ࡀࡰ୍⮴ࡢ⤖ㄽࡀ࡛ࡁ࡚ ࠸ࡿࠋ 㸦⾲ ࢆཧ↷㸧 c mˆ Tc -㸯 ࡀ + ࡢᇶ࡛ᶆ‽ṇつศᕸᚑ࠺ࡇࢆ᳨ドࡍࡿࡓࡵṇつᛶ᭷ຠ࡞ .Rlmogorov-Smirnov ᳨ᐃ㸦NVWHVW㸧ࢆ⾜ࡗ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ5 ࡢ୰࡛ࡣ S ್࡛⾲ࡍࠋS ࡢ ್ࡣࡁ࠸ࠊṇつศᕸࡀ☜ᐃ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ୍⯡ⓗ ẚࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ್ ࣄࢫࢺࢢ࣒ࣛࢆྜࢃࡏ࡚ศᯒࡍࡿࠊ c mˆ Tc -㸯 ࡢṇつᛶࢆࡼࡃ☜ㄆ࡛ࡁࡓࠋ 58 ⾲ 㹐ࡼࡾᖐ↓௬ㄝࡀ┿ࡢ P ┿ࡢȪ ୡ௦ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ Q 7F F 7F Ȣ 㸦Ṇ้㸧67 㹮YDOXH c mˆ Tc -㸯 㹎LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH 3LFWXUH ⾲ 㹫 ┿ࡢȪ ୡ௦ Ǽ Ȣ 䠬㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻣㻌 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻤 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻥 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻝㻜 ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥᅇᩘ Q 7㹡 㸦Ṇ้㸧67 㹮YDOXH c mˆ T㹡 -㸯 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻝㻝㻌 㻼㼕㼏㼠㼡㼞㼑㻝㻞 59 SLFWXUH 80 60 0 20 40 Frequency 100 120 140 Histogram of B -2 0 2 4 B SLFWXUH 60 40 20 0 Frequency 80 100 Histogram of B -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 B 60 SLFWXUH 100 0 50 Frequency 150 Histogram of B -4 -2 0 2 4 B SLFWXUH 60 40 0 20 Frequency 80 100 Histogram of B -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 B 61 SLFWXUH 100 0 50 Frequency 150 Histogram of B -2 0 2 4 B SLFWXUH 30 20 10 0 Frequency 40 50 Histogram of B -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 B 62 3LFWXUH 100 0 50 Frequency 150 200 Histogram of B -4 -2 0 2 4 B 3LFWUXUH 100 50 0 Frequency 150 200 Histogram of B -4 -2 0 2 B 63 3LFWXUH 200 0 100 Frequency 300 Histogram of B -2 0 2 4 B 3LFWXUH 100 50 0 Frequency 150 Histogram of B -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 B 64 3LFWXUH 40 0 20 Frequency 60 80 Histogram of B -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 B 3LFWXUH 200 100 0 Frequency 300 Histogram of B -4 -2 0 2 4 B 65 ➨ᅄ❶ 6357 ᳨ᐃ㸦6HTXHQWLDO3UREDELOLW\5DWLR7HVW㸧 ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃ㸦6357㸧ࡣ $EUDKDP :DOG ᖺࡼࡗ࡚㛤Ⓨࡋࡓ≉ᐃࡢ㏲ḟ௬ ㄝ᳨ᐃ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ1H\PDQ 3HDUVRQ ࡢ ⤖ᯝࡣࠊ㏲ḟゎᯒၥ㢟ࡋ࡚ᐃᘧ ࡋࡓࠋࡇࡢ⤖ᯝࡣ :DOG ᙳ㡪ࢆ࠼ࡓࠋ ࡶࡶ〇㐀ᴗࡢศ㔝࡛ࡢရ㉁⟶⌮ࡢ◊✲࡛⏝ࡍࡿࡓࡵ㛤Ⓨࡉࢀࡓࡀࠊ⌧ ᅾᵝࠎ࡞ศ㔝࡛⏝ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࠼ࡤᆅ㟈㆙ሗࢩࢫࢸ࣒ࡢ◊✲ࡸ་⸆ရ┦㛵 ࡢࢸࢫࢺ࡞ࠋṆ้ࡢタᐃࡼࡾࠊᕼᮃࡍࡿ᮲௳⮳ࡿࡲ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ ⥆ࡁࠊᕼᮃ᮲௳‶㊊ࡉࡏࡿ୍␒᪩࠸Ⅼ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡀṆࡲࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺ ࡞≉ᚩࢆᣢࡕࠊ㆙ሗᛶண ᛶࡀࡃᐇ⏝ᛶࡢ㧗࠸ゎᯒ᪉ἲ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ :DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃ :DOG ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢព 㼃㼍㼘㼐 ࡢ㏲ḟ☜⋡ẚ᳨ᐃ㸦6357㸧ࡣࠊ⌧ᅾ 6,6$ ࡛၏୍ࡢ࣋ࢬ⤫ィⓗฎ⌮࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࣋ࢬ⤫ィᚲせ࡞ࡢࡣࠊ๓ࡢࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࢆᐇ⾜ࡍࡿࡇࠊࣔࢹࣝࡢୗ࡛ ᡂᯝࡢᮇᚅࡣ㠀ᖖヲ⣽ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ:DOG ࡢ 㻿㻼㻾㼀 ࠾࠸࡚ࠊ≉ᐃ ࡢ᮲௳ࡢୗࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࡢỴᐃ‶ࡓࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿሙྜࡣࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࠊ 㞟ࡋࡓࢹࢱࡢゎ㔘ࢆ⥅⥆㛵ࡋ࡚ྲྀࡽࢀࡿࠋ ㏲ḟゎᯒࡣࠊᐇ㦂ࡲࡓࡣ㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢᩘࡣࠊᐇ㦂㛤ጞᅛᐃࡉࢀ ࡓྂⓗ࡞௬ㄝ᳨ᐃࡣ␗࡞ࡾࡲࡍࠋྂⓗ࡞௬ㄝ᳨ᐃ࡛ࡣࠊࢹ࣮ࢱࡢ㞟ࠊ ࢹ࣮ࢱࡢゎᯒࢆ⪃៖ࡏࡎᐇ⾜ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡍ࡚ࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࡀ㞟ࡉࢀࡓᚋศᯒ ࡀ⾜ࢃࢀࠊ⤖ㄽࡀᘬࡁฟࡉࢀࡿࠋࡋࡋ࡞ࡀࡽࠊࢩ࣮ࢣࣥࢩࣕࣝศᯒ࡛ࡍ࡚ ࡢࢣ࣮ࢫࡀ㞟ࡉࢀࡓᚋ┤᥋ศᯒࡉࢀࠊࡑࡢⅬࡲ࡛㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢹ࣮ࢱࡣࠊ ࡑࡢᚋࠊ᪂ࡓ㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢣ࣮ࢫࡽᚓࡽࢀࡓ᪂ࡓ࡞ሗࢆ⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ≉ᐃࡢ ᩘ್ẚ㍑ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡇࡢࣉ࣮ࣟࢳࡣࠊࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟୰⤖ㄽࢆฟࡍࡇࢆ ྍ⬟ࡋࠊྂ௬ㄝ᳨ᐃࡢሙྜࡢࡼ࠺ࠊ᭱⤊ⓗ࡞⤖ㄽࡣࠊ࠾ࡑࡽࡃࠊ࡞ࡾ ᪩࠸ẁ㝵࡛฿㐩ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࡀᑡ࡞࠸ࡑࢀ௨๓ࡢỴᐃ 㡯ࡢᚋ⤊ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺ࠊே㛫ࡢ⏕άᖾࠊ㔠⼥㈓ࡢ㠃࡛⠇ ⣙ࡣࠊ࡞ࡾࡢྍ⬟ᛶࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞ࢆ⪃࠼ࡿ㏲ḟゎᯒࡢⅬࡣࢃ ࡾࡸࡍ࠸ࠋ ≧ἣࢆㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࡓࡵࡲࡎᇶ‽ࢆタᐃࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ࠶ࡿᇶ‽ࡢୗ࡛࠶ ࢀࡤࠕᑡ࡞࠸ࠖࠊ࠶ࡿᇶ‽ࡢୖ࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠕከ࠸ุ᩿ࠖࡀྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୍ࡘࡣࠊ ࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟๓ࠊࡇࢀࡽࡢᇶ‽್ࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ㏻ᖖ࡛࠶ࢀࡤṇࡢᩘ ࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺࢆ࠼ࡿࠋ୍ࡘ┠ࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺ௨ୖࡢሙྜࡣᨵၿ㸦ከ࠸㸧ࡉࢀࡓࠋ ࡘ┠ࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺ௨ୗࡢྜࡣຎ㸦ᑡ࡞࠸㸧ࡋࡓࡋ࡚ࡢ≧ἣࢆุ᩿ࡍࡿࠋ ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀ㜈್⮳ࡿࡲ࡛ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ⥆ࡅ࡚㏣ຍࡍࡿࠋ㞟ࡉࢀࡓࢧࣥࣉࣝ ࢆࡋࡁ࠸್㉸࠼ࡿⅬ࡛ࢹ࣮ࢱ㞟ࡀ⤊ࡉࢀࡿࠋ ࡇࡢࡘࡢࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺ್ࡀᚲせࡉࢀࠊ⤫ィⓗ࡛ࡣ᳨ฟຊ ș ᭷ពỈ‽ Ș ࡤࢀࡿࠋ᳨ฟຊࡢࡣࠊ┿ࡢ୰┦㐪Ꮡᅾࡍࡿሙྜࠊ᳨ฟຊ ș ࡢ☜⋡࡛┦ 66 㐪ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆほᐹࡍࡿᶵ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡓ࠼ࡤ᳨ฟຊࢆ 㸣タᐃࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࢧ ࣥࣉࣝ୰ࡿᐇ㝿Ꮡᅾࡍࡿᕪ␗ࢆⓎぢࡍࡿࡀ 㸣࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘࡣḟ㇟ࡢ☜⋡ ࢆ⾲ࡍ㸸┦㐪ࢆⓎぢࡋࡓᛮ࠺ࡢ᳨࡛ᐃࢆ⤊ࡉࡏࡓࡢࠊᐇ㝿ࡣࡇࡢ┦㐪 ࡀᏑᅾࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋȘ ࡣ 㸣ࢆタᐃࡉࢀࡓࠊࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡣ 㸣ࡢ☜⋡࡛ㄗࡗ ࡚Ṇࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࡢព࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ୍⯡ⓗ࡛ࡣ᳨ᐃຊ᭷ពỈ‽ࡢタᐃࡣᗈࡃཷࡅධࢀࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ㏻ᖖࡢ್ࡍࡿࠋ ᳨ᐃࡢෆᐜ࡞⪃࠼࡚ࠊኚ᭦ࡶྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋ ࡋࡁ࠸್ࡢỴᐃ :DOG ࡢ⤖ᯝࡼࡾࠊD 㹠ࡣḟࡢ㛵ಀࡀ࠶ࡿࠋDE ࡣṇ㈇ࡢ㜈್࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡇࡇ࡛ Șࡣ➨୍✀ࡢ㐣ㄗ☜⋡șࡣ➨✀ࡢ㐣ㄗ☜⋡࡛࠶ࡿࠋ § E · § 1 E · a log ¨ ¸ , b log ¨ ¸. © 1-D ¹ © D ¹ ලయⓗぢࡿ6357 ᳨ᐃࡢᖐ↓௬ㄝᑐ❧௬ㄝࡣḟࡢࡶࡢ࡞ࡿ㸸 ܪ ǣ ș ൌ ș ܸܵܪଵ ǣ ș ൌ șଵ ḟࡢᑬᗘ㛵ᩘࢆ⏝࠸࡚ 6357 ᳨ᐃࢆ⾜࠺ࠋ ݂ ሺ ݔሻ ଵ Ȧ୧ ൌ ෑ ǡ ݊ ൌ ͳǡʹǡ ڮ㸦ͶǤͳ㸧 ୀଵ ݂ ሺݔ ሻ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢ┠ⓗࡣࡼࡾ᪩࠸ẁ㝵࡛௬ㄝࡢṇ☜ᛶࢆุ᩿ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊDE ࡢ᮲௳ࡢ ࡶ࡛ࠊE ࡀࡁ࠸ࠊ D ࡀᑠࡉ࠸ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡢṆ้ࡀ㐜ࡃ࡞ࡗ࡚ࠊ ࡼࡾཝᐦ࡞᳨ᐃࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡇࡢẁ㝵࡛ᡤᮃࡢ᳨ฟຊࠊㄗሗ⋡ࢆᥦ౪ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊ ࡋࡁ࠸್ࢆタᐃࡋࡼ࠺ࠋ᳨ฟ⋡ܲ ᳨ᐃຊߚᑐᛂࡑࡋ࡚ㄗሗ⋡ܲி ᭷ពỈ ‽Șᑐᛂࠋ ⾲グࢆ⡆␎ࡍࡿࡓࡵ ؔ ݔሺݔଵ ǡ ڮǡ ݔ ሻࡑࡋ࡚݂ ሺݔሻ ؔ σୀଵ ݂ሺݔ ሻǡ 㸦݆ ൌ Ͳǡͳ㸧 భ ሺ௫ሻ ݂ ሺݔሻ݀ݔ భ బ ሺ௫ሻ ߚ ൌ ܲ ൌ ோ ݂ଵ ሺݔሻ݀ ݔோ భ ൌ ோ Ȧ ሺݔሻ݂ ሺݔሻ݀ ݔ㹵 ൌ ߙȦ ሺݔሻ భ ఉ Ȧ ሺݔሻ ORJ ܾࡢᐇࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊḟࡢᘧࡀᑟࡃࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ ఈ ͳ െ ߙ ൌ ͳ െ ܲி ൌ ͳ െ න ݂ ሺݔሻ ݀ ݔൌ න ோభ ோబ ݂ ሺݔሻ ݂ ሺݔሻ ݀ ݔൌ න Ȧିଵ ሺݔሻ݂ଵ ሺݔሻ ݀ݔ ݂ଵ ሺݔሻ ଵ ோబ ଵିఈ ࡞ࡢ࡛Ȧିଵ ܽିଵ ࠋ 㸦㸧 ሺݔሻ ൌ ଵିఉ ࡇࢀࡽࡢᘧࡣࠊ⚾ࡓࡕ㐩ᡂࡍࡿࡓࡵᚲせ࡞ࡋࡁ࠸್ࡢୖࡢቃ⏺ࢆ࠼ࡿࠋ ܲ ሺߚሻܲி ሺߙሻࡣḟࡢ㛵ಀ‶ࡓࡍ ͳെߚ ߚ ܽ ǡ ܾ ͳെߙ ߙ 67 ܽ ൌ ଵିఉ ଵିఈ ఉ ࡑࡋ࡚ܾ ൌ ࡍࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡢࡋࡁ࠸್ࡣࠊヨ㦂ࡢㄗࡾ☜⋡ࡣࠊ ఈ Șșࡢ㑅ᢥࡼࡗ࡚ᣦᐃࡉࢀࡓࡼ࠺ࠊᑡ࡞ࡃࡶ㝈ࡾᑠࡉࡃࡍࡿࡇࢆಖ ドࡍࡿࡀࠊ⤖ᯝࡣ࠶ࡲࡾࡶಖᏲⓗ࡛࠶ࡿྍ⬟ᛶࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡼࡾ༢⣧࡞㜈್ ἲ࡛Ṇつ๎ࡀ⾲♧ࡉࢀࡿ㸸 ή ൏ Ȧ ൏ ܾ㸸ࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࢆ⥅⥆ ή Ȧ ǣଵ ࢆ㑅ᢥ ή Ȧ ǣ ࢆ㑅ᢥ ࡘࡲࡾࠊ㐺ษࡋࡁ࠸್ࢆタᐃࡍࡿࡓࡵࡣࠊȘșࢆ๓Ỵᐃࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋᩘ್ࡣࠊࣉࣜࢣ࣮ࢩࣙࣥ౫Ꮡࡍࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ㞳ᩓⓗ࡞ሙྜࡣࠊ ࢧࣥࣉࣝ㛫ࡢ㜈್ࢆᕪࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊㄗᕪࢆࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝ ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊࡼࡾ✚ᴟⓗࡋࡁ࠸್ࢆタᐃࡍࡿࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋࡶࡕࢁࢇࠊཝᐦ࡞ ቃ⏺ࡣ㐃⥆ⓗ࡞ሙྜ⏝ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ 6357 ᳨ᐃ H0 : m 1 ° ® ' タᐃࡍࡿࠋ °¯ H 1: m 1 n ศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡣࢧࣥࣉࣜࣥࢢࡀḟࡢᘧ‶ࡓࡍࡁṆࡍࡿ㸸 Tac,b inf ^n t 1: log / cn a, b ` 㸦㸧 ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ / cn ࡀᑐᩘᑬᗘẚ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ / cn P1 z1 , y1 㻸 zn , yn zn 1 P0 z1 y1 㻸 zn , yn zn1 P z , y P z , y n i 1 1 i i 0 i i zi 1 zi 1 . 㸦㸧 log /Tc c d a ࡢࡁH 0ࢆ㑅ᢥࡍࡿࠋ a ,b c log /T c t b ࡢࡁH1ࢆ㑅ᢥࡍࡿࠋ a ,b D E ࡀࢧࢬ㸦VL]H㸧ࣃ࣮࣡㸦SRZHU㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡢ࡛ࠊᣦᐃỈ‽ᚑ࠺ࠋ 㸦࠼ ࡤ ࡞㸧ࠋD E ࡢ್ࡣ᳨ᐃࡢ᳨ฟຊࢆ⾲ࡍ㔜せ࡞ᩘ್࡛࠶ࡿࠋ᳨ฟຊ ࡣࡇࡢ⾲ࡢࡼ࠺⌮ゎࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ ᐇ㝿ᡂࡾ❧ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣ ᖐ↓௬ㄝ +㸮 ᑐ❧௬ㄝ +㸯 ᳨ + ṇࡋ࠸ ➨✀㢮ㄗࡾ ᐃ 㸯㸫Ș ș ⤖ + ➨୍✀㢮ㄗࡾ ṇࡋ࠸ ᯝ Ș 㸯㸫ș ࡲࡎศᯞ㐣⛬࠾࠸࡚ᑐᩘᑬᗘẚࢆぢ࡚ࡳࡼ࠺ࠋ➨୕❶࡛ࡣ㸦㸧ᘧ࡛ᑐᩘ 68 ᑬᗘẚࢆ࠼ࡽࢀࡓࠋ㔜せ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊࡶ࠺୍ᗘ᭩࠸࡚࠾ࡃࠋ ln log Lnࡍࡿࠋ ln ¦ ^log a n zi 1 zi yi i 1 lnc ` ( zi yi㸧 log T zi 1 log A(T ) log byi yiI log B I ࠉࠉ㸦4.5㸧 log / cn . n [ct ]࡛᭩ࡁ࠼ࡿ l[cct ] ' cV o Z 1 2 [ ct ] ' cV [ ct ] 2 ¦ Yi i 1 'Ot ' Xt ࠉ 2 2 V V 2V ' 2 2 ³ t '2 2c 2V 2 ¦Z 㸩o( i 1 i 1 1 ) ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.6㸧 c2 ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.7㸧 X u du 0 [ ct ] ᚑࡗ࡚ศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢṆ้ࡣḟࡢᘧ࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ inf ^n : lnc a, b ` inf ^ct : l[cct ] a, b ` Tac,b ୧㎶ t ࡛ࡿ Tac,b c inf ^t : l[cct ] a, b ` ࠉࠉ o Ta ,b ' { inf ®t : ࠉ 2 V ¯ 2 t ½ ' O t ' X t ࠉ 2 2 ³0 X u du (a, b) ¾ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.8㸧 2V V ¿ ࡢ &,5 㐣⛬ࡼࡾ dX t 㸦O -'X t )dt V X t dW ࠋᚑࡗ࡚ X t ࡣḟࡘࡢ⾲⌧ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ H 0 : m 1, ' ࠉࠉX t 0 t t 0 0 ³ Odu V ³ X u dWu ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.9㸧 H1 : m 1 ' / c, ' ! 0 ࠉࠉX t t t 0 0 ³ Odu ³ 'X u du V ³ t 0 X u dWu ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.10㸧 ࠉ ࡇࡢ௬ㄝࡈ6357ࡢ⾲⌧ࡀ␗࡞ࡿࠋ H 0 : m 1, ' 0 '§ ' Ta ,b { inf ®t 㸸 ¨ V © 2V ¯ H 1 : m 1 ' / c, ' ! 0 ࠉࠉTa ,b ³ ࠉࠉTa ,b '§ ' Ta ,b { inf ®t 㸸 ¨ V © 2V ¯ t 0 X u du ³ ½ · X u dWu ¸ (a, b) ¾ ࠉࠉࠉ㸦4.11㸧 ¹ ¿ t 0 ³ t 0 X u du ³ t 0 ½ · ࠉ㸧 X u dWu ¸ (a, b) ¾ ࠉࠉ㸦4.12 ¹ ¿ 69 ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣࡶ࠺୍ᗘ ''6 ᐃ⌮ࢆࡗ࡚ࠊ㛫ኚ᭦ࢆࡍࡿࠋࡑ࠺ࡍࡿ6357 ࡢ⾲⌧ ࢆࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛⾲ࡏࡿࡇࡀぢࡘࡅࡓࠋ㹂㹂㹑ᐃ⌮ࡢ᮲௳ࡣ➨୕❶ྠᵝ タᐃࡍࡿࠋ M 㸻 t X s dW ½ s° ° t ³0 ° t ° DDSࡼࡗ࡚ ® M t ³ X s ds ¾ᑐࡋ࡚Bs M U sࡋ࡚, 0 ° ° 1 °U s㸻 M s ° ¯ ¿ ' P㸻 㸼0ࡍࡿ 2V ª a b º½ (4.13) H 0 : W a,b { inf ® s t 0 : P s Bs « , » ¾ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ ¬ 2 P 2P ¼ ¿ ¯ ª a b º½ (4.14) H1 : W a,b { inf ® s t 0 : P s Bs « , » ¾ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ ¬ 2 P 2P ¼ ¿ ¯ ^ ^ ` ` b ½ ➨✀ㄗࡾD 㸻PH 0 lTcc t b o P ® PW a,b B t ¾ 㸦 4.15㸧 a ,b W a ,b 2P ¿ ¯ a ½ ➨✀ㄗࡾE 㸻PH1 lTcc d a o P ® PW a,b BW d ¾ ࠉ㸦 4.16㸧 a ,b a ,b 2P ¿ ¯ ௨ୖࡼࡾWald ࡢ᪉ἲࡼࡾ㜈್ a, b ࡢ್ࢆỴࡵࡿࡇࡀṇᙜࡉࢀࡿࠋ a § E log ¨ © 1D · ¸,b ¹ §1 E · log ¨ ¸ © D ¹ ௨ୖࡢィ⟬᪉ἲࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆᐇ⾜ࡋ࡚ࡳࡓࠋ๓Șș ࡢ್ࢆタᐃࡋࡓࠋ 㸦㸧㸦㸧࡛ィ⟬ࡉࢀࡓ್ࡃࡽࡓ⤖ᯝࡣⰋ࠸⪃ ࠼ࡿࠋṆ้ࡢ⤖ᯝࡣ⌮ㄽ್ࡢィ⟬ࡀ༑ศ࡛ࠊࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ್࡛ࣙࣥࡀࡼ ࠸ホ౯࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋ 70 ศᯞ㐣⛬ᑐࡍࡿ 6357 ᳨ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ ⾲ + ࡀ┿ࠊ Ș 㹫㸻㸯 ș ➨ ✀㢮ࡢㄗࡾ + ࡀ┿ࠊ 㹫㸻 Ș ș ➨ ✀㢮ࡢㄗࡾ 71 ➨❶ ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ 㸳 ࣔࢹࣝࡘ࠸࡚ࡢゎㄝ ࣔࢹࣝ┤ឤࡢព ྛኚ㔞ࡣ☜⋡✵㛫㸦Ȑ$3㸧࡛ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࠋ =155ࢆࡑࢀࡒࢀ㠀㈇ᩚᩘࠊ ṇᩚᩘࠊᐇᩘࠊ㠀㈇ᐇᩘࢆ⾲ࡍࠋ NMѮ=ࡑࡋ࡚ LOѮ^`ࡢࡁ➨ L ✀㢮≀ࡢ➨㹩ୡ௦ࡢᩘࡣ㹖㹩L ࡛⾲♧ࡉࢀ ࡿࠋࡇࡢᩘࡣ➨ N㸯ୡ௦ࡢ≀ࡢྛᡂဨࡢᏊᏞእࡽ㣕ࡧ㎸ࢇࡔᡂဨ㸦⛣Ẹ㸧 ࡢ࡛Ỵࡵࡿࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࡣࠊL 㸰✀㢮ࡢ≀ࡀ࠶ࡾࠊࢱࣉ ࢱࣉ ࡪ ࡢሙྜࢆ⪃࠼࡚ࡳࡿࠋ 㸦㸧 ª X k ,1 º X k 1,1 ª [ k , j ,1,1 º X k 1,2 ª [ k , j ,2,1 º ª H k ,1 º » ¦ «[ » «H » « X » ¦ «[ ¬ k ,2 ¼ j 1 ¬ k , j ,1,2 ¼ j 1 ¬ k , j ,2,2 ¼ ¬ k ,2 ¼ ヲࡋࡃゎㄝࡍࡿࢱࣉ㸯ࡢࡶࡢ N ୡ௦ࡢᩘ ;N ࡣ୕ࡘ㒊ศࡢ࡛Ỵࡵࡽࢀࡿ㸸 N ୡ௦࡛ࢱࣉ㸯ࡢࡶࡢ㸦;N㸫㸯㸧ࡼࡾ⏕ࡲࢀࡓ N ୡ௦ࢱࣉ㸯ࡢᏊᏞ 㸦ȥ㹩M㸧 㸹ղN ୡ௦࡛ࢱࣉ㸰ࡢࡶࡢ㸦;N㸫㸯㸧ࡼࡾ⏕ࡲࢀࡓ N ୡ௦ࢱࣉ 㸯ࡢᏊᏞȥ㹩M㸹ճ➨㹩ୡ௦࡛እࡽ㣕ࡧ㎸ࢇࡔࢱࣉ㸯ࡢࡶࡢ㸦Ȝ㹩㸧 ࠋ M ࡣྛ㞟ᅋࡢ➨㹨␒┠ࡢᡂဨ⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ ࠸ࡃࡘࡢ࡛ᣲࡆ࡚࠾ࡃࠋ 㸯㸸࠶ࡿⰼࡣⓑ㸦ࢱࣉ㸯㸧㉥㸦ࢱࣉ 㸧Ⰽࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ୍ᰴ࠾ⰼࡢⰍࡣ ྠ୍࡛࠶ࡿࡀࠊ✀ࡀ࡛ࡁࡓࡽࠊⓑ㉥ࡕࡽ࡛ࡶ⏕ࡲࢀࡿࠋⓑⰍࡢࠕẕぶࠖ 㸦ȥ㹩㸫㸯M㸧࡛࠶ࡿࡀࠊⓑࡢࠕᏊ౪ࠖ ᰴ㸦ȥ㹩M㸻㸧㉥ࡢࠕᏊ౪ࠖ㸯ᰴ㸦ȥ 㹩M㸻㸯㸧ࡀ㐀ࢀࡿࠋᙜ↛㉥Ⰽࡢ࠾ⰼࡶࡕࡽࡢⰍࡢᏊ౪ࡀ⏕ࡲࢀࡿࠋ⏕≀ヨ 㦂୍࡛ᰴ୍ᰴศࡅ࡚ࠊᏊᏞᩘࢆᩘ࠼ࡽࢀࡿ⎔ቃࢆసࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ྛୡ௦ⓑⰼ ㉥ⰼࢆᩘ࠼ࡿ㸦;㹩 ;㹩㸰㸧 ࠋഅࠎⰍࡢࣂࣛࣥࢫࢆ⪃࠼࡚ࠊ᪂ࡋ࠸࠾ⰼࢆ⿵ࡍ ࡿࡇࡀ࠶ࡾࠊࡇࢀࡣ⛣ẸࡢȜ㹩 Ȝ㹩 ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ 㸰㸬ࡘࡢ㖟⾜㡸㔠ࡍࡿࠋ㹩ࡢᮇ㛫ࡣ㸯᭶㛫ࡍࡿࠋ㸯᭶㸯᪥㖟⾜ $ 㖟 ⾜ % ࡑࢀࡒࢀ࠶ࡿ㔠㢠ࡢ㡸ࡾࡍࡿࠋ㸯᭶ᮎඖ㔠ࢆᘬࡁฟࡋ࡚ࠊᜥࡢࡳࢆ 㡸㔠ࡍࡿࠋࡓࡔᜥࡣࡲ࡛ࡢ㖟⾜࠾ࡃࡇࡶ࡛ࡁࡿࡋࠊ୍㒊ࡢ㖟⾜ ධࢀࡿࡇࡶྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋࣛࣥࢲ࣒࡛Ỵࡵࡿ࡛ࡼ࠸ࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺᭶ᮎ࡛ඖ㔠ࢆ ᘬࡁฟࡋ࡚ࠊᜥࡼࡾᜥࢆ⏘⏕ࡍࡿࡇࢆ⪃࠼ࡿࠊ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ᚑ࠺࡛ ࡣ࡞࠸ࡔࢁ࠺ࠋࡕࡽࡢ㡸㔠ࡀ㸮࡞ࡿࠊࡑࡕࡽࡢ㖟⾜ඖ㔠ࢆᢞධࡋࠊ ࡉࡽᜥࢆฟࡿࠋࡇࡢ㒊ศࡣࠕ⛣Ẹ㡯࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࣔࢹ࡛ࣝྛᮇᮎ $ 㖟⾜ % 㖟⾜ࡢ㡸㔠ṧ㧗ࢆ⪃ᐹ࡛ࡁࡿᛮ࠺ࠋ ⌧ᐇ࡛ࠊࡶࡋᜥࡢ㡸㔠ࡍࡿศࡾࡣࣛࣥࢲ࣒࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ࠾ᐈᵝࡢពᛮ࡛Ỵ ࡵࡽࢀࡿࠊ㡸㔠ࡢ⾜ࡁ᪉ἲࡣᏊ⋡ࡸ㖟⾜ࡢࢧ࣮ࣅࢫ࡞㛵ಀࡀ࠶ࡿ࡛ࡣ ࡞࠸⪃࠼ࡿࠋ࡞ࡢ࡛ࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ࠊᏊ⋡ኚືࡸࢧ࣮ࣅࢫᨵၿᚋ 72 ࡢ㡸㔠ṧ㧗ࡀヨ⟬ࡀྍ⬟࡛ࡣ࡞࠸⪃࠼࡚࠾ࡃࠋ ; Ȝ1,1 ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ᅗ㸳㸫㸯 ࣔࢹࣝࡢㄝ᫂ グྕࡢព ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡣ ^X 0㸪[ k , j ,i ,H k : k , j N , i 1㸪 2` ࡀ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿ㸸 ࠉࠉࠉࠉX k ࠉࠉࠉ[ k , j ,i ࠉࠉࠉࠉH k ª X k ,1 º « X » ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.2㸧 ¬ k ,2 ¼ ª [ k , j ,i ,1 º «[ » ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.3㸧 ¬ k , j ,i ,2 ¼ ª H k ,1 º «H » ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.4㸧 ¬ k ,2 ¼ 2 2 E [1㸪1,i 㸧㸺fL E ( H1 )㸺f ࡑࡋ࡚ࠊ 㸦 ୗࡢグྕࡘ࠸࡚ㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࠋ 73 m[i E [1,1,i R2 , m[ V [i Var [1,1,i R 2*2 , V [ mH E (H1 ) R2 , VH > m[1 m[ 2 @ R2*2 1 V [1 V [ 2 R 2*2 2 var(H1 ) R 2*2 NѮ=࡛࠶ࡿࡁ )N Ȫ;;͐;.㸧ࡍࡿࠋ ᘧࡼࡾ E &㹩 |㹄㹩-1 X k 1,1m[1 X k 1,2 m[2 mH m[ &㹩-1 mH ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚E &㹩 E &㹩 m[ E &㹩-1 mH m[ E &㹩-1 mH m㸦 [ m[ E &㹩-2 mH ) mH m[ 2 E &㹩-2 m[ mH mH m[ 2 (m[ E &㹩-3 mH ) m[ mH mH m[ 3 E &㹩-3 m[ 2 mH m[ mH mH 㻸㻸 k 1 j ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉE &㹩 㸻m㹩 [ E & 0 + ¦ m[ mH ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.5㸧ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ j 0 FULWLFDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUࡘ࠸࡚ ᫂ࡽࠊ m[ ࡣࡇࡢ㐃㙐ຠᯝࡢ୰࡛ࡣ㔜せ࡞ᙺࢆᢸ࠺ࠋ ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣḟࡢࡼ࠺࡞ m[ ࢆᣢࡕࠊᑐ⛠ᆺࡢ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࢆ⪃ ࠼ࡿ㸸 ªD E º ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉm[㸻 « » ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.6㸧 ¬E D ¼ ࡉࡽࠊȘ㸼 ࡘș㸼 ࡢሙྜࡢࡳὀ┠ࡍࡿࠋ ࡇࡢᇶ࡛⮫⏺ࣂ࣓࣮ࣛࢱ㸦FULWLFDOLW\SDUDPHWHU㸧ࡣȨ Șșᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿ ࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡀḟࡢࡼ࠺࡞୕ࡘࡢ≧ែࡀ࠶ࡿ㸸 ⮫⏺ᮍ‶㸦VXEFULWLFDO㸧Ȩ㸺㸯 ⮫⏺㸦FULWLFDO㸧Ȩ㸻㸯 ⮫⏺㉸㐣VXSHUFULWLFDOȨ㸼㸯 㸯ࢆ⏝࠸࡚┤ほⓗㄝ᫂ࡍࡿࠋⓑⰼࡀྠⰍࡢⓑⰼࢆ⏕ࡴᮇᚅ್ࡣȘࠊ␗Ⰽࡢ ㉥ⰼࢆ⏕ࡴᮇᚅ್ࡣș㉥ⰼࡀྠⰍࡢ㉥ⰼࢆ⏕ࡴᮇᚅ್ࡣȘࠊ␗Ⰽࡢⓑⰼࢆ⏕ ࡴᮇᚅ್ࡣș࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘ㸩ș㸻Ȩ㸺㸯࡛࠶ࡿࡣࠊྛⰍࡢⰼࡣࡢୡ௦ࡼࡾᑡ ࡞ࡃᏊᏞࢆ⏕ࡴࡢ࡛ࠊ⛣Ẹ࡛᳜ධࡢⰼࢆ⪃࠼࡞ࡅࢀࡤࠊḟୡ௦ࡢⰼࡢ⥲ᩘࢆῶ ࡗ࡚࠸ࡃഴྥ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ≀✀ࢆ⥔ᣢࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊேᕤ࡛᪂ࡋ࠸࠾ⰼࡢ᳜ධࡀᚲせ࡛ ࠶ࡿࡔࢁ࠺ࠋȘ㸩ș㸻Ȩ㸻㸯࡛࠶ࡿࡢࡇࡣࠊࡢୡ௦ࡢⰼࡢつᶍࡀ࣮࢟ࣉ ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡞㏿ᗘ࡛ḟୡ௦ࡢᏊᏞࢆ⏕ࡴࠋ⛣Ẹ࡛ᑡࡋቑ㔞ྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋȘ㸩ș Ȩ㸼㸯ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࡁࠊᏊᏞᩘࡣぶࡢᩘࢆ㉸࠼ࡿࡼ࠺࡞ቑ࠼᪉࡛ࠊ࠸ࡎࢀࡀ⇿Ⓨ ⓗ࡞ᩘ࡞ࡗ࡚ࠊ␗ᖖែࢆࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊ๓㆙ሗࢩࢫࢸ࣒ࡀᚲせ 74 ࡔࢁ࠺ࠋ ึᮇ್ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ⡆༢ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢึᮇ್ ࡣ ; ᐃ⩏ࡉࢀࡿࡇࡀከ࠸ࠋ 㸦ゝࢃࢀࡿ㸮ࢫࢱ࣮ࢺ㸧 ᮏㄽᩥ࡛ࡣࠊ m[ z 0 ࡑࡋ࡚ &㹩 0 タᐃࡍࡿࠋ ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃ &/6 ࡼࡾ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃ ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣᮏㄽᩥࡢࣔࢹࣝᑐࡍࡿ &/6 ᥎ᐃࢆ⾜࠺ࠋྛኚ㔞ࡢ≉ᛶ್ࢆồࡵࡿ ୖࠊ⌮ㄽⓗ࡞ศᕸࢆィ⟬ࡍࡿࠋ E X k | Fk 1 m[ X k 1 mH ࡼࡾ M k㸻X k -E (X k Fk 1 )=X k m[ X k 1 mH , k N . 㸦㸧 ୍ࡘࡢᗎิࢆᑟධࡍࡿ㸸 8㹩 ;N! 㸯7;N ;N;N 㸦㸧 ª㸯º NѰ=1㸻 « » 㹐2 ¬㸯¼ ࡇࡢᘧࡼࡾࠊḟࡢ⤖ᯝࡀ࠶ࡿ㸸 ࡍ࡚ࡢ NѰ=ᑐࡋ࡚ 8㹩Ӌ㸮ࡑࡋ࡚ 8N㸻8N㸫㸯㹫Ȝ!0㹩! NѰ1ࠋ ⌮⏤ࡣḟ࡛࠶ࡿ㸸 ࡀ㹫ȥࡢᅛ᭷࣋ࢡࢺ࡛ࣝ࠶ࡾࠊᅛ᭷್ࡀ㸯࡛࠶ࡿࠋ Ȩ Șș㸻㸯ࡢពࡣࠊ ࡞ࡢ࡛ 1㸪m[ X k , k 1 㸻1T m[ X k ,k 1㸻1T X k , k 1㸻8 k 1 ª㸯º ࡉࡽࠊ u㻑㸻 « » 㹐2 ¬-㸯¼ 9㹩 ī;N! ī7;N ;N;NNѰ1ࡍࡿ 9㹩 㸦Șș㸧9㹩ī㹫Ȝ!ī0㹩! ⌮⏤ࡣḟ࡛࠶ࡿ Ī ࡣࡀ㹫ȥࡢᅛ᭷࣋ࢡࢺ࡛ࣝ࠶ࡾࠊᅛ᭷್ࡀȘș࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࡞ࡢ࡛ 㻑T 㻑T u㻑㸪 [ mX k 1 㸻u m[ X k 1㸻㸦Șș㸧u X k 1 . ;N㸻㸦8㹩9㹩㸧;N㸻㸦8㹩9㹩㸧NѰ= ᘧ࡛⾲ࡍࣔࢹࣝᑐࡋࠊ&/6 ᥎ᐃࢆ⾜ࡗ࡚ࠊ⮫⏺ࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱࢆぢࡘࡅࡿࠋ ᪂ࡋ࠸ࣃ࣓࣮ࣛࢱț㸻Șșࢆᐃ⩏ࡍࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ Ș㸻㸦Ȩț㸧ș㸻㸦Ȩ̿ț㸧ࠋ ᘧࡣḟࡢᘧ᭩ࡁ࠼ࡿ㸸 75 M k㸻X k -E (X k Fk 1 )=X k m[ N k 1 mH , k N . ࡉࡽ 㸯ª U G U -G º X k㸻 « X k 1 +M k 1 +mH , k N . 2 ¬ U -G U G »¼ &/6 ἲ࡛᥎ᐃࡍࡿࡁࠊࡲࡎ ;͐;Q ࢆྵࡴḟࡢᘧࢆ᭱ᑠࡍࡿ㸸 n ¦ k 1 1 ªU G Xk « 2 ¬ U -G 2 U -G º X mH U G »¼ k 1 ¦ n 1, xk mH 1 xk 1 ° Un 㸻 k 1 , 2 n ° 1, x ¦k 1 k 1 ° ᥎ᐃ್ ® n 㻑 xk 1 ° ¦ k 1 u㻑㸪xk mH u, . °G n 2 n 㻑 u , x °¯ ¦k 1 k 1 ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣ 1 ª«1º» R 2 , u㻑 ª« 1 º» R 2࡛࠶ࡾࠊ ¬1¼ ¬ 1¼ n 2 ½ H n ® x1 ,㻷 xn ( R 2 ) n : ¦ 1 xk 1 ! 0 ¾ k 1 ¯ ¿ n ½ 2 H㻑n ® x1 ,㻷 xn ( R 2 ) n : ¦ u㻑 xk 1 ! 0 ¾ k 1 ¯ ¿ ;㸻 ࡣ 5 ✵㛫㞽࣋ࢡࢺࣝࠋ 㸯 㸯 U㸻D +E ࠊG㸻D EࡼࡾD㸻 U +G ࠊE㸻 U G ࠋ 2 2 ªDˆ㹬 º 㸯ª㸯 㸯º ª Uˆ㹬 º « ˆ »㸻 « » « ˆ » 㸯 㸯 2 E ¬ ¼ ¬G㹬 ¼ ¬ 㹬¼ ḟࡢㄽᩥ࡛ࡣࡉࡽ㔜せ࡞⤖ㄽࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ $V\PSWRWLF EHKDYLRU RI &/6 HVWLPDWRUV IRU W\SH GRXEO\ V\PPHWULF FULWLFDO*DOWRQ:DWVRQSURFHVVHVZLWKLPPLJUDWLRQ %\0DUWRQ,VSDQ\.ULVWRI.RUPHQGL*\XOD3DS ᐃ⌮㸯 76 1 ³ Y d Y 1, mH t t n( U n 1) o0 D ³ 1 0 If V[ 1 1 Yt 2 dt ࠉn o fࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.19㸧 , 0 ࠉࠉࡑࡋ࡚ § 3 V[ 1 1 D n3/2 Uˆ n 1 o N ¨ 0, 2 ¨ 1, mH © f V[ u㻑 u㻑 ! 0 ࠉࠉࡑࡋ࡚ · ¸ ¸ ¹ ࠉn o fࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.20㸧 1 ª n1/2 Dˆ n D º D y dW㻑t ª 1 º ³ 0 t « 1/2 » o DE 1 « 1» ࠉn o f ࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.21㸧 « n Eˆn E » y dt ¬ ¼ ³0 t ¬ ¼ (W㻑 ) ࡀᶆ‽ࣈࣛ࢘ࣥ㐠ື࡛࠶ࡾࠊ (W ) ⊂❧࡛࠶ࡿࠋ t tR t tR ª n1/2 Dˆ n D º D § 3 V[ u㻑 u㻑 « 1/2 » o N ¨ 0, ˆ ¨¨ 4 E u㻑, H 2 «n En E » 1 ¬ ¼ © · ¸ª 1 º ¸¸ «¬ 1»¼ ¹ n o fࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉࠉ㸦5.22㸧 &/6 ࡼࡾ⛣Ẹ㡯ࡢ࠶ࡿ㸰ኚ㔞ศᯞ㐣⛬ࡢ᥎ᐃࡢࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥ ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸࢆ⏝ࡋࠊ ࡢ⌮ㄽࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩ᳨࡛ࣙࣥ㦂ࡍࡿ ª [ k , j ,i ,1 º ª H k ,1 º , [ k , j ,i « H » k «H » ࢆほ ࡉࢀࡿ㒊ศ⪃࠼ࡿࠋ ¬ k ,2 ¼ ¬[ k , j ,i ,2 ¼ [ k , j ,i H k ࡑࢀࡒࢀᮇᚅ್ m[ mH ࡢ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸᚑ࠺ࠋ [ k , j ,i ,1㹼P0 m[ 1 [ k , j ,1,1㹼P0 D , [ k , j ,2,1㹼P0 E H k ,1㹼P0 H k 1 [ k , j ,i ,2㹼P0 m[ 2 [ k , j ,1,2㹼P0 E , [ k , j ,2,1㹼P0 D H k ,2㹼P0 H k 2 㹶k 1,1 㹶k 1,1 㹨㸻㸯 㹨㸻㸯 X㹩㸻 ¦ [ k , j ,1 ¦ [ k , j ,2 H k ࡀᮇᚅ್ X k 1m[1 X k 2 m[2 mH ࡢ࣏ࢯࣥศᕸᚑ ࠺ࡇࡀࢃࡿ㸸 X k ,1㹼P0 X k 1,1D X k 1,2 E H k 1 X k ,2㹼P0 X k 1,1E X k 1,2D H k 2 ⤫ィࢯࣇࢺ 5 ࢆ⏝ࡋࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺ࠋ 77 P Q mH1 mH 2 Ș ș Ȩ ˏ ➨ 㸯 ᅇ ➨ ᅇ ➨ ᅇ ț Dˆ n Eˆn ᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊ⮬↛⛉Ꮫ࠾࠸࡚ࡢࡳ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ♫⛉Ꮫࡸேᩥ⛉Ꮫ࠾࠸࡚ ࡶ⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿࠋᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡀ⏝࠸ࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿศ㔝ࢆ⥙⨶ࡍࡿࡇࡣ㞴ࡋ࠸⪃ ࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊ࠼ࡤࠊ≀⌮ᏛࠊᕤᏛࠊ⏕≀Ꮫࠊ⤒῭Ꮫࠊ♫Ꮫࠊᚰ⌮Ꮫࠊィ⟬ ᶵ⛉Ꮫࠊ⏕ែᏛࠊ⚄⤒⛉ᏛࠊศᏊ⏕≀Ꮫࠊ⏕≀⤫ィᏛࠊචᏛࠊᆅ⌫≀⌮Ꮫࠊ ኳᩥᏛࠊ㟁Ẽᅇ㊰ࠊᶵᲔᕤᏛࠊ⯟✵ᕤᏛࠊẼ㇟ᏛࠊゝㄒᏛࠊィ㔞ᩥ⊩Ꮫࠊఏᰁ ឤᰁண ࠊ࣮࢜࣌ࣞࢩࣙࣥࢬ࣭ࣜࢧ࣮ࢳ࡞ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ ㏆ᖺࡣࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗࢱࡢᛶ⬟ࡢྥୖࡼࡾࠊ」㞧࡞ᩘ⌮ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝࡶࡑࡢࡩࡿࡲ࠸ ࢆࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡗ࡚ぢࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡓࡵࠊᵝࠎ࡞ศ㔝࡛⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿ ࡼ࠺࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊᑐ㇟ࡍࡿ⌧㇟ࡸࠊᐃᘧࡢᢳ㇟ᗘ࡞ ࡼࡗ࡚ᵝࠎ࡞ࡶࡢࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ ᑐ㇟࡞ࡿ⌧㇟ࡀつᶍ࡛ேᡭࡼࡿゎᯒࡀᅔ㞴ࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࢼࣅ࢚ࢫࢺ࣮ࢡࢫ ᪉⛬ᘧࡢࡼ࠺ࣔࢹࣝࡢゎࢆゎᯒⓗᚓࡽࢀ࡞࠸ሙྜࡣࠊࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗࢱࡼࡿ ࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࡼࡗ࡚ゎࢆồࡵࡿࠋ௦⾲ⓗ࡞ࣝࢦࣜࢬ࣒ࡋ࡚ࠊ࢜ࣛ ࣮ἲࠊࣝࣥࢤ㸻ࢡࢵࢱἲࠊ᭷㝈せ⣲ἲࠊࣔࣥࢸ࢝ࣝࣟἲ➼ࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࢥࣥࣆ࣮ࣗ ࢱࡢᛶ⬟ྥୖࡼࡗ࡚ࠊᢅ࠼ࡿᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࡢᖜࡀኚᗈࡲࡗࡓࠋୖ㏙ࡋࡓࡼ࠺ ࠊᩘ⌮ࣔࢹࣝࢆᵓ⠏ࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ᚓࡽࢀࡿࡇࡣࠊࡲࡎࡣ⌧㇟ࡢ⌮ゎࡀ ࠶ࡆࡽࢀࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊᩘᏛⓗ⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ࠊᢅ࠸ࡀᐜ᫆࡞ࡾࠊᩘᏛ ࡢ▱ぢࢆά⏝ࡍࡿࡇࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ 78 ⤊ࢃࡾ ᮏㄽᩥࢆࡲࡵࡿ࠶ࡓࡾ㸪ᶓᅜ❧ᏛᩍᤵỌᆂඛ⏕ࡣ㸪◊✲⯡ ࢃࡓࡾࡉࡲࡊࡲ࡞どⅬࡼࡾࡁࡵ⣽࠸ᚚᣦᑟ㸪ᚚᣦࢆ㡬ࡁࡲࡋࡓࠋỌᆂ ඛ⏕ࡣ㸪ⴭ⪅ࡀᏛ㝔ධᏛࡽ㸪◊✲ࡢ㐍ࡵ᪉㸪⌧㇟ࡢᤊ࠼᪉࡞ᩘከ ࡃࡢᚚᣦᑟ㸪ᚚ♧၀ࢆ㡬࠸ࡓࡔࡃࡶ㸪ㄽᩥసᡂࡶኚ࠾ୡヰ࡞ࡾࡲࡋ ࡓ㸬ᚰࡼࡾᚚ♩⏦ࡋୖࡆࡲࡍࠋ ᮏㄽᩥࡢ◊✲ෆᐜࡘ࠸࡚ࡣྠ◊✲ᐊࡢ୍ࢭࡉࢇࠊチࣥࡉࢇࡢᚚຓຊ ࢆ࠸ࡓࡔࡁࡲࡋࡓࠋࡲࡇ࠶ࡾࡀ࠺ࡈࡊ࠸ࡲࡋࡓࠋ ᮏ◊✲ࢆ㐙⾜ࡍࡿ࠶ࡓࡾ㸪௨ୖࡢ࠾ྡ๓ࢆᣲࡆࡓ᪉௨እࡶᶓᅜ❧Ꮫࡢ ඛ⏕ࡢⓙᵝࡽᩘከࡃࡢᚚᣦᑟ㸪ᚚ㠴᧡ࢆ㡬ࡁࡲࡋࡓ㸬ᚰࡼࡾឤㅰࡢពࢆ⾲ࡋ ࡲࡍࠋ ◊✲⏕άࢆࢧ࣏࣮ࢺࡋ࡚㡬࠸ࡓᐙ᪘ᡂဨࡓࡕࠊឤㅰࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࡲࡍࠋ 79 ➨භ❶ ཧ⪃ᩥ⊩ >@$:DOG6HTXHQWLDO7HVWV2I6WDWLVWLFDO+\SRWKHVHV$QQDOV 2I0DWKHPDWLFDO6WDWLVWLFV9RO >㸰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࣮࢝ࣜࣥⴭబ⸨୍ࠊబ⸨⏤㌟Ꮚヂ ☜⋡㐣⛬ㅮ⩏ ⏘ ᴗᅗ᭩ >@ 7 1 6ULUDP ,9%DVDZD DQG 50+XJJLQV 6HTXHQWLDO (VWLPDWLRQ )RU %UDQFKLQJ3URFHVVHV:LWK ,PPLJUDWLRQ$QQDOV RI6WDWLVWLFV9RO >@ /LQHWVN\97KH 6SHFWUDO UHSUHVHQWDWLRQ RI %HVVHO 3URFHVVHV:LWK&RQVWDQWGULIW$SSOLFDWLRQVLQ4XHXHLQJ$QG)LQDQFH -$SSO3UREDEYRO >@KWWSZZZPDWKLVWRKRNXDFMSaREDWDOHFWXUHJUDGXDWH LQSGI >@NHLVDQFDVLRMSH[HFV\VWHP 80 81
© Copyright 2024